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An Assessment of the Italian 2007 Second Pillar Reform: a simulation approach

  • Corsini, Lorenzo
  • Pacini, Pier Mario
  • Spataro, Luca

In this paper we aim at assessing the outcomes of the 2007 Italian reform of the complementary social security and to identify the determinants behind them. The reform gave relevant incentives to workers to switch from investing about 7% of their gross wages into a compulsory defned benefit scheme inside the firm (which took the form of a termination indemnity payment, the TFR scheme) to an external pension fund. We provide a theoretical framework to model workers' choice problem of switching between these pension schemes and we then perform an agent-based simulation taking into account all the details of the reform. Our simulations are able to replicate the Italian data in term of adhesion rates to complementary social security and also to identify some of the key determinants of that outcome, like the fiscal incentives, the financial literacy and the expectations on the rate of returns of pension funds.

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File URL: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/25922/1/MPRA_paper_25922.pdf
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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 25922.

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Date of creation: 2010
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:25922
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  1. Nicholas Barr & Peter Diamond, 2006. "The Economics of Pensions," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press, vol. 22(1), pages 15-39, Spring.
  2. Joshua D. Rauh, 2006. "Investment and Financing Constraints: Evidence from the Funding of Corporate Pension Plans," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 61(1), pages 33-71, 02.
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