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New Insights Into Optimal Control of Nonlinear Dynamic Econometric Models: Application of a Heuristic Approach

Author

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  • D. Blueschke

    (University of Klagenfurt, Austria)

  • V. Blueschke-Nikolaeva

    (University of Klagenfurt, Austria)

  • Ivan Savin

    (DFG Research Training Program "The Economics of Innovative Change", Friedrich Schiller University Jena and the Max Planck Institute of Economics, Jena)

Abstract

Optimal control of dynamic econometric models has a wide variety of applications including economic policy relevant issues. There are several algorithms extending the basic case of a linear-quadratic optimization and taking nonlinearity and stochastics into account, but being still limited in a variety of ways, e.g., symmetry of the objective function and identical data frequencies of control variables. To overcome these problems, an alternative approach based on heuristics is suggested. To this end, we apply a 'classical' algorithm (OPTCON) and a heuristic approach (Differential Evolution) to three different econometric models and compare their performance. In this paper we consider scenarios of symmetric and asymmetric quadratic objective functions. Results provide a strong support for the heuristic approach encouraging its further application to optimum control problems.

Suggested Citation

  • D. Blueschke & V. Blueschke-Nikolaeva & Ivan Savin, 2012. "New Insights Into Optimal Control of Nonlinear Dynamic Econometric Models: Application of a Heuristic Approach," Jena Economics Research Papers 2012-008, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena.
    • Handle: RePEc:jrp:jrpwrp:2012-008
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    8. Blueschke-Nikolaeva, V. & Blueschke, D. & Neck, R., 2012. "Optimal control of nonlinear dynamic econometric models: An algorithm and an application," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(11), pages 3230-3240.
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    Cited by:

    1. Herrmann, J.K. & Savin, I., 2017. "Optimal policy identification: Insights from the German electricity market," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 71-90.
    2. Abiodun Egbetokun & Ivan Savin, 2015. "Absorptive Capacity and Innovation: When Is It Better to Cooperate?," Economic Complexity and Evolution, in: Andreas Pyka & John Foster (ed.), The Evolution of Economic and Innovation Systems, edition 127, pages 373-399, Springer.
    3. Savin, Ivan & Egbetokun, Abiodun, 2016. "Emergence of innovation networks from R&D cooperation with endogenous absorptive capacity," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 82-103.
    4. Dmitri Blueschke & Ivan Savin, 2015. "No such thing like perfect hammer: comparing different objective function specifications for optimal control," Jena Economics Research Papers 2015-005, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena.
    5. Maurizio Bovi & Roy Cerqueti, 2016. "Forecasting macroeconomic fundamentals in economic crises," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 247(2), pages 451-469, December.
    6. D. Blueschke & I. Savin, 2017. "No such thing as a perfect hammer: comparing different objective function specifications for optimal control," Central European Journal of Operations Research, Springer;Slovak Society for Operations Research;Hungarian Operational Research Society;Czech Society for Operations Research;Österr. Gesellschaft für Operations Research (ÖGOR);Slovenian Society Informatika - Section for Operational Research;Croatian Operational Research Society, vol. 25(2), pages 377-392, June.
    7. Herrmann, Johannes & Savin, Ivan, 2015. "Evolution of the electricity market in Germany: Identifying policy implications by an agent-based model," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 112959, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    8. Dimitri Blueschke & Viktoria Blüschke-Nikolaeva & Ivan Savin, 2015. "Slow and steady wins the race: approximating Nash equilibria in nonlinear quadratic tracking games," Jena Economics Research Papers 2015-011, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena.
    9. Sana Ben Abdallah & Dhafer Saidane & Mihaly Petreczky, 2023. "Application of Robust Control for CSR Formalization and Stakeholders Interest," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 62(3), pages 891-934, October.
    10. D. Blueschke & I. Savin & V. Blueschke-Nikolaeva, 2020. "An Evolutionary Approach to Passive Learning in Optimal Control Problems," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 56(3), pages 659-673, October.
    11. Ivan Savin & Dmitri Blueschke, 2013. "Solving nonlinear stochastic optimal control problems using evolutionary heuristic optimization," Jena Economics Research Papers 2013-051, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena.
    12. Ivan Savin & Dmitri Blueschke, 2016. "Lost in Translation: Explicitly Solving Nonlinear Stochastic Optimal Control Problems Using the Median Objective Value," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 48(2), pages 317-338, August.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Differential evolution; dynamic programming; nonlinear optimization; optimal control;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C54 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Quantitative Policy Modeling
    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • E27 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory

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