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Linkages Between the US and European Stock Markets: A Fractional Cointegration Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Guglielmo Maria Caporale
  • Luis A. Gil‐Alana
  • James C. Orlando

Abstract

This paper analyses the long‐memory properties of US and European stock indices, as well as their linkages, using fractional integration and fractional cointegration techniques. These methods are more general and have higher power than the standard ones usually employed in the literature. The empirical evidence based on them suggests the presence of unit roots in both the Standard and Poor's 500 Index and the Euro Stoxx 50 Index. Also, fractional cointegration appears to hold at least for the subsample from December 1996 to March 2009 ending when the global financial crisis was still severe; subsequently, the US and European stock markets diverged and followed different recovery paths, possibly as a result of various factors such as diverging growth and monetary policy. Establishing whether the degree of cointegration has changed over time is important because past literature has shown that diversification benefits arise when markets are not cointegrated. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Suggested Citation

  • Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil‐Alana & James C. Orlando, 2016. "Linkages Between the US and European Stock Markets: A Fractional Cointegration Approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(2), pages 143-153, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:ijfiec:v:21:y:2016:i:2:p:143-153
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    Cited by:

    1. Seifoddini, Jalal & Rahnamay Roodposhti, Fraydoon & Nikoomaram, Hashem, 2015. "Parametric Estimates of High Frequency Market Microstructure Noise as an Unsystematic Risk," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 10(4), pages 29-50, October.
    2. Ouatik El-Alaoui, AbdelKader & Ismath Bacha, Obiyathulla & Masih, Mansur & Asutay, Mehmet, 2018. "Does low leverage minimise the impact of financial shocks? New optimisation strategies using Islamic stock screening for European portfolios," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 160-184.
    3. Eurico Ferreira, 2019. "ECB, BoE and Fed Monetary-Policy announcements: price and volume effects on European securities markets," Working Papers w201914, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
    4. Maria-Eleni K. Agoraki & Dimitris A. Georgoutsos & Georgios P. Kouretas, 2019. "Capital Markets Integration and Cointegration: Testing for the Correct Specification of Stock Market Indices," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-20, December.
    5. Stoupos, Nikolaos & Kiohos, Apostolos, 2022. "Euro area stock markets integration: Empirical evidence after the end of 2010 debt crisis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    6. Thomas Johann & Stefan Scharnowski & Erik Theissen & Christian Westheide & Lukas Zimmermann, 2019. "Liquidity in the German Stock Market," Schmalenbach Business Review, Springer;Schmalenbach-Gesellschaft, vol. 71(4), pages 443-473, October.
    7. Muhammad Hanif & Ariba Sabah, 2020. "Stock Markets’ Integration in Post Financial Crisis Era: Evidence from Literature," Capital Markets Review, Malaysian Finance Association, vol. 28(2), pages 43-71.
    8. Yensen Ni & Yirung Cheng & Yulu Liao & Paoyu Huang, 2022. "Does board structure affect stock price overshooting informativeness measured by stochastic oscillator indicators?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 2290-2302, April.
    9. Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Infante, Juan & Martín-Valmayor, Miguel Angel, 2023. "Persistence and long run co-movements across stock market prices," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 347-357.
    10. Maria I. Kyriakou & Athanasios Koulakiotis & Apostolos Kiohos & Vassilios Babalos, 2023. "Fractional Integration and Volatility Transmission Between Real Estate and Stock Markets: Novel Evidence from a FIGARCH-BEKK Approach," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 66(4), pages 939-962, May.
    11. José Carlos Vides & Antonio A. Golpe & Jesús Iglesias, 2018. "How did the Sovereign debt crisis affect the Euro financial integration? A fractional cointegration approach," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 45(4), pages 685-706, November.
    12. Chen, Yanhua & Li, Youwei & Pantelous, Athanasios A. & Stanley, H. Eugene, 2022. "Short-run disequilibrium adjustment and long-run equilibrium in the international stock markets: A network-based approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    13. Ana Monteiro & Nuno Silva & Helder Sebastião, 2023. "Industry return lead-lag relationships between the US and other major countries," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-48, December.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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