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Value of WTO trade agreements in a New Keynesian model

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  • Ganelli, Giovanni
  • Tervala, Juha

Abstract

We revisit the question of the quantitative benefits of WTO trade agreements in a setup that is non-standard from the traditional trade policy point of view. We show that in a New Keynesian model, unilateral trade liberalization reduces welfare due to terms-of-trade deterioration, creating an incentive for a trade agreement. For realistic parameter values, the value of an agreement, which cuts tariffs by one percentage point, is 0.5–2% of consumption, much larger than in trade models. The intuition for this result hinges on endogenous labor supply.

Suggested Citation

  • Ganelli, Giovanni & Tervala, Juha, 2015. "Value of WTO trade agreements in a New Keynesian model," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 347-362.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jmacro:v:45:y:2015:i:c:p:347-362 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2015.06.001
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    Cited by:

    1. David Rosnick, 2015. "The Gains from Trade in a New Model from the IMF: Still Very Small," CEPR Reports and Issue Briefs 2015-10, Center for Economic and Policy Research (CEPR).
    2. Michael Regan, 2017. "Capital Markets, Infrastructure Investment and Growth in the Asia Pacific Region," International Journal of Financial Studies, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 5(1), pages 1-28, February.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Tariffs; Terms of trade theory; Trade agreement; Trade liberalization; WTO;

    JEL classification:

    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General

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