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Capital Controls: A Survey of the New Literature

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  • Alessandro Rebucci
  • Chang Ma

Abstract

This paper reviews selected post-Global Financial Crisis theoretical and empirical contributions on capital controls and identifies three theoretical motives for the use of this policy tools: pecuniary externalities in models of financial crises, aggregate demand externalities in new-Keynesian models of the business cycle, and terms of trade manipulation in open economy models with pricing power. Pecuniary and demand externalities offer the most compelling case for the adoption of capital controls, but macroprudential policy can also address the same distortion. So, in general, capital controls are not the only instrument that can do the job. If evaluated through the lenses of the new theories, the empirical evidence reviewed suggests that capital controls can have the intended effects, even though the extant literature is inconclusive as to whether the effects documented amount to a net gain or loss for the economies that adopted these policies. Terms of trade manipulation also provides a clear cut theoretical case for the use of capital controls, but this motive is less compelling because of the spillover and coordination issues inherent with the use of control on capital flows for this purpose.

Suggested Citation

  • Alessandro Rebucci & Chang Ma, 2019. "Capital Controls: A Survey of the New Literature," NBER Working Papers 26558, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:26558
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    Cited by:

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    2. Bacchetta, Philippe & Cordonier, Rachel & Merrouche, Ouarda, 2020. "The Rise in Foreign Currency Bonds: The Role of US Monetary Policy and Capital Controls," CEPR Discussion Papers 14928, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. Ma, Chang, 2020. "Financial stability, growth and macroprudential policy," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    4. Anusha Chari & Karlye Dilts-Stedman & Kristin Forbes, 2021. "Spillovers at the Extremes: The Macroprudential Stance and Vulnerability to the Global Financial Cycle," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2021, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Marina Lovchikova & Johannes Matschke, 2021. "Capital Controls and the Global Financial Cycle," Research Working Paper RWP 21-08, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    6. Bilge Erten & Anton Korinek & José Antonio Ocampo, 2021. "Capital Controls: Theory and Evidence," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 59(1), pages 45-89, March.
    7. Eguren-Martin, Fernando & O'Neill, Cian & Sokol, Andrej & von dem Berge, Lukas, 2020. "Capital flows-at-risk: push, pull and the role of policy," Bank of England working papers 881, Bank of England.
    8. Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé & Martín Uribe, 2020. "Deterministic Debt Cycles in Open Economies with Flow Collateral Constraints," NBER Working Papers 26613, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Schmitt-Grohé, Stephanie & Uribe, Martin, 2019. "Deterministic Debt Cycles in Open Economies with Flow Collateral Constraints," CEPR Discussion Papers 14248, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    10. Francis Breedon & Thórarinn G. Pétursson & Paolo Vitale, 2021. "The currency that came in from the cold - Capital controls and the information content of order flow," Economics wp86, Department of Economics, Central bank of Iceland.
    11. Jeanne, Olivier, 2022. "Rounding the corners of the trilemma: A simple framework," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    12. Daniel Carvalho & Etienne Lepers & Rogelio Jr Mercado, 2021. "Taming the "Capital Flows-Credit Nexus": A Sectoral Approach," Trinity Economics Papers tep0921, Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics.
    13. Miguel Acosta-Henao & Laura Alfaro & Andrés Fernández, 2020. "Sticky Capital Controls," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 877, Central Bank of Chile.
    14. J. Scott Davis & Michael B. Devereux, 2019. "Capital Controls as Macro-prudential Policy in a Large Open Economy," Globalization Institute Working Papers 358, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    15. Bergant, Katharina & Grigoli, Francesco & Hansen, Niels-Jakob & Sandri, Damiano, 2020. "Dampening Global Financial Shocks: Can Macroprudential Regulation Help (More than Capital Controls)?," CEPR Discussion Papers 14948, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    16. Pasricha, Gurnain K., 2022. "Estimated policy rules for capital controls," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).

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    JEL classification:

    • F38 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Financial Policy: Financial Transactions Tax; Capital Controls
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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