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U.S. Demand for Tobacco Products in a System Framework

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  • Zheng, Yuqing
  • Zhen, Chen
  • Nonnemaker, James
  • Dench, Daniel

Abstract

This study estimated a system of demand for cigarettes, little cigars/cigarillos, large cigars, e‐cigarettes, smokeless tobacco, and loose smoking tobacco using market‐level scanner data for convenience stores. We found that the unconditional own‐price elasticities for the six categories are −1.188, −1.428, −1.501, −2.054, −0.532, and −1.678, respectively. Several price substitute (e.g., cigarettes and e‐cigarettes) and complement (e.g., cigarettes and smokeless tobacco) relationships were identified. Magazine and television advertising increased demand for e‐cigarettes, and magazine advertising increased demand for smokeless tobacco and had spillover effects on demand for other tobacco products. We also reported the elasticities by U.S. census regions and market size. These results may have important policy implications, especially viewed in the context of the rise of electronic cigarettes and the potential for harm reduction if combustible tobacco users switch to non‐combustible tobacco products. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
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Suggested Citation

  • Zheng, Yuqing & Zhen, Chen & Nonnemaker, James & Dench, Daniel, 2014. "U.S. Demand for Tobacco Products in a System Framework," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 174110, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaea14:174110
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.174110
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    Cited by:

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    4. Dean R. Lillard, 2020. "The Economics of Nicotine Consumption," NBER Working Papers 26912, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    6. Dragone, Davide & Raggi, Davide, 2021. "Resolving the milk addiction paradox," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    7. Cotti, Chad & Courtemanche, Charles & Maclean, Joanna Catherine & Nesson, Erik & Pesko, Michael F. & Tefft, Nathan W., 2022. "The effects of e-cigarette taxes on e-cigarette prices and tobacco product sales: Evidence from retail panel data," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    8. Rahi Abouk & Scott Adams & Bo Feng & Johanna Catherine Maclean & Michael F. Pesko, 2023. "The effect of e‐cigarette taxes on pre‐pregnancy and prenatal smoking," Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(4), pages 908-940, September.
    9. Lingxiao Wang & Yuqing Zheng & Steven C. Buck, 2021. "How does the affordable care act Medicaid expansion affect cigarette consumption?—The mechanism and heterogeneity," Journal of Consumer Affairs, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 55(3), pages 763-791, September.
    10. Michael F. Pesko & Charles J. Courtemanche & Johanna Catherine Maclean, 2020. "The effects of traditional cigarette and e-cigarette tax rates on adult tobacco product use," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 60(3), pages 229-258, June.
    11. Rahi Abouk & Scott Adams & Bo Feng & Johanna Catherine Maclean & Michael F. Pesko, 2019. "The Effect of E-Cigarette Taxes on Pre-pregnancy and Prenatal Smoking," NBER Working Papers 26126, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Wang, Xiaojin & Zheng, Yuqing & Reed, Michael & Zhen, Chen, 2015. "Cigarette Tax Pass-Through by Product Characteristics: Evidence from Nielsen ScanTrack Data," 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California 205375, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    13. Mary Hrywna & Irina B. Grafova & Cristine D. Delnevo, 2019. "The Role of Marketing Practices and Tobacco Control Initiatives on Smokeless Tobacco Sales, 2005–2010," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(19), pages 1-15, September.
    14. Li, Wenying & Dorfman, Jeffrey H., 2019. "The implications of heterogeneous habit in consumer beverage purchases on soda and sin taxes," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 111-120.
    15. Adrian R. Fleissig, 2020. "Impact of Casino Gambling and Lotteries on Demand for Other ‘Sin’ Goods," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 48(3), pages 327-338, September.
    16. Michael F. Pesko & Casey Warman, 2022. "Re‐exploring the early relationship between teenage cigarette and e‐cigarette use using price and tax changes," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(1), pages 137-153, January.
    17. Yu Wang & Zongshuan Duan & Sherry L. Emery & Yoonsang Kim & Frank J. Chaloupka & Jidong Huang, 2021. "The Association between E-Cigarette Price and TV Advertising and the Sales of Smokeless Tobacco Products in the USA," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(13), pages 1-14, June.
    18. Hunt Allcott & Charlie Rafkin, 2020. "Optimal Regulation of E-cigarettes: Theory and Evidence," NBER Working Papers 27000, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    19. Li, Wenying & Dorfman, Jeffrey H., 2018. "Habit Formation with Smooth Transitions: Estimating Demand for U.S. Carbonated-Sweetened Beverages and Beer," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 273852, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    20. Hovhannisyan, Vardges & Bastian, Christopher T., 2022. "Consumption of Low-Intensity and High-Intensity Sweeteners in the United States: Structure, Drivers, and Policy Implications," 2022 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Anaheim, California 322508, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Consumer/Household Economics; Demand and Price Analysis; Health Economics and Policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D12 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
    • I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health
    • M37 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Marketing and Advertising - - - Advertising

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