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Ray C. Fair

Personal Details | Affiliation | Works
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Personal Details

First Name: Ray
Middle Name: C.
Last Name: Fair
Suffix:

RePEc Short-ID: pfa24

Email:
Homepage: http://fairmodel.econ.yale.edu
Postal Address: Cowles Foundation Box 208281, Yale Station New Haven, CT 06520-8281
Phone: 203-432-3715

Affiliation

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This author is among the top 5% authors according to these criteria:
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Works

| Working papers | Articles | Chapters | Access and download statistics | Citations (if any)| NEP Fields |
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Working papers

  1. Ray C. Fair, 2006. "Interpreting the Predictive Uncertainty of Elections," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1579, Cowles Foundation, Yale University, revised May 2007. [Downloadable!]

  2. Ray C. Fair, 2006. "Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model," Levine's Bibliography 321307000000000303, UCLA Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Ray C. Fair, 2006. "A Comparison of Five Federal Reserve Chairmen: Was Greenspan the Best?," Levine's Bibliography 321307000000000415, UCLA Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  4. Ray C. Fair, 2006. "Interpreting the Predictive Uncertainty of Presidential Elections," Levine's Bibliography 321307000000000427, UCLA Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]

  5. Ray C. Fair, 2005. "Natural Concepts in Macroeconomics," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1525, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]

  6. Ray C. Fair, 2005. "Estimated Age Effects in Baseball," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1536, Cowles Foundation, Yale University, revised Mar 2007. [Downloadable!]

  7. Ray C. Fair & Danielle Catambay, 2005. "Branch Rickey’s Equation Fifty Years Later," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1529, Cowles Foundation, Yale University, revised Jan 2007. [Downloadable!]

  8. Ray C. Fair, 2005. "Policy Effects in the Post Boom U.S. Economy," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1497, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
    Published as:

  9. Ray C. Fair, 2004. "Estimated Age Effects in Athletic Events and Chess," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1495, Cowles Foundation, Yale University, revised Feb 2006. [Downloadable!]

  10. Ray C. Fair, 2004. "Predicting Electoral College Victory Probabilities from State Probability Data," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1496, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]

  11. Ray C. Fair, 2003. "Events that Shook the Market," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm307, Yale School of Management. [Downloadable!]
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  12. Ray C. Fair, 2002. "Risk Aversion and Stock Prices," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1382, Cowles Foundation, Yale University, revised Feb 2003. [Downloadable!]
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  13. Ray C. Fair, 2002. "Testing for a New Economy in the 1990s," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1388, Cowles Foundation, Yale University, revised Mar 2003. [Downloadable!]
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  14. Ray C. Fair, 2002. "Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm254, Yale School of Management. [Downloadable!]
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  15. Ray C. Fair & John F. Oster, 2002. "Comparing the Predictive Information Content of College Football Rankings," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm310, Yale School of Management. [Downloadable!]

  16. Ray C. Fair & John F. Oster, 2002. "College Football Rankings and Market Efficiency," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1381, Cowles Foundation, Yale University, revised Mar 2005. [Downloadable!]

  17. Ray C. Fair, 2001. "Is There Empirical Support for the 'Modern' View of Macroeconomics?," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm201, Yale School of Management. [Downloadable!]

  18. Ray C. Fair, 2001. "Optimal Control and Stochastic Simulation of Large Nonlinear Models with Rational Expectations," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm202, Yale School of Management. [Downloadable!]
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  19. Ray C. Fair, 2001. "The Great Gatsby: Yale, Princeton, Columbia, Harvard, Oxford," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm200, Yale School of Management. [Downloadable!]
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  20. Ray C. Fair, 2001. "On Modeling the Effects of Inflation Shocks," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1300, Cowles Foundation, Yale University, revised Mar 2002. [Downloadable!]
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  21. Ray C. Fair, 2001. "Shock Effects on Stocks, Bonds, and Exchange Rates," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm172, Yale School of Management. [Downloadable!]
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  22. Ray C. Fair, 2001. "Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1298, Cowles Foundation, Yale University, revised Jun 2003. [Downloadable!]
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  23. Ray C. Fair, 2000. "Estimated, Calibrated, and Optimal Interest Rate Rules," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1258, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]

  24. Ray C. Fair, 1997. "Evaluating the Information Content and Money Making Ability of Forecasts from Exchange Rate Equations," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1168, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]

  25. Ray C. Fair, 1996. "Estimated Inflation Costs Had European Unemployment Been Reduced in the 1980s by Macro Prices," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1129, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]

  26. Ray C. Fair, 1996. "Testing the Standard View of the Long-Run Unemployment-Inflation Relationship," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1121, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]

  27. Ray C. Fair & Diane J. Macunovich, 1996. "Explaining the Labor Force Participation of Women 20-24," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1116, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]

  28. Ray C. Fair & E. Philip Howrey, 1995. "Evaluating Alternative Monetary Policy Rules," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1091, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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  29. Ray C. Fair, 1994. "Is Monetary Policy Becoming Less Effective?," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1071, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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  30. Ray C. Fair, 1994. "The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1992 Update," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1084, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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  31. Ray C. Fair, 1992. "The Cowles Commission Approach, Real Business Cycle Theories, and New Keynesian Economics," NBER Working Papers 3990, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  32. Ray C. Fair, 1992. "Estimates of the Bias of Lagged Dependent Variable Coefficient Estimates in Macroeconomic Equations," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1005, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]

  33. Ray C. Fair, 1991. "Estimating Event Probabilities from Macroeconomic Models Using Stochastic Simulation," NBER Technical Working Papers 0111, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

  34. Ray C. Fair, 1991. "How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down?," NBER Working Papers 3757, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  35. Ray C. Fair, 1989. "Does Monetary Policy Matter? Narrative Versus Structural Approaches," NBER Working Papers 3045, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

  36. Ray C. Fair & John B. Taylor, 1989. "Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 921, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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  37. Ray C. Fair, 1989. "The Production Smoothing Model Is Alive and Well," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 896, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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  38. Donald W.K. Andrews & Ray C. Fair, 1989. "Estimation of Polynomial Distributed Lags and Leads with End Point Constraints," NBER Technical Working Papers 0079, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  39. Ray C. Fair, 1989. "Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior," NBER Working Papers 3102, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  40. Ray C. Fair & Robert J. Shiller, 1988. "The Informational Content of Ex Ante Forecasts," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 857, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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  41. Ray C. Fair, 1988. "VAR Models as Structural Approximations," NBER Working Papers 2495, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  42. Ray C. Fair, 1987. "Sources of Output and Price Variability in a Macroeconometric Model," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 815, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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  43. Ray C. Fair & Kathryn M. Dominguez, 1987. "Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 839, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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  44. Ray C. Fair, 1987. "Optimal Choice of Monetary Policy Instruments in a Macroeconometric Model," NBER Working Papers 2150, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  45. Donald W.K. Andrews & Ray C. Fair, 1987. "Inference in Econometric Models with Structural Change," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 832, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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  46. Ray C. Fair & Robert J. Shiller, 1987. "Econometric Modeling as Information Aggregation," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 833R, Cowles Foundation, Yale University, revised Jan 1988. [Downloadable!]
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  47. Ray C. Fair, 1986. "Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of Deficit Targeting," NBER Working Papers 1814, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

  48. Ray C. Fair, 1986. "International Evidence on the Demand for Money," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 813, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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  49. Ray C. Fair, 1986. "Interest Rate and Exchange Rate Determination," NBER Working Papers 2105, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  50. Ray C. Fair & Matthew D. Shapiro & Kathryn M. Dominguez, 1986. "Forecasting the Depression: Harvard Versus Yale," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 808, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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  51. Ray C. Fair, 1984. "Excess Labor and the Business Cycle," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 692, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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  52. Ray C. Fair, 1984. "Effects of Expected Future Government Deficits on Current Economic Activity," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 693, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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  53. Ray C. Fair, 1984. "Estimated Trade-Offs Between Unemployment and Inflation," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 707, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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  54. Ray C. Fair, 1984. "The Use of Expected Future Variables in Macroeconometric Models," NBER Working Papers 1445, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  55. Ray C. Fair & Lewis Alexander, 1984. "A Comparison of the Michigan and Fair Models," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 703, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]

  56. Ray C. Fair & Lewis Alexander, 1984. "A Comparison of the Michigan and Fair Models: Further Results," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 704, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]

  57. Ray C. Fair, 1981. "Estimated Effects of Relative Prices on Trade Shares," NBER Working Papers 0696, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  58. Ray C. Fair, 1981. "Estimated Effects of the October 1979 Change in Monetary Policy on the 1980 Economy," NBER Working Papers 0538, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

  59. Ray C. Fair, 1981. "Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages amongCountries," NBER Working Papers 0677, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  60. Ray C. Fair, 1981. "A Comment on Feldstein's Fisher-Schultz Lecture," NBER Working Papers 0716, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

  61. Ray C. Fair & John B. Taylor, 1980. "Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear RationalExpectations Models," NBER Technical Working Papers 0005, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  62. Ray C. Fair, 1979. "A Multicountry Econometric Model," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 541R, Cowles Foundation, Yale University, revised 1981. [Downloadable!]

  63. Ray C. Fair, 1979. "A Multicountry Econometric Model (Revised)," NBER Working Papers 0414, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

  64. Ray C. Fair & William R. Parke, 1979. "Full Information Estimates of a Nonlinear Macroeconometric Model," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 519, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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  65. Ray C. Fair, 1978. "An Estimate of the Uncertainty of Policy Effects in a Macro-economic Model," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 511, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]

  66. Ray C. Fair, 1978. "Estimating the Expected Predictive Accuracy of Econometric Models," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 480, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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  67. Ray C. Fair, 1978. "An Analysis of the Accuracy of Four Macroeconometric Models," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 492, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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  68. Ray C. Fair, 1977. "The Sensitivity of Fiscal-Policy Effects to Assumptions about the Behavior of the Federal Reserve," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 446, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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  69. Ray C. Fair, 1977. "Policy Effects in a Model of the Balance of Payments," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 452, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]

  70. Ray C. Fair, 1977. "Can the Government Affect Real Output?: A Critique of Models with Rational Expectations," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 442, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]

  71. Ray C. Fair, 1977. "A Model of the Balance of Payments," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 451, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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  72. Ray C. Fair, 1977. "On Modeling the Economic Linkages among Countries," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 465, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]

  73. Ray C. Fair, 1977. "An Analysis of a Macroeconometric Model with Rational Expectationsin the Bond and Stock Markets," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 459, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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  74. Ray C. Fair, 1976. "The Use of Optimal Control Techniques to Measure Economic Performance," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 420, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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  75. Ray C. Fair, 1976. "A Theory of Extramarital Affairs," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 436, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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  76. Ray C. Fair, 1976. "A Note on the Computation of the Tobit Estimator," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 434, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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  77. Ray C. Fair, 1976. "The Effects of Economic Events on Votes for President," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 418, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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  78. Ray C. Fair, 1976. "A Model of the World Economy," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 430, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]

  79. Ray C. Fair, 1975. "On Controlling the Economy to Win Elections," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 397, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]

  80. Ray C. Fair, 1973. "A Comparison of FIML and Robust Estimates of a Nonlinear Macroeconomic Model," NBER Working Papers 0015, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

Articles

  1. Ray Fair, 2005. "Policy Effects in the Post Boom U.S. Economy," Topics in Macroeconomics, Berkeley Electronic Press, vol. 5(1), pages 1302-1302. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Fair, Ray C, 2005. "Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 37(4), pages 645-60, August.
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  3. Ray C. Fair, 2003. "The Great Gatsby: Yale, Princeton, Columbia, Harvard, Oxford," Eastern Economic Journal, Eastern Economic Association, vol. 29(2), pages 159-163, Spring. [Downloadable!]
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  4. Fair, Ray C., 2003. "Shock effects on stocks, bonds, and exchange rates," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 307-341, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Ray Fair, 2003. "Optimal Control and Stochastic Simulation of Large Nonlinear Models with Rational Expectations," Computational Economics, Springer, vol. 21(3), pages 245-256, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Ray Fair, 2003. "Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, Berkeley Electronic Press, vol. 7(4), pages 1110-1110. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Ray C. Fair, 2002. "Events That Shook the Market," Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 75(4), pages 713-732, October. [Downloadable!]
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  8. Ray Fair, 2002. "On Modeling the Effects of Inflation Shocks," Contributions to Macroeconomics, Berkeley Electronic Press, vol. 2(1), pages 1045-1045. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  9. Ray C. Fair, 2001. "Actual Federal Reserve policy behavior and interest rate rules," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, issue Mar, pages 61-72. [Downloadable!]

  10. Ray C. Fair, 2000. "Testing the NAIRU Model for the United States," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 82(1), pages 64-71, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

  11. Ray C. Fair, 1999. "Does the NAIRU Have the Right Dynamics?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 89(2), pages 58-62, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

  12. Fair, Ray C., 1999. "Estimated Inflation Costs Had European Unemployment Been Reduced in the 1980s by Macro Policies," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 1-28, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

  13. Fair, Ray C, 1997. "Response [Econometrics and Presidential Elections]," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 11(3), pages 197-98, Summer.

  14. Fair, Ray C, 1996. "Econometrics and Presidential Elections," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 10(3), pages 89-102, Summer. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

  15. Fair, Ray C. & Howrey, E. Philip, 1996. "Evaluating alternative monetary policy rules," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 173-193, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  16. Fair, Ray C, 1996. "Computing Median Unbiased Estimates in Macroeconometric Models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 11(4), pages 431-35, July-Aug.. [Downloadable!]

  17. Fair, Ray C, 1994. "How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 76(1), pages 103-18, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  18. Fair, Ray C, 1993. "Testing the Rational Expectations Hypothesis in Macroeconometric Models," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 45(2), pages 169-90, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

  19. Fair, Ray C, 1993. "Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 75(1), pages 8-18, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  20. Fair, Ray C, 1993. "Testing Macroeconomic Models," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 83(2), pages 287-93, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

  21. Ray C. Fair & Arnold Zellner (ary), 1992. "The Cowles Commission approach, real business cycles theories, and New- Keynesian economics," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, pages 133-157.
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  22. Andrews, Donald W. K. & Fair, Ray C., 1992. "Estimation of polynomial distributed lags and leads with end point constraints," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 53(1-3), pages 123-139. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  23. Fair, Ray C & Dominguez, Kathryn M, 1991. "Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 81(5), pages 1276-94, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  24. Fair, Ray C & Taylor, John B, 1990. "Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 5(4), pages 381-92, Oct.-Dec.. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  25. Fair, Ray C & Shiller, Robert J, 1990. "Comparing Information in Forecasts from Econometric Models," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 80(3), pages 375-89, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

  26. Fair, Ray C & Shiller, Robert J, 1989. "The Informational Context of Ex Ante Forecasts," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 71(2), pages 325-31, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  27. Fair, Ray C., 1989. "The production-smoothing model is alive and well," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 353-370, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  28. Dominguez, Kathryn M & Fair, Ray C & Shapiro, Matthew D, 1988. "Forecasting the Depression: Harvard versus Yale," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 78(4), pages 595-612, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  29. Fair, Ray C, 1988. "Sources of Economic Fluctuations in the United States," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 103(2), pages 313-32, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

  30. Fair, Ray C., 1988. "Optimal choice of monetary policy instruments in a macroeconometric model," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 301-315, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  31. Andrews, Donald W K & Fair, Ray C, 1988. "Inference in Nonlinear Econometric Models with Structural Change," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(4), pages 615-39, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

  32. Fair, Ray C., 1987. "Properties of a multicountry econometric model," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 9(1), pages 83-123. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

  33. Fair, Ray C, 1987. "International Evidence on the Demand for Money," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 69(3), pages 473-80, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  34. Fair, Ray C, 1985. "Excess Labor and the Business Cycle," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 75(1), pages 239-45, March.
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  35. Case, Karl E & Fair, Ray C, 1985. "Macro Simulations for PCs in the Classroom," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 75(2), pages 85-90, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

  36. Ray C. Fair, 1984. "Estimated tradeoffs between unemployment and inflation," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 57-96.
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  37. Fair, Ray C & Taylor, John B, 1983. "Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 51(4), pages 1169-85, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  38. Fair, Ray C, 1982. "Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages among Countries," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 90(3), pages 507-35, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  39. Fair, Ray C, 1982. "The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1980 Results," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 64(2), pages 322-25, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

  40. Fair, Ray C, 1981. "Estimated Effects of the Oct. 1979 Change in Monetary Policy on the 1980 Economy," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 71(2), pages 160-65, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

  41. Fair, Ray C, 1980. "Estimating the Expected Predictive Accuracy of Econometric Models," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 21(2), pages 355-78, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  42. Fair, Ray C. & Parke, William R., 1980. "Full-information estimates of a nonlinear macroeconometric model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 13(3), pages 269-291, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  43. Fair, Ray C, 1980. "Estimating the Uncertainty of Policy Effects in Nonlinear Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(6), pages 1381-91, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

  44. Fair, Ray C, 1979. "On Modeling the Effects of Government Policies," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 69(2), pages 86-91, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

  45. Fair, Ray C., 1979. "A model of the balance of payments," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 9(1), pages 25-46, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  46. Fair, Ray C, 1979. "An Analysis of the Accuracy of Four Macroeconometric Models," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 87(4), pages 701-18, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  47. Fair, Ray C, 1979. "An Analysis of a Macro-Econometric Model with Rational Expectations in the Bond and Stock Markets," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 69(4), pages 539-52, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  48. Fair, Ray C, 1978. "A Theory of Extramarital Affairs," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 86(1), pages 45-61, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  49. Fair, Ray C, 1978. "The Sensitivity of Fiscal Policy Effects to Assumptions about the Behavior of the Federal Reserve," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 46(5), pages 1165-79, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:

  50. Fair, Ray C, 1978. "A Criticism of One Class of Macroeconomic Models with Rational Expectations," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 10(4), pages 411-17, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

  51. Fair, Ray C, 1978. "The Use of Optimal Control Techniques to Measure Economic Performance," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 19(2), pages 289-309, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:

  52. Fair, Ray C, 1978. "The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 60(2), pages 159-73, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:

  53. Fair, Ray C, 1977. "A Note on the Computation of the Tobit Estimator," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 45(7), pages 1723-27, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:

  54. Fair, Ray C, 1974. "An Evaluation of a Short-Run Forecasting Model," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 15(2), pages 285-303, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

  55. Fair, Ray C & Kelejian, Harry H, 1974. "Methods of Estimation for Markets in Disequilibrium: A Further Study," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 42(1), pages 177-90, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

  56. Fair, Ray C, 1973. "A Comparison of Alternative Estimators of Macroeconomic Models," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 14(2), pages 261-77, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

  57. Fair, Ray C, 1972. "Disequilibrium in Housing Models," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 27(2), pages 207-21, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

  58. Fair, Ray C, 1972. "Efficient Estimation of Simultaneous Equations with Auto-Regressive Errors by Instrumental Variables," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 54(4), pages 444-49, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

  59. Fair, Ray C & Jaffee, Dwight M, 1972. "Methods of Estimation for Markets in Disequilibrium," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 40(3), pages 497-514, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

  60. Fair, Ray C, 1972. "A Full-Information Maximum Likelihood Program," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 40(4), pages 773, July.

  61. Fair, Ray C, 1971. "Labor Force Participation, Wage Rates, and Money Illusion," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 53(2), pages 164-68, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

  62. Fair, Ray C, 1971. "The Optimal Distribution of Income," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 85(4), pages 551-79, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

  63. Fair, Ray C & Malkiel, Burton G, 1971. "The Determination of Yield Differentials between Debt Instruments of the Same Maturity," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 3(4), pages 733-49, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

  64. Fair, Ray C, 1970. "The Estimation of Simultaneous Equation Models with Lagged Endogenous Variables and First Order Serially Correlated Errors," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 38(3), pages 507-16, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

  65. Ray C. Fair, 1970. "Aggregate price changes and price expectations," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue Nov, pages 18-28. [Downloadable!]

Chapters

  1. Fair, Ray C., 1996. "Computational methods for macroeconometric models," Handbook of Computational Economics, in: H. M. Amman & D. A. Kendrick & J. Rust (ed.), Handbook of Computational Economics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 3, pages 143-169 Elsevier. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

  2. Fair, Ray C., 1986. "Evaluating the predictive accuracy of models," Handbook of Econometrics, in: Z. Griliches† & M. D. Intriligator (ed.), Handbook of Econometrics, edition 1, volume 3, chapter 33, pages 1979-1995 Elsevier. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

NEP Fields

16 papers by this author were announced in NEP, and specifically in the following field reports (number of papers):
  1. NEP-CBA: Central Banking (4) 2006-07-09 2006-08-19 2006-09-23 2006-09-30 Author is listed
  2. NEP-CDM: Collective Decision-Making (1) 2006-09-30
  3. NEP-ECM: Econometrics (2) 2005-02-13 2005-06-27
  4. NEP-FIN: Finance (1) 2002-10-18
  5. NEP-FMK: Financial Markets (2) 2002-10-18 2004-07-18
  6. NEP-HIS: Business, Economic & Financial History (4) 2003-02-03 2005-08-13 2006-09-23 2006-09-30 Author is listed
  7. NEP-HPE: History & Philosophy of Economics (2) 2005-06-27 2006-09-23
  8. NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (5) 2005-02-13 2005-06-27 2006-07-09 2006-08-19 2006-09-23 Author is listed
  9. NEP-MON: Monetary Economics (5) 2000-06-29 2006-07-09 2006-08-19 2006-09-23 2006-09-30 Author is listed
  10. NEP-POL: Positive Political Economics (1) 2006-09-30
  11. NEP-RMG: Risk Management (1) 2002-10-18
  12. NEP-SPO: Sports & Economics (2) 2002-10-18 2005-10-15
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