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Ray C. Fair

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Personal Details

First Name: Ray
Middle Name: C.
Last Name: Fair
Suffix:

RePEc Short-ID: pfa24

Email:
Homepage: http://fairmodel.econ.yale.edu
Postal Address: Cowles Foundation Box 208281, Yale Station New Haven, CT 06520-8281
Phone: 203-432-3715

Affiliation

(in no particular order)

Works

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Working papers

  1. Ray C. Fair, 2010. "Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of a Chinese Yuan Appreciation," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1755, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  2. Ray C. Fair, 2010. "Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of the U.S. Stimulus Bill," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1756, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  3. Ray C. Fair, 2009. "Has Macro Progressed?," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1728, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Jul 2010.
  4. Ray C. Fair, 2009. "Analyzing Macroeconomic Forecastability," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1706, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Aug 2010.
  5. Ray C. Fair, 2009. "Possible Macroeconomic Consequences of Large Future Federal Government Deficits," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1727, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Feb 2010.
  6. Ray C. Fair, 2008. "Estimating Exchange Rate Equations Using Estimated Expectations," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1635, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  7. Ray C. Fair, 2008. "Estimating Term Structure Equations Using Macroeconomic Variables," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1634, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  8. Ray C. Fair, 2007. "Presidential and Congressional Vote-share Equations," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1602, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  9. Ray C. Fair, 2007. "Testing Price Equations," Kiel Working Papers 1342, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
  10. Ray C. Fair, 2006. "Interpreting the Predictive Uncertainty of Elections," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1579, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised May 2007.
  11. Ray C. Fair, 2006. "Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model," Levine's Bibliography 321307000000000303, UCLA Department of Economics.
  12. Ray C. Fair, 2006. "A Comparison of Five Federal Reserve Chairmen: Was Greenspan the Best?," Levine's Bibliography 321307000000000415, UCLA Department of Economics.
  13. Ray C. Fair, 2006. "Interpreting the Predictive Uncertainty of Presidential Elections," Levine's Bibliography 321307000000000427, UCLA Department of Economics.
  14. Ray C. Fair & Danielle Catambay, 2005. "Branch Rickey’s Equation Fifty Years Later," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1529, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Jan 2007.
  15. Ray C. Fair, 2005. "Estimated Age Effects in Baseball," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1536, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Mar 2007.
  16. Ray C. Fair, 2005. "Policy Effects in the Post Boom U.S. Economy," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1497, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  17. Ray C. Fair, 2005. "Natural Concepts in Macroeconomics," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1525, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  18. Ray C. Fair, 2004. "Predicting Electoral College Victory Probabilities from State Probability Data," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1496, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  19. Ray C. Fair, 2004. "Estimated Age Effects in Athletic Events and Chess," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1495, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Feb 2006.
  20. Ray Fair, 2003. "Events that Shook the Market," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm307, Yale School of Management.
  21. Ray C. Fair, 2002. "Testing for a New Economy in the 1990s," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1388, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Mar 2003.
  22. Ray C. Fair & John F. Oster, 2002. "Comparing the Predictive Information Content of College Football Rankings," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm310, Yale School of Management.
  23. Ray C. Fair, 2002. "Risk Aversion and Stock Prices," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1382, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Feb 2003.
  24. Ray Fair, 2002. "Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm254, Yale School of Management, revised 01 Aug 2007.
  25. Ray C. Fair & John F. Oster, 2002. "College Football Rankings and Market Efficiency," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1381, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Mar 2005.
  26. Ray C. Fair, 2001. "Is There Empirical Support for the 'Modern' View of Macroeconomics?," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm201, Yale School of Management.
  27. Ray C. Fair, 2001. "Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1298, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Jun 2003.
  28. Ray Fair, 2001. "The Great Gatsby: Yale, Princeton, Columbia, Harvard, Oxford," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm200, Yale School of Management, revised 18 Jun 2001.
  29. Ray Fair, 2001. "Shock Effects on Stocks, Bonds, and Exchange Rates," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm172, Yale School of Management, revised 01 Aug 2001.
  30. Ray C. Fair, 2001. "On Modeling the Effects of Inflation Shocks," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1300, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Mar 2002.
  31. Ray Fair, 2001. "Optimal Control and Stochastic Simulation of Large Nonlinear Models with Rational Expectations," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm202, Yale School of Management, revised 24 Sep 2001.
  32. Ray C. Fair, 2000. "Estimated, Calibrated, and Optimal Interest Rate Rules," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1258, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  33. Ray C. Fair, 1997. "Evaluating the Information Content and Money Making Ability of Forecasts from Exchange Rate Equations," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1168, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  34. Ray C. Fair, 1996. "Estimated Inflation Costs Had European Unemployment Been Reduced in the 1980s by Macro Prices," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1129, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  35. Ray C. Fair, 1996. "Testing the Standard View of the Long-Run Unemployment-Inflation Relationship," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1121, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  36. Ray C. Fair & Diane J. Macunovich, 1996. "Explaining the Labor Force Participation of Women 20-24," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1116, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  37. Ray C. Fair & E. Philip Howrey, 1995. "Evaluating Alternative Monetary Policy Rules," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1091, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  38. Ray C. Fair, 1994. "Is Monetary Policy Becoming Less Effective?," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1071, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  39. Ray C. Fair, 1994. "The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1992 Update," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1084, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  40. Ray C. Fair, 1992. "The Cowles Commission Approach, Real Business Cycle Theories, and New Keynesian Economics," NBER Working Papers 3990, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  41. Ray C. Fair, 1992. "Estimates of the Bias of Lagged Dependent Variable Coefficient Estimates in Macroeconomic Equations," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1005, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  42. Ray C. Fair, 1991. "How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down?," NBER Working Papers 3757, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  43. Ray C. Fair, 1991. "Estimating Event Probabilities from Macroeconomic Models Using Stochastic Simulation," NBER Technical Working Papers 0111, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  44. Ray C. Fair, 1989. "The Production Smoothing Model Is Alive and Well," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 896, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  45. Ray C. Fair & John B. Taylor, 1989. "Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 921, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  46. Ray C. Fair, 1989. "Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior," NBER Working Papers 3102, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  47. Ray C. Fair, 1989. "Does Monetary Policy Matter? Narrative Versus Structural Approaches," NBER Working Papers 3045, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  48. Donald W.K. Andrews & Ray C. Fair, 1989. "Estimation of Polynomial Distributed Lags and Leads with End Point Constraints," NBER Technical Working Papers 0079, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  49. Ray C. Fair & Robert J. Shiller, 1988. "The Informational Content of Ex Ante Forecasts," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 857, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  50. Ray C. Fair, 1988. "VAR Models as Structural Approximations," NBER Working Papers 2495, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  51. Donald W.K. Andrews & Ray C. Fair, 1987. "Inference in Econometric Models with Structural Change," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 832, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  52. Ray C. Fair & Robert J. Shiller, 1987. "Econometric Modeling as Information Aggregation," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 833R, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Jan 1988.
  53. Ray C. Fair, 1987. "Optimal Choice of Monetary Policy Instruments in a Macroeconometric Model," NBER Working Papers 2150, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  54. Ray C. Fair, 1987. "Sources of Output and Price Variability in a Macroeconometric Model," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 815, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  55. Ray C. Fair & Kathryn M. Dominguez, 1987. "Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 839, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  56. Ray C. Fair, 1987. "The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1984 Update," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 831, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  57. Ray C. Fair & Matthew D. Shapiro & Kathryn M. Dominguez, 1986. "Forecasting the Depression: Harvard Versus Yale," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 808, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  58. Ray C. Fair, 1986. "International Evidence on the Demand for Money," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 813, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  59. Ray C. Fair, 1986. "Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of Deficit Targeting," NBER Working Papers 1814, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  60. Ray C. Fair, 1986. "Interest Rate and Exchange Rate Determination," NBER Working Papers 2105, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  61. Ray C. Fair, 1984. "Estimated Trade-Offs Between Unemployment and Inflation," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 707, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  62. Ray C. Fair & Lewis Alexander, 1984. "A Comparison of the Michigan and Fair Models," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 703, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  63. Ray C. Fair, 1984. "Effects of Expected Future Government Deficits on Current Economic Activity," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 693, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  64. Ray C. Fair, 1984. "Excess Labor and the Business Cycle," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 692, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  65. Ray C. Fair, 1984. "The Use of Expected Future Variables in Macroeconometric Models," NBER Working Papers 1445, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  66. Ray C. Fair & Lewis Alexander, 1984. "A Comparison of the Michigan and Fair Models: Further Results," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 704, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  67. Ray C. Fair, 1981. "A Comment on Feldstein's Fisher-Schultz Lecture," NBER Working Papers 0716, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  68. Ray C. Fair, 1981. "Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages amongCountries," NBER Working Papers 0677, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  69. Ray C. Fair, 1981. "Estimated Effects of Relative Prices on Trade Shares," NBER Working Papers 0696, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  70. Ray C. Fair & John B. Taylor, 1980. "Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear RationalExpectations Models," NBER Technical Working Papers 0005, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  71. Ray C* Fair, 1980. "Estimated Effects of the October 1979 Change in Monetary Policy on the 1980 Economy," NBER Working Papers 0538, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  72. Ray C. Fair, 1979. "A Multicountry Econometric Model (Revised)," NBER Working Papers 0414, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  73. Ray C. Fair, 1979. "A Multicountry Econometric Model," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 541R, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised 1981.
  74. Ray C. Fair & William R. Parke, 1979. "Full Information Estimates of a Nonlinear Macroeconometric Model," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 519, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  75. Ray C. Fair, 1978. "An Estimate of the Uncertainty of Policy Effects in a Macro-economic Model," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 511, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  76. Ray C. Fair, 1978. "Estimating the Expected Predictive Accuracy of Econometric Models," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 480, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  77. Ray C. Fair, 1978. "An Analysis of the Accuracy of Four Macroeconometric Models," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 492, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  78. Ray C. Fair, 1977. "Policy Effects in a Model of the Balance of Payments," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 452, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  79. Ray C. Fair, 1977. "On Modeling the Economic Linkages among Countries," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 465, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  80. Ray C. Fair, 1977. "Can the Government Affect Real Output?: A Critique of Models with Rational Expectations," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 442, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  81. Ray C. Fair, 1977. "An Analysis of a Macroeconometric Model with Rational Expectationsin the Bond and Stock Markets," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 459, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  82. Ray C. Fair, 1977. "A Model of the Balance of Payments," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 451, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  83. Ray C. Fair, 1977. "The Sensitivity of Fiscal-Policy Effects to Assumptions about the Behavior of the Federal Reserve," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 446, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  84. Ray C. Fair, 1976. "A Theory of Extramarital Affairs," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 436, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  85. Ray C. Fair, 1976. "A Model of the World Economy," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 430, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  86. Ray C. Fair, 1976. "The Use of Optimal Control Techniques to Measure Economic Performance," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 420, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  87. Ray C. Fair, 1976. "The Effects of Economic Events on Votes for President," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 418, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  88. Ray C. Fair, 1976. "A Note on the Computation of the Tobit Estimator," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 434, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  89. Ray C. Fair, 1975. "On Controlling the Economy to Win Elections," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 397, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  90. Ray C. Fair, 1973. "A Comparison of FIML and Robust Estimates of a Nonlinear Macroeconomic Model," NBER Working Papers 0015, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

Articles

  1. Fair Ray C, 2008. "Estimated Age Effects in Baseball," Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, De Gruyter, vol. 4(1), pages 1-41, January.
  2. Fair, Ray C., 2008. "Testing price equations," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 52(8), pages 1424-1437, November.
  3. Fair, Ray C., 2007. "Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, vol. 1(8), pages 1-52.
  4. Fair Ray C, 2007. "A Comparison of Five Federal Reserve Chairmen: Was Greenspan the Best?," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 7(1), pages 1-27, June.
  5. Fair Ray C, 2005. "Policy Effects in the Post Boom U.S. Economy," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 5(1), pages 1-31, August.
  6. Fair, Ray C, 2005. "Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 37(4), pages 645-60, August.
  7. Ray Fair, 2003. "Optimal Control and Stochastic Simulation of Large Nonlinear Models with Rational Expectations," Computational Economics, Society for Computational Economics, vol. 21(3), pages 245-256, June.
  8. Fair Ray C, 2003. "Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 7(4), pages 1-26, December.
  9. Fair, Ray C., 2003. "Shock effects on stocks, bonds, and exchange rates," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 307-341, June.
  10. Ray C. Fair, 2003. "The Great Gatsby: Yale, Princeton, Columbia, Harvard, Oxford," Eastern Economic Journal, Eastern Economic Association, vol. 29(2), pages 159-163, Spring.
  11. Ray C. Fair, 2002. "Events That Shook the Market," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 75(4), pages 713-732, October.
  12. Fair Ray C, 2002. "On Modeling the Effects of Inflation Shocks," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 2(1), pages 1-21, April.
  13. Ray C. Fair, 2001. "Actual Federal Reserve policy behavior and interest rate rules," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, issue Mar, pages 61-72.
  14. Ray C. Fair, 2000. "Testing the NAIRU Model for the United States," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 82(1), pages 64-71, February.
  15. Fair, Ray C., 1999. "Estimated Inflation Costs Had European Unemployment Been Reduced in the 1980s by Macro Policies," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 1-28, January.
  16. Ray C. Fair, 1999. "Does the NAIRU Have the Right Dynamics?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 89(2), pages 58-62, May.
  17. Fair, Ray C, 1997. "Response [Econometrics and Presidential Elections]," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 11(3), pages 197-98, Summer.
  18. Ray C. Fair, 1996. "Econometrics and Presidential Elections," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 10(3), pages 89-102, Summer.
  19. Fair, Ray C. & Howrey, E. Philip, 1996. "Evaluating alternative monetary policy rules," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 173-193, October.
  20. Fair, Ray C, 1996. "Computing Median Unbiased Estimates in Macroeconometric Models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 11(4), pages 431-35, July-Aug..
  21. Fair, Ray C, 1994. "How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 76(1), pages 103-18, February.
  22. Fair, Ray C, 1993. "Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 75(1), pages 8-18, February.
  23. Fair, Ray C, 1993. "Testing the Rational Expectations Hypothesis in Macroeconometric Models," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 45(2), pages 169-90, April.
  24. Fair, Ray C, 1993. "Testing Macroeconomic Models," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 83(2), pages 287-93, May.
  25. Ray C. Fair & Arnold Zellner (ary), 1992. "The Cowles Commission approach, real business cycles theories, and New- Keynesian economics," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, pages 133-157.
  26. Andrews, Donald W. K. & Fair, Ray C., 1992. "Estimation of polynomial distributed lags and leads with end point constraints," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 53(1-3), pages 123-139.
  27. Fair, Ray C & Dominguez, Kathryn M, 1991. "Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 81(5), pages 1276-94, December.
  28. Fair, Ray C & Taylor, John B, 1990. "Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 5(4), pages 381-92, Oct.-Dec..
  29. Fair, Ray C & Shiller, Robert J, 1990. "Comparing Information in Forecasts from Econometric Models," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 80(3), pages 375-89, June.
  30. Fair, Ray C., 1989. "The production-smoothing model is alive and well," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 353-370, November.
  31. Fair, Ray C & Shiller, Robert J, 1989. "The Informational Context of Ex Ante Forecasts," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 71(2), pages 325-31, May.
  32. Dominguez, Kathryn M & Fair, Ray C & Shapiro, Matthew D, 1988. "Forecasting the Depression: Harvard versus Yale," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 78(4), pages 595-612, September.
  33. Andrews, Donald W K & Fair, Ray C, 1988. "Inference in Nonlinear Econometric Models with Structural Change," Review of Economic Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 55(4), pages 615-39, October.
  34. Fair, Ray C., 1988. "Optimal choice of monetary policy instruments in a macroeconometric model," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 301-315, September.
  35. Fair, Ray C, 1988. "Sources of Economic Fluctuations in the United States," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 103(2), pages 313-32, May.
  36. Fair, Ray C, 1987. "International Evidence on the Demand for Money," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 69(3), pages 473-80, August.
  37. Fair, Ray C., 1987. "Properties of a multicountry econometric model," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 9(1), pages 83-123.
  38. Fair, Ray C, 1985. "Excess Labor and the Business Cycle," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 75(1), pages 239-45, March.
  39. Case, Karl E & Fair, Ray C, 1985. "Macro Simulations for PCs in the Classroom," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 75(2), pages 85-90, May.
  40. Ray C. Fair, 1984. "Estimated tradeoffs between unemployment and inflation," Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 57-96.
  41. Fair, Ray C & Taylor, John B, 1983. "Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 51(4), pages 1169-85, July.
  42. Fair, Ray C, 1982. "The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1980 Results," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 64(2), pages 322-25, May.
  43. Fair, Ray C, 1982. "Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages among Countries," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 90(3), pages 507-35, June.
  44. Fair, Ray C, 1981. "Estimated Effects of the Oct. 1979 Change in Monetary Policy on the 1980 Economy," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 71(2), pages 160-65, May.
  45. Fair, Ray C, 1980. "Estimating the Uncertainty of Policy Effects in Nonlinear Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(6), pages 1381-91, September.
  46. Fair, Ray C, 1980. "Estimating the Expected Predictive Accuracy of Econometric Models," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 21(2), pages 355-78, June.
  47. Fair, Ray C. & Parke, William R., 1980. "Full-information estimates of a nonlinear macroeconometric model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 13(3), pages 269-291, August.
  48. Fair, Ray C, 1979. "On Modeling the Effects of Government Policies," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 69(2), pages 86-91, May.
  49. Fair, Ray C, 1979. "An Analysis of the Accuracy of Four Macroeconometric Models," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 87(4), pages 701-18, August.
  50. Fair, Ray C, 1979. "An Analysis of a Macro-Econometric Model with Rational Expectations in the Bond and Stock Markets," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 69(4), pages 539-52, September.
  51. Fair, Ray C., 1979. "A model of the balance of payments," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 9(1), pages 25-46, February.
  52. Fair, Ray C, 1978. "The Sensitivity of Fiscal Policy Effects to Assumptions about the Behavior of the Federal Reserve," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 46(5), pages 1165-79, September.
  53. Fair, Ray C, 1978. "The Use of Optimal Control Techniques to Measure Economic Performance," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 19(2), pages 289-309, June.
  54. Fair, Ray C, 1978. "The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 60(2), pages 159-73, May.
  55. Fair, Ray C, 1978. "A Criticism of One Class of Macroeconomic Models with Rational Expectations," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 10(4), pages 411-17, November.
  56. Fair, Ray C, 1978. "A Theory of Extramarital Affairs," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 86(1), pages 45-61, February.
  57. Fair, Ray C, 1977. "A Note on the Computation of the Tobit Estimator," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 45(7), pages 1723-27, October.
  58. Fair, Ray C, 1974. "An Evaluation of a Short-Run Forecasting Model," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 15(2), pages 285-303, June.
  59. Fair, Ray C & Kelejian, Harry H, 1974. "Methods of Estimation for Markets in Disequilibrium: A Further Study," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 42(1), pages 177-90, January.
  60. Fair, Ray C, 1973. "A Comparison of Alternative Estimators of Macroeconomic Models," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 14(2), pages 261-77, June.
  61. Fair, Ray C, 1972. "A Full-Information Maximum Likelihood Program," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 40(4), pages 773, July.
  62. Fair, Ray C & Jaffee, Dwight M, 1972. "Methods of Estimation for Markets in Disequilibrium," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 40(3), pages 497-514, May.
  63. Fair, Ray C, 1972. "Efficient Estimation of Simultaneous Equations with Auto-Regressive Errors by Instrumental Variables," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 54(4), pages 444-49, November.
  64. Fair, Ray C, 1972. "Disequilibrium in Housing Models," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 27(2), pages 207-21, May.
  65. Fair, Ray C & Malkiel, Burton G, 1971. "The Determination of Yield Differentials between Debt Instruments of the Same Maturity," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 3(4), pages 733-49, November.
  66. Fair, Ray C, 1971. "The Optimal Distribution of Income," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 85(4), pages 551-79, November.
  67. Fair, Ray C, 1971. "Labor Force Participation, Wage Rates, and Money Illusion," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 53(2), pages 164-68, May.
  68. Fair, Ray C, 1970. "The Estimation of Simultaneous Equation Models with Lagged Endogenous Variables and First Order Serially Correlated Errors," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 38(3), pages 507-16, May.
  69. Ray C. Fair, 1970. "Aggregate price changes and price expectations," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue Nov, pages 18-28.

Chapters

  1. Ray C. Fair, 2010. "Possible Macroeconomic Consequences of Large Future Federal Government Deficits," NBER Chapters, in: Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 25, pages 89-108 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. Fair, Ray C., 1996. "Computational methods for macroeconometric models," Handbook of Computational Economics, in: H. M. Amman & D. A. Kendrick & J. Rust (ed.), Handbook of Computational Economics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 3, pages 143-169 Elsevier.
  3. Ray C. Fair, 1993. "Estimating Event Probabilities from Macroeconometric Models Using Stochastic Simulation," NBER Chapters, in: Business Cycles, Indicators and Forecasting, pages 157-178 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  4. Fair, Ray C., 1986. "Evaluating the predictive accuracy of models," Handbook of Econometrics, in: Z. Griliches† & M. D. Intriligator (ed.), Handbook of Econometrics, edition 1, volume 3, chapter 33, pages 1979-1995 Elsevier.
  5. Ray C. Fair, 1977. "Announcement: A Program to Solve an Econometric Model," NBER Chapters, in: Annals of Economic and Social Measurement, Volume 6, number 5, pages 174-177 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  6. Ray C. Fair, 1974. "Methods for Computing Optimal Control Solutions: On the Solution of Optimal Control Problems as Maximization Problems," NBER Chapters, in: Annals of Economic and Social Measurement, Volume 3, number 1, pages 135-154 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  7. Ray C. Fair, 1974. "On the Robust Estimation of Econometric Models," NBER Chapters, in: Annals of Economic and Social Measurement, Volume 3, number 4, pages 117-128 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  8. Gregory Chow & Ray C. Fair, 1973. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Linear Equation Systems with Auto-Regressive Residuals," NBER Chapters, in: Annals of Economic and Social Measurement, Volume 2, number 1, pages 16-27 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

NEP Fields

27 papers by this author were announced in NEP, and specifically in the following field reports (number of papers):
  1. NEP-BEC: Business Economics (1) 2010-03-20
  2. NEP-CBA: Central Banking (12) 2006-07-09 2006-08-19 2006-09-23 2006-09-30 2007-07-07 2008-01-12 2008-01-12 2009-02-07 2009-02-07 2009-07-03 2009-10-03 2009-10-03. Author is listed
  3. NEP-CDM: Collective Decision-Making (1) 2006-09-30
  4. NEP-CNA: China (1) 2010-03-20
  5. NEP-ECM: Econometrics (2) 2005-02-13 2005-06-27
  6. NEP-FMK: Financial Markets (2) 2002-10-18 2004-07-18
  7. NEP-FOR: Forecasting (2) 2009-02-07 2009-07-03
  8. NEP-HIS: Business, Economic & Financial History (4) 2003-02-03 2005-08-13 2006-09-23 2006-09-30
  9. NEP-HPE: History & Philosophy of Economics (2) 2005-06-27 2006-09-23
  10. NEP-IFN: International Finance (3) 2008-01-12 2009-02-07 2010-03-20
  11. NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (14) 2005-02-13 2005-06-27 2006-07-09 2006-08-19 2006-09-23 2007-05-19 2007-07-07 2008-01-12 2009-02-07 2009-07-03 2009-10-03 2009-10-03 2010-03-20 2010-03-20. Author is listed
  12. NEP-MON: Monetary Economics (8) 2000-06-29 2006-07-09 2006-08-19 2006-09-23 2006-09-30 2007-05-19 2008-01-12 2009-02-07. Author is listed
  13. NEP-POL: Positive Political Economics (1) 2006-09-30
  14. NEP-RMG: Risk Management (1) 2002-10-18
  15. NEP-SPO: Sports & Economics (2) 2002-10-18 2005-10-15

Statistics

This author is among the top 5% authors according to these criteria:
  1. Average Rank Score
  2. Number of Works
  3. Number of Distinct Works
  4. Number of Distinct Works, Weighted by Simple Impact Factor
  5. Number of Distinct Works, Weighted by Recursive Impact Factor
  6. Number of Distinct Works, Weighted by Number of Authors
  7. Number of Distinct Works, Weighted by Number of Authors and Simple Impact Factors
  8. Number of Distinct Works, Weighted by Number of Authors and Recursive Impact Factors
  9. Number of Citations
  10. Number of Citations, Discounted by Citation Age
  11. Number of Citations, Weighted by Simple Impact Factor
  12. Number of Citations, Weighted by Simple Impact Factor, Discounted by Citation Age
  13. Number of Citations, Weighted by Recursive Impact Factor
  14. Number of Citations, Weighted by Recursive Impact Factor, Discounted by Citation Age
  15. Number of Citations, Weighted by Number of Authors
  16. Number of Citations, Weighted by Number of Authors, Discounted by Citation Age
  17. Number of Citations, Weighted by Number of Authors and Simple Impact Factors
  18. Number of Citations, Weighted by Number of Authors and Simple Impact Factors, Discounted by Citation Age
  19. Number of Citations, Weighted by Number of Authors and Recursive Impact Factors
  20. Number of Citations, Weighted by Number of Authors and Recursive Impact Factors, Discounted by Citation Age
  21. h-index
  22. Number of Registered Citing Authors
  23. Number of Registered Citing Authors, Weighted by Rank (Max. 1 per Author)
  24. Number of Journal Pages
  25. Number of Journal Pages, Weighted by Simple Impact Factor
  26. Number of Journal Pages, Weighted by Recursive Impact Factor
  27. Number of Journal Pages, Weighted by Number of Authors
  28. Number of Journal Pages, Weighted by Number of Authors and Simple Impact Factors
  29. Number of Journal Pages, Weighted by Number of Authors and Recursive Impact Factors
  30. Number of Abstract Views in RePEc Services over the past 12 months
  31. Number of Abstract Views in RePEc Services over the past 12 months, Weighted by Number of Authors
  32. Number of Downloads through RePEc Services over the past 12 months, Weighted by Number of Authors
  33. Breadth of citations across fields
  34. Wu-Index

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Co-authorship network on CollEc

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