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The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1992 Update

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Author Info
Ray C. Fair () (Cowles Foundation, Yale University)

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Abstract

This paper updates through the 1992 election the equation originally presented in Fair (1978) explaining votes for president. Conditional predictions of the 1996 election are also made.

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File URL: http://cowles.econ.yale.edu/P/cp/p09a/p0934.pdf
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File URL: http://cowles.econ.yale.edu/P/cd/d10b/d1084.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Cowles Foundation, Yale University in its series Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers with number 1084.

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Length: 21 pages
Date of creation: Oct 1994
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Publication status: Published in Political Behavior, 18(2), 1996
Handle: RePEc:cwl:cwldpp:1084

Note: CFP 934.
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Postal: Yale University, Box 208281, New Haven, CT 06520-8281 USA
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Web page: http://cowles.econ.yale.edu/
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Postal: Cowles Foundation, Yale University, Box 208281, New Haven, CT 06520-8281 USA

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References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Fair, Ray C, 1978. "The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 60(2), pages 159-73, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Haynes, Stephen E & Stone, Joe A, 1994. "Why Did Economic Models Falsely Predict a Bush Landslide in 1992?," Contemporary Economic Policy, Oxford University Press, vol. 12(2), pages 123-30, April.
  3. Stigler, George J, 1973. "General Economic Conditions and National Elections," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 63(2), pages 160-67, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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