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Bread and Peace Voting in U.S. Presidential Elections Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Hibbs Jr., Douglas A. (Department of Economics, School of Economics and Commercial Law, Göteborg University)
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A simple "Bread and Peace" model shows that aggregate votes for President in postwar elections were determined entirely by weighted-average growth of real disposable personal income per capita during the incumbent party's term and the cumulative numbers of American military personnel killed in action as a result of U.S. interventions in the Korean and Vietnamese civil wars. The model is subjected to robustness tests against twenty-two variations in functional form inspired by the extensive literature on presidential voting. Not one of these variations adds value to the Bread and Peace model or significantly perturbs its coefficients.
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Paper provided by Göteborg University, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers in Economics with number
20.
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Length: 42 pages
Date of creation: 24 Jan 2000Date of revision:
Publication status: Published in Public Choice, 2000, pages 149-180.Handle: RePEc:hhs:gunwpe:0020Contact details of provider: Postal: Department of Economics, School of Business, Economics and Law, Göteborg University Box 640, SE 405 30 GÖTEBORG, Sweden Phone: 031-773 10 00 Web page: http://www.handels.gu.se/econ/ More information through EDIRC
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its listing, contact: (Jens Anmark).
Keywords: US presidential elections ; presidential voting ; elections and economics ; elections and disposable income ; Other versions of this item:
Article Douglas Hibbs, 2000.
"Bread and Peace Voting in U.S. Presidential Elections ,"
Public Choice ,
Springer, vol. 104(1), pages 149-180, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Hibbs, Douglas A, Jr, 2000.
" Bread and Peace Voting in U.S. Presidential Elections ,"
Public Choice ,
Springer, vol. 104(1-2), pages 149-80, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Find related papers by JEL classification: D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Models of Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports :
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Hibbs Jr., Douglas A., 2004.
"Voting and the Macroeconomy ,"
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