The production-smoothing model is alive and well
Monthly data in physical units for seven industries are used to examine the production smoothing hypothesis. The results strongly support this hypothesis. Significant effects of expected future sales on current production are found for four industries, and the estimated decision equations for all seven industries imply production smoothing behavior. The previous negative results regarding the hypothesis appear to be due to the use of poor data, particularly the shipments and inventory data of the Department of Commerce.
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- Jeffrey A. Miron & Stephen P. Zeldes, .
"Seasonality, Cost Shocks and the Production Smoothing Model of Inventories,"
Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research Working Papers
01-87, Wharton School Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research.
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- Jeffrey A. Miron & Stephen P. Zeldes, . "Seasonality, Cost Shocks and the Production Smoothing Model of Inventories," Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research Working Papers 1-87, Wharton School Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research.
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NBER Working Papers
0891, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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NBER Working Papers
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