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Content
2026
- 2603.02456 When Do Habits Matter? The Empirical Content of Dynamic Hedonic Models
by Josephine Auer
- 2603.02455 The Gibbs Posterior and Parametric Portfolio Choice
by Christopher G. Lamoureux
- 2603.02359 Estimating Visual Attribute Effects in Advertising from Observational Data: A Deepfake-Informed Double Machine Learning Approach
by Yizhi Liu & Balaji Padmanabhan & Siva Viswanathan
- 2603.02357 Quantile-based modeling of scale dynamics in financial returns for Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall forecasting
by Xiaochun Liu & Richard Luger
- 2603.02331 Neural Demand Estimation with Habit Formation and Rationality Constraints
by Marta Grzeskiewicz
- 2603.02187 Does the Market Anticipate? Can it? Should it?
by Kangda Ken Wren
- 2603.02113 In Search of Lost Correlation: Correlated Equilibrium via Marginal Actions
by Christopher P. Chambers & Maxime Cugnon de S'evricourt & Christopher Turansick
- 2603.02076 When an AI Judges Your Work: The Hidden Costs of Algorithmic Assessment
by David Almog & Lucas Lippman & Daniel Martin
- 2603.01821 Asymptotics of Ruin Probabilities in a Subordinated Cram\'er-Lundberg Model
by Jonathan Klinge & Maren Diane Schmeck
- 2603.01820 Deep Learning for Financial Time Series: A Large-Scale Benchmark of Risk-Adjusted Performance
by Adir Saly-Kaufmann & Kieran Wood & Jan Peter-Calliess & Stefan Zohren
- 2603.01803 Tokens All the Way Down: A Money View of Decentralized Finance
by Wenbin Wu
- 2603.01785 Information Geometry of Bounded Rationality: Entropy--Regularised Choice with Hyperbolic and Elliptic Quantum Geometries
by Anders Karlstrom & Christer Persson
- 2603.01782 Charging station location planning for electric trucks under demand and grid uncertainty
by C'eline Pagnier & Tord Gunnar Holen & Thomas Haugen de Lange & Patrick Levin & Steffen J. S. Bakker & Peter Schutz
- 2603.01721 Local Gaussian copula inference with structural breaks: testing dependence predictability
by Alexander Mayer & Tatsushi Oka & Dominik Wied
- 2603.01496 Gender-Specific Effects of Prenatal Famine Exposure on Educational Attainment: Accounting for Selective Mortality
by Hiroyuki Kasahara & Weina Zhou
- 2603.01492 Identification and Estimation of Production Function and Consumer Demand Function under Monopolistic Competition from Revenue Data
by Chun Pang Chow & Hiroyuki Kasahara & Yoichi Sugita
- 2603.01434 A Laplace-based perspective on conditional mean risk sharing
by Christopher Blier-Wong
- 2603.01344 Pricing and hedging for liquidity provision in Constant Function Market Making
by Jimmy Risk & Shen-Ning Tung & Tai-Ho Wang
- 2603.01298 Single-Asset Adaptive Leveraged Volatility Control
by Nikhil Devanathan & Dylan Rueter & Stephen Boyd & Emmanuel Cand`es & Trevor Hastie & Mykel J. Kochenderfer & Arpit Apoorv & David Soronow & Igor Zamkovsky
- 2603.01258 Looking Back: The Changing Landscape of Abortion Care in Louisiana
by Mayra Pineda-Torres & Yana Rodgers
- 2603.01247 Immigrant Women and the COVID-19 Pandemic: An Intersectional Analysis of Frontline Occupational Crowding in the United States
by Sarah Small & Yana Rodgers & Teresa Perry
- 2603.01232 Submodular risk measures
by Ruodu Wang & Jingcheng Yu
- 2603.01157 Adaptive Window Selection for Financial Risk Forecasting
by Yinhuan Li & Chenxin Lyu & Ruodu Wang
- 2603.01117 China leads scientific trends; the West launches new ones
by Jeffrey W. Lockhart & Jamshid Sourati & Feng Shi & James Evans
- 2603.01109 A stochastic correlation extension of the Vasicek credit risk model
by Dhruv Bansal & Mayank Goud & Sourav Majumdar
- 2603.01014 Migration and Educational Assortative Mating in India: How Geographic Mobility Shapes Marriage Markets
by Minali Grover & Ajay Sharma
- 2603.00932 No Last Mile: A Theory of the Human Data Market
by Ali Ansari & Mark Esposito & Ava Fitoussy & Liu Zhang
- 2603.00868 A Joint Analysis of Sensitivity to Anticipation and Parallel Trends Violations
by Gianna Fenaroli
- 2603.00858 Artificial Superintelligence May be Useless: Equilibria in the Economy of Multiple AI Agents
by Huan Cai & Ziqing Lu & Catherine Xu & Weiyu Xu & Jie Zheng
- 2603.00830 Who Benefits? Employer Subsidization of Reproductive Healthcare and Implications for Reproductive Justice
by Annie McGrew & Yana Rodgers
- 2603.00738 Exploratory Randomization for Discrete-Time Risk-Sensitive Benchmarked Investment Management with Reinforcement Learning
by Sebastien Lleo & Wolfgang Runggaldier
- 2603.00722 On Repeat: Does Iteration Drive Innovation?
by Evgeny Kagan & Christian Jost & Tobias Lieberum & Sebastian Schiffels
- 2603.00706 Startup Contracting and Entrepreneur-Investor Bargaining (Long Version)
by Evgeny Kagan & Kyle Hyndman & Anyan Qi
- 2603.00704 Robustifying Empirical Bayes
by Roger Koenker & Jiaying Gu
- 2603.00580 A Sensitivity Analysis of the Surrogate Index Approach for Estimating Long-Term Treatment Effects
by Yanqin Fan & Carlos A. Manzanares & Hyeonseok Park & Yuan Qi
- 2603.00422 Coupled Supply and Demand Forecasting in Platform Accommodation Markets
by Harrison Katz
- 2603.00365 Randomized Recruitment Driven Sampling
by Adam Visokay & Laura Boudreau & Rachel M. Heath & Tyler H. McCormick
- 2603.00361 Market Dynamics of Information Avalanches
by Bernhard K Meister
- 2603.00291 Anticorruption Enforcement and Sale Mechanism Choice in China's Land Market
by Julia Manso
- 2603.00248 Targeted Local Projections
by Aleksei Nemtyrev & Otilia Boldea
- 2603.00135 Shift-Share Designs in Political Science
by Peter Kyungtae Park
- 2603.00098 Profiling vs. Case-specific Evidence: A Probabilistic Analysis
by Marcello Di Bello & Nicol`o Cangiotti & Michele Loi
- 2603.00047 What Is the Alignment Tax?
by Robin Young
- 2603.00041 Econometric vs. Causal Structure-Learning for Time-Series Policy Decisions: Evidence from the UK COVID-19 Policies
by Bruno Petrungaro & Anthony C. Constantinou
- 2602.24215 Empirical Challenges with Peers-of-Peers Instruments in the Linear-In-Means Model
by Nathan Canen & Shantanu Chadha
- 2602.24194 Betting under Common Beliefs: The Effect of Probability Weighting
by Patrick Beissner & Tim Boonen & Mario Ghossoub
- 2602.23877 Difference-in-differences for mediation analysis using double machine learning
by Martin Huber & Sarina Joy Oberhansli
- 2602.23784 TradeFM: A Generative Foundation Model for Trade-flow and Market Microstructure
by Maxime Kawawa-Beaudan & Srijan Sood & Kassiani Papasotiriou & Daniel Borrajo & Manuela Veloso
- 2602.23762 One Rising Ship Sinks Other Ships: Cross-Chain Negative Spillovers in Crypto Markets
by Mengzhong Ma & Te Bao & Yonggang Wen
- 2602.23672 General Bayesian Policy Learning
by Masahiro Kato
- 2602.23594 Who Matters to Whom? Identifying Peer Effects with Propagation Geometry
by Guy Tchuente
- 2602.23482 Testing Hypotheses About Ratios of Linear Trend Slopes in Systems of Equations with a Focus on Tests of Equal Trend Ratios
by Timothy J. Vogelsang
- 2602.23462 Employment, Input-Output Linkages, and the Energy Transition in California's Top Oil-Producing Region
by Rich Ryan & Nyakundi Michieka
- 2602.23402 An Agnostic Approach to Sustainability: From Capitals Substitutability to Non-Collapse Dynamics
by Claudio Pirrone & Stefano Fricano & Gioacchino Fazio
- 2602.23379 Equity Implications of Federal-Local Cost-Sharing in Flood Buyouts: A Game-Theoretic Analysis with Heterogeneous Homeowners
by Yuqun Zhou
- 2602.23330 Toward Expert Investment Teams:A Multi-Agent LLM System with Fine-Grained Trading Tasks
by Kunihiro Miyazaki & Takanobu Kawahara & Stephen Roberts & Stefan Zohren
- 2602.23257 Randomization Tests in Switchback Experiments
by Jizhou Liu & Liang Zhong
- 2602.23098 (Ab)using Indifference: Purification in Communication and Repeated Games
by Alistair Barton
- 2602.23087 Forecasting on the Accuracy-Timeliness Frontier: Two Novel `Look Ahead' Predictors
by Marc Wildi
- 2602.22836 Endogenous Poverty Traps in Continuous Time: A Signaling Approach
by Massimo Giannini
- 2602.22750 The Inference Bottleneck: Antitrust and Neutrality Duties in the Age of Cognitive Infrastructure
by Gaston Besanson & Marcelo Celani
- 2602.22412 A Learning-Based Hybrid Decision Framework for Matching Systems with User Departure Detection
by Ruiqi Zhou & Donghao Zhu & Houcai Shen
- 2602.22232 Clarification of `Algorithmic Collusion without Threats'
by Jason Hartline
- 2602.22069 Pools as Portfolios: Observed arbitrage efficiency & LVR analysis of dynamic weight AMMs
by Matthew Willetts & Christian Harrington
- 2602.21971 Modelling the Index of Sustainable Economic Welfare (ISEW) and its response to policies
by Luzie Dallinger & Reo Van Eynde & Jefim Vogel & Lorenzo Di Domenico & Se'an Fearon & Tina Beigi & C'edric Crofils & Kevin J. Dillman & Daniel W. O'Neill
- 2602.21903 Jackknife Inference for Fixed Effects Models
by Ayden Higgins
- 2602.21869 A Bayesian approach to out-of-sample network reconstruction
by Mattia Marzi & Tiziano Squartini
- 2602.21843 The economic alignment problem of artificial intelligence
by Daniel W. O'Neill & Stefano Vrizzi & Noemi Luna Carmeno & Felix Creutzig & Jefim Vogel
- 2602.21838 Selecting representative community partitions under modularity degeneracy: the STAR method
by Francesca Grassetti & Rossana Mastrandrea
- 2602.21564 Generalized Multidimensional Contests with Asymmetric Players: Equilibrium and Optimal Prize Design
by Siyuan Fan & Zhonghong Kuang & Jingfeng Lu
- 2602.21504 Can ranked-choice voting elect the least popular candidate?
by David McCune & Jennifer Wilson
- 2602.21495 Simple vs. Optimal Congestion Pricing
by Devansh Jalota & Xuan Di & Adam N. Elmachtoub
- 2602.21470 Delegation in Strategic Environments and Equilibrium Uniqueness
by Fedor Sandomirskiy & Ben Wincelberg
- 2602.21434 Network Effects in Corporate Emissions: Evidence from a Data-Dependent Spatial Panel Model
by Stylianos Asimakopoulos & George Kapetanios & Vasilis Sarafidis & Alexia Ventouri
- 2602.21229 Forecasting Future Language: Context Design for Mention Markets
by Sumin Kim & Jihoon Kwon & Yoon Kim & Nicole Kagan & Raffi Khatchadourian & Wonbin Ahn & Alejandro Lopez-Lira & Jaewon Lee & Yoontae Hwang & Oscar Levy & Yongjae Lee & Chanyeol Choi
- 2602.21173 Bayesian Parametric Portfolio Policies
by Miguel C. Herculano
- 2602.21125 An Infinite-Dimensional Insider Trading Game
by Christian Keller & Michael C. Tseng
- 2602.21091 Can Interest-Bearing Positions Solve the Long-Horizon Problem in Prediction Markets?
by Caleb Maresca
- 2602.20946 Some Simple Economics of AGI
by Christian Catalini & Xiang Hui & Jane Wu
- 2602.20868 Decentralized Trading Networks: Equilibria and Fairness
by Simon Finster & Paul W. Goldberg & Edwin Lock & Matilde Tullii
- 2602.20856 Stochastic Discount Factors with Cross-Asset Spillovers
by Doron Avramov & Xin He
- 2602.20771 Market Inefficiency in Cryptoasset Markets
by Joel Hasbrouck & Julian Ma & Fahad Saleh & Caspar Schwarz-Schilling
- 2602.20581 Using Prior Studies to Design Experiments: An Empirical Bayes Approach
by Zhiheng You
- 2602.20552 Stochastic Control Problems with Infinite Horizon and Regime Switching Arising in Optimal Liquidation with Semimartingale Strategies
by Xinman Cheng & Guanxing Fu & Xiaonyu Xia
- 2602.20518 Revisiting the Unitary Actor Assumption: Toward Realistic Aggregation of Individual Preferences in Strategy Research
by Felipe A. Csaszar & John C. Eklund
- 2602.20440 Intelligence Without Integrity: Why Capable LLMs May Undermine Reliability
by Ryan Allen & Aticus Peterson
- 2602.20439 Revenue Non-monotonicity in Matching Markets
by Jason Hartline
- 2602.20429 Robust Mechanism Design with Anonymous Information
by Zhihao Gavin Tang & Shixin Wang
- 2602.20415 Markets are competitive if and only if P != NP
by Philip Z. Maymin
- 2602.20383 Detecting and Mitigating Group Bias in Heterogeneous Treatment Effects
by Joel Persson & Jurrien Bakker & Dennis Bohle & Stefan Feuerriegel & Florian von Wangenheim
- 2602.20378 The Role of Family Support in the Well-Being of Older People: Evidence from Malaysia and Viet Nam
by Yana Rodgers & Joseph Zveglich & Khadija Ali & Hanna Xue
- 2602.20356 Prevalence of Food and Housing Insecurity among Direct Support Professionals in New York
by Jennifer Cohen & Yana Rodgers
- 2602.20327 Disability, Job Satisfaction, and Workplace Accommodations: Evidence from the Healthcare Industry
by Yana Rodgers & Lisa Schur & Flora Hammond & Renee Edwards & Jennifer Cohen & Douglas Kruse
- 2602.20281 Existence of Equilibrium Mechanisms in Generalized Principal-Agent Problems with Interacting Teams
by Brian Roberson
- 2602.20115 Compound decisions and empirical Bayes via Bayesian nonparametrics
by Nikolaos Ignatiadis & Sid Kankanala
- 2602.20087 Screening Frontiers
by Frank Yang
- 2602.20011 Schr\"odinger bridges with jumps for time series generation
by Stefano De Marco & Huy^en Pham & Davide Zanni
- 2602.20009 A Mixed-Method Framework for Evaluating the Social Impact of Community Cooperation Projects in Developing Countries
by Giorgia Samp`o & Saverio Giallorenzo & Zelda Alice Franceschi
- 2602.19950 Identification in Stochastic Choice
by Peter Caradonna & Christopher Turansick
- 2602.19892 Long-Run Sovereign Debt Composition: An Analytic Ergodic Framework with Explicit Maturity Structure
by Christopher Cameron
- 2602.19841 Detecting and Explaining Unlawful Insider Trading: A Shapley Value and Causal Forest Approach to Identifying Key Drivers and Causal Relationships
by Krishna Neupane & Igor Griva & Robert Axtell & William Kennedy & Jason Kinser
- 2602.19798 Marriage and Divorce in Continuous Time
by Kazuharu Yanagimoto
- 2602.19783 Janus-Faced Technological Progress and the Arms Race in the Education of Humans and Chatbots
by Wolfgang Kuhle
- 2602.19740 Volatility Spillovers in China's Real Estate Crisis: A Network Approach
by Julia Manso
- 2602.19732 VOLatility Archive for Realized Estimates (VOLARE)
by Fabrizio Cipollini & Giulia Cruciani & Giampiero M. Gallo & Alessandra Insana & Edoardo Otranto & Fabio Spagnolo
- 2602.19705 Model Selection in High-Dimensional Linear Regression using Boosting with Multiple Testing
by George Kapetanios & Vasilis Sarafidis & Alexia Ventouri
- 2602.19703 Testing Effect Homogeneity and Confounding in High-Dimensional Experimental and Observational Studies
by Ana Armendariz & Martin Huber
- 2602.19689 Integrating Predictive Models into Two-Sided Recommendations: A Matching-Theoretic Approach
by Kazuki Sekiya & Suguru Otani & Yuki Komatsu & Sachio Ohkawa & Shunya Noda
- 2602.19663 The impact of class imbalance in logistic regression models for low-default portfolios in credit risk
by Willem D. Schutte & Charl Pretorius & Neill Smit & Leandra van der Merwe & Robert Maxwell
- 2602.19660 The Welfare Gap of Strategic Storage: Universal Bounds and Price Non-Linearity
by Zhile Jiang & Xinhao Nie & Stratis Skoulakis
- 2602.19658 On covariation estimation for multivariate continuous It\^o semimartingales with noise in non-synchronous observation schemes
by Kim Christensen & Mark Podolskij & Mathias Vetter
- 2602.19645 Pre-averaging estimators of the ex-post covariance matrix in noisy diffusion models with non-synchronous data
by Kim Christensen & Silja Kinnebrock & Mark Podolskij
- 2602.19590 Metaorder modelling and identification from public data
by Ezra Goliath & Tim Gebbie
- 2602.19580 Leap+Verify: Regime-Adaptive Speculative Weight Prediction for Accelerating Neural Network Training
by Jeremy McEntire
- 2602.19488 The dynamics of innovation diffusion: A survey of Bass-type models
by Nicolas Langren'e & Rui Liu & Xiangqin Wu & Tianhao Zhi
- 2602.19419 RAmmStein: Regime Adaptation in Mean-reverting Markets with Stein Thresholds -- Optimal Impulse Control in Concentrated AMMs
by Pranay Anchuri
- 2602.19389 Extension of the fusion power plant costing standard
by Simon Woodruff & Alicia Durham & Alex Higginbottom & Chris Raastad
- 2602.19388 Pentecostal Mayors, Sexual Education, and Teenage Pregnancy
by Marcela Mello & Jo~ao Garcia
- 2602.19384 How Robust are Robustness Checks?
by Brenda Prallon
- 2602.19290 Distributional Discontinuity Design
by Kyle Schindl & Larry Wasserman
- 2602.19287 Asymptotic theory of range-based multipower variation
by Kim Christensen & Mark Podolskij
- 2602.19279 Distributional Effects in Censored Quantile Regressions with Endogeneity and Heteroskedasticity
by Xi Wang
- 2602.19201 Panel Quantile Regression with Common Shocks
by Harold D. Chiang & Antonio F. Galvao & Chia-Min Wei
- 2602.19154 Demand estimation without outside good shares
by Federico A. Bugni & Joel L. Horowitz & Linqi Zhang
- 2602.19100 Political influence and corporate profits: a study of Hungarian firms
by Zoltan Bartha
- 2602.19092 Finite Element Solution of the Two-Dimensional Bates Model for Option Pricing Under Stochastic Volatility and Jumps
by Neda Bagheri Renani & Daniel Sevcovic
- 2602.18938 Fiscal Limits to Protectionism: The 2025 U.S. Tariff Laffer Curve
by Pau Pujolas & Jack Rossbach
- 2602.18912 Overreaction as an indicator for momentum in algorithmic trading: A Case of AAPL stocks
by Szymon Lis & Robert 'Slepaczuk & Pawe{l} Sakowski
- 2602.18895 Could Large Language Models work as Post-hoc Explainability Tools in Credit Risk Models?
by Wenxi Geng & Dingyuan Liu & Liya Li & Yiqing Wang
- 2602.18879 Motivating Innovation with Misspecified Contracts
by Florian Mudekereza
- 2602.18820 Stability Anchors and Risk Amplifiers: Tail Spillovers Across Stablecoin Designs
by Wenbin Wu & Can Liu
- 2602.18592 A Roof Over Risk: A House Price-at-Risk Framework for Hungary
by Tibor Szendrei & Nikolett V'ag'o & Katalin Varga
- 2602.18572 Sub-City Real Estate Price Index Forecasting at Weekly Horizons Using Satellite Radar and News Sentiment
by Baris Arat & Hasan Fehmi Ates & Emre Sefer
- 2602.18484 Racial Preferences at a Texas Medical School
by David Puelz
- 2602.18481 AlphaForgeBench: Benchmarking End-to-End Trading Strategy Design with Large Language Models
by Wentao Zhang & Mingxuan Zhao & Jincheng Gao & Jieshun You & Huaiyu Jia & Yilei Zhao & Bo An & Shuo Sun
- 2602.18380 The Complexity of Sparse Win-Lose Bimatrix Games
by Eleni Batziou & John Fearnley & Abheek Ghosh & Rahul Savani
- 2602.18358 Forecasting the Evolving Composition of Inbound Tourism Demand: A Bayesian Compositional Time Series Approach Using Platform Booking Data
by Harrison Katz
- 2602.18234 Weak error approximation for rough and Gaussian mean-reverting stochastic volatility models
by Aur'elien Alfonsi & Ahmed Kebaier
- 2602.18157 Time consistent portfolio strategies for a general utility function
by Oumar Mbodji
- 2602.18078 Entropy-regularized penalization schemes and reflected BSDEs with singular generators
by Daniel Chee & Noufel Frikha & Libo Li
- 2602.18062 A Monotone Limit Approach to Entropy-Regularized American Options
by Daniel Chee & Noufel Frikha & Libo Li
- 2602.18038 Pricing with a Hidden Sample
by Zhihao Gavin Tang & Yixin Tao & Shixin Wang
- 2602.17895 The Strategic Gap: How AI-Driven Timing and Complexity Shape Investor Trust in the Age of Digital Agents
by Krishna Neupane
- 2602.17890 The Information Dynamics of Insider Intent: How Reporting Inversions (Form 144) Mask Informational Rents in Insider Sales (Form 4)
by Krishna Neupane
- 2602.17851 Beyond the Numbers: Causal Effects of Financial Report Sentiment on Bank Profitability
by Krishna Neupane & Prem Sapkota & Ujjwal Prajapati
- 2602.17812 Reduced Forms: Feasibility, Extremality, Optimality
by Pasha Andreyanov & Ilia Krasikov & Alex Suzdaltsev
- 2602.17790 Work from Home and Job Satisfaction: Differences by Disability Status among Healthcare Workers
by Yana Rodgers & Lisa Schur & Flora Hammond & Renee Edwards & Jennifer Cohen & Douglas Kruse
- 2602.17543 genriesz: A Python Package for Automatic Debiased Machine Learning with Generalized Riesz Regression
by Masahiro Kato
- 2602.17373 Impacts of Economic Policies on Wealth Distribution in Token Economies
by Rem Sadykhov & Geoff Goodell & Philip Treleaven
- 2602.17098 Deep Reinforcement Learning for Optimal Portfolio Allocation: A Comparative Study with Mean-Variance Optimization
by Srijan Sood & Kassiani Papasotiriou & Marius Vaiciulis & Tucker Balch
- 2602.17090 Local risk-minimization for exponential additive processes
by Takuji Arai
- 2602.17086 Dynamic Decision-Making under Model Misspecification: A Stochastic Stability Approach
by Xinyu Dai & Daniel Chen & Yian Qian
- 2602.17052 Generative modeling for the bootstrap
by Leon Tran & Ting Ye & Peng Ding & Fang Han
- 2602.16973 Lies, Labels, and Mechanisms
by Alex L. Brown & Ethan Park & Rodrigo A. Velez
- 2602.16862 Entropy Regularization as Robustness under Bayesian Drift Uncertainty
by Andy Au
- 2602.16733 Scaling Reproducibility: An AI-Assisted Workflow for Large-Scale Replication and Reanalysis
by Yiqing Xu & Leo Yang Yang
- 2602.16731 A Decade of Public Procurement in Spain: A Longitudinal Open Dataset from the BOE (2014-2024)
by Manuel Munoz Pla
- 2602.16631 Can Wearable Exoskeletons Reduce Gender and Disability Gaps in the Construction Industry?
by Yana Rodgers & Xiangmin Liu & Jingang Yi & Liang Zhang
- 2602.16539 Caratheodory, Finite Resources and the Geometry of Arbitrage
by B. K. Meister
- 2602.16527 Model selection confidence sets for time series models with applications to electricity load data
by Piersilvio De Bortoli & Davide Ferrari & Francesco Ravazzolo & Luca Rossini
- 2602.16401 Stackelberg Equilibria in Monopoly Insurance Markets with Probability Weighting
by Maria Andraos & Mario Ghossoub & Bin Li & Benxuan Shi
- 2602.16387 Computing Tarski Fixed Points in Financial Networks
by Leander Besting & Martin Hoefer & Lars Huth
- 2602.16376 Two-way Clustering Robust Variance Estimator in Quantile Regression Models
by Ulrich Hounyo & Jiahao Lin
- 2602.16310 Introducing the b-value: combining unbiased and biased estimators from a sensitivity analysis perspective
by Zhexiao Lin & Peter J. Bickel & Peng Ding
- 2602.16232 A Wiener Chaos Approach to Martingale Modelling and Implied Volatility Calibration
by Pere Diaz-Lozano & Thomas K. Kloster
- 2602.16212 Money-Back Tontines for Retirement Decumulation: Neural-Network Optimization under Systematic Longevity Risk
by German Nova Orozco & Duy-Minh Dang & Peter A. Forsyth
- 2602.16211 Equity in auction design with unit-demand agents and non-quasilinear preferences
by Tomoya Kazumura & Debasis Mishra & Shigehiro Serizawa
- 2602.16078 AI as Coordination-Compressing Capital: Task Reallocation, Organizational Redesign, and the Regime Fork
by Alex Farach
- 2602.16071 A Theory of Network Games Part 1: Utility Representations
by Joseph Root & Evan Sadler
- 2602.16061 Partial Identification under Missing Data Using Weak Shadow Variables from Pretrained Models
by Hongyu Chen & David Simchi-Levi & Ruoxuan Xiong
- 2602.15986 Convergence rates of random-order best-response dynamics in public good games on networks
by Wojciech Misiak & Marcin Dziubi'nski
- 2602.15980 Dutch Disease and the Resource Curse: The Progression of Views from Exchange Rates to Women's Agency and Well-Being
by Nidhiya Menon & Yana Rodgers
- 2602.15957 Evolutionary Systems Thinking -- From Equilibrium Models to Open-Ended Adaptive Dynamics
by Dan Adler
- 2602.15730 Causal Effect Estimation with Latent Textual Treatments
by Omri Feldman & Amar Venugopal & Jann Spiess & Amir Feder
- 2602.15722 Pricing Discrete and Nonlinear Markets With Semidefinite Relaxations
by Cheng Guo & Lauren Henderson & Ryan Cory-Wright & Boshi Yang
- 2602.15699 Understanding Classical Decomposability of Inequality Measures: A Graphical Analysis
by Tatiana Komarova
- 2602.15690 Income Inequality and Economic Growth: A Meta-Analytic Approach
by Lisa Capretti & Lorenzo Tonni
- 2602.15686 Minimizing Volatility: Optimal Adjustment with Evolving Feasibility Constraints
by Simon Jantschgi & Heinrich H. Nax & Bary S. R. Pradelski & Marek Pycia
- 2602.15674 Complexity and Misspecification
by Drew Fudenberg & Florian Mudekereza
- 2602.15607 Agent-based macroeconomics for the UK's Seventh Carbon Budget
by Tom Youngman & Tim Lennox & M. Lopes Alves & Pirta Palola & Brendon Tankwa & Emma Bailey & Emilien Ravigne & Thijs Ter Horst & Benjamin Wagenvoort & Harry Lightfoot Brown & Jose Moran & Doyne Farmer
- 2602.15600 The geometry of online conversations and the causal antecedents of conflictual discourse
by Carlo Santagiustina & Caterina Cruciani
- 2602.15559 Fixed-Horizon Self-Normalized Inference for Adaptive Experiments via Martingale AIPW/DML with Logged Propensities
by Gabriel Saco
- 2602.15474 Quantum Reservoir Computing for Statistical Classification in a Superconducting Quantum Circuit
by J. J. Prieto-Garcia & A. G. del Pozo-Mart'in & M. Pino
- 2602.15385 From Chain-Ladder to Individual Claims Reserving
by Ronald Richman & Mario V. Wuthrich
- 2602.15312 Extracting Consumer Insight from Text: A Large Language Model Approach to Emotion and Evaluation Measurement
by Stephan Ludwig & Peter J. Danaher & Xiaohao Yang & Yu-Ting Lin & Ehsan Abedin & Dhruv Grewal & Lan Du
- 2602.15289 A Projection Approach to Nonparametric Significance and Conditional Independence Testing
by Xiaojun Song & Jichao Yuan
- 2602.15248 Predicting Invoice Dilution in Supply Chain Finance with Leakage Free Two Stage XGBoost, KAN (Kolmogorov Arnold Networks), and Ensemble Models
by Pavel Koptev & Vishnu Kumar & Konstantin Malkov & George Shapiro & Yury Vikhanov
- 2602.15246 Learning Against Nature: Minimax Regret and the Price of Robustness
by Yeon-Koo Che & Longjian Li & Tianling Luo
- 2602.15182 Autodeleveraging as Online Learning
by Tarun Chitra & Nagu Thogiti & Mauricio Jean Pieer Trujillo Ramirez & Victor Xu
- 2602.15177 Optimal investment under capital gains taxes
by Alexander Dimitrov & Christoph Kuhn
- 2602.15069 Travel Time Prediction from Sparse Open Data
by Geoff Boeing & Yuquan Zhou
- 2602.14860 Predicting the success of new crypto-tokens: the Pump.fun case
by Giulio Marino & Manuel Naviglio & Francesco Tarantelli & Fabrizio Lillo
- 2602.14827 Constrained Portfolio Optimization via Quantum Approximate Optimization Algorithm (QAOA) with XY-Mixers and Trotterized Initialization: A Hybrid Approach for Direct Indexing
by Javier Mancilla & Theodoros D. Bouloumis & Frederic Goguikian
- 2602.14816 Majoritarian Assignment Rules
by Felix Brandt & Haoyuan Chen & Chris Dong & Patrick Lederer & Alexander Schlenga
- 2602.14774 The unintended effects of universalizing social pensions: Evidence from Mexico
by Oscar Galvez-Soriano & Raymundo Ramirez Peralta
- 2602.14754 Market Efficiency and the Heterogeneous Impact of Financial Liberalization: Evidence from the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect
by Jiaqi Liu & Chen Tang
- 2602.14670 FactorMiner: A Self-Evolving Agent with Skills and Experience Memory for Financial Alpha Discovery
by Yanlong Wang & Jian Xu & Hongkang Zhang & Shao-Lun Huang & Danny Dongning Sun & Xiao-Ping Zhang
- 2602.14631 The Effects of Social Pressure on Fundamental Choices: Indecisiveness and Deferral
by Alfio Giarlotta & M. Ali Khan & Angelo Enrico Petralia & Francesco Reito