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Content
2026
- 2608.04973 Quantum Bayes Correlated Equilibrium and the Comparison of Quantum Information Structures in Games
by Furkan Sezer
- 2608.04929 Open Information: A Defining Perspective on Web Datasets for Carbon Pricing
by Sidharth Mallik & Anastasios Megaritis & Waymond Rodgers
- 2608.04925 From Long to Short: How Interest Rates Shape Life Insurance Markets
by Ziang Li & Derek Wenning
- 2608.04839 Exact Inference in Fixed-Effect Regressions with Concentrated Identifying Variation
by Stanis{l}aw M. S. Halkiewicz
- 2608.04832 Robust Control under Stationary Ambiguity
by Konrad J. Mueller & Amira Akkari & Ben Wood & Lukas Gonon
- 2608.04787 Defensive Pessimism: Growth, Culture, and the Survival of Evidence
by Georgy Lukyanov
- 2608.04664 Soft-Noncrossing Bayesian Panel Quantile Regression for Measuring Climate Tail Risk
by Florian Huber & Aubrey Poon & Dan Zhu
- 2608.04631 Clustered Local Projections for Short and Ultra-Short Time Series -- A Hierarchical Bayesian Framework
by Todd Clark & Florian Huber
- 2608.04629 Drivers of Success: A Bayesian State-Space Model to Disentangling Latent Driver and Constructor Abilities in Formula One
by Tim Lindner & Rui Jorge Almeida & Nalan Bac{s}turk & Stephan Smeekes
- 2608.04547 Attributing Differences Between Forecast Runs to Input Changes, With Applications to CCAR and CECL Exercises
by Xuan Mei & Junze Lin
- 2608.04532 Optimal Life Insurance Decision in Mean-Variance DC Management with Mortality Improvements
by Yueman Feng & Wenyuan Li & Mengyi Xu & Pengyu Wei
- 2608.04529 Low-rank and graphon limits for dynamic threshold distress contagion in heterogeneous financial networks
by Pengbin Feng
- 2608.04469 Generalized Impulse Responses of Portfolio Default Probabilities: A Modular Framework with an Application to Geopolitical Risk
by Guillaume Flament & Christophe Hurlin & Quentin Lajaunie & Yoann Pull
- 2608.04432 The Price of Isolation: Estimating the Ecosystem Cost of Symmetric Two-Sided A/B Testing
by Yuanyuan Shen & Yiren Yan & Wenjie Li & Chunhui Zhu
- 2608.04409 Quantifying Different Gains from Trade in Quality
by Yuting Chen
- 2608.04373 Public Trader Identity: Adverse Selection and Return Predictability
by Daojing Zhai
- 2608.04332 Informational Content of Auction Prices
by Yu Awaya & Vijay Krishna & Eduard Osipov
- 2608.04305 Adaptive Finite-Budget Training for CVaR Risk-Aware Q-Learning
by Yifan Wu & Junjie Lei & Wenjie Huang
- 2608.04276 The Fallback as Signal: Preserved Human Skill, Liability, and Competence Signaling in Credence-Good Markets under Improving AI
by Andreas Bauer
- 2608.04208 Estimating Heterogeneity in Travel Mode Choice Shifts with Causal Forests
by Rishabh Singh Chauhan & Mahdi Ghadimi & Lishun Liu
- 2608.04200 From Financial Sentiment Classification to Return Predictability: A QLoRA Benchmark of Large Language Models
by Fusheng Luo
- 2608.04198 Does generative AI narrow education-based productivity gaps? Evidence from a randomized experiment
by Guillermo Cruces & Diego Fernandez Meijide & Sebastian Galiani & Ramiro Galvez & Maria Lombardi
- 2608.04162 Correlation Matrices in High Dimensions: The Elliptope as a Sample-Correlation Ensemble
by Peter Reinhard Hansen
- 2608.04023 Monsoon Mayhem to Market Waves: Forecasting Fisheries Resilience in Sri Lanka
by Ruzaini Ahmed & Yohan Jayasinghe & Tharumini Gamage & Ifaz Ikram & Hasini Lawanya & Nirasha Munasinghe & Patalee Narasinghe & Nisansa de Silva & Sandareka Wickramanayake
- 2608.03925 Option Pricing with Time-Changed Fractional Brownian Motion: A Fractional Variance Gamma Model
by Robert Jarrow & Jayen Tan
- 2608.03881 Difference-in-differences with "bad controls"
by Carolina Caetano & Brantly Callaway & Stroud Payne & Hugo Sant'Anna
- 2608.03847 Identification and Information after Nuisance Projection
by Ulrich Hounyo
- 2608.03788 When Does Party Convergence Persist under Alienation-Based Abstention?
by Aman Ray & Srikanth Pai
- 2608.03773 Testing for Smooth Structural Change in Cointegrated Systems
by Haofeng Liao & Xing Wang
- 2608.03719 Effort without Evidence
by Georgy Lukyanov
- 2608.03716 Synthetic supply networks
by Galvin Ng & Luca Mungo & Damien Bertrand & Franc{c}ois Lafond
- 2608.03703 Preying on Leveraged ETFs
by Yinhong Zhao
- 2608.03616 Measuring the engine of a liquidation cascade: subcritical branching inside a first-order transition
by Ramon Marc Garcia Seuma
- 2608.03596 Transnational political violence in African borderlands
by David G. Russell & Olivier J. Walther
- 2608.03570 Cities and political violence in West Africa
by Steven M. Radil & Olivier J. Walther
- 2608.03504 Stochastic Choice with Advertising
by Henrik Petri & Kai Wang
- 2608.03486 A fully nonlinear structural vector autoregressive model identified via independent innovation analysis
by Savi Virolainen
- 2608.03466 A unifying perspective on the collapse to the mean for law-invariant functionals
by Felix-Benedikt Liebrich
- 2608.03230 Stable Matching with Payoff Guarantees
by Mohsen Pourpouneh & Rasoul Ramezanian & Arunava Sen & Vilok Taori
- 2608.03221 Digital State Capacity
by Patrick Healy & Simon D. Angus & Paul Raschky & Klaus Ackermann & Nathan Lane & Weijia Li & Cynthia Huang
- 2608.03153 Does the Gender Wage Gap Originate at Labor Market Entry? Evidence from South Korea
by Dongwoo Kim
- 2608.03114 Optimal Liability Design for Medical AI
by Rui Mao & Tingliang Huang & Houcai Shen
- 2608.03088 A New Approach to Goodness of Fit for Ergodic Markov Processes
by Vance Martin & Yoshihiko Nishiyama & John Stachurski & Yiran Xie
- 2608.02943 Bandwidth-Free Inference for Recursive Nonlinear Impulse Response Functions
by Guilherme Vianna
- 2608.02917 Mandate without Managers: Automated Market Makers as Verifiable Portfolio Products
by Zachary Feinstein & Ionut Florescu & Sean O'Leary
- 2608.02909 When Predictions Become Regressors: A Split-Sample Correction for Biases in Downstream Inference
by Nathan Canen & Ted Enamorado
- 2608.02854 Preference robust distortion risk measures
by Carole Bernard & Silvana M. Pesenti
- 2608.02828 Proper-score observation-driven filters: local geometry, estimation, and continuous-time limits
by Giulia Livieri & Gianluca Palmari
- 2608.02817 Reviving Micro Real Rigidities: The Importance of Demand Shocks
by S. Borau{g}an Aruoba & Eugene Oue & Felipe Saffie & Jonathan L. Willis
- 2608.02800 Raising Rivals' Costs on Hybrid Platforms: The Complementarity of Fees and Self-Preferencing
by Maysam Rabbani & Ram Sewak Dubey
- 2608.02778 Neural Networks with Local Converging Inputs for Efficient Options Pricing Models
by Harris Cobb & Wenbo Hao & Yingjie Liu
- 2608.02666 Rebuilding Startups: An Empirical Study on Remote Work and Skill Complementarity
by Zixi Lei & Xiaomeng Chen & Wen Wen & Andrew Whinston
- 2608.02651 Delegated Monitoring in Public-Private Sector Credit Programs: Underinvestment, Overinvestment, and the Design of Subsidized Lending
by G. Charles-Cadogan
- 2608.02539 A Simple Approximation to the Distribution of the Ridge Regression Estimator
by Jos'e Luis Montiel Olea & Ryan Strong & Amilcar Velez & Zhuoheng Xu & Haomin Yu
- 2608.02479 Robust Scale-Free Auctions
by Jerry Anunrojwong
- 2608.02475 Methodology for Modelling Token Economies and Performing Event Impact Analysis with DeTEcT
by Rem Sadykhov & Geoffrey Goodell & Philip Treleaven
- 2608.02398 Profitability of Open-Source Software Product Development
by Shivendu P. Singh & Narayan Ramasubbu & Chris F. Kemerer & M. Zia Hydari
- 2608.02355 Path Portfolio Optimization: Defect, Lift, and the Price of Path Complexity
by Miquel Noguer i Alonso
- 2608.02311 AI Governance for Institutional Readiness in Finance
by Irene Aldridge & Steve Krawciw
- 2608.02293 Dynamic Traffic Allocation for Revenue Maximization on Creator Economy Platform
by Zhengli Wang & Franklin Lin Feng & Zhixi Wan
- 2608.02102 Navigating the skill diversity frontier: How skill complexity explains worker resilience
by Mar Carpanelli & Jedrzej Duszynski & Fabian Stephany
- 2608.02055 High-Dimensional Panel Data Models with Interactive Fixed Effects: Beyond the Linear Case
by Maximilian Ruecker & Michael Vogt & Oliver Linton
- 2608.02002 Hawkes-Driven OTC Market Making: Volterra-Riccati Approximation
by Alexander Barzykin
- 2608.01967 Second-Order Potentials for Finite Games: Existence, Characterisation, and Game Decomposition
by Robert P. Gilles
- 2608.01607 AI Financial Advice: Supply, Demand, and Life Cycle Implications
by Taha Choukhmane & Tim de Silva & Weidong Lin & Matthew Akuzawa
- 2608.01591 One-Shot Pricing for Hands-Off-the-Wheel Advertising Markets
by Emerson Melo & Matt Shum & Rakesh Vohra
- 2608.01554 P-Bubbles, Q-Bubbles, and Risk Premia
by Robert A. Jarrow & Simon S. Kwok
- 2608.01544 Measuring Product Quality Using Images: The CLIP Q-Score and an Application to Real Estate
by Fabian Slonimczyk & Danila Karapsin
- 2608.01540 Do people rely on ChatGPT more than their peers to detect deepfake news?
by Yuhao Fu & Nobuyuki Hanaki
- 2608.01515 The Set of Correlated Equilibrium Payoffs for a Fixed Information Structure Need Not Be Closed
by Michael Greinecker & Patrick Lahr & Christoph Schwerdtfeger
- 2608.01494 Conformal Kelly: Conformal Prediction Intervals as the Scale in Fractional Kelly Position Sizing
by Robert Jacob Ryan
- 2608.01480 Sweet Little Lies: Strategic Deception in AI Emotional Support Chatbots
by Aseem Pahuja & Zhiling Guo & Tahir Abbas Syed
- 2608.01479 The VIX-Derived Volatility Model: A VIX-first Joint SPX-VIX Framework
by Nicola F. Zaugg & Lech A. Grzelak
- 2608.01432 A New Theory of Value for Post-AGI Economics
by Keyun Ruan
- 2608.01421 Regression with Observational Multilayered Network Data
by Juan Estrada & Kim Huynh & David Jacho-Chavez & Leonardo Sanchez-Aragon
- 2608.01415 Estimating Peer Influence in Multilayer Networks
by Weihua An & Pablo Estrada & Juan Estrada & David Jacho-Chavez
- 2608.01406 Algorithmic collusion under asynchronous price updating
by Ivan Conjeaud & Gaspard Abel & Argyris Kalogeratos
- 2608.01405 Estimating Social Effects with Randomized and Observational Network Data
by TszKin Julian Chan & Juan Estrada & Kim Huynh & David Jacho-Chavez & Chungsang Tom Lam & Leonardo Sanchez-Aragon
- 2608.01294 An Information-Geometric Framework for Bayesian Credit Risk Monitoring
by Lorenzo Quirini
- 2608.01228 Individual Fairness in Budget Aggregation
by Xiaohui Bei & Felix Brandt & Matthias Greger & Jannik Peters & Erel Segal-Halevi & Warut Suksompong
- 2608.01217 Amortizing the Calibration Triple: A Projection-Consistent Neural Operator for Local-Stochastic Volatility
by Xiaozhen Wang & Anais Despr'es & Martin Dureau & Francois Buet-Golfouse
- 2608.01212 Do Humans Bargain Differently with AI? Evidence from Alternating-Offer Games
by Yuhao Fu & Nobuyuki Hanaki & Haitao Wang
- 2608.01208 Climate-Dyna Deep Hedging for XVAs: Model-Based Reinforcement Learning, Residual Climate HVA, and Hedge-Instrument Discovery
by Xiaozhen Wang & Francois Buet-Golfouse
- 2608.01181 Talking to Digital Twins: Selective Disclosure and Belief Measurement in Financial Social Media
by Boone Bowles & Raymond Duch & Sorin Sorescu
- 2608.01137 Double Machine Learning with High-dimensional Interactive Fixed Effects
by Binzhi Chen & Annalivia Polselli & Paul S. Clarke
- 2608.01010 Import dependence and per capita production are main determinants of economies' food supply robustness under production shocks
by Han-Yu Zhu & Maria Cristina Rulli & Wei-Xing Zhou
- 2608.00988 Exactly solvable model for the diffusive price-dynamics paradox under long-range correlated market-order flow
by Yuki Sato & Shunta Fujiwara & Kiyoshi Kanazawa
- 2608.00917 Pro-rata mechanisms in groundwater markets
by Igor Cialenco & Michael Ludkovski & Gael Dimitri Tekam Fongouo
- 2608.00911 Battery Storage Co-Optimization in Day-Ahead and Real-Time Markets with Bayesian Optimization
by Thiha Aung & Mike Ludkovski
- 2608.00886 Joint Optimization of Human Headcount and Stochastic AI Resource Capacity
by Marco Montes de Oca
- 2608.00885 Optimal Trading of Microstructure Mean Reversion
by Lucas Rabechini Amaral
- 2608.00858 Data-Driven Measures of High-Frequency Trading
by Gbenga Ibikunle & Ben Moews & Dmitriy Muravyev & Khaladdin Rzayev
- 2608.00818 The Scaling Paradox in Human-AI Collaboration
by Anyan Qi & Mengxin Wang
- 2608.00772 Monotone Response for Random Objects
by Daisuke Kurisu & Yuta Okamoto & Taisuke Otsu
- 2608.00761 AI and Exchange Rate Predictability
by Amin Izadyar
- 2608.00729 On the Sparsity of Optimal Information Structures
by Masaki Miyashita
- 2608.00647 Axient: On-Chain Credit and Loss Allocation for Leveraged Event Markets: A Venue-Agnostic Protocol for Traders, Credit Providers, Market Makers, and Liquidation Backstops
by Maksym Nechepurenko
- 2608.00631 Axient: Debt-Free Finality for Leveraged Binary Event Markets
by Maksym Nechepurenko
- 2608.00616 Latent Flow Matching for Arbitrage-Aware Implied Volatility Surface Generation
by Oscar Brooks & Dusica Bajalica & Yating Liu & Imen Ben Tahar
- 2608.00580 Publication bias and p-hacking in the effect of COVID-19 on learning
by Martina Luskova & Nino Buliskeria & Ali Elminejad & Tomas Havranek & Zuzana Irsova & Stepan Jurajda & Marek Kapicka
- 2608.00567 Optimal Inflation Rate: A Meta-Analysis
by Matej Opatrny & Martin Opatrny & Tomas Havranek & Zuzana Irsova & Mojmir Hampl
- 2608.00517 Exact Budget Balance via Payment-Rule Ambiguity: Incentive Preservation, Transfer Capacity, and Participation
by Hiroaki Odahara
- 2608.00336 Measurement Error and Peer Effects in Networks
by Yann Bramoull'e & Sebastiaan Maes
- 2608.00334 Pure-Strategy Equilibrium in the Generalized First-Price Auction
by Michael Ostrovsky & Andrzej Skrzypacz
- 2608.00328 Global coal trade is resilient to maritime chokepoints
by Jorrit Gosens & Alex B. H. Turnbull & Frank Jotzo
- 2608.00262 A Structural Matrix Autoregression Framework for International Spillovers
by Ignacio Moreira Lara & Jan Pruser & Christoph Hanck
- 2608.00151 Optimising for Flourishing: Flourishing Metrics and Return on Flourishing as Success Criteria for Artificial Intelligence and Post-AGI Economic Systems
by Keyun Ruan & Jonathan D. Teubner & John M. Bremen
- 2608.00136 A Nonparametric Test for Cross-Unit Spillovers
by Margherita Comola & Camila Comunello & Abhimanyu Gupta
- 2608.00127 Drawdown Risk Beyond Brownian Motion: A Monte-Carlo Framework, Non-Gaussian Extensions, and Long Memory
by Francesco Landolfi
- 2608.00045 Predicting Startup Exit from Textual Descriptors - A Computational Linguistics Framework
by Alberto M. G. Saruggia & Sebastien Germano
- 2608.00038 Google's AI & Economy ATLAS v1.0: Mapping Gemini Usage in the Economy
by Zanna Iscenko & Scott Strand & Yiyuan Chen & Guillaume Aimard & Mihai Codreanu & Vivek Sampathkumar & Alex Imas & Julian Jacobs & Evalyne Muiruri & Juan Mateos-Garcia & Jia Jen Ng & Samirah Javed & Josh Martin & Omar Ajmeri & Denis Calin & Andrew Kim & Fabien Curto Millet & James Manyika
- 2607.29583 Fund Competition under Conflicting ESG Rating Methodologies
by Wanling Rudkin
- 2607.29572 Artificial Intelligence: Supply-Chain Chokepoints and the Reach of Industrial Policy
by Piyush Akimitsu
- 2607.29532 Robust Instrumental Variables: Sharp Rates and Inference under Adversarial Contamination
by Anders Bredahl Kock & David Preinerstorfer
- 2607.29527 TerraNova: A Foundation Model for the Anthropocene
by Carlos Rodriguez-Pardo & Massimo Tavoni
- 2607.29518 The Targeted-Loss Exposure Frontier in Auctions
by Hiroaki Odahara
- 2607.29442 Microstructural Foundations of Rough Noise
by Peter Korsbakke Christensen & Anders Norlyk
- 2607.29420 Shadow-score auctions for execution incentives
by Federico Vaccari
- 2607.29380 The Tragedy of the Cognitive Commons: How AI Could Disrupt the Regeneration of Professional Expertise
by Nolan Lovett
- 2607.29371 Unintended Consequences of Sanitation Investment: Negative Externalities on Water Quality and Health in India
by Kazuki Motohashi
- 2607.29281 Producing Policy Recommendations: from Statistical Decision Theory to Empirical Practice
by Giacomo Opocher
- 2607.29220 Decoupled Probabilistic Forecasting and Arbitrage-Aware Refinement of Implied Volatility Surfaces
by Lifeng Hao & Shaolin Ji
- 2607.29215 Conditional projection methods for large-scale Bayesian VARs
by Niko Hauzenberger & Michael Pfarrhofer
- 2607.29210 The Collapse of Human Capital Ladders in Recessions
by Edoardo Maria Acabbi & Andrea Alati & Luca Mazzone
- 2607.29162 Geography in Online Capital Allocation: Evidence from Equity-Based Crowdfunding
by Keiichi Kawai & Akira Matsushita
- 2607.29139 The Role of Precedence Order in Matching with Multi-Criteria Admissions
by Shunya Noda & Ayano Yago
- 2607.29080 Rawlsian equity: a new notion of fairness for the assignment problem
by Ozgun Ekici & Sinan Ertemel & M. Bumin Yenmez
- 2607.29024 A Policy Iteration Scheme for Semilinear Stochastic Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman Equations with Exponential Convergence
by Hasib Uddin Molla & Jinniao Qiu
- 2607.28981 Distance Profile Embedding for Independence and Conditional Independence Testing of Random Objects
by Wenxi Tan & Bing Li & Lingzhou Xue
- 2607.28925 Learning Optimal Dynamic Matching via Graph Neural Networks
by Genta Okada & Shunya Noda & Junpei Komiyama & Akira Matsushita
- 2607.28921 Information Aggregation and Social Networks: Responsiveness and Overturning
by Shinpei Noguchi & Hiroto Sato & Konan Shimizu
- 2607.28847 Effort-Centric Fairness in Lending Decisions
by Shiqi Fang & Zexun Chen & Jake Ansell
- 2607.28842 University as a Melting Pot: Long-term Effects of Internationalization
by Stanislav Avdeev
- 2607.28821 Local Global Games and Network Common Learning
by Olga Rospuskova & Omer Tamuz & Jake Zhang
- 2607.28820 What's in a Queue? An Experimental Study of Job Ordering, Autonomy and Queue Visibility
by Evgeny Kagan
- 2607.28790 Arbitrage and rents in European long-term transmission rights
by Clemens Stiewe
- 2607.28780 Optimizing Monetization Strategies for Generative AI Firms: Implications for Search Engagement
by Veronica Rosendo-Rios & Paurav Shukla
- 2607.28577 Train Often, Deploy Selectively: Forward-Gated Model Replacement in Crypto Markets
by Aditya Dutta
- 2607.28410 Can Large Language Models Execute Parent Orders?
by Zane Shen & Xinli Xu & Guangyi Zhang & Jialong Chen & Jinsong Zhou & Cong Chen & Guibao Shen & Dongyu Yan & Luozhou Wang & Zhen Yang
- 2607.28378 Do Crises Increase Parochial Behavior? Evidence from Donations During Covid
by Esteban Jaimovich & Sarah Smith & Derrick Xu
- 2607.28371 Stop Premature Obsolescence: LessTrash, Fewer Working Hours, Same Pay
by Tommaso Luzzati & J. Christopher Proctor & S. D'Alessandro
- 2607.28348 Economics and Epidemics: Evidence from an Estimated Spatial Econ-SIR Model
by Mark Bognanni & Doug Hanley & Daniel Kolliner & Kurt Mitman
- 2607.28323 Optimal Execution with Passive Market Impact
by Alexander Barzykin & Robert Boyce & Eyal Neuman & Sturmius Tuschmann
- 2607.28294 Bootstrap inference in autoregressive duration models
by Giuseppe Cavaliere & Thomas Mikosch & Anders Rahbek & Frederik Vilandt
- 2607.28291 Linear Estimation of Structural and Causal Effects for Nonseparable Panel Data
by Victor Chernozhukov & Ben Deaner & Ying Gao & Jerry Hausman & Whitney K. Newey
- 2607.28230 Boundary-Induced Apparent Risk Aversion in Nonergodic Multiplicative Growth
by Ling Zhang & Boyan Xing & Zhenyu She & Zixiang Xu
- 2607.28222 Voice AI in Firms: A Natural Field Experiment on Automated Job Interviews
by Brian Jabarian & Luca Henkel
- 2607.28215 Almost stochastic dominance via optimal transport
by Alfred Muller & Johannes Wiesel
- 2607.28133 AI Sycophancy and Decisions
by John Conlon & Peter Schwardmann
- 2607.28131 Nonfundamentalness or missing information ? Evidence from causal-noncausal VARs in macro-finance
by Lison Christiaens & Julien Hambuckers & Alain Hecq
- 2607.28127 FinSMART: Financial Sentiment Analysis for Algorithmic Trading through Market-Aligned Reinforcement Learning
by Giorgos Iacovides & Wuyang Zhou & Danilo Mandic
- 2607.28023 Scaling, Lock-In, and Proxy Compliance: A Political Economy of Responsible AI
by Florian A. D. Burnat & Brittany I. Davidson
- 2607.27996 Downsian Competition for the Myerson Value
by Daiki Kishishita
- 2607.27859 ZAPs: A Reward Attribution Framework for DeFi Ecosystems with Adversarial-Robust Scoring via Parallel Anomaly Ensemble Detection
by Girish G N & Ashutosh Sahoo & Ajay Bhat & Akshay SP & Gurukiran S & Parag Paul & Dhanashekar Kandaswamy
- 2607.27853 FinanceHarness: Autonomous Financial Deep Research Framework
by Yijia Xiao & Rujun Han & Yanfei Chen & Zifeng Wang & Ke Jiang & Zhongying CuiZhu & Vishy Tirumalashetty & Wei Wang & Burak Gokturk & Tomas Pfister & Chen-Yu Lee
- 2607.27817 Reversing Reserve Logic: Optimal Holdback in Local Allocation under Scalable Entry
by Hiroaki Odahara
- 2607.27814 Pricing and Semi-static Hedging of Green Pay-as-produced Power Purchase Agreements
by Konstantinos Chatziandreou & Sven Karbach
- 2607.27649 Multi-maturity consistency of option prices under bounded bid-ask spreads: a minimal obstruction and an exact two-date basket operator
by Minhyeok Lee
- 2607.27638 Racing to Ruin
by Drew Fudenberg & Andrew Koh
- 2607.27611 AWARE-FX: An Auditable Knowledge-Guided AI System for Measuring Corporate Foreign-Exchange Hedging Disclosure
by Qi Wang
- 2607.27588 Local Stochastic Rough Volatility: Pathwise Filtering and the Conditional Density Equation
by Damiano Brigo & Vladimir Lucic
- 2607.27584 Who heeds the call to conserve in an energy emergency? Evidence from smart thermostat data
by Dylan Brewer & R. Jim Crozier
- 2607.27569 Consuming Values
by Jacob Conway & Levi Boxell
- 2607.27553 AI and Its Impact on Creativity and Diversity: An Empirical Study of LLM-Generated Product Ideas
by Christian Terwiesch & Lennart Meincke & Karan Girotra & Ethan Mollick & Gideon Nave & Karl T. Ulrich
- 2607.27548 Explaining the Macroeconomic Inertia Puzzle
by Michael Cai
- 2607.27544 Lucky or Good? Outcome Noise, Effective Sample Size, and the Attribution of Skill
by Karl T. Ulrich
- 2607.27505 Single-Network Finite-Sample Inference in Strategic Network Formation Models
by Wayne Yuan Gao & Ming Li
- 2607.27485 Energy Market and Carbon Emission Spillovers in Critical Minerals Investment: A Dynamic Connectedness Approach
by Haibo Wang & Lutfu Sua & Jaime Ortiz & Jun Huang & Bahram Alidaee
- 2607.27461 Are Three Matrices All You Need To Beat the Market? Observable Matrix Dynamics for Portfolio Optimization
by Igor Halperin
- 2607.27239 Reference Dependence and the Structure of the WTA/WTP Gap
by G. Charles-Cadogan
- 2607.27238 A Theory of Reference-Dependent Utility
by G. Charles-Cadogan
- 2607.27188 Inverse Learning of Latent Risk-Neutral Densities from Irregular Option Quotes
by Lennon J. Shikhman & Michael Galarnyk & Aadi Dash & Nicholas A. Welsh
- 2607.27142 How Divorce Reforms Induced Married Couples to Supply More Labor
by Yedilkhan Baigabulov
- 2607.27099 Rainfall is rough
by Thomas Deschatre & Marc Hoffmann & Mathieu Rosenbaum
- 2607.27070 Where does the criticality live? Early-warning signals are event-heterogeneous across seven crypto-perpetual liquidation cascades
by Ramon Marc Garcia Seuma
- 2607.27063 Herding, Momentum, and Reversal in China's A-Share Market: An Agent-Based Network Model with Information Diffusion
by Jiahao Weng
- 2607.27039 Forcing and duality-corrected contracts for volatility control
by Alessandro Chiusolo & Emma Hubert & Dylan Possamai & Nizar Touzi
- 2607.27019 Multi-Asset Liquidation in Dark Pools with Adverse Selection
by Guanxing Fu & Johannes Ruf & Xiaomin Shi & Zuo Quan Xu
- 2607.26960 A Simple Robust Procedure in Instrumental Variables Regression
by Xiyu Jiao
- 2607.26859 No Data Is Not No Risk: Visibility Aware Graph-Based Inference of Business Conduct Risk
by Tsuyoshi Iwata & Johannes Laurmaa & Ryohei Hisano
- 2607.26792 Crossing-Free Probabilistic K-Line Forecasts Without Retraining
by Runyao Yu & Yuchen Tao & Yujie Chen & Wentao Wang & Derek W. Bunn
- 2607.26560 Emission-Forecasting-Based Spatial-Temporal Carbon Response: A Multi-Agent Attention-Enhanced Deep Learning Framework
by Feiyu Cai & Jing Qiu & Yi Yang & Chenxi Zhang & Xinlei Wang & Baichuan Liu & Junhua Zhao
- 2607.26559 Characterizing Von Neumann-Morgenstern Stable Sets in Infinite Sets
by Athanasios Andrikopoulos & Nikolaos Sampanis
- 2607.26405 Multi-Currency AMMs for Decentralized FOREX Markets: Feasibility & Optimal Design
by Reina Ke Xin Li & Andreas Park & Andreas Veneris & Srisht Fateh Singh
- 2607.26366 Specification Testing for Dyadic Regression Models
by Ulrich Hounyo & Jiahao Lin & Xiaojun Song
- 2607.26327 The Last Costly Signal: How Generative AI Collapses Competence Signaling and Why Liability Sustains Markets for Expert Services
by Andreas Bauer
- 2607.26288 The Innate Economic Preferences of Language Models
by Joy Buchanan & Joshua Foster
- 2607.26245 OpenMarket: A Synchronized Polymarket-Binance Dataset for High-Frequency Prediction-Market Research
by Gregory Young
- 2607.26188 Bitcoin Runs on a Clock: Why Every Price Indicator Dies and the Halving Clock Doesn't
by Josh Molnar
- 2607.26109 The Attention-Directing Ability of Teams
by Olga Kokshagina & Marc Santolini & Christoph Riedl
- 2607.26091 The Evolutionary Dynamics of AI, Politicization, Contestation, and Trust in Science Funding
by Animesh Ray
- 2607.26068 The Human Utility Factor: A Computable Welfare Metric That Reframes AI Governance as a Constrained Optimisation Problem
by Sivasathivel Kandasamy
- 2607.26034 Falling Behind Drives Unsafe Development in an Idealised AI Race Experiment
by Elias Fern'andez Domingos & The Anh Han
- 2607.25942 General Theory of Relational Primacy
by Ngueuleweu Tiwang Gildas
- 2607.25677 Open-ended innovation in zero-sum games
by Matteo Marsili
- 2607.25599 An Analytic COS Method for Compound Option Valuation
by Zhipeng Huang & Cornelis W. Oosterlee
- 2607.25472 Algorithm-Driven Information Similarity and Collective Action: An Experimental Study
by Manshu Khanna & Bozhang Xia
- 2607.25459 Emergent Latent-State Computation under Stochastic Volatility
by Xiaoyu Huang & Lulu Wang