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Content
2026
- 2604.22563 Preplay Losing Contracts: Inducing Strong Nash Equilibrium in the $n$-player Prisoner's Dilemma
by Ian Fligler
- 2604.22532 Causal Identification under Interference: The Role of Treatment Assignment Independence
by Julius Owusu & Monika Avila M'arquez
- 2604.22528 Malliavin calculus for signatures with applications to finance
by Eduardo Abi Jaber & Cl'ement Rey & Dimitri Sotnikov
- 2604.22463 Quantum analog-encoding for correlated Gaussian vectors and their exponentiation with application to rough volatility
by Tassa Thaksakronwong & Koichi Miyamoto
- 2604.22445 Inference in Tightly Identified and Large-Scale Sign-Restricted SVARs
by Markku Lanne & Jani Luoto & Adam Rybarczyk
- 2604.22236 Algorithmic Feature Highlighting for Human-AI Decision-Making
by Yifan Guo & Jann Spiess
- 2604.22230 On Benchmark Hacking in ML Contests: Modeling, Insights and Design
by Xiaoyun Qiu & Yang Yu & Haifeng Xu
- 2604.22188 Optimal Investment and Entropy-Regularized Learning Under Stochastic Volatility Models with Portfolio Constraints
by Thai Nguyen & Pertiny Nkuize
- 2604.22069 Liquidity provision in CLMMs: evidence from transactions data
by Andrey Urusov & Rostislav Berezovskiy & Anatoly Krestenko & Andrei Kornilov
- 2604.21893 Revealing Geography-Driven Signals in Zone-Level Claim Frequency Models: An Empirical Study using Environmental and Visual Predictors
by Sherly Alfonso-S'anchez & Cristi'an Bravo & Kristina G. Stankova
- 2604.21734 Modeling dependency between operational risk losses and macroeconomic variables using Hidden Markov Models
by Nikeethan Selvaratnam & Dorinel Bastide & Cl'ement Fernandes & Wojciech Pieczynski
- 2604.21672 Agentic Artificial Intelligence in Finance: A Comprehensive Survey
by Irene Aldridge & Jolie An & Riley Burke & Michael Cao & Chia-Yi Chien & Kexin Deng & Ruipeng Deng & Yichen Gao & Olivia Guo & Shunran He & Zheng Li & George Lin & Weihang Lin & Percy Lyu & Alex Ng & Qi Wang & Hanxi Xiao & Dora Xu & Yuanyuan Xue & Sheng Zhang & Sirui Zhang & Yun Zhang & Sirui Zhao & Xiaolong Zhao & Yihan Zhao & Waner Zheng
- 2604.21604 Mitigate or Fail: How Risk Management Shapes Cybersecurity Competency
by Jeffrey T. Gardiner
- 2604.21581 Pricing and Hedging Financial Derivatives in Merger\&Acquisition Deals with Price Impact
by Emilio Barucci & Yuheng Lan & Daniele Marazzina
- 2604.21569 Research Streams in Biodiversity Finance: A Bibliometric Analysis and Research Agenda
by Lennart Ante & Friedrich-Philipp Wazinski & Aman Saggu
- 2604.21548 Nonparametric Point Identification of Treatment Effect Distributions via Rank Stickiness
by Tengyuan Liang
- 2604.21433 ChatGPT as a Time Capsule: The Limits of Price Discovery
by Sebastian Lehner & Alejandro Lopez-Lira
- 2604.21423 Demand Curvature and Pass-Through in Differentiated Oligopoly
by Paul S. Koh
- 2604.21334 Ideological Bias in LLMs' Economic Causal Reasoning
by Donggyu Lee & Hyeok Yun & Jungwon Kim & Junsik Min & Sungwon Park & Sangyoon Park & Jihee Kim
- 2604.21297 Identifying dynamical network markers of financial market instability
by Mariko I. Ito & Hiroyuki Hasada & Yudai Honma & Takaaki Ohnishi & Tsutomu Watanabe & Kazuyuki Aihara
- 2604.21260 Calibeating Prediction-Powered Inference
by Lars van der Laan & Mark Van Der Laan
- 2604.21258 Flexible Bayesian Models for Time-Varying Income Distributions
by David Gunawan
- 2604.21216 Post-AGI Economies: Autonomy and the First Fundamental Theorem of Welfare Economics
by Elija Perrier
- 2604.21202 Participation and Representation in Local Government Speech
by Olivia Martin & Amar Venugopal
- 2604.21103 AI Governance under Political Turnover: The Alignment Surface of Compliance Design
by Andrew J. Peterson
- 2604.20949 Early Detection of Latent Microstructure Regimes in Limit Order Books
by Prakul Sunil Hiremath & Vruksha Arun Hiremath
- 2604.20877 When AAA Satisfies Nothing: Impossibility Theorems for Structured Credit Ratings
by Marco Pollanen
- 2604.20664 Causal Persuasion
by Anastasia Burkovskaya & Egor Starkov
- 2604.20652 Large Language Models Outperform Humans in Fraud Detection and Resistance to Motivated Investor Pressure
by Nattavudh Powdthavee
- 2604.20406 Bond Market Making with a Hit-Ratio Target
by Alexander Barzykin & Axel Ciceri
- 2604.20220 Convex Duality in Perturbed Utility Route Choice
by Mogens Fosgerau & Jesper R. -V. S{o}rensen
- 2604.20192 On Rent Dissipation in Dynamic Multi-battle Contests
by Shanglyu Deng & Qiang Fu & Junchi Li & Zenan Wu
- 2604.20067 Testing replication for an agent-based model of market fragmentation and latency arbitrage
by Ethan Ratliff-Crain & Colin M. Van Oort & Matthew T. K. Koehler & Brian F. Tivnan
- 2604.20050 Information Aggregation with AI Agents
by Spyros Galanis
- 2604.19987 Routine Work, Firm Boundaries, and the Rise of Local Supplier Entry
by Duha T. Altindag & Nabamita Dutta & John M. Nunley & R. Alan Seals & Adam Stivers
- 2604.19969 Educational Mobility Across Multiple Generations in Indonesia
by Sarah Cattan & Antonio Dalla-Zuanna & Jan Stuhler & Po Yin Wong
- 2604.19968 Stochastic Networked Governance: Bridging Econophysics and Institutional Dynamics in a Positive-Sum Agent-Based Model
by Alok Yadav & Saroj Yadav
- 2604.19956 On-chain Peak Shaving
by Irene Aldridge & Gavhar Annaeva & Leyla Beriker & Zhiheng Cai & Samyak Choudhary & Camila Godoy & Kaicheng Gong & Zitao Huang & Jonah Ji & Hetvi Kharvasiya & Heng Li & Yuxuan Li & Tianchi Ma & Qingcheng Meng & Ruiyang Shi & Ananya Shrivastava & Jiaqi Wang & Yifan Wang & Zihua Wu & Jiayang Xu & Yuheng Yan & Zijun Zeng & Bowen Zhang & Francesco Zhang
- 2604.19925 Behavioral Transfer in AI Agents: Evidence and Privacy Implications
by Shilei Luo & Zhiqi Zhang & Hengchen Dai & Dennis Zhang
- 2604.19833 From Clerks to Agentic-AI: How will Technology Change Labor Market in Finance?
by Lu Yu & Xiang Li
- 2604.19819 Decision Traces: What Multi-System Data Fusion Reveals About Institutional Knowledge in Enterprise Hiring
by Saad Bin Shafiq
- 2604.19798 Diagnosing Urban Street Vitality via a Visual-Semantic and Spatiotemporal Framework for Street-Level Economics
by Xinxin Zhuo & Mengyuan Niu & Ruizhe Wang & Junyan Yang & Qiao Wang
- 2604.19796 Systemic Risk and Default Cascades in Global Equity Markets: A Network and Tail-Risk Approach Based on the Gai Kapadia Framework
by Ana Isabel Castillo Pereda
- 2604.19693 Recent Advances in Causal Analysis of the Stochastic Frontier Model
by Samuele Centorrino & Christopher F. Parmeter
- 2604.19627 Comment on "The Forsaken Road: Reassessing Living Standards Following the Cuban Revolution and the American Embargo"
by Francisco Rodr'iguez
- 2604.19605 Tuning in to Frequencies: How Global Assets Align with U.S. Put-Call Parity Residuals
by Useong Shin
- 2604.19604 The Cost of a Free Lunch: Evidence from U.S. Derivatives Markets
by Useong Shin
- 2604.19580 Probabilistic Forecasting for Day-ahead Electricity Prices, Battery Trading Strategies and the Economic Evaluation of Predictive Accuracy
by Simon Hirsch & Florian Ziel
- 2604.19476 Cross-Stock Predictability via LLM-Augmented Semantic Networks
by Yikuan Huang & Zheqi Fan & Kaiqi Hu & Yifan Ye
- 2604.19359 How damaging is zero-sum thinking to an agent's interests when the world is positive-sum?
by Shaun Hargreaves Heap & Mehmet Mars Seven
- 2604.19290 Orthogonal reparametrization of the Nelson-Siegel-Svensson interest rate curve model: conditioning, diagnostics, and identifiability
by Robert Flassig & Emrah Gulay & Daniel Guterding
- 2604.19260 Understanding the Mechanism of Altruism in Large Language Models
by Shuhuai Zhang & Shu Wang & Zijun Yao & Chuanhao Li & Xiaozhi Wang & Songfa Zhong & Tracy Xiao Liu
- 2604.19178 A rapid evaluation of Australia's COVID-era apprentice wage subsidy programs
by Peter Bowers & Patrick Rehill & Ethan Slaven
- 2604.19107 Structural Dynamics of G5 Stock Markets During Exogenous Shocks: A Random Matrix Theory-Based Complexity Gap Approach
by Kundan Mukhia & Imran Ansari & Md. Nurujjaman
- 2604.19044 Fair Commodity Taxation
by Eric Gao & Daniel Luo
- 2604.18849 From Exposure to Adoption: Generative AI in European Workplaces
by Golo Henseke
- 2604.18821 Evaluating Structured Strategy Backtests: Peer Benchmarks, Regime Timing, and Live Performance
by Chang Liu
- 2604.18778 Clustered Local Projections for Time-Varying Models
by Ana Maria Herrera & Elena Pesavento & Alessia Scudiero
- 2604.18767 Maritime Connectivity Vulnerability Index: Construction, Patterns, and Validation Across 185 Economies, 2006-2025
by Mohamed Bouka & Moulaye Abdel Kader Moulaye Ismail
- 2604.18605 Exploring Drivers of Extreme Housing Prices in Australia
by Grace Burtenshaw & Ashley Burtenshaw & Meagan Carney
- 2604.18602 Machine Spirits: Speculation and Adaptation of LLM Agents in Asset Markets
by Maxime Saxena & Marco Pangallo & Cars Hommes & Fabio Caccioli & R. Maria del Rio-Chanona
- 2604.18500 QRAFTI: An Agentic Framework for Empirical Research in Quantitative Finance
by Terence Lim & Kumar Muthuraman & Michael Sury
- 2604.18373 Dissecting AI Trading: Behavioral Finance and Market Bubbles
by Shumiao Ouyang & Pengfei Sui
- 2604.18330 Can Institutional Integration of Western Balkans Stock Exchanges Strengthen Monetary Transmission?
by Stefan Tanevski
- 2604.18299 Pseudo-Substitutability: A Maximal Domain for Pairwise Stability in Matching Markets with Contracts
by Nadia Gui~naz'u & Noelia Juarez & Paola Manasero & Pablo Neme & Jorge Oviedo
- 2604.18243 On the market-consistent valuation of health insurance liabilities
by Simon Hochgerner & Jonas Ingmanns & Nicole Kastanek
- 2604.18144 Self-referentiality and asymmetric knowledge flows between journals. The case of economics
by Alberto Baccini & Carlo Debernardi
- 2604.18118 Contagion or Macroeconomic Fluctuations? Identifiability in Aggregated Default Data
by Shintaro Mori
- 2604.18108 Sharing the proceeds from a hierarchical venture when agents have needs
by R. Pablo Arribillaga & Juan D. Moreno-Ternero & Pablo Neme
- 2604.18078 Factor-Augmented Panel Regressions and Variance-Weighted Treatment Effects
by Art=uras Juodis & Martin Weidner
- 2604.18044 Perceived Social Norms under Uncertainty
by Senran Lin
- 2604.17970 Do Projects Learn Across Space and Time? Evidence from the Olympics
by Atif Ansar & Bent Flyvbjerg & Alexander Budzier
- 2604.17952 Causal inference for social network formation
by Maximilian Kasy & Elizabeth Linos & Sanaz Mobasseri
- 2604.17946 Import-Dependent Grain Processing Hubs: The Case of T\"{u}rkiye's Flour Sector
by M. Levent Kurnaz
- 2604.17923 Optimal linear-payment auction design with aftermarket collaboration
by Dazhong Wang & Ruqu Wang & Xinyi Xu
- 2604.17697 Hysteresis and Selection in the Rise of Fascism: The `Ordinary Men' of the Nazi Party
by Luis Bosshart & Max Deter & Leander Heldring & Cathrin Mohr & Matthias Weigand
- 2604.17676 Subsample-Based Estimation under Dynamic Contamination
by Yukai Yang & Rickard Sandberg
- 2604.17593 Post-Screening Portfolio Selection
by Yoshimasa Uematsu & Shinya Tanaka
- 2604.17579 Vault as a credit instrument
by Anastasiia Zbandut & Carolina Goldstein
- 2604.17576 Strategic Pricing and Consumer Welfare under One-Sided Price Regulation
by Philipp Denter
- 2604.17490 Joint Exclusivity
by Nawaf Mohammed
- 2604.17327 Signal or Noise in Multi-Agent LLM-based Stock Recommendations?
by George Fatouros & Kostas Metaxas
- 2604.17239 Bootstrap consistency for general double/debiased machine learning estimators
by Ziming Lin & Fang Han
- 2604.17183 A Model and Estimation of the Bitcoin Transaction Fee
by Daniel Aronoff & Kristian Praizner & Armin Sabouri
- 2604.17167 The Hidden Plumbing of Stablecoins: Financial and Technological Risks in the GENIUS Act Era
by Daniel Aronoff & F. Christopher Calabia & Anders Brownworth & Ashwanth Samuel & Neha Narula
- 2604.17166 The Virtue of Sparsity in Complexity
by Nima Afsharhajari & Jonathan Yu-Meng Li
- 2604.16997 Hedging the Singularity
by Andrew Y. Chen
- 2604.16973 Decomposition Envy-Freeness in Random Assignment
by Yasushi Kawase & Warut Suksompong & Hanna Sumita & Yu Yokoi
- 2604.16835 The CTLNet for Shanghai Composite Index Prediction
by Haibin Jiao
- 2604.16773 Topological Risk Parity
by Revant Nayar & Dnyanesh Kulkarni & El Mehdi Ainasse
- 2604.16716 Climate Risk Stress Testing in California: A Geospatial Framework for Banking and Climate-Exposed Sectors
by Satya Narayana Panda & Aishworzo Saha
- 2604.16690 Integrating Diagnostic Checks into Estimation
by Reca Sarfati & Vod Vilfort
- 2604.16472 Training Language Models for Bilateral Trade with Private Information
by Dirk Bergemann & Soheil Ghili & Xinyang Hu & Chuanhao Li & Zhuoran Yang
- 2604.16467 Target Weight Mechanism doesn't make delta hedge easier
by Ruichao Jiang & Long Wen
- 2604.16465 Healthcare AI for Automation or Allocation? A Transaction Cost Economics Framework
by Ari Ercole
- 2604.16438 Ranking Metrics: Extending Acceptability and Performance Indexes
by Asmerilda Hitaj & Elisa Mastrogiacomo & Ilaria Peri & Marcelo Righi
- 2604.16432 Quantifying how AI Panels improve precision
by Nicholas CL Beale
- 2604.16186 Path-Explosive Behaviour in Economic Time Series: A Realization-Centred Exploratory Framework
by Jos'e Francisco Perles-Ribes
- 2604.16127 The Econometrics of Matching with Transferable Utility: A Progress Report
by Pierre-Andre Chiappori & Dam Linh Nguyen & Bernard Salanie
- 2604.15881 Optimal Insurance Menu Design under the Expected-Value Premium Principle
by Xia Han & Bin Li
- 2604.15825 Convergence to collusion in algorithmic pricing
by Kevin Michael Frick
- 2604.15819 Estimating Government Worker Skills
by Kevin Michael Frick & Jonas Gathen
- 2604.15811 The realized copula of volatility
by Kim Christensen & Wenjing Liu & Zhi Liu & Yoann Potiron
- 2604.15661 A Theory of Covenant Accounting Adjustment
by Pingyang Gao & Xu Jiang & Jinzhi Lu
- 2604.15571 Informativeness under Model Uncertainty: Shadow Prices and Ridge Penalties
by Jieun Lee & Esfandiar Maasoumi
- 2604.15564 Mobility Behaviour of Immigrants in Canada: Analyzing Mode Choice Using GPS Panel Data and Mixed Logit Models
by Tareq Alsaleh & Bilal Farooq & Zachary Patterson
- 2604.15563 True and Pseudo-True Parameters
by Isaiah Andrews & Harvey Barnhard & Jacob Carlson
- 2604.15531 Spurious Predictability in Financial Machine Learning
by Sotirios D. Nikolopoulos
- 2604.15519 Broken Symmetry, Conservation Law, and Scaling in Accumulated Stock Returns -- a Modified Jones-Faddy Skew t-Distribution Perspective
by Arshia Ghasemi & Siqi Shao & R. A. Serota
- 2604.15463 Risk-Sensitive Investment Management via Free Energy-Entropy Duality
by Sebastien Lleo & Wolfgang Runggaldier
- 2604.15444 Watching Trade from Space: Nowcasting and Spatial Extrapolation of Port-Level Maritime Trade Using Satellite Imagery
by Yonggeun Jung
- 2604.15437 Jackknife Instrumental Variable Inference
by Federico Crudu & Giovanni Mellace & Zsolt S'andor
- 2604.15349 Time Preference and Tax Burden Acceptance: Asymmetric Effects on Intertemporal and Contemporaneous Redistribution
by Eiji Yamamura & Fumio Ohtake
- 2604.15264 Knowing that you do not know everything
by Alex A. T. Rathke
- 2604.15045 Antitrust on Aisle Five: How Well Do Divestiture Remedies Work?
by Xiao Dong & Paul Koh & Devesh Raval & Dominic Smith & Brett Wendling
- 2604.14793 LR-Robot: An Human-in-the-Loop LLM Framework for Systematic Literature Reviews with Applications in Financial Research
by Wei Wei & Jin Zheng & Zining Wang & Weibin Feng
- 2604.14758 Ticket to ride: Impact of free public transport on women's workforce participation in India
by Udayan Rathore & Ashish Singh
- 2604.14619 The Acoustic Camouflage Phenomenon: Re-evaluating Speech Features for Financial Risk Prediction
by Dhruvin Dungrani & Disha Dungrani
- 2604.14486 Tweedie Calculus
by Santiago Torres
- 2604.14467 Who Saw It Coming? Historical Experience and the 2021 Inflation Forecast Failure
by Dalibor Stevanovic
- 2604.14439 Multi periods mean-DCVaR optimization: a Recursive Neural Network resolution
by J'er^ome Lelong & V'eronique Maume-Deschamps & William Thevenot
- 2604.14394 Generalized Autoregressive Multivariate Models: From Binary to Poisson
by Anna Bykhovskaya & Nour Meddahi
- 2604.14260 How do you know you won't like it if you've (never) tried it? Preference discovery and data design
by Sebastiano Della Lena & Alessio Muscillo & Paolo Pin
- 2604.14257 Mapping the causal structure of price formation in Texas's transitioning electricity market
by Shiva Madadkhani & Nils Sturma & Mathias Drton & Svetlana Ikonnikova
- 2604.14206 Portfolio Optimization Proxies under Label Scarcity and Regime Shifts via Bayesian and Deterministic Students under Semi-Supervised Sandwich Training
by Adhiraj Chattopadhyay
- 2604.14199 PolyBench: Benchmarking LLM Forecasting and Trading Capabilities on Live Prediction Market Data
by Pu Cheng & Juncheng Liu & Yunshen Long
- 2604.14059 A Comparative Study of Dynamic Programming and Reinforcement Learning in Finite Horizon Dynamic Pricing
by Lev Razumovskiy & Nikolay Karenin
- 2604.13998 The Revenue Effect of Demand Misspecification in Event Ticket Pricing
by Lev Razumovskiy & Nikolay Karenin & Mikhail Safro
- 2604.13896 Gender, Unpaid Work, and Social Norms in Young Italian Families: Evidence from Couples Time Diaries
by C. Monfardini & E. Pisanelli
- 2604.13890 Sandpile Economics: Theory, Identification, and Evidence
by Diego Vallarino
- 2604.13798 Higher-order ATM asymptotics for the CGMY model via the characteristic function
by Allen Hoffmeyer & Christian Houdr'e
- 2604.13794 Balanced Contributions in Networks and Games with Externalities
by Frank Huettner
- 2604.13603 On the Design of Stochastic Electricity Auctions
by Thomas Hubner
- 2604.13597 Daycare Matching with Siblings: Social Implementation and Welfare Evaluation
by Kan Kuno & Daisuke Moriwaki & Yoshihiro Takenami
- 2604.13545 Waiting for Help: Timely Access to Psychological Support for Young Adults Exposed to Parental Substance Misuse
by Bastien Michel & Soeren Albeck Nielsen & Morten Hesse & Kristine Roemer Thomsen & Marianne Simonsen
- 2604.13478 Deepbullwhip: An Open-Source Simulation and Benchmarking for Multi-Echelon Bullwhip Analyses
by Mansur M. Arief
- 2604.13458 Interpretable Systematic Risk around the Clock
by Songrun He
- 2604.13399 Root-$n$ Asymptotically Normal Maximum Score Estimation
by Nan Liu & Yanbo Liu & Yuya Sasaki & Yuanyuan Wan
- 2604.13334 Against a Universal Trading Strategy: No-Arbitrage, No-Free-Lunch, and Adversarial Cantor Diagonalization
by Karl Svozil
- 2604.13311 Topological Complexity and Phase Space Stability: A Persistent Homology Approach to Cryptocurrency Risk
by Gabriel Santana & Jemirson Ramirez
- 2604.13260 Which Voices Move Markets? Speaker Identity and the Cross-Section of Post-Earnings Returns
by Karmanpartap Singh Sidhu & Junyi Fan & Maryam Pishgar
- 2604.13224 Micro and Macro Perspectives on Production-Based Markups
by John Fernald & Amit Gandhi & Dimitrije Ruzic & James Traina
- 2604.13188 Is Productivity Advantage of Cities Really Down To Mean and Variance?
by Vladislav Morozov & Andrea Sy
- 2604.13150 Unveiling the Nexus Between Economic Complexity and Environmental Sustainability: Evidence from BRICS-T Countries
by Emre Akusta
- 2604.12992 Causal Diffusion Models for Counterfactual Outcome Distributions in Longitudinal Data
by Farbod Alinezhad & Jianfei Cao & Gary J. Young & Brady Post
- 2604.12991 Investigating the Impacts of Exchange Rate and Inflation on Exports: A Double Threat or Opportunity for Turkiye?
by Emre Akusta
- 2604.12927 Forecasting Oil Prices Across the Distribution: A Quantile VAR Approach
by Hilde C. Bjornland & Nicolas Hardy & Dimitris Korobilis
- 2604.12900 Emulating Stepped-Wedge Cluster Randomized Trials to Evaluate Health Policies and Interventions
by Haidong Lu & Gregg S. Gonsalves & Fan Li & Guanyu Tong & Lee Kennedy-Shaffer
- 2604.12818 Causal Graphs for Conditional Parallel Trends
by Michael C. Knaus & Henri Pfleiderer
- 2604.12783 A Bayes-Factor-Guided Approach to Post-Double Selection with Bootstrapped Multiple Imputation
by Johannes Bleher & Claudia Tarantola
- 2604.12611 Distributional Change in Ordinal Data with Missing Observations: Minimal Mobility and Partial Identification
by Rami V. Tabri
- 2604.12563 Latent community paths in VAR-type models via dynamic directed spectral co-clustering
by Younghoon Kim & Changryong Baek
- 2604.12368 A Diagnostics-First Composite Index for Macro-Financial Resilience to Socioeconomic Challenges: The Gondauri Index with Benchmarking and Scenario Evidence
by Davit Gondauri
- 2604.12263 Partial Identification of Policy-Relevant Treatment Effects with Instrumental Variables via Optimal Transport
by Jiyuan Tan & Jose Blanchet & Vasilis Syrgkanis
- 2604.12197 Emergence of Statistical Financial Factors by a Diffusion Process
by Jose Negrete Jr & Jaime Joel Ramos
- 2604.12181 How to Use Prices for Efficient Online Matching
by Terence Highsmith
- 2604.12125 The Design of Optimally Balanced Pay-as-you-go Social Security Systems
by Leandro Lyra Braga Dognini
- 2604.12114 A Decomposition Method for LQ Conditional McKean-Vlasov Control Problems with Random Coefficients
by On'esime Hounkpe & Dena Firoozi & Shuang Gao
- 2604.12112 What Drives Energy Use? Prices, Efficiency Policies, and the Demand Frontier
by David Benatia & R'emy Molini'e & Pierre-Olivier Pineau
- 2604.12082 When Forecast Accuracy Fails: Rank Correlation and Decision Quality in Multi-Market Battery Storage Optimization
by Alessandro Falezza
- 2604.11926 Shock, Communication, and Yield Curve Repricing: A Two-Step Empirical Framework for Copom Events in Brazil
by Gabriel de Macedo Santos
- 2604.11760 Effects of interviewers on response to income and wealth items
by Moslem Rashidi
- 2604.11577 Risk-Constrained Kelly for Mutually Exclusive Outcomes: CRRA Support Invariance and Logarithmic One-Dimensional Calibration
by Christopher D. Long
- 2604.11561 A Counterfactual Diagnostic Framework for Explaining KS Deterioration in Credit Risk Model Validation
by Yiqing Wang
- 2604.11479 Structural Consequences of Policy-Based Interventions on the Global Supply Chain Network
by Lea Karbevska & Liming Xu & Zehui Dai & Sara AlMahri & Alexandra Brintrup
- 2604.11477 OOM-RL: Out-of-Money Reinforcement Learning Market-Driven Alignment for LLM-Based Multi-Agent Systems
by Kun Liu & Liqun Chen
- 2604.11413 A Herding-Based Model of Technological Transfer and Economic Convergence: Evidence from Central and Eastern Europe
by Vygintas Gontis & Lesya Kolinets
- 2604.11393 Average Marginal Effects in One-Step Partially Linear Instrumental Regressions
by Lucas Girard & Elia Lapenta
- 2604.11384 Statehood Without Capacity
by Rok Spruk
- 2604.11243 Knowledge Compounding: An Empirical Economic Analysis of Self-Evolving Knowledge Wikis under the Agentic ROI Framework
by Shuide Wen & Beier Ku
- 2604.11143 Temperature Anomalies and Climate Physical Risk in Portfolio Construction
by Michele Azzone & Carlo Bechi & Gabriele Sbaiz
- 2604.11100 Mechanism Design for Investment Regulation under Herding
by Huisheng Wang & H. Vicky Zhao
- 2604.10845 Learning Preferences from Conjoint Data: A Structural Deep Learning Approach
by Avidit Acharya & Jens Hainmueller & Yiqing Xu
- 2604.10820 A Strict Gap Between Relaxed and Partition-Constrained Spectral Compression in a Six-State Lumpable Markov Chain
by Oleg Kiriukhin
- 2604.10792 Variable-Length Markov Chains on Finite Quivers: Boundary-Window Identifiability, Exact Depth, and Local Rank Comparison
by Oleg Kiriukhin
- 2604.10770 Econometric Inference with Machine-Learned Proxies: Partial Identification via Data Combination
by Lixiong Li
- 2604.10758 Investing Is Compression
by Oscar Stiffelman
- 2604.10752 Entropy-Rate Selection for Partially Observed Processes
by Oleg Kiriukhin
- 2604.10657 Lambda R{\'e}nyi entropic value-at-risk
by Zhenfeng Zou
- 2604.10638 Timing, Entry, and Revenue in Clock-Based Platform Markets
by Thomas Pitz & Vinicius Ferraz
- 2604.10570 Unveiling contrasting impacts of heat mitigation and adaptation policies on U.S. internal migration
by Chao Li & Xing Su & Chao Fan & Yang Li & Luping Li & Chunmo Zheng & Wenglong Chao & Leena Jarvi & Han Lin & Juan Tu
- 2604.10529 AI Patents in the United States and China: Measurement, Organization, and Knowledge Flows
by Hanming Fang & Xian Gu & Hanyin Yan & Wu Zhu
- 2604.10492 Aharanov-Bohm Type Arbitrage and Homological Obstructions in Financial Markets
by Takanori Adachi
- 2604.10402 Risk-Sensitive Specialist Routing for Volatility Forecasting
by Tenghan Zhong
- 2604.10375 On the Structure of Risk Contribution: A Leave-One-Out Decomposition into Inherent and Correlation Risk
by Nolan Alexander & Frank Fabozzi
- 2604.10360 Good Question! The Effect of Positive Feedback on Contributions to Online Public Goods
by Johannes Wachs & Leonore Roseler & Tobias Gesche & Elliott Ash & Anik'o Hann'ak
- 2604.10232 Gaussian approximation for maximum score and non-smooth M-estimators with multiway dependence
by Harold D. Chiang & Ahnaf Rafi
- 2604.10194 Mandatory Disclosure in Oligopolistic Market Making
by Seongjin Kim & Jin Hyuk Choi
- 2604.10006 Moral Hazard in Delegated Bayesian Persuasion
by Wilfried Youmbi Fotso & Xun Chen
- 2604.10005 What Happens When Institutional Liquidity Enters Prediction Markets: Identification, Measurement, and a Synthetic Proof of Concept
by Shaw Dalen
- 2604.09986 The Long-Only Minimum Variance Portfolio in a One-Factor Market: Theory and Asymptotics
by Alec Kercheval & Ololade Sowunmi
- 2604.09871 The Division of Understanding: Specialization and Democratic Accountability
by Giampaolo Bonomi
- 2604.09858 Coupling Designs for Randomized Experiments with Complex Treatments
by Max Cytrynbaum & Fredrik Savje
- 2604.09855 Instructing LLMs to Negotiate using Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards
by Shuze Daniel Liu & Claire Chen & Jiabao Sean Xiao & Lei Lei & Yuheng Zhang & Yisong Yue & David Simchi-Levi
- 2604.09821 Global Persistence, Local Residual Structure: Forecasting Heterogeneous Investment Panels
by Oleg Roshka
- 2604.09736 Training Neural Networks Embedded in Dynamic Discrete Choice Models
by Ecenur Oguz & Robert L. Bray
- 2604.09663 JFR-rg: A New Macroeconomic Framework for High-Debt, Low-Growth Economies under Financial Repression
by Hirofumi Wakimoto
- 2604.09650 Dynamic Forecasting and Temporal Feature Evolution of Stock Repurchases in Listed Companies Using Attention-Based Deep Temporal Networks
by Xiang Ao & Jingxuan Zhang & Xinyu Zhao