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Content
2026
- 2610.35748 Model Selection for Off-Policy Evaluation via Pairwise Bellman Validation
by Lars van der Laan & Vasilis Syrgkanis & Nathan Kallus
- 2610.35738 Fuji: The Shape, Composition, and Spread of Demand Bursts on Robinhood Chain
by Pranay Anchuri
- 2610.35702 Weekend Crypto Volatility and Monday Market Risk
by Pedram Ebadollahyvahed & Nneka Umeorah
- 2610.35692 Self-Confirming Equilibrium under Model Misspecification
by Riccardo Formenti
- 2610.35666 Regression Adjustment for Ratios of Treatment Effects in Randomized Experiments
by Haruo Kakehi
- 2610.35511 Extremal Perfect Monotone Equilibria in Bayesian Games with Strategic Complementarities
by Wei He & Yeneng Sun & Hanping Xu
- 2610.35476 Differentiability and Convexity of the Solution Maps for Fully Non-linear Parabolic HJB Equations
by Jean-Franc{c}ois Chassagneux & St'ephane Cr'epey & Gr'egoire Loeper & Justin Ruelland
- 2610.35118 Scenario Matching for Credit Dependence Stress Tests: Temporal correlation constraints and empirical risk bounds
by Naoufal Nifa
- 2610.35022 Martingality in EFM Signature Volatility Models
by Dimitri Sotnikov & Adeline Viot
- 2610.34936 Det-MASO: Diversity-Regularized Multi-Agent Sequential Optimization for Factor Generation
by Tiantian Wu & Peng Yang
- 2610.34818 Cordon Tolls and Urban Traffic Volumes: Evidence from NYC's 2025 Congestion Relief Zone
by Yash Prajapati
- 2610.34787 Do Round Numbers Hold Prices? Occupation Densities and Depth-Conditioned Hazards in the Limit Order Book
by Jiwon Jung & Kiseop Lee
- 2610.34771 Revealed Convex Preference
by John K. -H. Quah & Rui Tang
- 2610.34629 Higher-Order Marginal Likelihood Approximation for Nonlinear State Space Models
by Joshua C. C. Chan & Wei Zhang
- 2610.34578 Equilibrium Existence in Oligopoly Pricing and Consumer Search
by Yue Li
- 2610.34547 Demand Estimation with Unobserved Stockout Substitution: Exact Likelihood Maximization
by Chenhao Wang & Hansheng Jiang & Ningyuan Chen
- 2610.34508 Screening AI-equipped applicants
by Pengyu Qian & Sophie H. Yu
- 2610.34460 The fiscal limits of efficient trade
by Toan Le & Saara Hamalainen & C'esar Barilla
- 2610.34412 Stable matching under regulation
by Chao Huang
- 2610.34348 Optimal ratcheting dividend policies with resets
by Alexandre Roch & Simone Scotti
- 2610.34198 Testing for Essential Heterogeneity in the Marginal Treatment Effects Model
by Yuhao Li & Minghai Mao & Xiaojun Song
- 2610.34153 Certifying Reward Alignment in Portfolio Reinforcement Learning
by Matin Tavakoli & Seyedreza Tavakoli & Faezeh Salmani & Amir Amini & Mohammad Hosein Rohban & Gholamali Aminian & Ali Habibnia
- 2610.34133 Smart charging without rebound peaks: Wholesale price feedback limits distribution grid peaks from price-responsive electric vehicles
by Lion Hirth
- 2610.33786 Jensen gaps and the decomposition principle
by Lilian Hu & Ruodu Wang
- 2610.33785 Geoeconomic Stress and European Defence Readiness
by d'Artis Kancs
- 2610.33660 Multiplicity and Uniqueness of Equilibria in Continuous-Time Dynamic Discrete Games
by Jason R. Blevins & Youngjae Jeong
- 2610.33604 What FLARE's Published Numbers Actually Measure
by Dung Cao & Palaash Gang & Arjun Veluri
- 2610.33597 Optimal portfolio choice under green transition timing risk
by Emma Kroell & Mogens Steffensen
- 2610.33555 Conference Design for Consensus under KL Acceptance
by Liping Tang & Michiko Ogaku
- 2610.33538 Tokenised Sukuk: A Verifiable Architecture for Asset Evidence and Programmable Shariah Compliance
by Rischan Mafrur & Khadijah & Gun Gun Febrianza
- 2610.33461 Approximate Quantile Factor Models
by Xiaochun Liu
- 2610.33453 Cross-Bond Panel Learning for Next-Day Price Forecasting of Chinese Convertible Bonds: A Reality Check
by Derun Zhong & Guolian Wang & Shiqing Wang & Hongjie Feng
- 2610.33447 Efficiency vs Capability in the Intelligence Explosion
by Karthik Tadepalli
- 2610.33438 Compiling and forecasting implied volatility surfaces via survey sampling, tempered inverse-probability sequence learning, and causal activity clocks
by Deepak Bastola & Eli Prushansky
- 2610.33400 Tracking High-Frequency Trading Activity in China and Its Effects on Market Quality
by Li Guo & Frank Weikai Li & Ding Qi & Lijian Sun
- 2610.33390 Observable Self-Restraint in Repeated Cheap Talk
by Haohui Wang
- 2610.33334 Joint Service Depth and Priority Design in Queueing Systems
by Adam N. Elmachtoub & Yash Kanoria & Jonathan Y. Tan
- 2610.33291 Classifying Brazilian Monetary Policy States with Interest Rate Gaps and Markov Models
by Gabriel de Macedo Santos
- 2610.33254 Informative inference on the average treatment effect with instrumental variables
by Luca Locher & Thomas Richardson & Mats Stensrud
- 2610.33137 Smoothing splines with some discontinuities
by Matteo Pelagatti & Paolo Maranzano & Giulio Cesare Gatto Ronchieri
- 2610.33132 A Stationary Mean-Field Model for Carbon Market Stability Reserve
by Ren'e Aid & Federico Cannerozzi & Giorgio Ferrari
- 2610.33122 The Digital-Energy Recomposition of the Kitchin Cycle: Exploratory Evidence from U.S. IT and Irish Data-Centre Series (1995-2025)
by Bartosz Ziollko & Adam Niedzialkowski & Bartosz Szyma
- 2610.33109 Uncertainty Quantification for Financial Foundation Models: A Survey
by Zijie Zhao & Mingjun Sun & Shenbo Xu
- 2610.33103 Prospect Theory in Large Language Models: A Meta-Analysis of Loss Aversion, Diminishing Sensitivity, and Probability Weighting
by Adi Tarabeih
- 2610.33102 The Capability Transfer: Cohort Reversal, Codified Expertise, and the Adaptability Tax of AI Transformation
by Ina Catrinescu
- 2610.33098 Identifying level-$k$ reasoning in repeated games: Strategies, beliefs, and cognitive ability
by David Gill & Yaroslav Rosokha
- 2610.32970 On the continuity of conditional distributions and stratification for derivative pricing
by Aleksandar Arandjelovic & Patrick Cheridito
- 2610.32963 Fiscal Dominance and Global Determinacy
by Alessandro Piergallini
- 2610.32959 Optimal collective investment under regulatory uncertainty
by An Chen & Christian Laudag'e & Shihao Zhu
- 2610.32958 Information Requirements for Resolving Implementation Impossibilities
by Yuta Nakamura
- 2610.32945 Monetizing Intelligence: Advertising and Subscription Design on LLM Platforms
by Yuhang Ji & Fasheng Xu & Tianjun Feng
- 2610.32877 A metric on solutions of the bargaining problem
by Stefan Steinerberger
- 2610.32846 Local Polynomial Estimation in Irregular Correlated Random Coefficient Panel Data Models
by Yelong Chen & Hua Jin & Yuxuan Ren
- 2610.32735 Optimal Treatment Assignment Rules on Networked Populations
by Abhishek Ananth
- 2610.32681 Optimal Random Taxation
by Chengfeng Shen & Felix K{u}bler
- 2610.32614 Risk Adequacy and Anti-Discrimination in Insurance Pricing: Classification, Aggregation, and Transfers
by Wiebke Hansen & Stefan Weber & Mario Wuthrich
- 2610.32455 Delayed Retirement, Intergenerational Transfers, and Fertility
by Yi Fan & Shuangshuang Song & Yewen Yu
- 2610.32355 AI-Augmented Research: Free to Write, Costly to Read
by Wolfgang Kuhle
- 2610.32350 Duality of Shortfall Aversion
by Jaehyun Kim & Hoi Ying Wong
- 2610.32300 Jawboning the Fed: Do Markets Listen When Administrations Talk?
by Michela Baretti & Umberto Collodel & Jacopo Zacch'e
- 2610.32237 Financial Context-Rich Strategy for Actor-Critic based Agents: A Deep Reinforcement Learning Approach for Stock Trading
by Hrishikesh Singh & Aarti Sharma & Millie Pant
- 2610.31978 Parallel Trends as a Spectrum
by Kyle Schindl & Joseph Fry & Florian Gunsilius & Larry Wasserman
- 2610.31903 Optimal Size in Market Making under State-Dependent Hawkes Process
by Jonathan Ch'avez Casillas & Li Gan
- 2610.31825 Mimicking Volatilities under Marginal Constraints via $q_x$-Bass Martingales: A Parallel Computing Approach
by Antonio Marini
- 2610.31817 Dynamic Test Design
by Doruk Cetemen & Francesc Dilm'e
- 2610.31693 When AI Gets Cheaper, Do Prices Follow? Information Delays and Algorithmic Pricing
by Krish Tadigotla
- 2610.31537 Causal inference in staggered adoption panels: The correct comparison set depends on your intervention
by Ian Lundberg & Yaling Xu
- 2610.31418 A Resource Allocation Tournament
by Adam Nathaniel & Refael Hassin
- 2610.31159 Beyond city pairs: Higher-order information in urban growth across borders
by Cillian Hourican & Debraj Roy
- 2610.31141 Intraday Forecasting Ability and Liquidity Provision of Institutional Traders
by Xinlei Hao & Jiajun Guo & Jussi Keppo & Xianhua Peng
- 2610.31106 Testing for peer effects in short panels without identifying the network structure
by Tom Boot & Art=uras Juodis
- 2610.31074 Directionally Correct Views in Portfolio Optimization
by Ojas Kumar & Sreejit Dey & Sarvesh Ravichandran Iyer & Sandeep Juneja
- 2610.31038 Multichoice Modeling: Exploring Decision Configuration Space under Uncertainty
by Mariia Kozlova & Roman Stepanov & Alexander Walzer & Andrea Saltelli
- 2610.30956 Risk Sensitivity and Stationary Equilibrium in Incomplete Markets
by Qingyin Ma & John Stachurski & Bin Wu
- 2610.30891 Equilibria and Learning in Competitive Market Making
by Matteo Onger & Luigi Foscari
- 2610.30886 The Reaction of Financial Markets to the Releases of DeepSeek R1 and Kimi K3: A Critical Analysis
by Marco Taboga
- 2610.30858 Joules-to-GDP: How Much Economic Value Do AI Systems Produce per Unit of Energy?
by Amirreza Zeinali & Jon Saad-Falcon & Avanika Narayan & Mersad Abbasi & Jonathan S. Hartley & John Hennessy & Christopher Re & Azalia Mirhoseini
- 2610.30807 A Weakly Group Strategy-Proof and Pareto-Stable Matching Mechanism with Two-Sided Indifferences under Gross Substitutes
by Yasushi Kawase & Ryosuke Sato
- 2610.30752 The Delegation Divide: An Open Index of AI-Agent Delegability across Occupations and Countries
by Cristian Espinal Maya & Santiago Jim'enez Londo~no
- 2610.30637 Multiple Stopping and Exercise Boundaries for American Put Options
by Katsunori Ano
- 2610.30564 When News Gets Old: Portfolio Allocation with Reinforcement Learning and Large Language Models
by Bolin Song & Surui Xiang
- 2610.30563 Selling Evidence Bit by Bit
by Nima Haghpanah & Xiao Lin & Ron Siegel
- 2610.30557 Governed Self-Evolution for Autonomous Investing: A Multi-Agent LLM System with an Invariant Core
by Yebo Feng & Jingyang Dai & Liangrui Pan & Nelson Lau & Jiahua Xu & Yang Liu
- 2610.30539 Dynamics of the Liquidity Profile in Concentrated Liquidity Provision: An SPIDE Approach
by Cheuk Yin Lee & Jimmy Risk & Shen-Ning Tung & Tai-Ho Wang
- 2610.30527 Austerity, Gender, and Multidimensional Deprivation Among Older Europeans: Evidence from SHARE
by Nita Handastya
- 2610.30487 Monetary Policy Forecast Errors and Inflation Compensation under Sovereign Stress in Brazil
by Giovana & Tommy
- 2610.30408 The Limits of Price Discrimination When the Market Is Unknown
by Irfan Tekdir
- 2610.30324 Paying for Information, Not for Clicks: A Block-Level Publisher Content Marketplace for AI Answers
by Markus Mobius & Luca Braghieri & Sarah Eichmeyer & Daniel G. Goldstein & Nicole Immorlica & Oliver Kiss & Ro'ee Levy & Brendan Lucier & Ishan Mahajan & Jingyi Qiu & Tanya Rosenblat & David M. Rothschild & Andras Sari & Alexsandrs Slivkins & Colin Watson
- 2610.30307 The Customer Is the Builder: How AI Coding Agents Are Rewriting the Economics of Software
by Ripon Chandra Malo & Zimeng Yu & Tong Qiu
- 2610.29847 Memory Manipulation
by Benson Tsz Kin Leung
- 2610.29663 Lineage-Aware Search Control for LLM-Based Evolutionary Factor Mining
by Xintong Liu & Chenkai Zhang & Yanzhao Ma & Peng Yang
- 2610.29652 Distributions or Quantiles? A Convex Variational Theory of Worst-Case Risk
by Jianjun Gao & Jonathan Yu-Meng Li & Zhen Wang & Yang Zhang
- 2610.29600 Demand Estimation for Rationally Inattentive Consumers
by Ruolei Zhu
- 2610.29578 What Prediction-Market Contracts Reveal at Launch: Trading Volume and Dispute Risk
by Ahmed Mahrous & Roberto Di Pietro
- 2610.29344 Climate-Driven Supply-Demand Matching Reshapes Global SolarEV Decarbonization Potential
by Yuchen Liu & Stefan Pfenninger-Lee & Tosiyuki Nakaegawa & Takuro Kobashi
- 2610.29221 Policy Learning with Network-Shaping Assignments
by Zhenxiao Chen & Zhiheng You
- 2610.29208 Revenue Guarantee Equivalence between Dominant-Strategy and Bayesian Mechanisms
by Nir Bachrach & Yi-Chun Chen & Inbal Talgam-Cohen & Xiangqian Yang & Wanchang Zhang
- 2610.29199 Motivation and Contribution in Open Source Software: A Meta-Analytic Investigation
by Parisa Omidmand & Saeed Nosratabadi
- 2610.29148 Testing Common Causality of Covariates: Evidence from Private-Sector Ban-the-Box Policies
by Sunny R. Karim
- 2610.28979 Anytime-Valid Inference in Conjoint Experiments
by Daniel Molitor & Jennah Gosciak & Michael Lindon
- 2610.28965 Discretion at the Margin: Threshold Manipulation and Electoral Bans in Colombian Public Procurement
by Cristian Espinal Maya & Santiago Jim'enez Londo~no
- 2610.28907 JaxMARL-BC: Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning for Macroeconomic Modelling, in Seconds
by Daniele Montagnani & Andrea Coletta & Antonietta Mira & Aldo Glielmo
- 2610.28863 A game-theoretic analysis of the market microstructure in decentralized exchanges with concentrated liquidity
by Mikhail Belokon & Rostislav Berezovskiy
- 2610.28847 DSINC beyond Heston: the 3/2 and other non-affine stochastic-volatility models
by Andrey Itkin
- 2610.28793 A cross-cultural dataset on the structure of social networks: The ENDOW project
by Eleanor A. Power & Daniel Redhead & Tom Rutter & Sahana Subramanyam & Jeremy Koster & Monique Borgerhoff Mulder & Samuel Bowles & Matthew O. Jackson & Nurul Alam & Sarah Alami & Alexandra Alvergne & Curtis Atkisson & Michele Barnes & Bret Beheim & Christine M. Beitl & Madeline Brown & Mark Caudell & Wendy Ch'{a}vez-P'{a}ez & Komal Chauhan & Joshua Cinner & Siobh'{a}n Cully & Augusto Dalla Ragione & Angelina L. DeMarco & Ivan Deschenaux & Federico Fernandez & Juan Pablo Ferreiro & Drew Gerkey & Matthew Gervais & Christopher Golden & Gianluca Grimalda & Werner Hertzog & Karen Kramer & Geoff Kushnick & Banrida Langstieh & Rodrigo Lazo & Sheina Lew-Levy & Shane Macfarlan & Emmanuel Maliti & Karl J. Mertens & Madalena Monteban & Rafael Morais Chiaravalloti & Daniel Murphy & Kathryn Oths & Alejandro P'{e}rez Velilla & Emily Post & Sean Prall & Cody Ross & Brooke Scelza & Michael Schnegg & Edmond Seabright & Mary K. Shenk & Kathrine E. Starkweather & Chun-Yi Sum & Cole Tobin & Bram Tucker & Bapu Vaitla & Vivek Venkataraman & Justin Weltz & John P. Ziker
- 2610.28783 Truth and Deception
by Jeremy Bertomeu & Edwige Cheynel
- 2610.28753 Understanding the Inner Workings of a State-Space Foundation Model for Limit Order Books
by Valentin Mohl & Alexandre Bismuth & Aramis Marti-Shahandeh & George Nigmatulin & Kang Li & Stefan Zohren & Jakob Foerster & Mihai Cucuringu & Anisoara Calinescu
- 2610.28639 Can AI Chat Replace Traditional Search? Evidence from a RAG-based Live Events Experiment
by Rakesh Allu & Evgeny Kagan
- 2610.28582 Optimal Incentive-Compatible Assignments with Endogenous School Priorities
by Federico Echenique & Juan S. Pereyra
- 2610.28562 OptScientist: Automated Discovery of Optimization Laws
by Ma ZhenYao & Yue Liang & Jian-Qiao Zhu
- 2610.28471 Overlapping Reserves without a Common Priority: Theory and an Application to School Choice in Chile
by Battal Dou{g}an & Kenzo Imamura & M. Bumin Yenmez
- 2610.28440 Entry, Exit, and Technological Progress in Markov-Perfect Duopoly
by Jaap H. Abbring & Jeffrey R. Campbell & Nan Yang
- 2610.28180 The Scale of Universalization in Multiplicative Kantian Equilibrium
by Igor Sloev & Gerasimos Lianos
- 2610.28175 Where Has the Foreign Signal Gone?
by Piyush Akimitsu & Ulrich Hounyo
- 2610.28169 A multiplier bootstrap score test for Tobit specification
by Xuewen Li & Xiaojun Song & Xiaogang Wang & Feipeng Zhang
- 2610.28154 Digital Nudge Effects in Optimal Stopping Games: Antagonistic Interactions in Layered Choice Architectures
by Batisse Manhardt & Ja-Nae Duane
- 2610.28133 Occupational Uniqueness and Wage Growth
by R. Vestrelli & A. Fronzetti Colladon
- 2610.28075 Speculative Imbalance Positions by Non-Physical Traders: Impacts on Electricity System Balancing in Great Britain
by Joseph Cary & Thomas Morstyn
- 2610.28071 Arithmetic Models for Commodity Futures, Vanilla, and Calendar Spread Options
by Malthe Rauh Johansen & Nina Lange & David Skovmand
- 2610.27975 Understanding CEO-Employee compensation dynamics: An agent-based simulation approach
by Dar'io Blanco-Fern'andez
- 2610.27857 Central Limit Theorems for Optimal Transport Functionals
by Haruki Kono
- 2610.27839 Extending Mechanisms
by Sergiu Hart & Noam Nisan
- 2610.27751 Market Regime-Based Multi-Asset Portfolio Optimization Using Nested Clustered Optimization for Tactical Asset Allocation
by Supriadi & Bambang Siswoyo
- 2610.27627 Random Disclosure Costs: A Unified Theory of Disclosure
by Jeremy Bertomeu & Edwige Cheynel & Keri Hu
- 2610.27576 Who Gains When the Umpire Is a Machine? Evidence from the Automated Ball-Strike System (ABS)
by Seung Jin Cho & Jun Yeong Lee
- 2610.27449 Theoretical Foundations of Sequential Dynamic Programming
by Alan Lujan
- 2610.27405 Evidence-Based Policy Choice in Macroeconomics
by Toru Kitagawa & Simone Martinalli
- 2610.27390 Choose your own adventure: How data source selection shapes urban accessibility analyses
by Geoff Boeing & Jiyoon Kim & Daniele Simon-Thompson & Jaehyun Ha & Ruoyu Chen
- 2610.27324 Discrete Choice with Generalized Social Interactions
by Oscar Volpe
- 2610.27296 Stronger artificial intelligence breakthroughs hasten their own exhaustion
by Beichen Lu & Honglin Bao & Qi Huang & Qingguo Meng & James A. Evans
- 2610.27255 Is sophistication a panacea? The learning capacity of random feature models for financial forecasting
by Martial Laguerre
- 2610.27224 Quantile-Only Regression: Inference and Partial Identification under Quantile Disclosure
by Masamune Iwasawa & Hayato Nakanishi
- 2610.27214 Deep catastrophic-risk-aware reinforcement learning
by Carlos Octavio P'erez Mendoza & Fr'ed'eric Godin
- 2610.27198 DeGroot Dynamics on Multiplex Networks with Directed and Acyclic Interlayer Connectivities
by Mia Zender & Kye Shi & Abigail Hickok & Weiqi Chu & Mason A. Porter
- 2610.27100 LOB-Impact Benchmark: Emergent Market Impact in Generative Limit Order Book Models
by George Nigmatulin & Valentin Mohl & Sascha Frey & Kang Li & Aramis Marti-Shahandeh & Mihai Cucuringu & Anisoara Calinescu & Jakob Foerster & Stefan Zohren
- 2610.26919 Dynamic portfolio selection under range value-at-risk with logarithmic returns
by Hui Mi & Yuzhe Pan & Zuo Quan Xu
- 2610.26797 Teacher Supervision, Fixed Representations and Calibration: Exact Risk Calculations for Candidate-Scoring Decision Models
by Agus Sudjianto & Denis Burakov
- 2610.26789 Cooperative Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning for Market Making on Prediction-Market Order Books
by Skander Lejmi
- 2610.26746 Probability-Weighting Functions for Normal Tempered-Stable Laws: Orthogonal Channels and Information-Theoretic Indices
by Akash Deep & Bhathiya Divelgama & A. Alexandre Trindade & W. Brent Lindquist & Svetlozar T. Rachev & Frank J. Fabozzi
- 2610.26576 Synthetic Control: An Exact Geometric Formulation
by Alberto Abadie & Yucheng Shang
- 2610.26494 Promotion Signaling and Signal Jamming: An Analysis of Job Title Inflation
by Yi Chen & Michael Waldman & Zhenda Yin
- 2610.26456 Regime-Aware Interpretable Ranking for Sector Rotation
by Kelvin J. L. Koa & Ziling Liu & Xinyang Li & Shuowei Feng & Ruoyu Liang & Mathieu Giroux & Eugene Y. Wen & Xuan Yao & Ke-Wei Huang & Hugo Lamarre
- 2610.26427 Almost Uniform Bias Correction for Persistent Panel Local Projections
by Geert Dhaene & Arturas Juodis
- 2610.26358 SHADE: Shrinkage via Halted Alpha-stable Denoising for Heavy-Tailed Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting
by Jiahao Weng & Jiyu Liu
- 2610.26324 The Control Layer Behind Rule-Following Agents Trading Across Market Conditions
by Saad Naja & Nasser Odtallah & Jake Van-Praag & Sarah May
- 2610.26298 Deep-$\pi^*$: A Neural Network Estimate of Trend Inflation
by Carlos Montes-Gald'on
- 2610.26031 AuDQ: Auditable Data Quality through Agentic Rule Discovery
by Jacopo Biggiogera & Nicolas Colombo & Krati Saxena & Bhaskarjit Sarmah & Stefano Pasquali
- 2610.25986 Tuning-Free Tests for Treatment Effect Heterogeneity via Expectile Processes
by Haokun Lu & Xiaojun Song
- 2610.25822 Conflicting History in Foundation Model Return Forecasts
by Levent Bulut
- 2610.25814 Balanced Social Learning
by Andrew Koh & Ricky Li
- 2610.25802 Amortized Neural Filtering for Calibrated Posteriors in Statistical Arbitrage
by Minkey Chang
- 2610.25756 Topological Compression of Prediction Market Belief States for Event Forecasting
by Aadit Jerfy
- 2610.25671 Arbitrage-Free Implied Volatility Surface Reconstruction via Additive Martingales
by Haochen Luo & Sifan Lin & Xiaolong Luo & An Binh Minh & Yuan Zhang & Chen Liu
- 2610.25667 A LATE-Targeting Experimental Design for Multi-Arm RCTs
by Tetsuya Kaji
- 2610.25603 When Better Opportunities Backfire: Service Worker Responses to Parallel AI Deployment in Customer Acquisition
by Xinyu Fu & Shulong Luo & Narayan Ramasubbu & Peng Shen & Xincheng Wang & Yucheng Wang
- 2610.25589 Linear Regression with Common Unobserved Heterogeneity
by Kaicheng Chen & Hugo Freeman
- 2610.25576 Winner's bliss: interdependent-value auctions with horizontal uncertainty
by Federico Echenique & Yu-Ting Ho
- 2610.25539 Informative Imitation
by Nemanja Antic & Harry Pei
- 2610.25495 Probabilistic Limit Order Book Forecasting with Conditional Diffusion Models
by Junyu Chen & Franklin Liu & Moshu Xu & Lijian Yang
- 2610.25468 More Mentions, Less Information? Diagnosing Identity and Alignment in Reddit Embeddings for Volatility Forecasting
by Zhiyu Zheng
- 2610.25453 Inference on Linear Programs via Feasibility Testing
by Sofya Budanova & Eric Mbakop
- 2610.25445 Bias correcting transaction cost models for characteristic function based estimators
by Abhik Rana & Sarvesh Ravichandran Iyer & Sandeep Juneja
- 2610.25421 Efficient estimation of measures of functional dependence
by Holger Dette & Fang Han
- 2610.25238 Persistence is not Independence: A structural Credibility Protocol for Distribution based Recovery in VARLiNGAM
by Tu Anh Doan Nguyen & Alessandro Bucciol
- 2610.25237 Conventional Inference under Nonstationary Heavy Tailed Fractional Processes & Arrays
by Ioannis Kasparis
- 2610.25167 Monotonicity in streaming problems
by Gustavo Berganti~nos & Juan D. Moreno-Ternero
- 2610.25038 Globally Optimal Estimation of Nested Logit Models
by Hoang Giang Pham & Tien Mai
- 2610.25009 Nonparametric Dyadic Quantile Regression
by Francesco Bravo & Degui Li & Zheng Li
- 2610.24973 Improved Approximation and Tight Competition for Simple Auctions
by Yichen Huang
- 2610.24901 Coarse Revenue Guarantee in First Price Auction and Beyond
by Linchen Zhang
- 2610.24819 Rating Multiple Agents with Career Concerns
by Huseyin Yildirim
- 2610.24792 Strategic Origins of Network Structure
by Christoph Riedl & Rory Smead
- 2610.24586 Conditional Weight of Evidence for Gradient-Boosted Credit Models: Estimation, Additivity and Its Relation to Adverse Action Reasons
by Agus Sudjianto & Denis Burakov
- 2610.24558 Optimal Trading Filters and the Value of Predictive Signals
by Matteo Smerlak
- 2610.24544 Rachev-Ratio Portfolio Optimization with TimeGAN Scenarios: Replacement versus Supplementation
by Yifan He
- 2610.24439 Dynamic Programming for Value-at-Risk Markov Decision Processes in Continuous Spaces
by Xian Chen & Erick Delage & Weikai Wang
- 2610.24267 How exposed is work to robotics? Occupational, industry, and geographic measures
by Sebastian Sartor & Robert Seamans & Neil Thompson
- 2610.24240 Extending Myerson's Optimal Auctions to Correlated Bidders via Neural Network Interpolation
by Mingyu Guo & Jiayuan Liu & Vincent Conitzer
- 2610.24230 Search and Matching without Reciprocity
by Nicolas Bonneton & Christopher Sandmann
- 2610.24192 The wealth-to-salary ratio: a simple indicator of inequality
by Jhordan Silveira de Borba & Sebastian Gonc{c}alves & Celia Anteneodo
- 2610.24169 A Pricing and Hedging Framework for Infinite-Dimensional Financial Markets
by Hanchao Liu
- 2610.24113 Graph-Regularized Synthetic Control for Stable Counterfactual Estimation under Donor Redundancy
by Yanlin Zhang & Sungyong Chung & Alireza Talebpour
- 2610.24035 TRACE: Governing AI-Assisted Research with Principles from Computer Science
by Amirhossein Zohrehvand & Aldona Kapacinskaite
- 2610.23971 Do AI Activity Indices Really Measure AI Activity?
by Riccardo Bertamini & Hugo M. V. Arsenio & Lorenzo Caputi & Andrea Procopio
- 2610.23934 Organizing LLM Inference for Aggregate Predictions from Behavioral Data
by Varun Gupta & Vijay Kamble
- 2610.23917 Announced Breaks Separate Conformal Reliability from Frequency Calibration
by Karl Li
- 2610.23901 Disentangling Liquidity-Constrained from Strategic Default: A Deep Learning Approach
by Arka P. Bandyopadhyay
- 2610.23869 Revenue Growth and Staff Expense: A Public-Company Follow-Up to Eclipse of Rent-Sharing
by Haochuan Wang
- 2610.23749 From Alpha to Execution: Trading Horizons, Regimes, and Schedules under Concave Impact and Hurst Scaling
by Dnyanesh Kulkarni & Revant Nayar
- 2610.23619 Cross-product Modelling in Continuous Intraday Electricity Markets via Hawkes Processes
by Ayoub Jhabli & Tarek Alskaif & Kwabena E. Bennin & Bedir Tekinerdogan & Joost M. E. Pennings
- 2610.23517 Combinatorial Arbitrage in Prediction Markets
by Hongjian Shi & Daojing Zhai
- 2610.23488 On the skew-curvature power law relationship in a stochastic volatility model with infinite variation L\'evy jumps
by `Oscar Bur'es & Josep Vives
- 2610.23391 Input-output analysis with a sphere packing approach
by Munkhbayar Byambadash & Tumendelger Lkhagvasuren & Enkhbat Rentsen
- 2610.23283 Market Efficiency in a Changing Asset Population: Mobility, Entry, and Survival over Cryptocurrency's Full History
by Antonis Ballis & Christos Ioannidis
- 2610.23282 A Characterization of Quantile Stable Matchings in Many-to-Many Markets
by Paola Manasero & Pablo Neme
- 2610.23193 Proportionality in Ranking Compression
by Daniel Halpern & Xinyu Liu & Evi Micha & Yu Peng Ng & Warut Suksompong
- 2610.23119 Online Conditional Vine Copulas: Forecasting Electricity Demand
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