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The Heterogeneous Effects of Global and National Business Cycles on Employment in U.S. States and Metropolitan Areas

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  • Alexander Chudik
  • Janet Koech
  • Mark A. Wynne

Abstract

The growth of globalization in recent decades has increased the importance of external factors as drivers of the business cycle in many countries. Globalization affects countries not just at the macro level but at the level of states and metro areas as well. This paper isolates the relative importance of global, national and region-specific shocks as drivers of the business cycle in individual U.S. states and metro areas. We document significant heterogeneity in the sensitivity of states and metro areas to global shocks, and show that direct trade linkages are not the only channel through which the global business cycle impacts regional economies.

Suggested Citation

  • Alexander Chudik & Janet Koech & Mark A. Wynne, 2018. "The Heterogeneous Effects of Global and National Business Cycles on Employment in U.S. States and Metropolitan Areas," Globalization Institute Working Papers 343, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:feddgw:343
    DOI: 10.24149/gwp343
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    Cited by:

    1. Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H., 2023. "Global financial cycles since 1880," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Global and regional business cycles; U.S. state and metro employment fluctuations; Global VAR (GVAR) approach;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • F62 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Macroeconomic Impacts
    • F66 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Labor

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