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A disaggregated analysis of employment growth fluctuations in Canada

  • Eswar Prasad
  • Alun Thomas
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    This paper studies the sources of fluctuations in Canadian employment growth disaggregated by province and, within each province, by one-digit industry. Using an error components decomposition, industry-specific shocks are found to be relatively more important in explaining fluctuations in employment growth. Aggregate and province-specific shocks also play an important role, with the latter contributing about 30 percent of the explained variance in employment growth. Using a set of additional identifying assumptions, the decomposition technique is then extended to construct time series on the underlying shocks and to examine their properties. Copyright International Atlantic Economic Society 1998

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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/BF02299345
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    Article provided by International Atlantic Economic Society in its journal Atlantic Economic Journal.

    Volume (Year): 26 (1998)
    Issue (Month): 3 (September)
    Pages: 274-287

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    Handle: RePEc:kap:atlecj:v:26:y:1998:i:3:p:274-287
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    1. Joseph G. Altonji & John C. Ham, 1986. "Variation in Employment Growth in Canada: The Role of External, National, Regional and Industrial Factors," NBER Working Papers 1816, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Norrbin, Stefan C. & Schlagenhauf, Don E., 1988. "An inquiry into the sources of macroeconomic fluctuations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 43-70, July.
    3. Eswar Prasad & Alun Thomas, 1998. "Labour Market Adjustment in Canada and the United States," Canadian Public Policy, University of Toronto Press, vol. 24(s1), pages 121-137, February.
    4. Robert A. Amano & R. Tiff Macklem, 1998. "Unemployment Persistence and Costly Adjustment of Labour: A Canada-US Comparison," Canadian Public Policy, University of Toronto Press, vol. 24(s1), pages 138-151, February.
    5. Alan C. Stockman, 1987. "Sectoral and National Aggregate Disturbances to Industrial Output in Seven European Countries," NBER Working Papers 2313, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Olivier Jean Blanchard & Lawrence F. Katz, 1992. "Regional Evolutions," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 23(1), pages 1-76.
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