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Export diversification and economic development: a dynamic spatial data analysis

Author

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  • Roberto Basile

    (Second University of Naples, Department of Economics (Capua - Caserta, Italy))

  • Aleksandra Parteka

    (Gdansk University of Technology, Faculty of Management and Economics (Gdansk, Poland))

  • Rosanna Pittiglio

    (Second University of Naples, Department of Economics (Capua - Caserta, Italy))

Abstract

This paper contributes to the empirical literature on the relationship between ‘export variety’ (export diversification) and economic development by relaxing the assumption of cross-country independence and allowing for spatial diffusion of shocks in observed and unobserved factors. Export variety is measured for a balanced panel of 114 countries (1992-2012) using very detailed information on their exports (HS 6-digit product level). The estimation results of a dynamic spatial panel data model confirm the relevance of spatial network effects: indirect effects (spatial spillovers) strongly reinforce direct effects, while spatial proximity to large countries accelerates the diversification process. These results are robust to the choice of the weights matrix (an inverse-distance matrix, an exponential distance matrix and a matrix based on bilateral trade flows are used).

Suggested Citation

  • Roberto Basile & Aleksandra Parteka & Rosanna Pittiglio, 2015. "Export diversification and economic development: a dynamic spatial data analysis," Gecomplexity Discussion Paper Series 15, Action IS1104 "The EU in the new complex geography of economic systems: models, tools and policy evaluation", revised Dec 2015.
    • Handle: RePEc:cst:wpaper:15
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    Cited by:

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    3. Oleksandr Popov & Sergiy Melnikov & Oleksandr Skachkov & Vasiliy Lyba, 2022. "Assessment of the Level of Economies' Foreign Trade Diversification," Contemporary Economics, University of Economics and Human Sciences in Warsaw., vol. 16(3), September.
    4. Zarach, Zuzanna Helena & Parteka, Aleksandra, 2023. "Export diversification and dependence on natural resources," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    5. Lee, Dongyeol & Zhang, Huan, 2022. "Export diversification in low-income countries and small states: Do country size and income level matter?," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 250-265.
    6. Aurel Burciu & Rozalia Kicsi & Ionel Bostan & Iulian Condratov & Cristian Valentin Hapenciuc, 2020. "Sustainable Economic Growth Based on R&D Amplification and Technological Content of Exports. Evidences from Romania and The V4 Economies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-17, February.
    7. Sonia Liaqat & Muhammad Irfan Chani, 2018. "The Impact of Exports Diversification on Economic Growth: Evidence from Pakistan," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 7(4), pages 156-168, December.
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    9. Parteka, Aleksandra, 2020. "What drives cross-country differences in export variety? A bilateral panel approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 48-56.
    10. Wenni Lei & Yuwei Luo, 2022. "Institutions Rule in Export Diversity," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(18), pages 1-14, September.
    11. Khalid Abdullah Alkhathlan & Tarek Tawfik Yousef Alkhateeb & Tarek Tawfik Yousef Alkhateeb & Haider Mahmood & Wardah Abdulrahman Bindabel, 2020. "Concentration of oil sector or diversification in Saudi economy: consequences on growth sustainability," Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Issues, VsI Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Center, vol. 7(4), pages 3369-3384, June.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    export diversification; economic development; panel spatial data models;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • C31 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions; Social Interaction Models
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development

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