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Are we risking too much? Perspectives on risk in farm modelling

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  1. Musshoff, Oliver & Hirschauer, Norbert, 2007. "What benefits are to be derived from improved farm program planning approaches? - The role of time series models and stochastic optimization," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 95(1-3), pages 11-27, December.
  2. Hahn, W. Andreas & Härtl, Fabian & Irland, Lloyd C. & Kohler, Christoph & Moshammer, Ralf & Knoke, Thomas, 2014. "Financially optimized management planning under risk aversion results in even-flow sustained timber yield," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 30-41.
  3. Caroline Roussy & Aude Ridier & Karim Chaib & Marie Boyet, 2018. "Marketing contracts and risk management for cereal producers," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(3), pages 616-630, June.
  4. Janssen, Sander J.C. & van Ittersum, Martin K., 2007. "Assessing farmer behaviour as affected by policy and technological innovations: bio-economic farm models," Reports 9293, Wageningen University, SEAMLESS: System for Environmental and Agricultural Modelling; Linking European Science and Society.
  5. Crean, Jason & Parton, Kevin & Mullen, John & Jones, Randall, 2013. "Representing climatic uncertainty in agricultural models – an application of state-contingent theory," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 57(3).
  6. McClintock, Anthea, 2009. "Investment in irrigation technology: an application of real options analysis," 2009 Conference (53rd), February 11-13, 2009, Cairns, Australia 47934, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
  7. Nguyen, Nam C. & Wegener, Malcolm K. & Russell, Iean W., 2007. "Decision support systems in Australian agriculture: state of the art and future development," AFBM Journal, Australasian Farm Business Management Network, vol. 4(1-2), pages 1-7.
  8. Catherine Ragasa & Antony Chapoto, 2017. "Moving in the right direction? The role of price subsidies in fertilizer use and maize productivity in Ghana," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 9(2), pages 329-353, April.
  9. Monjardino, Marta & McBeath, T. & Brennan, Lisa E. & Llewellyn, Rick S., 2012. "Are farmers in low-rainfall cropping regions under-fertilizing? An Australian case-study," 2012 Conference, August 18-24, 2012, Foz do Iguacu, Brazil 124976, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
  10. Jackson, Elizabeth & Quaddus, Mohammed & Islam, Nazrul & Stanton, John & Hoque, Zohurul, 2007. "A Multi-Disciplinary Approach For Determining Adoption Of Agricultural Price Risk Management Strategies," 81st Annual Conference, April 2-4, 2007, Reading University, UK 7985, Agricultural Economics Society.
  11. Kandulu, John M. & Bryan, Brett A. & King, Darran & Connor, Jeffery D., 2012. "Mitigating economic risk from climate variability in rain-fed agriculture through enterprise mix diversification," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 105-112.
  12. Linker, Raphael, 2021. "Stochastic model-based optimization of irrigation scheduling," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
  13. Flaten, O. & Lien, G., 2007. "Stochastic utility-efficient programming of organic dairy farms," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 181(3), pages 1574-1583, September.
  14. Janssen, Sander & van Ittersum, Martin K., 2007. "Assessing farm innovations and responses to policies: A review of bio-economic farm models," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 94(3), pages 622-636, June.
  15. Christian Schaper & Ludwig Theuvsen & Achim Spiller, 2010. "Risikoneigung und Risikoverhalten von Milch-erzeugern: Eine Typologisierung," Journal of Socio-Economics in Agriculture (Until 2015: Yearbook of Socioeconomics in Agriculture), Swiss Society for Agricultural Economics and Rural Sociology, vol. 3(1), pages 157-193.
  16. Wallace, Garry E. & Samsul Huda, A.K., 2005. "Using climate information to approximate the value at risk of a forward contracted canola crop," AFBM Journal, Australasian Farm Business Management Network, vol. 2(1), pages 1-9.
  17. Alford, Andrew R. & Griffith, Garry R. & Cacho, Oscar J., 2003. "A Northern Tablelands Whole-Farm Linear Program for Economic Evaluation of New Technologies at the Farm-Level," Research Reports 28010, New South Wales Department of Primary Industries Research Economists.
  18. Doole, Graeme J. & Pannell, David J., 2013. "A process for the development and application of simulation models in applied economics," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 57(1), pages 1-25.
  19. Jackson, Elizabeth & Quaddus, Mohammed & Islam, Nazrul & Hoque, Zohurul & Stanton, John, 2006. "Selling raw wool by forward contract: A qualitative analysis of the pros and cons," 2006 Conference (50th), February 8-10, 2006, Sydney, Australia 139793, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
  20. Monjardino, Marta & McBeath, T. & Brennan, Lisa E. & Llewellyn, Rick S., 2012. "Revisiting N fertilisation rates in low-rainfall grain cropping regions of Australia: A risk analysis," 2012 Conference (56th), February 7-10, 2012, Fremantle, Australia 124339, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
  21. Ridier, Aude & Ben El Ghali, Mohamed & Nguyen, G. & Kephaliacos, Charilaos, 2013. "The role of risk aversion and labor constraints in the adoption of low input practices supported by the CAP green payments in cash crop farms," Review of Agricultural and Environmental Studies - Revue d'Etudes en Agriculture et Environnement (RAEStud), Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA), vol. 94(2).
  22. Gandorfer, Markus & Pannell, David & Meyer-Aurich, Andreas, 2011. "Analyzing the effects of risk and uncertainty on optimal tillage and nitrogen fertilizer intensity for field crops in Germany," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 104(8), pages 615-622, October.
  23. Iglesias, Eva & Garrido, Alberto & Gomez-Ramos, Almudena, 2003. "Evaluation of drought management in irrigated areas," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 29(2), pages 211-229, October.
  24. Skevas, Theodoros & Swinton, Scott M. & Tanner, Sophia & Sanford, Gregg & Thelen, Kurt, 2015. "Investment risk in bioenergy crops," 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California 205440, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  25. Alford, Andrew R. & Griffith, Garry R. & Cacho, Oscar J., 2003. "Farm-level Economic Evaluation of Net Feed Efficiency in Australia’s Southern Beef Cattle Production System: A Multi-period Linear Programming Approach," 2003 Conference (47th), February 12-14, 2003, Fremantle, Australia 57826, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
  26. Komarek, Adam M. & MacAulay, T. Gordon, 2013. "Farmer responses to changing risk aversion, enterprise variability and resource endowments," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 57(3).
  27. Ridier, Aude & Chaib, Karim & Roussy, Caroline, 2016. "A Dynamic Stochastic Programming model of crop rotation choice to test the adoption of long rotation under price and production risks," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 252(1), pages 270-279.
  28. Elizabeth H. Petersen & Steven Schilizzi & David Bennett, 2002. "The impacts of greenhouse gas abatement policies on the predominantly grazing systems of South-western Australia," International and Development Economics Working Papers idec02-9, International and Development Economics.
  29. Malcolm, Bill, 2004. "Where's the economics? The core discipline of farm management has gone missing!," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 48(3), pages 1-23.
  30. Bontemps, Christophe & Bougherara, Douadia & Nauges, Céline, 2020. "Do Risk Preferences Really Matter? The Case of Pesticide Use in Agriculture," TSE Working Papers 20-1095, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
  31. Crosthwaite, Jim & Moll, Jim & Dorrough, Josh & Malcolm, Bill, 2009. "Re-organising farm businesses to improve environmental outcomes," Australasian Agribusiness Review, University of Melbourne, Department of Agriculture and Food Systems, vol. 17, pages 1-25.
  32. Mullen, John D., 2001. "An Economic Persective On Land Degradation Issues," Research Reports 27999, New South Wales Department of Primary Industries Research Economists.
  33. Bill Malcolm, 2004. "Where's the economics? The core discipline of farm management has gone missing!," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 48(3), pages 395-417, September.
  34. Gibson, Lauren & Kingwell, Ross & Doole, Graeme, 2008. "The role and value of eastern star clover in managing herbicide-resistant crop weeds: A whole-farm analysis," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 98(3), pages 199-207, October.
  35. Nelson, R. A. & Holzworth, D. P. & Hammer, G. L. & Hayman, P. T., 2002. "Infusing the use of seasonal climate forecasting into crop management practice in North East Australia using discussion support software," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 74(3), pages 393-414, December.
  36. Awondo, Sebastain Nde & Fonsah, Esendugue Greg & Riley, David G., 2012. "Are Tomato-Spotted Wilt Virus Management Tactics Good Enough?," 2012 Annual Meeting, February 4-7, 2012, Birmingham, Alabama 119790, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
  37. Glover, Jane, 2011. "Where has all the cream gone: How sustainable is the English dairy supply chain?," 85th Annual Conference, April 18-20, 2011, Warwick University, Coventry, UK 108940, Agricultural Economics Society.
  38. Griffith, Garry & Alford, Andrew & Davies, Llyod & Herd, Robert & Parnell, Peter & Hegarty, Roger, 2004. "An Assessment of the Economic, Environmental and Social Impacts of NSW Agriculture’s Investment in the Net Feed Efficiency R,D&E Cluster," Research Reports 280780, New South Wales Department of Primary Industries Research Economists.
  39. Kandulu, John M., 2013. "Quantifying the extent to which enterprise mix diversification can mitigate economic risk in rainfed agriculture," Australasian Agribusiness Review, University of Melbourne, Department of Agriculture and Food Systems, vol. 21, pages 1-14.
  40. Kröbel, R. & Bolinder, M.A. & Janzen, H.H. & Little, S.M. & Vandenbygaart, A.J. & Kätterer, T., 2016. "Canadian farm-level soil carbon change assessment by merging the greenhouse gas model Holos with the Introductory Carbon Balance Model (ICBM)," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 76-85.
  41. Flaten, Ola & Lien, Gudbrand D., 2005. "Stochastic Utility-Efficient Programming of Organic Dairy Farms," 2005 International Congress, August 23-27, 2005, Copenhagen, Denmark 24743, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
  42. Kenny, Daniel C., 2017. "Modeling of natural and social capital on farms: Toward useable integration," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 356(C), pages 1-13.
  43. Hochman, Z. & Carberry, P.S., 2011. "Emerging consensus on desirable characteristics of tools to support farmers' management of climate risk in Australia," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 104(6), pages 441-450, July.
  44. Patterson, Jeffrey M. & Boisvert, Richard N., 2002. "An Incentive Compatible Self-Compliant Pollution Policy and Asymmetric Information on Both Risk Attitudes and Technology," Working Papers 127318, Cornell University, Department of Applied Economics and Management.
  45. Lavee, Doron, 2010. "The effect of water supply uncertainty on farmers' choice of crop portfolio," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 97(11), pages 1847-1854, November.
  46. Predrag Rajsic & Alfons Weersink & Markus Gandorfer, 2009. "Risk and Nitrogen Application Levels," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 57(2), pages 223-239, June.
  47. Marshall, Graham R. & Jones, Randall E. & Wall, Lisa M., 1997. "Tactical Opportunities, Risk Attitude and Choice of Farming Strategy: an Application of the Distribution Method," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 41(4), pages 1-21.
  48. Daniel Gregg & John Rolfe, 2017. "Risk Behaviours and Grazing Land Management: A Framed Field Experiment and Linkages to Range Land Condition," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 68(3), pages 682-709, September.
  49. Monjardino, M. & McBeath, T. & Ouzman, J. & Llewellyn, R. & Jones, B., 2015. "Farmer risk-aversion limits closure of yield and profit gaps: A study of nitrogen management in the southern Australian wheatbelt," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 108-118.
  50. Farquharson, Robert J. & Scott, J. Fiona, 2000. "Analysis of Farming Systems Issues in the Northern Cropping Region of NSW," 2000 Conference (44th), January 23-25, 2000, Sydney, Australia 123644, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
  51. Bakhshoodeh, Mohamad & Shajari, S., 2006. "Adoption of New Seed Varieties Under Production Risk: An Application to Rice in Iran," 2006 Annual Meeting, August 12-18, 2006, Queensland, Australia 25578, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
  52. Scott, J. Fiona & Farquharson, Robert J. & Mullen, John D., 2004. "Farming Systems in the Northern Cropping Region of NSW: An Economic Analysis," Research Reports 28004, New South Wales Department of Primary Industries Research Economists.
  53. Petersen, Elizabeth H. & Schilizzi, Steven & Bennett, David, 2001. "Alternative agricultures under the Kyoto Protocol. Assessing greenhouse gas abatement policies on the predominantly grazing systems of south-western Australia," 2001 Conference (45th), January 23-25, 2001, Adelaide, Australia 125831, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
  54. Rebecca Darbyshire & Jason Crean & Michael Cashen & Muhuddin Rajin Anwar & Kim M Broadfoot & Marja Simpson & David H Cobon & Christa Pudmenzky & Louis Kouadio & Shreevatsa Kodur, 2020. "Insights into the value of seasonal climate forecasts to agriculture," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 64(4), pages 1034-1058, October.
  55. Szvetlana Acs & Paul Berentsen & Ruud Huirne & Marcel van Asseldonk, 2009. "Effect of yield and price risk on conversion from conventional to organic farming ," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 53(3), pages 393-411, July.
  56. Mosnier, C. & Agabriel, J. & Lherm, M. & Reynaud, A., 2009. "A dynamic bio-economic model to simulate optimal adjustments of suckler cow farm management to production and market shocks in France," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 102(1-3), pages 77-88, October.
  57. Naudin, K. & Bruelle, G. & Salgado, P. & Penot, E. & Scopel, E. & Lubbers, M. & de Ridder, N. & Giller, K.E., 2015. "Trade-offs around the use of biomass for livestock feed and soil cover in dairy farms in the Alaotra lake region of Madagascar," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 36-47.
  58. Farquharson, Robert J., 2006. "Production Response and Input Demand in Decision Making: Nitrogen Fertilizer and Wheat Growers," Australasian Agribusiness Review, University of Melbourne, Department of Agriculture and Food Systems, vol. 14.
  59. Arriaza, M. & Gomez-Limon, J. A., 2003. "Comparative performance of selected mathematical programming models," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 77(2), pages 155-171, August.
  60. Rasmussen, Svend, 2004. "Optimizing Production under Uncertainty: Generalisation of the State-Contingent Approach and Comparison of Methods for Empirical Application," Unit of Economics Working Papers 24184, Royal Veterinary and Agricultural University, Food and Resource Economic Institute.
  61. Pavón-Domínguez, P. & Serrano, S. & Jiménez-Hornero, F.J. & Jiménez-Hornero, J.E. & Gutiérrez de Ravé, E. & Ariza-Villaverde, A.B., 2013. "Multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis of sheep livestock prices in origin," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(19), pages 4466-4476.
  62. Khan, Shahbaz & Hanjra, Munir A., 2009. "Footprints of water and energy inputs in food production - Global perspectives," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 130-140, April.
  63. Mignouna, D.B. & Mutabazi, K.D.S. & Senkondo, E.M. & Manyong, Victor M., 2010. "Adoption of a New Maize and Production Efficiency in Western Kenya," 2010 AAAE Third Conference/AEASA 48th Conference, September 19-23, 2010, Cape Town, South Africa 96160, African Association of Agricultural Economists (AAAE).
  64. Petersen, Elizabeth & Schilizzi, Steven & Bennett, David, 2003. "The impacts of greenhouse gas abatement policies on the predominantly grazing systems of south-western Australia," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 78(3), pages 369-386, December.
  65. Ashfield, A. & Wallace, M. & Crosson, P., 2014. "Economic comparison of pasture based dairy calf-to-beef production systems under temperate grassland conditions," International Journal of Agricultural Management, Institute of Agricultural Management, vol. 3(3), pages 1-12.
  66. Kandulu, John, 2011. "Assessing the potential for beneficial diversification in rain-fed agricultural enterprises," 2011 Conference (55th), February 8-11, 2011, Melbourne, Australia 100568, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
  67. Malcolm, Bill, 2004. "Farm Management analysis: a core discipline, simple sums, sophisticated thinking," AFBM Journal, Australasian Farm Business Management Network, vol. 1, pages 1-10.
  68. Jackson, Elizabeth & Quaddus, Mohammed & Islam, Nazrul & Stanton, John, 2008. "A mixed-method approach for determining the risk and complexity farmers associate with using forward contracts," 82nd Annual Conference, March 31 - April 2, 2008, Royal Agricultural College, Cirencester, UK 42305, Agricultural Economics Society.
  69. Gomez-Limon, Jose A. & Arriaza, Manuel & Riesgo, Laura, 2003. "An MCDM analysis of agricultural risk aversion," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 151(3), pages 569-585, December.
  70. Jackson, T.M. & Hanjra, Munir A. & Khan, S. & Hafeez, M.M., 2011. "Building a climate resilient farm: A risk based approach for understanding water, energy and emissions in irrigated agriculture," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 104(9), pages 729-745.
  71. Nordblom, Thomas L. & Hutchings, Timothy R. & Godfrey, Sosheel S. & Schefe, Cassandra R., 2021. "Precision variable rate nitrogen for dryland farming on waterlogging Riverine Plains of Southeast Australia?," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
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