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The Economic Consequences of Fiscal Rules

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  • Niklas Potrafke

Abstract

Fiscal rules are controversial. They mitigate politicians’ flexibility in responding to shocks and pursuing expansionary fiscal policy. They help, however, to handle politicians’ commitment problem in fiscal policies. I portray the new and fast growing empirical literature in public economics that examines the economic consequences of fiscal rules. The survey encompasses the literature on fiscal rules at the national, sub-national and local level. The results show that fiscal rules reduce budget deficits, public spending and borrowing costs and increase GDP growth. The results do not suggest that fiscal rules decrease public investment. Future research should examine in more detail the unintended effects of fiscal rules such as how they relate to creative accounting.

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  • Niklas Potrafke, 2023. "The Economic Consequences of Fiscal Rules," CESifo Working Paper Series 10765, CESifo.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_10765
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    1. Brändle, Thomas & Elsener, Marc, 2023. "Do fiscal rules matter? A survey on recent evidence," Working papers 2023/07, Faculty of Business and Economics - University of Basel.
    2. Burret, Heiko T. & Feld, Lars P., 2018. "(Un-)intended effects of fiscal rules," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 166-191.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    fiscal rules;

    JEL classification:

    • H50 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - General
    • H60 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - General
    • H70 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations - - - General
    • N10 - Economic History - - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations - - - General, International, or Comparative
    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General
    • R10 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - General

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