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Export decision under risk

Author

Listed:
  • de Sousa, José
  • Disdier, Anne-Célia
  • Gaigné, Carl

Abstract

Does demand volatility matter for exports? How do exporting firms deal with skewed demand? A simple model of downside risk aversion shows that on average exporters increase export prices and reduce export volumes when demand volatility in destination markets increases. They behave the opposite way when demand skewness rises. We find that the moments of the demand distribution also affect the number of exporting firms and the industry supply. These adjustments may lead some firms to increase their exports when demand volatility increases. These theoretical predictions are put to the test by using French firm-level exports across destination markets with different levels of demand volatility and skewness. The firm-level results, over the period 2000-2009, are consistent with our predictions.

Suggested Citation

  • de Sousa, José & Disdier, Anne-Célia & Gaigné, Carl, 2015. "Export decision under risk," 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California 205584, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaea15:205584
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    Cited by:

    1. Héricourt, Jérôme & Nedoncelle, Clément, 2018. "Multi-destination firms and the impact of exchange-rate risk on trade," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(4), pages 1178-1193.
    2. repec:eee:inecon:v:115:y:2018:i:c:p:145-158 is not listed on IDEAS

    More about this item

    Keywords

    International Relations/Trade; Risk and Uncertainty;

    JEL classification:

    • D21 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Theory
    • D22 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Empirical Analysis
    • F12 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Models of Trade with Imperfect Competition and Scale Economies; Fragmentation
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade

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