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Interest Rate Dynamics and Consistent Forward Rate Curves


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Cited by:

  1. Oliveira, Luís & Curto, José Dias & Nunes, João Pedro, 2012. "The determinants of sovereign credit spread changes in the Euro-zone," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 278-304.
  2. Rafael Barros de Rezende, 2011. "Giving Flexibility to the Nelson-Siegel Class of Term Structure Models," Brazilian Review of Finance, Brazilian Society of Finance, vol. 9(1), pages 27-49.
  3. Leippold, Markus & Wu, Liuren, 2002. "Asset Pricing under the Quadratic Class," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 37(02), pages 271-295, June.
  4. Björk, Tomas, 2003. "On the Geometry of Interest Rate Models," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 545, Stockholm School of Economics.
  5. Coroneo, Laura & Nyholm, Ken & Vidova-Koleva, Rositsa, 2011. "How arbitrage-free is the Nelson-Siegel model?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 393-407, June.
  6. Eckhard Platen & Stefan Tappe, 2011. "Affine Realizations for Levy Driven Interest Rate Models with Real-World Forward Rate Dynamics," Research Paper Series 289, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
  7. Markus Leippold & Liuren Wu, 2002. "Design and Estimation of Quadratic Term Structure Models," Finance 0207014, EconWPA.
  8. Francis X. Diebold & Glenn D. Rudebusch & S. Boragan Aruoba, 2003. "The macroeconomy and the yield curve: a nonstructural analysis," Working Paper Series 2003-18, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  9. Björk, Tomas, 2000. "A Geometric View of Interest Rate Theory," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 419, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 21 Dec 2000.
  10. P. Byrne, Joseph & Cao, Shuo & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2015. "Term Structure Dynamics, Macro-Finance Factors and Model Uncertainty," SIRE Discussion Papers 2015-71, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
  11. Diebold, Francis X. & Li, Canlin, 2006. "Forecasting the term structure of government bond yields," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 130(2), pages 337-364, February.
  12. Fabricio Tourrucôo & João F. Caldeira & Guilherme V. Moura & André A. P. Santos, 2016. "Forecasting The Yield Curve With The Arbitrage-Free Dynamic Nelson-Siegel Model: Brazilian Evidence," Anais do XLII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 42ndd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 028, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pósgraduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
  13. Antje Berndt & Peter Ritchken & Zhiqiang Sun, 2010. "On Correlation and Default Clustering in Credit Markets," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 23(7), pages 2680-2729, July.
  14. Marcio Laurini, 2011. "Bayesian Factor Selection in Dynamic Term Structure Models," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 31(3), pages 2167-2176.
  15. Patricia Kisbye & Karem Meier, 2017. "Consistency of extended Nelson-Siegel curve families with the Ho-Lee and Hull and White short rate models," Papers 1707.02496,
  16. Roncoroni, Andrea & Galluccio, Stefano & Guiotto, Paolo, 2010. "Shape factors and cross-sectional risk," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 34(11), pages 2320-2340, November.
  17. Jens H. E. Christensen & Francis X. Diebold & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2009. "An arbitrage-free generalized Nelson--Siegel term structure model," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 12(3), pages 33-64, November.
  18. Bjork, Tomas, 2009. "Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, edition 3, number 9780199574742, June.
  19. De Rossi, Giuliano, 2004. "Kalman filtering of consistent forward rate curves: a tool to estimate and model dynamically the term structure," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 11(2), pages 277-308, March.
  20. Lorenčič Eva, 2016. "Testing the Performance of Cubic Splines and Nelson-Siegel Model for Estimating the Zero-coupon Yield Curve," Naše gospodarstvo/Our economy, De Gruyter Open, vol. 62(2), pages 42-50, June.
  21. Antje Berndt & Peter Ritchken & Zhiqiang Sun, "undated". "On Correlation Effects and Default Clustering in Credit Models," GSIA Working Papers 2008-E36, Carnegie Mellon University, Tepper School of Business.
  22. Ken Nyholm & Riccardo Rebonato, 2008. "Long-horizon yield curve projections: comparison of semi-parametric and parametric approaches," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(20), pages 1597-1611.
  23. Buraschi, Andrea & Corielli, Francesco, 2005. "Risk management implications of time-inconsistency: Model updating and recalibration of no-arbitrage models," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(11), pages 2883-2907, November.
  24. Leo Krippner, 2009. "A theoretical foundation for the Nelson and Siegel class of yield curve models," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2009/10, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
  25. Francis X. Diebold, 2004. "The Nobel Memorial Prize for Robert F. Engle," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 106(2), pages 165-185, June.
  26. Wali Ullah & Yasumasa Matsuda, 2014. "Generalized Nelson-Siegel Term Structure Model : Do the second slope and curvature factors improve the in-sample fit and out-of-sample forecast?," TERG Discussion Papers 312, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Tohoku University.
  27. Björk, Tomas & Landén, Camilla & Svensson, Lars, 2002. "Finite dimensional Markovian realizations for stochastic volatility forward rate models," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 498, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 07 May 2002.
  28. Daniel Vela, 2013. "Forecasting Latin-American yield curves: An artificial neural network approach," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 010502, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
  29. Hautsch, Nikolaus & Yang, Fuyu, 2012. "Bayesian inference in a Stochastic Volatility Nelson–Siegel model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(11), pages 3774-3792.
  30. Ganchev, Alexander, 2009. "Modeling the yield curve of spot interest rates under the conditions in Bulgaria," MPRA Paper 70048, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  31. Sascha Meyer & Willi Schwarz, 2003. "A PDE based Implementation of the Hull&White Model for Cashflow Derivatives," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 18(3), pages 417-434, September.
  32. Alexander N. Bogin & Nataliya Polkovnichenko & William M. Doerner, 2015. "Additional Market Risk Shocks: Prepayment Uncertainty and Option-Adjusted Spreads," Staff Working Papers 15-03, Federal Housing Finance Agency.
  33. Andreasen, Martin M. & Christensen, Bent Jesper, 2015. "The SR approach: A new estimation procedure for non-linear and non-Gaussian dynamic term structure models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 184(2), pages 420-451.
  34. Jorge Miguel Ventura Bravo & Carlos Manuel Pereira da Silva, 2005. "Immunization Using a Parametric Model of the Term Structure," Economics Working Papers 19_2005, University of Évora, Department of Economics (Portugal).
  35. Petr Jakubik & Diana Zigraiova, 2016. "Updating the Long Term Rate in Time: A Possible Approach," EIOPA Financial Stability Report - Thematic Articles 9, EIOPA, Risks and Financial Stability Department.
  36. Bouwman, Kees & Buis, Boyd & Pieterse-Bloem, Mary & Tham, Wing Wah, 2015. "A practical approach to constructing price-based funding liquidity factors," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 90-97.
  37. Dai, Qiang & Singleton, Kenneth J., 2003. "Fixed-income pricing," Handbook of the Economics of Finance,in: G.M. Constantinides & M. Harris & R. M. Stulz (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 20, pages 1207-1246 Elsevier.
  38. Bueno-Guerrero, Alberto & Moreno, Manuel & Navas, Javier F., 2016. "The stochastic string model as a unifying theory of the term structure of interest rates," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 461(C), pages 217-237.
  39. Erhan Bayraktar & Li Chen & H. Vincent Poor, 2005. "Consistency Problems for Jump-diffusion Models," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(2), pages 101-119.
  40. Leo Krippner, 2006. "A Theoretically Consistent Version of the Nelson and Siegel Class of Yield Curve Models," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(1), pages 39-59.
  41. Xu, Hai Yan & Ward, Bert D. & Nartea, Gilbert V., 2007. "An Empirical Study of the Chinese Short-Term Interest Rate: A Comparison of the Predictive Power of Rival One-Factor Models," Review of Applied Economics, Review of Applied Economics, vol. 3(1-2).
  42. Ferstl, Robert & Hayden, Josef, 2010. "Zero-Coupon Yield Curve Estimation with the Package termstrc," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 36(i01).
  43. Date, Paresh & Wang, Chieh, 2009. "Linear Gaussian affine term structure models with unobservable factors: Calibration and yield forecasting," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 195(1), pages 156-166, May.
  44. Anh Le & Bruno Feunou & Christian Lundblad & Jean-Sébastien Fontaine, 2015. "Tractable Term-Structure Models and the Zero Lower Bound," Staff Working Papers 15-46, Bank of Canada.
  45. repec:sbe:breart:v:25:y:2005:i:1:a:2673 is not listed on IDEAS
  46. Markus Leippold & Zvi Wiener, 2005. "Efficient Calibration of Trinomial Trees for One-Factor Short Rate Models," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 7(3), pages 213-239, October.
  47. repec:sbe:breart:v:30:y:2010:i:1:a:3502 is not listed on IDEAS
  48. Daniel Vela, 2013. "Forecasting Latin-American yield curves: An artificial neural network approach," Borradores de Economia 761, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
  49. P. Byrne, Joseph & Cao, Shuo & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2015. "Term Structure Dynamics, Macro-Finance Factors and Model Uncertainty," 2007 Annual Meeting, July 29-August 1, 2007, Portland, Oregon TN 2015-71, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
  50. Diebold, Francis X. & Rudebusch, Glenn D. & Borag[caron]an Aruoba, S., 2006. "The macroeconomy and the yield curve: a dynamic latent factor approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 131(1-2), pages 309-338.
  51. Martin Møller Andreasen, 2008. "Explaining Macroeconomic and Term Structure Dynamics Jointly in a Non-linear DSGE Model," CREATES Research Papers 2008-43, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  52. Gaspar, Raquel M., 2004. "General Quadratic Term Structures of Bond, Futures and Forward Prices," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 559, Stockholm School of Economics.
  53. Leo Krippner, 2005. "Attributing Returns and Optimising United States Swaps Portfolios Using an Intertemporally-Consistent and Arbitrage-Free Model of the Yield Curve," Working Papers in Economics 05/03, University of Waikato.
  54. Craig Blackburn & Michael Sherris, 2011. "Consistent Dynamic Affine Mortality Model for Longevity Risk Applications," Working Papers 201107, ARC Centre of Excellence in Population Ageing Research (CEPAR), Australian School of Business, University of New South Wales.
  55. Chiarolla, Maria B. & De Angelis, Tiziano, 2015. "Analytical pricing of American Put options on a Zero Coupon Bond in the Heath–Jarrow–Morton model," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 125(2), pages 678-707.
  56. Luís Oliveira & João Vidal Nunes & Luís Malcato, 2014. "The performance of deterministic and stochastic interest rate risk measures:," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 13(3), pages 141-165, December.
  57. Diana Zigraiova & Petr Jakubik, 2017. "Updating the Ultimate Forward Rate over Time: A Possible Approach," Working Papers 2017/03, Czech National Bank, Research Department.
  58. Gaspar, Raquel M., 2004. "On Finite Dimensional Realizations of Forward Price Term Structure Models," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 569, Stockholm School of Economics.
  59. Matheus R Grasselli & Tsunehiro Tsujimoto, 2011. "Calibration of Chaotic Models for Interest Rates," Papers 1106.2478,
  60. Rodrigo Cabral & Richard Munclinger & Luiz Alves & Marco Rodriguez Waldo, 2011. "On Brazil’s Term Structure; Stylized Facts and Analysis of Macroeconomic Interactions," IMF Working Papers 11/113, International Monetary Fund.
  61. Bjork, Tomas & Christensen, Bent Jesper & Gombani, Andrea, 1998. "Some system theoretic aspects of interest rate theory," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 17-23, May.
  62. Lauren Stagnol, 2017. "Introducing global term structure in a risk parity framework," EconomiX Working Papers 2017-23, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
  63. Virmani, Vineet, 2014. "Model Risk in Pricing Path-dependent Derivatives: An Illustration," IIMA Working Papers WP2014-03-22, Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad, Research and Publication Department.
  64. Enlin Pan & Liuren Wu, 2004. "Taking Positive Interest Rates Seriously," Finance 0409013, EconWPA.
  65. Victor Lapshin & Marat Kurbangaleev, 2013. "A joint non-parametric approach to the decomposition of bond yields and CDS spreads: application of Eurozone market data," HSE Working papers WP BRP 13/FE/2013, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
  66. Belal E. Baaquie & Marakani Srikant & Mitch Warachka, 2002. "A Quantum Field Theory Term Structure Model Applied to Hedging," Papers cond-mat/0206457,
  67. Mikael Elhouar, 2008. "Finite-dimensional Realizations of Regime-switching HJM Models," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(4), pages 331-354.
  68. repec:sbe:breart:v:34:y:2014:i:2:a:48700 is not listed on IDEAS
  69. Armerin, Frederik & Björk, Tomas & Jensen, Bjarne Astrup, 2005. "Term Structure Models with Parallel and Proportional Shifts," Working Papers 2005-5, Copenhagen Business School, Department of Finance.
  70. Frestad, Dennis, 2008. "Common and unique factors influencing daily swap returns in the Nordic electricity market, 1997-2005," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 1081-1097, May.
  71. Robert A. Jarrow, 2009. "The Term Structure of Interest Rates," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 1(1), pages 69-96, November.
  72. Maria B. Chiarolla & Tiziano De Angelis, 2012. "Analytical Pricing of American Bond Options in the Heath-Jarrow-Morton Model," Papers 1212.0781,, revised Mar 2014.
  73. Björk, Tomas & Blix, Magnus & Landen, Camilla, 2005. "On finite dimensional realizations for the term structure of futures prices," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 620, Stockholm School of Economics.
  74. Donati, Paola & Donati, Francesco, 2008. "Modelling and Forecasting the Yield Curve under Model uncertainty," Working Paper Series 917, European Central Bank.
  75. Leo Krippner, 2005. "An Intertemporally-Consistent and Arbitrage-Free Version of the Nelson and Siegel Class of Yield Curve Models," Working Papers in Economics 05/01, University of Waikato.
  76. Hans Buehler, 2006. "Consistent Variance Curve Models," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 10(2), pages 178-203, April.
  77. Leo Krippner, 2003. "Modelling the Yield Curve with Orthonomalised Laguerre Polynomials: An Intertemporally Consistent Approach with an Economic Interpretation," Working Papers in Economics 03/01, University of Waikato.
  78. Albeverio, Sergio & Lytvynov, Eugene & Mahnig, Andrea, 2004. "A model of the term structure of interest rates based on Lévy fields," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 114(2), pages 251-263, December.
  79. Shi Chen & Wolfgang Karl Härdle & Weining Wang, "undated". "Inflation Co-movement across Countries in Multi-maturity Term Structure: An Arbitrage-Free Approach," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2015-049, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
  80. Michiel De Pooter, 2007. "Examining the Nelson-Siegel Class of Term Structure Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 07-043/4, Tinbergen Institute.
  81. João Pedro Vidal Nunes & Luís Alberto Ferreira De Oliveira, 2007. "Multifactor and analytical valuation of treasury bond futures with an embedded quality option," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(3), pages 275-303, March.
  82. Dang-Nguyen, Stéphane & Le Caillec, Jean-Marc & Hillion, Alain, 2014. "The deterministic shift extension and the affine dynamic Nelson–Siegel model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 402-417.
  83. Blackburn, Craig & Sherris, Michael, 2013. "Consistent dynamic affine mortality models for longevity risk applications," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(1), pages 64-73.
  84. Alberto Ohashi & Alexandre B Simas, 2015. "Principal Components Analysis for Semimartingales and Stochastic PDE," Papers 1503.05909,, revised Mar 2016.
  85. Duffie, Darrell, 2003. "Intertemporal asset pricing theory," Handbook of the Economics of Finance,in: G.M. Constantinides & M. Harris & R. M. Stulz (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 11, pages 639-742 Elsevier.
  86. Mikkelsen, Peter, 2001. "MCMC Based Estimation of Term Structure Models," Finance Working Papers 01-7, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies.
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