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The impact of real exchange rates adjustments on global imbalances: a multilateral approach

Author

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  • Jean-Pierre Allegret

    (EconomiX - EconomiX - UPN - Université Paris Nanterre - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Audrey Allegret-Sallenave

    (LEAD - Laboratoire d'Économie Appliquée au Développement - UTLN - Université de Toulon)

Abstract

An extensive literature stresses that currency misalignments are costly in terms of growth performance. However, these studies do not consider the direct and indirect effects of currency misalignments on other countries. In this paper, we analyze how misalignments of the dollar, the euro, and the renminbi affect their respective economies and those of their trading partners using a multi-country dataset GVAR model. Our model includes 15 advanced and emerging countries and uses quarterly data spanning the period 1980-2010. We find that misalignments significantly influence the world economy. We show that overvaluation and undervaluation shocks do not produce the same effects

Suggested Citation

  • Jean-Pierre Allegret & Audrey Allegret-Sallenave, 2014. "The impact of real exchange rates adjustments on global imbalances: a multilateral approach," Post-Print hal-01385910, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01385910
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2013.10.022
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.parisnanterre.fr/hal-01385910
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    Cited by:

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    2. Sabrine Ferjani & Sami Saafi & Ridha Nouira & Christophe Rault, 2022. "The Impacts of the Dollar-Renminbi Exchange Rate Misalignment on the China-United States Commodity Trade: An Asymmetric Analysis," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 20(3), pages 507-554, September.
    3. Pedro Bação & António Portugal Duarte & Diana Machado, 2016. "Exchange Rates, the Competitiveness of Nations and Unemployment," GEMF Working Papers 2016-14, GEMF, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra.
    4. Oyeyinka S. Omoshoro-Jones & Lumengo Bonga-Bonga, 2021. "Global imbalances, external adjustment and propagated shocks: An African perspective from a global VAR model," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 165, pages 186-203.
    5. Konstantakis, Konstantinos N. & Michaelides, Panayotis G. & Tsionas, Efthymios G. & Minou, Chrysanthi, 2015. "System estimation of GVAR with two dominants and network theory: Evidence for BRICs," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 604-616.
    6. Pedro Bação & António Portugal Duarte & Diana Machado, 2016. "Exchange Rates, the Competitiveness of Nations and Unemployment," GEMF Working Papers 2016-14, GEMF, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra.
    7. Babu Rao G., 2019. "Exchange rate regimes and its impact on growth: An empirical analysis of BRICS countries," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(2(619), S), pages 157-172, Summer.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    GVAR; Misalignments; Growth JEL Codes: F31; F41; F43;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies

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