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Publications

by members of

College of Europe → European Economic Studies

These are publications listed in RePEc written by members of the above institution who are registered with the RePEc Author Service. Thus this compiles the works all those currently affiliated with this institution, not those affilated at the time of publication. List of registered members. Register yourself. Citation analysis. Find also a compilation of publications from alumni here.

This page is updated in the first days of each month.

| Working papers | Journal articles | Books | Chapters |

Working papers

2025

  1. Peter Claeys & Bettina Bökemeier & Benjamin Owusu & Juan Equiza Goñi & Michael Stierle & Andreea Stoian, 2025, "European Governments’ Fiscal Behaviour and Public Debt Holders: What Is the Financial Connection?," European Economy - Discussion Papers, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission, number 218, Jan.
  2. Claeys, Peter & Gómez-Bengoechea, Gonzalo & Jung, Juan & Van Der Wielen, Wouter & Weiss, Christoph, 2025, "Leveraging IoT for Industrial Energy Productivity: Evidence from European Firms," 33rd European Regional ITS Conference, Edinburgh, 2025: Digital innovation and transformation in uncertain times, International Telecommunications Society (ITS), number 331263.
  3. Ward Romp & Roel Beetsma & Matthias Busse & Martin Larch, 2025, "Some Intergenerational Arithmetic to Control Public Debt in the EU," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 11669.
  4. Mikael Juselius & Aurea Ponte Marques & Nikola Tarashev, 2025, "Banks' regulatory risk tolerance," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 1287, Sep.
  5. Albertazzi, Ugo & Ponte Marques, Aurea & Abbondanza, Aurora & Travaglini, Giulia Leila, 2025, "The impact of capital requirements on bank capital," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 3128, Oct.

2024

  1. Peter Claeys & Juan Jung & Gonzalo Gómez-Bengoechea, 2024, "Laggards v Leaders: Productivity and Innovation Catchup," Working Papers, International Network for Economic Research - INFER, number 2024.01.
  2. Ingo Borchert & Mario Larch & Serge Shikher & Yoto Yotov, 2024, "Globalization, Trade, and Inequality: Evidence from a New Database," School of Economics Working Paper Series, LeBow College of Business, Drexel University, number 2024-6, May.
  3. Budnik, Katarzyna & Ponte Marques, Aurea & Giglio, Carla & Grassi, Alberto & Durrani, Agha & Figueres, Juan Manuel & Konietschke, Paul & Le Grand, Catherine & Metzler, Julian & Población García, Franc, 2024, "Advancements in stress-testing methodologies for financial stability applications," Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 348, May.
  4. Georgescu, Oana-Maria & Ponte Marques, Aurea & Galow, Benjamin, 2024, "Loss-given-default and macroeconomic conditions," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2954, Jul.

2023

  1. Kirchsteiger, Georg & Larch, Martin, 2023, "The enforcement dilemma of EU fiscal rules," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 18304, Jul.
  2. Paul Dermine & Larch Martin, 2023, "Solving the Enforcement Dilemma of EU Fiscal Rules," ULB Institutional Repository, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, number 2013/368518, Sep.

2022

  1. Larch, Martin & Claeys, Peter & Van Der Wielen, Wouter, 2022, "The scarring effects of major economic downturns: The role of fiscal policy and government investment," EIB Working Papers, European Investment Bank (EIB), number 2022/14, DOI: 10.2867/792600.
  2. Beetsma, Roel & Busse, Matthias & Germinetti, Lorenzo & Giuliodori, Massimo & Larch, Martin, 2022, "Is the Road to Hell Paved with Good Intentions? An Empirical Analysis of Budgetary Follow-up in the EU," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 17154, Mar.
  3. Durrani, Agha & Ongena, Steven & Ponte Marques, Aurea, 2022, "The certification role of the EU-wide stress testing exercises in the stock market. What can we learn from the stress tests (2014-2021)?," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2711, Aug.

2021

  1. Peter Claeys & Helena Sanz-Morales & Camélia Turcu, 2021, "[Guest Editors’ Remarks] Special Theme 2: Asian and European Economic Integration at a Crossroads," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-03537487, Mar, DOI: 10.11130/jei.2021.36.1.65.
  2. Larch, Martin & Busse, Matthias & Jankovics, László, 2021, "Enforcement of fiscal rules: Lessons from the fiscal compact," ZEW Discussion Papers, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, number 21-085.

2020

  1. Martin Larch & Eloïse Orseau & Wouter van der Wielen, 2020, "Do EU Fiscal Rules Support or Hinder Counter-Cyclical Fiscal Policy?," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8659.
  2. Cappelletti, Giuseppe & Ponte Marques, Aurea & Salleo, Carmelo & Martín, Diego Vila, 2020, "How do banking groups react to macroprudential policies? Cross-border spillover effects of higher capital buffers on lending, risk-taking and internal markets," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2497, Nov.

2019

  1. Martin Larch & Philipp Mohl, 2019, "Mitigating the Gap between the Rich & the Poor: An Empirical Assessment of Key Trends & Drivers of Redistribution," European Economy - Discussion Papers, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission, number 105, Aug.
  2. Larch, Martin & Cugnasca, Alessandro & Kumps, Diederik & Orseau, Eloïse, 2019, "Fiscal policy and the assessment of output gaps in real time: An exercise in risk management," ZEW Discussion Papers, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, number 19-013.
  3. Bendicta Marzinotto & Ladislav Wintr, 2019, "Employment protection and firm-level job reallocation: Adjusting for coverage," BCL working papers, Central Bank of Luxembourg, number 131, Jul.
  4. Cappelletti, Giuseppe & Ponte Marques, Aurea & Varraso, Paolo & Budrys, Žymantas & Peeters, Jonas, 2019, "Impact of higher capital buffers on banks’ lending and risk-taking: evidence from the euro area experiments," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2292, Jun.

2018

  1. Mark Hallerberg & Benedicta Marzinotto & Guntram Wolff, 2018, "Explaining the evolving role of national parliaments under the European Semester," ULB Institutional Repository, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, number 2013/386948, Feb.
  2. Bonner, Clemens & Wedow, Michael & Budnik, Katarzyna & Koban, Anne & Kok, Christoffer & Laliotis, Dimitrios & Meller, Barbara & Melo, Ana Sofia & Moldovan, Iulia & Schmitz, Stefan & Couaillier, Cyril , 2018, "Systemic liquidity concept, measurement and macroprudential instruments," Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 214, Oct.

2017

  1. Peter Claeys & Borek Vasicek, 2017, "Transmission of Uncertainty Shocks: Learning from Heterogeneous Responses on a Panel of EU Countries," Working Papers, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2017/13, Dec.
  2. Olivier CARDI & Peter CLAEYS & Romain RESTOUT, 2017, "Imperfect mobility of labor across sectors and fiscal transmission," LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES), number 2017015, Aug.
  3. Cristina Fernández & Roberta García & Paloma Lopez-Garcia & Benedicta Marzinotto & Roberta Serafini & Juuso Vanhala & Ladislav Wintr, 2017, "Firm growth in Europe: An overview based on the COMPNET labour module," BCL working papers, Central Bank of Luxembourg, number 107, May.

2016

  1. Luca, Bettarelli & Giovanna, Iannantuoni & Elena, Manzoni & Francesca, Rossi, 2016, "Voters' preferences and electoral systems: The EuroVotePlus experiment in Italy," Working Papers, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, number 338, May, revised 19 May 2016.
  2. Jacopo Cimadomo & Peter Claeys & Mr. Marcos Poplawski Ribeiro, 2016, "How do Experts Forecast Sovereign Spreads?," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 2016/100, May.
  3. Benedicta Marzinotto, 2016, "Income Inequality and Macroeconomic Imbalances under EMU," LEQS – LSE 'Europe in Question' Discussion Paper Series, European Institute, LSE, number 110, May.
  4. Marzinotto, Benedicta & Turrini, Alessandro, 2016, "Co-movements between Public and Private Wages in the EU: Which Factors Play a Role?," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 9964, May.

2015

  1. Luca Bettarelli & Michela Cella & Giovanna Iannantuoni & Elena Manzoni, 2015, "It's a matter of confidence: Institutions, government stability and economic outcomes," Working Papers, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, number 309, Sep, revised Sep 2015.
  2. Laura Carabotta & Peter Claeys, 2015, "Combine to compete: improving fiscal forecast accuracy over time," UB School of Economics Working Papers, University of Barcelona School of Economics, number 2015/320.

2014

  1. Oxana Babecka Kucharcukova & Peter Claeys & Borek Vasicek, 2014, "Spillover of the ECB's Monetary Policy Outside the Euro Area: How Different is Conventional From Unconventional Policy?," Working Papers, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2014/15, Dec.
  2. Claeys, Peter & Vašíček, Bořek, 2014, "Measuring bilateral spillover and testing contagion on sovereign bond markets in Europe," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1666, Apr.
  3. Claeys, Peter & Cimadomo, Jacopo & Poplawski Ribeiro, Marcos, 2014, "How do financial institutions forecast sovereign spreads?," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1750, Dec.
  4. Martin Larch & Kristin Magnusson Bernard & Balint Tatar, 2014, "Hard work, and More: How to successfully conduct adjustment with official assistance," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission, number 514, Feb.

2013

  1. Peter Claeys & Borek Vašícek, 2013, "“How systemic is Spain for Europe?”," AQR Working Papers, University of Barcelona, Regional Quantitative Analysis Group, number 201301, Feb, revised Feb 2013.

2012

  1. Peter Claeys & Luis Costa, 2012, "“A Note on the Relationship Between the Cyclicality of Markups and Fiscal Policy”," AQR Working Papers, University of Barcelona, Regional Quantitative Analysis Group, number 201208, Sep, revised Sep 2012.
  2. Peter Claeys & Borek Vašícek, 2012, "“Measuring Sovereign Bond Spillover in Europe and the Impact of Rating News”," AQR Working Papers, University of Barcelona, Regional Quantitative Analysis Group, number 201209, Nov, revised Nov 2012.
  3. Jan in't Veld & Martin Larch & Marieke Vandeweyer, 2012, "Automatic Fiscal Stabilisers: What they are and what they do," Working Papers of VIVES - Research Centre for Regional Economics, KU Leuven, Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB), VIVES - Research Centre for Regional Economics, number 29.
  4. André Sapir & Benedicta Marzinotto, 2012, "Fiscal rules- Timing is everything," Bruegel Policy Brief, Bruegel, number 749, Sep.
  5. Benedicta Marzinotto & Guntram B. Wolff & Mark Hallerberg, 2012, "On the effectiveness and legitimacy of EU economic policies," Bruegel Policy Brief, Bruegel, number 758, Nov.
  6. Benedicta Marzinotto, 2012, "The long-term EU budget- size or flexibility?," Bruegel Policy Contributions, Bruegel, number 760, Nov.
  7. Benedicta Marzinotto, 2012, "The growth effects of EU cohesion policy- a meta-analysis," Bruegel Working Papers, Bruegel, number 754, Oct.

2011

  1. Peter Claeys, 2011, "If you want me to stay, pay," IREA Working Papers, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, number 201101, Feb, revised Feb 2011.
  2. André Sapir & Benedicta Marzinotto & Guntram B. Wolff, 2011, "What kind of fiscal union?," Bruegel Policy Brief, Bruegel, number 646, Nov.
  3. Benedicta Marzinotto, 2011, "A European fund for economic revival in crisis countries," Bruegel Policy Contributions, Bruegel, number 504, Feb.
  4. Jean Pisani-Ferry & Benedicta Marzinotto & Guntram B. Wolff, 2011, "An action plan for the European leaders," Bruegel Policy Contributions, Bruegel, number 582, Jul.
  5. Benedicta Marzinotto & Guntram B. Wolff & Mark Hallerberg, 2011, "How effective and legitimate is the European semester? Increasing role of the European parliament," Bruegel Working Papers, Bruegel, number 612, Sep.

2010

  1. Alessandro Maravalle & Peter Claeys, 2010, "Fiscal policy and economic stability: does PIGS stand for Procyclicality In Government Spending?," IREA Working Papers, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, number 201015, revised 2010.
  2. Jacques Pelkmans & Lionel Kapff, 2010, "Interconnector Investment for a Well-functioning Internal Market. What EU regime of regulatory incentives?," Bruges European Economic Research Papers, European Economic Studies Department, College of Europe, number 18, Oct.
  3. Martin Larch, 2010, "Fiscal performance and income inequality: Are unequal societies more deficit-prone? Some cross-count," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission, number 414, Jun.
  4. Martin Larch & Paul van den Noord & Lars Jonung, 2010, "The Stability and Growth Pact: Lessons from the Great Recession," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission, number 429, Dec.
  5. Larch, Martin, 2010, "Fiscal performance and income inequality: Are unequal societies more deficit-prone? Some cross-country evidence," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 23496, May.
  6. Jean Pisani-Ferry & André Sapir & Benedicta Marzinotto, 2010, "Two crises, two responses," Bruegel Policy Brief, Bruegel, number 392, Mar.
  7. Benedicta Marzinotto & Jörg Rocholl, 2010, "The unequal effect of new banking rules in Europe," Bruegel Policy Contributions, Bruegel, number 445, Oct.

2009

  1. Peter Claeys & Fabio Manca, 2009, "A missing spatial link in institutional quality," IREA Working Papers, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, number 200911, Jun, revised Jun 2009.
  2. António Afonso & Peter Claeys & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2009, "Fiscal Regime Shifts in Portugal," IREA Working Papers, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, number 200921, Oct, revised Oct 2009.
  3. Martin Larch & Alessandro Turrini, 2009, "The cyclically-adjusted budget balance in EU fiscal policy making : A love at first sight turned into a mature relationship," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission, number 374, Mar.
  4. Martin Larch, 2009, "Achieving and safeguarding sound fiscal positions - Proceedings of the Workshop organised by the Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs in Brussels on 17 January 2008 - Martin Larch," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission, number 377, Apr.

2008

  1. Peter Claeys & Rosina Moreno & Jordi Suriñach, 2008, "Fiscal policy and interest rates: the role of financial and economic integration," IREA Working Papers, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, number 200810, Sep, revised Sep 2008.
  2. Francesca Arnaboldi & Peter Claeys, 2008, "Internet Banking in Europe: a comparative analysis," IREA Working Papers, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, number 200811, Sep, revised Sep 2008.
  3. Peter Claeys & Raúl Ramos & Jordi Suriñach, 2008, "Testing the FTPL across government tiers," IREA Working Papers, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, number 200812, Oct, revised Oct 2008.
  4. Maurizio Bovi & Peter Claeys, 2008, "Treasury V Dodgers. A Tale of Fiscal Consolidation and Tax Evasion," ISAE Working Papers, ISTAT - Italian National Institute of Statistics - (Rome, ITALY), number 93 Classification-JEL E62, Feb.
  5. Martin Larch & Alessandro Turrini, 2008, "Received wisdom and beyond: Lessons from fiscal consolidation in the EU," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission, number 320, Apr.
  6. Servaas Deroose & Martin Larch & Andrea Schaechter, 2008, "Constricted, lame and pro-cyclical? Fiscal policy in the euro area revisited," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission, number 353, Dec.

2007

  1. Afonso, António & Claeys, Peter, 2007, "The dynamic behaviour of budget components and output," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 775, Jul.
  2. Peter Claeys, 2007, "Sustainability of EU fiscal policies, a panel test," IREA Working Papers, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, number 200702, Jan, revised Jan 2007.
  3. Peter Claeys & Raúl Ramos & Jordi Suriñach, 2007, "Fiscal sustainability across government tiers: an assessment of soft budget constraints," IREA Working Papers, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, number 200714, Jul, revised Jul 2007.
  4. Peter Claeys, 2007, "Estimating the effects of fiscal policy under the budget constraint," IREA Working Papers, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, number 200715, Jul, revised Jul 2007.
  5. Peter Claeys & Raúl Ramos & Jordi Suriñach, 2007, "Fiscal Sustainability Across Government Tiers," Working Papers, Xarxa de Referència en Economia Aplicada (XREAP), number XREAP2007-14, revised 2007.
  6. Jonas Fischer & Lars Jonung & Martin Larch, 2007, "101 Proposals to reform the Stability and Growth Pact. Why so many? A Survey," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission, number 267, Jan.
  7. Fabio Balboni & Marco Buti & Martin Larch, 2007, "ECB vs Council vs Commission: Monetary and fiscal policy interactions in the EMU when cyclical conditions are uncertain," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission, number 277, May.
  8. Sven Langedijk & Martin Larch, 2007, "Testing the EU fiscal surveillance: How sensitive is it to variations in output gap estimates?," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission, number 285, Aug.
  9. Martin Larch & João Nogueira Martins, 2007, "Fiscal indicators - Proceedings of the the Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs Workshop held on 22 September 2006 in Brussels," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission, number 297, Dec.

2006

  1. Klaus Weyerstrass & Johannes Jaenicke & Reinhard Neck & Gottfried Haber & Bas van Aarle & Koen Schoors & Niko Gobbin & Peter Claeys, 2006, "Economic spillover and policy coordination in the Euro area," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission, number 246, Mar.
  2. António Afonso & Peter Claeys, 2006, "The dynamic behaviour of budget components and output – the cases of France, Germany, Portugal, and Spain," Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa, number 2006/26.

2005

  1. Peter Claeys, 2005, "Policy Mix and Debt Sustainability: Evidence from Fiscal Policy Rules," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 1406.

2004

  1. Peter CLAEYS, 2004, "Monetary and budgetary policy interaction: an SVAR analysis of stabilisation policies in monetary union," Economics Working Papers, European University Institute, number ECO2004/22.
  2. Lars Jonung & Martin Larch, 2004, "Improving fiscal policy in the EU: the case for independent forecasts," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission, number 210, Aug.

2003

  1. Martin Larch & Matteo Salto, 2003, "Fiscal rules, inertia and discretionary fiscal policy," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission, number 194, Oct.

Journal articles

2026

  1. Belen Chocobar & Peter Claeys, 2026, "Identifying Drivers of Deviations From Rational Expectations: Using a New Irrational Index for Inflation Forecasts," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 45, issue 5, pages 2160-2172, August, DOI: 10.1002/for.70136.
  2. Janeba Eckhard & Larch Martin, 2026, "Die neuen europäischen Fiskalregeln: Eine Bestandsaufnahme," Wirtschaftsdienst, Paradigm, volume 106, issue 2, pages 104-111, DOI: 10.2478/wd-2026-0029.
  3. Benedicta Marzinotto, 2026, "The heterogeneous impact of European Central Bank asset price surprises on corporate liquidity demand," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, volume 93, issue 370, pages 552-576, April, DOI: 10.1111/ecca.70028.

2025

  1. Larch, Martin & Claeys, Peter & van der Wielen, Wouter, 2025, "Scarring effects of major economic downturns: The role of fiscal policy and government investment," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, volume 90, issue PA, DOI: 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2024.102509.
  2. Belen Chocobar & Peter Claeys & Marcos Poplawski‐Ribeiro, 2025, "Fiscal Forecasting Rationality Among Expert Forecasters," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 44, issue 3, pages 941-959, April, DOI: 10.1002/for.3237.
  3. Georg Kirchsteiger & Martin Larch, 2025, "The Enforcement Dilemma of EU Fiscal Rules," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, volume 37, issue 2, pages 699-708, July, DOI: 10.1111/ecpo.12334.
  4. Brändle Thomas & Larch Martin, 2025, "Bremsen Fiskalregeln öffentliche Investitionen aus?," Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, De Gruyter, volume 26, issue 2, pages 199-210, DOI: 10.1515/pwp-2025-0007.
  5. Martin Larch & Wouter Wielen, 2025, "Comply and invest: the effect of EU fiscal rules on public investment," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 69, issue 4, pages 1725-1750, October, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-025-02778-1.
  6. Benedicta Marzinotto, 2025, "Trade shocks and relative consumption: why the European middle class is turning far right," Review of International Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 32, issue 4, pages 1145-1163, July, DOI: 10.1080/09692290.2025.2454911.
  7. Abbondanza, Aurora & Albertazzi, Ugo & Caccavaio, Marianna & Djekic, Davor & Gattinoni, Valentina & Georgescu, Oana-Maria & Ponte Marques, Aurea, 2025, "Integrating climate risk into the 2025 EU-wide stress test: the effects of climate risks for firms," Macroprudential Bulletin, European Central Bank, volume 32.
  8. Ponte Marques, Aurea & Vila Martín, Diego & Salleo, Carmelo & Cappelletti, Giuseppe, 2025, "Macroprudential policy spillovers in international banking groups. Beggar-thy-neighbour and the role of internal capital markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 171, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107349.

2024

  1. Laura Carabotta & Peter Claeys, 2024, "Combine to compete: Improving fiscal forecast accuracy over time," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 43, issue 4, pages 948-982, July, DOI: 10.1002/for.3058.
  2. Durrani, Agha & Ongena, Steven & Ponte Marques, Aurea, 2024, "Decoding market reactions: The certification role of EU-wide stress tests," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 139, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2024.106828.
  3. Cappelletti, Giuseppe & Ponte Marques, Aurea & Varraso, Paolo, 2024, "Impact of higher capital buffers on banks’ lending and risk-taking in the short- and medium-term: Evidence from the euro area experiments," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, volume 72, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jfs.2024.101250.

2023

  1. Paul Dermine & Martin Larch, 2023, "Solving the Enforcement Dilemma of the EU Fiscal Rules," EconPol Forum, CESifo, volume 24, issue 04, pages 26-29, July.
  2. Beetsma, Roel & Busse, Matthias & Germinetti, Lorenzo & Giuliodori, Massimo & Larch, Martin, 2023, "Is the road to hell paved with good intentions? An empirical analysis of budgetary follow-up in the EU," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 135, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2023.102854.
  3. Larch Martin & Malzubris Janis & Santacroce Stefano, 2023, "Numerical Compliance with EU Fiscal Rules: Facts and Figures from a New Database," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Paradigm, volume 58, issue 1, pages 32-42, January, DOI: 10.2478/ie-2023-0008.

2022

  1. Marzinotto, Benedicta, 2022, "Euro area current account imbalances: A tale of two financial liberalizations," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 120, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2020.102310.
  2. Durrani, Agha & Ponte Marques, Aurea & Giraldo, Giacomo & Pancaro, Cosimo & Panos, Jiri & Zaharia, Alina, 2022, "Does the disclosure of stress test results affect market behaviour?," Macroprudential Bulletin, European Central Bank, volume 17.

2021

  1. Larch, Martin & Kumps, Diederik & Cugnasca, Alessandro, 2021, "Fiscal stabilisation in real time: An exercise in risk management," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 99, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2021.03.013.
  2. Larch, Martin & Orseau, Eloïse & van der Wielen, Wouter, 2021, "Do EU fiscal rules support or hinder counter-cyclical fiscal policy?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 112, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2020.102328.
  3. Dautović, Ernest & Ponte Marques, Aurea & Reghezza, Alessio & Rodriguez d’Acri, Costanza & Martín, Diego Vila & Wildmann, Nadya, 2021, "Evaluating the benefits of euro area dividend distribution recommendations on lending and provisioning," Macroprudential Bulletin, European Central Bank, volume 13.

2020

  1. Cardi, Olivier & Restout, Romain & Claeys, Peter, 2020, "Imperfect mobility of labor across sectors and fiscal transmission," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 111, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2019.103815.
  2. Martin Larch & Philipp Mohl, 2020, "Mitigating the Gap Between the Rich and the Poor: Key Trends and Drivers of Redistribution," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), volume 55, issue 4, pages 245-255, July, DOI: 10.1007/s10272-020-0909-x.

2019

  1. Claeys, Peter & Vašíček, Bořek, 2019, "Transmission of uncertainty shocks: Learning from heterogeneous responses on a panel of EU countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 64, issue C, pages 62-83, DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2019.05.012.
  2. Roel Beetsma & Martin Larch, 2019, "EU Fiscal Rules: Further Reform or Better Implementation?," ifo DICE Report, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 17, issue 02, pages 07-11, August.

2018

  1. Martin Larch & Thomas Braendle, 2018, "Independent Fiscal Councils: Neglected Siblings of Independent Central Banks? An EU Perspective," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, volume 56, issue 2, pages 267-283, March, DOI: 10.1111/jcms.12577.

2017

  1. Luca Bettarelli & Giovanna Iannantuoni & Elena Manzoni & Francesca Rossi, 2017, "Voters’ preferences and electoral systems: the EuroVotePlus experiment in Italy," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, volume 34, issue 1, pages 159-177, April, DOI: 10.1007/s40888-016-0046-y.
  2. Bettarelli Luca, 2017, "From Revolution to Elections. A Comparative Analysis of Tunisia and Egypt," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, volume 23, issue 2, pages 1-12, April, DOI: 10.1515/peps-2016-0050.
  3. Peter Claeys, 2017, "Uncertainty spillover and policy reactions," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, volume 35, issue 82, pages 64-77, April, DOI: 10.1016/j.espe.2017.01.003.
  4. Peter Claeys & Raul Ramos & Jordi Suriñach, 2017, "Interaction of Government Tiers and Central Banks in a Federation: An Empirical Test," Fiscal Studies, Institute for Fiscal Studies, volume 38, issue , pages 301-330, June.
  5. Martin Larch & Kristin Magnusson Bernard & Peter McQuade, 2017, "Fortune or fortitude? Determinants of successful adjustment with IMF programs," OECD Journal: Economic Studies, OECD Publishing, volume 2016, issue 1, pages 37-69, DOI: 10.1787/eco_studies-2016-5jg1g64g19.
  6. Benedicta Marzinotto, 2017, "Euro area macroeconomic imbalances and their asymmetric reversal: the link between financial integration and income inequality," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, volume 34, issue 1, pages 83-104, April, DOI: 10.1007/s40888-017-0054-6.
  7. Benedicta Marzinotto & Alessandro Turrini, 2017, "Co-movements between public and private wages in the EU: what factors and with what policy implications?," IZA Journal of European Labor Studies, Springer;Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit GmbH (IZA), volume 6, issue 1, pages 1-16, December, DOI: 10.1186/s40174-016-0074-1.

2016

  1. Cimadomo, Jacopo & Claeys, Peter & Poplawski-Ribeiro, Marcos, 2016, "How do experts forecast sovereign spreads?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 87, issue C, pages 216-235, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2016.03.002.
  2. Babecká Kucharčuková, Oxana & Claeys, Peter & Vašíček, Bořek, 2016, "Spillover of the ECB's monetary policy outside the euro area: How different is conventional from unconventional policy?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, volume 38, issue 2, pages 199-225, DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2016.02.002.
  3. Nicolas Carnot & Ulrich Clemens & Martin Larch & Borek Vasicek, 2016, "The policy mix, when monetary policy is constrained at the zero lower bound," Quarterly Report on the Euro Area (QREA), Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission, volume 15, issue 3, pages 19-28, December.

2015

  1. Peter Claeys, 2015, "Timing and duration of inflation targeting regimes," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, volume 33, issue 76, pages 18-30, April, DOI: 10.1016/j.espe.2015.01.001.
  2. Peter Claeys & Federico Martire, 2015, "‘If You Want Me to Stay, Pay’: A Model of Asymmetric Federalism in Centralised Countries," Environment and Planning C, , volume 33, issue 2, pages 305-320, April, DOI: 10.1068/c11318r.
  3. Benedicta Marzinotto, 2015, "Embedded Macroeconomic Institutions: Italy's Fiscal U-Turn in the 1990s and Beyond," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, volume 53, issue 6, pages 1301-1318, November.

2014

  1. Claeys, Peter & Vašíček, Bořek, 2014, "Measuring bilateral spillover and testing contagion on sovereign bond markets in Europe," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 46, issue C, pages 151-165, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2014.05.011.
  2. Peter Claeys, 2014, "Comment on '"A toolkit to assessing fiscal vulnerabilities and risks in advanced economies" by Andrea Schaechter, C. Emre Alper, Elif Arbatli, Carlos Caceres, Giovanni Callegari, Marc Gerard, Jiri Jonas, Tidiane Kinda, Anna Shabunina and An," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 46, issue 6, pages 661-662, February, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.861960.
  3. Benedicta Marzinotto & Alessandro Turrini, 2014, "The relationship between government and export sector wages and implications for competitiveness," Quarterly Report on the Euro Area (QREA), Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission, volume 13, issue 1, pages 27-34, April.

2013

  1. Jan Veld & Martin Larch & Marieke Vandeweyer, 2013, "Automatic Fiscal Stabilisers: What They Are and What They Do," Open Economies Review, Springer, volume 24, issue 1, pages 147-163, February, DOI: 10.1007/s11079-012-9260-6.

2012

  1. Claeys, Peter & Moreno, Rosina & Suriñach, Jordi, 2012, "Debt, interest rates, and integration of financial markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 29, issue 1, pages 48-59, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2011.05.009.
  2. Maravalle, Alessandro & Claeys, Peter, 2012, "Boom–bust cycles and procyclical fiscal policy in a small open economy," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, volume 34, issue 5, pages 735-754, DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2012.01.011.
  3. Martin Larch, 2012, "Fiscal Performance and Income Inequality: Are Unequal Societies More Deficit‐Prone?," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, volume 65, issue 1, pages 53-80, February.

2011

  1. António Afonso & Peter Claeys & Ricardo Sousa, 2011, "Fiscal regime shifts in Portugal," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, volume 10, issue 2, pages 83-108, August, DOI: 10.1007/s10258-010-0065-5.
  2. Peter Claeys & Fabio Manca, 2011, "A missing spatial link in institutional quality," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 18, issue 3, pages 223-227, DOI: 10.1080/13504850903559542.
  3. Larch, Martin & Turrini, Alessandro, 2011, "Received Wisdom and Beyond: Lessons from Fiscal Consolidation in the EU," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, volume 217, issue , pages 1-18, July.
  4. Servaas Deroose & Martin Larch & Andrea Schachter, 2011, "Constricted, lame and pro-cyclical? Fiscal policy in the euro area revisited," International Journal of Sustainable Economy, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, volume 3, issue 2, pages 162-184.
  5. Sven Langedijk & Martin Larch, 2011, "Testing EU fiscal surveillance: how sensitive is it to variations in output gap estimates?," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 25, issue 1, pages 39-60, DOI: 10.1080/02692170903426138.

2010

  1. Martin Larch & Alessandro Turrini, 2010, "The cyclically adjusted budget balance in EU fiscal policymaking," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), volume 45, issue 1, pages 48-60, January, DOI: 10.1007/s10272-010-0324-9.

2009

  1. Claeys, Peter, 2009, "R. Neck and J. Sturm, Editors, Sustainability of public debt, MIT Press, Cambridge (2008) 271 pp.," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 18, issue 4, pages 701-702, October.
  2. Marco Buti & Martin Larch & Fabio Balboni, 2009, "Monetary and fiscal policy interactions in the EMU when cyclical conditions are uncertain," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, volume 36, issue 1, pages 21-44, February, DOI: 10.1007/s10663-008-9090-3.
  3. Marzinotto, Benedicta, 2009, "Beyond monetary credibility: The impact of globalisation on the output-inflation trade-off in euro-area countries," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 20, issue 2, pages 162-176, August.

2008

  1. Afonso, Antonio & Claeys, Peter, 2008, "The dynamic behaviour of budget components and output," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 25, issue 1, pages 93-117, January.
  2. Peter Claeys & Raúl Ramos & Jordi Suriñach, 2008, "Fiscal sustainability across government tiers," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, volume 5, issue 1, pages 139-163, July, DOI: 10.1007/s10368-008-0112-1.

2007

  1. Peter Claeys, 2007, "Sustainability of EU Fiscal Policies: a Panel Test," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, volume 22, pages 112-127.
  2. Benedicta Marzinotto & Patrizia Tiberi, 2007, "The Impact of the European Monetary Union on German Relative Wage Growth: Divergences and Delayed Adjustment in EMU," Politica economica, Società editrice il Mulino, issue 2, pages 209-226.

2006

  1. Peter Claeys, 2006, "Policy mix and debt sustainability: evidence from fiscal policy rules," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, volume 33, issue 2, pages 89-112, June, DOI: 10.1007/s10663-006-9009-9.
  2. Lars Jonung & Martin Larch, 2006, "Improving fiscal policy in the EU: the case for independent forecasts
    [‘Fiscal forecasting: The track record of the IMF, OECD and EC’]    ," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, volume 21, issue 47, pages 492-534.

2005

  1. Martin Larch & Matteo Salto, 2005, "Fiscal rules, inertia and discretionary fiscal policy," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 37, issue 10, pages 1135-1146, DOI: 10.1080/00036840500109589.

1994

  1. Martin Larch, 1994, "Die Analyse externer Bestimmungsfaktoren der regionalen Wirtschaftsentwicklung im Rahmen eines VARModells," Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft - WuG, Kammer für Arbeiter und Angestellte für Wien, Abteilung Wirtschaftswissenschaft und Statistik, volume 20, issue 4, pages 539-557.

1993

  1. Larch Martin, 1993, "Measuring the Effectiveness of Budget Consolidation Efforts/Ein Indikator zur Wirkungskontrolle der Budgetkonsolidierung," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, volume 211, issue 5-6, pages 503-517, March, DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-1993-5-612.
  2. Larch, Martin, 1993, "Dynamically Inefficient Equilibria in the Auerbach-Kotlikoff Model," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 18, issue 1, pages 159-172.

Books

2016

  1. Caporaso, James A. & Rhodes, Martin (ed.), 2016, "Political and Economic Dynamics of the Eurozone Crisis," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198755739, ISBN: ARRAY(0x8118d320).

2015

  1. Jan Babecky & Michal Franta (ed.), 2015, "Monetary Policy Challenges in a Low-Inflation Environment," Occasional Publications - Edited Volumes, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number rb13/2, edition 2.

Chapters

2025

  1. Susana Silva & Dora Martins & Aurea Marques, 2025, "Attraction and Retention Strategies: What Matters to the Millennial?," Springer Proceedings in Business and Economics, Springer, in: Vicky Katsoni & Carlos Costa, "Innovation and Creativity in Tourism, Business and Social Sciences", DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-87019-4_23.

2010

  1. Peter Claeys & Rosina Moreno & Jordi Suriñach, 2010, "Fiscal Policy and Interest Rates: The Role of Financial and Economic Integration," Advances in Spatial Science, Springer, in: Antonio Páez & Julie Gallo & Ron N. Buliung & Sandy Dall'erba, "Progress in Spatial Analysis", DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-03326-1_15.

2009

  1. Francesa Arnabodi & Peter Claeys, 2009, "Financial Innovation in Internet Banking: A Comparative Analysis," Chapters, Edward Elgar Publishing, chapter 5, in: Luisa Anderloni & David T. Llewellyn & Reinhard H. Schmidt, "Financial Innovation in Retail and Corporate Banking".

2008

  1. Peter Claeys, 2008, "Budgetary spillovers and long-term interest rates," Contributions to Economics, Springer, chapter 3, "Economic Spillovers, Structural Reforms and Policy Coordination in the Euro Area", DOI: 10.1007/978-3-7908-1970-0_3.
  2. Benedicta Marzinotto, 2008, "Bringing Domestic Pressures Back into the Budget: Germany’s Stability Pact and the New Incentive Structure in EMU," Chapters, Edward Elgar Publishing, chapter 4, in: Lelia Simona Talani & Bernard Casey, "Between Growth and Stability".

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