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Policy mix and debt sustainability: evidence from fiscal policy rules

  • Peter Claeys


This paper characterises rules-based fiscal policy setting. Basically, we translate a standard monetary policy rule into a simple fiscal policy rule. We then infer on fiscal policymakers' reaction coefficients by testing the rule with GMM. Interaction is also tested directly by the inclusion of monetary policy setting. Our results qualify existing evidence on systematic fiscal policy in two respects. First, fiscal policy usually stabilises public debt. And there is indeed substantial interaction between fiscal and monetary policy via the debt channel. Second, sustainability is achieved with a "stop-go" cycle of consolidation. Unless debt ratios were high, consolidation did not come at the cost of less cyclical stabilisation.

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Article provided by Springer & Austrian Institute for Economic Research & Austrian Economic Association in its journal Empirica.

Volume (Year): 33 (2006)
Issue (Month): 2 (June)
Pages: 89-112

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Handle: RePEc:kap:empiri:v:33:y:2006:i:2:p:89-112
DOI: 10.1007/s10663-006-9009-9
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