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Anthropogenic Influences on Atmospheric CO2

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  • David Hendry
  • Felix Pretis

Abstract

We identify anthropogenic contributions to atmospheric CO2 measured at Mauna Loa using a statistical automatic model selection algorithm (Autometrics). We find that vegetation, temperature and other natural factors alone cannot explain the trend or the variation in CO2 growth. Industrial production components, driven by business cycles and economic shocks, are highly significant contributors.

Suggested Citation

  • David Hendry & Felix Pretis, 2011. "Anthropogenic Influences on Atmospheric CO2," Economics Series Working Papers 584, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:oxf:wpaper:584
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    File URL: http://www.economics.ox.ac.uk/materials/papers/5527/paper584.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Ericsson, Neil R., 2017. "How biased are U.S. government forecasts of the federal debt?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 543-559.
    2. Ericsson, Neil R., 2016. "Eliciting GDP forecasts from the FOMC’s minutes around the financial crisis," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 571-583.
    3. Marczak, Martyna & Proietti, Tommaso, 2016. "Outlier detection in structural time series models: The indicator saturation approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 180-202.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Climate change; CO2 emissions; Impulse-indicator saturation; (Autometrics).;

    JEL classification:

    • Q5 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics
    • C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling

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