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Felix Pretis

Personal Details

First Name:Felix
Middle Name:
Last Name:Pretis
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:ppr417
[This author has chosen not to make the email address public]
http://www.felixpretis.org

Affiliation

(90%) Department of Economics
University of Victoria

Victoria, Canada
https://www.uvic.ca/socialsciences/economics/

(250) 721-8532
(250) 721-6214
P.O. Box 1700, STN CSC, Victoria, B.C., V8W 2Y2
RePEc:edi:devicca (more details at EDIRC)

(10%) Economics Group, Nuffield College
Department of Economics
Oxford University

Oxford, United Kingdom
http://www.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/Research/Economics-Group/Pages/Economics.aspx




RePEc:edi:egpoxuk (more details at EDIRC)

Research output

as
Jump to: Working papers Articles Chapters

Working papers

  1. Rafaty, R. & Dolphin, G. & Pretis, F., 2020. "Carbon pricing and the elasticity of CO2 emissions," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 20116, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  2. David F. Hendry & Felix Pretis, 2020. "Analyzing Differences between Scenarios," Economics Papers 2020-W05, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
  3. David Hendry & Lea Schneider & Jason E. Smerdon, 2016. "Detecting Volcanic Eruptions in Temperature Reconstructions by Designed Break-Indicator Saturation," Economics Series Working Papers 780, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
  4. James Reade & Genaro Sucarrat, 2016. "General-to-Specific (GETS) Modelling And Indicator Saturation With The R Package Gets," Economics Series Working Papers 794, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
  5. Max Roser, 2016. "Carbon Dioxide Emission-Intensity in Climate Projections: Comparing the Observational Record to Socio-Economic Scenarios," Economics Series Working Papers 810, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
  6. Felix Pretis, 2015. "Econometric Models of Climate Systems: The Equivalence of Two-Component Energy Balance Models and Cointegrated VARs," Economics Series Working Papers 750, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
  7. David Hendry & Jurgen A. Doornik & Felix Pretis, 2013. "Step-indicator Saturation," Economics Series Working Papers 658, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
  8. David Hendry & Felix Pretis, 2013. "Some Fallacies in Econometric Modelling of Climate Change," Economics Series Working Papers 643, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
  9. David Hendry & Felix Pretis, 2011. "Anthropogenic Influences on Atmospheric CO2," Economics Series Working Papers 584, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.

Articles

  1. Pretis, Felix, 2020. "Econometric modelling of climate systems: The equivalence of energy balance models and cointegrated vector autoregressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 214(1), pages 256-273.
  2. Pretis, Felix & Roser, Max, 2017. "Carbon dioxide emission-intensity in climate projections: Comparing the observational record to socio-economic scenarios," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 718-725.
  3. Felix Pretis & Lea Schneider & Jason E. Smerdon & David F. Hendry, 2016. "Detecting Volcanic Eruptions In Temperature Reconstructions By Designed Break-Indicator Saturation," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(3), pages 403-429, July.
  4. Felix Pretis & Michael Mann & Robert Kaufmann, 2015. "Testing competing models of the temperature hiatus: assessing the effects of conditioning variables and temporal uncertainties through sample-wide break detection," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 131(4), pages 705-718, August.
  5. Jennifer L. Castle & Jurgen A. Doornik & David F. Hendry & Felix Pretis, 2015. "Detecting Location Shifts during Model Selection by Step-Indicator Saturation," Econometrics, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 3(2), pages 1-25, April.

Chapters

  1. David F. Hendry & Felix Pretis, 2013. "Anthropogenic influences on atmospheric CO2," Chapters, in: Roger Fouquet (ed.), Handbook on Energy and Climate Change, chapter 12, pages 287-326, Edward Elgar Publishing.

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Blog mentions

As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
  1. David Hendry & Felix Pretis, 2013. "Some Fallacies in Econometric Modelling of Climate Change," Economics Series Working Papers 643, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Papers I've Been Reading
      by Dave Giles in Econometrics Beat: Dave Giles' Blog on 2013-03-16 03:10:00

RePEc Biblio mentions

As found on the RePEc Biblio, the curated bibliography of Economics:
  1. Rafaty, R. & Dolphin, G. & Pretis, F., 2020. "Carbon pricing and the elasticity of CO2 emissions," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 20116, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.

    Mentioned in:

    1. > Environmental and Natural Resource Economics > Climate economics > Ex-post evaluation of climate policy > Carbon taxes

Working papers

  1. David Hendry & Lea Schneider & Jason E. Smerdon, 2016. "Detecting Volcanic Eruptions in Temperature Reconstructions by Designed Break-Indicator Saturation," Economics Series Working Papers 780, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Neil R. Ericsson, 2017. "How Biased Are U.S. Government Forecasts of the Federal Debt?," International Finance Discussion Papers 1189, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    2. Søren Johansen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2016. "The cointegrated vector autoregressive model with general deterministic terms," Discussion Papers 16-07, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
    3. Jennifer L. Castle & Michael P. Clements & David F. Hendry, 2016. "An Overview of Forecasting Facing Breaks," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 12(1), pages 3-23, September.
    4. Andrew B. Martinez, 2020. "Forecast Accuracy Matters for Hurricane Damages," Working Papers 2020-003, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
    5. Ericsson, Neil R., 2017. "Interpreting estimates of forecast bias," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 563-568.
    6. Pretis, Felix, 2020. "Econometric modelling of climate systems: The equivalence of energy balance models and cointegrated vector autoregressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 214(1), pages 256-273.
    7. Neil R. Ericsson, 2016. "Economic Forecasting in Theory and Practice : An Interview with David F. Hendry," International Finance Discussion Papers 1184, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    8. Jurgen A. Doornik & David F. Hendry, 2016. "Outliers and Model Selection: Discussion of the Paper by Søren Johansen and Bent Nielsen," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 43(2), pages 360-365, June.
    9. Jennifer L. Castle & Jurgen A. Doornik & David F. Hendry, 2020. "Robust Discovery of Regression Models," Economics Papers 2020-W04, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.

  2. James Reade & Genaro Sucarrat, 2016. "General-to-Specific (GETS) Modelling And Indicator Saturation With The R Package Gets," Economics Series Working Papers 794, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. David Hendry & Lea Schneider & Jason E. Smerdon, 2016. "Detecting Volcanic Eruptions in Temperature Reconstructions by Designed Break-Indicator Saturation," Economics Series Working Papers 780, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    2. Leighton Vaughan Williams & J. James Reade, 2016. "Prediction Markets, Social Media and Information Efficiency," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 69(3), pages 518-556, August.
    3. Møller, Niels Framroze & Andersen, Laura Mørch & Hansen, Lars Gårn & Jensen, Carsten Lynge, 2019. "Can pecuniary and environmental incentives via SMS messaging make households adjust their electricity demand to a fluctuating production?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 1050-1058.
    4. Jennifer L. Castle & David F. Hendry & Andrew B. Martinez, 2017. "Evaluating Forecasts, Narratives and Policy Using a Test of Invariance," Econometrics, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 5(3), pages 1-27, September.
    5. Mukanjari, Samson & Sterner, Thomas, 2018. "Do Markets Trump Politics? Evidence from Fossil Market Reactions to the Paris Agreement and the U.S. Election," Working Papers in Economics 728, University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics.
    6. Niels Framroze Møller & Laura Mørch Andersen & Lars Gårn Hansen & Carsten Lynge Jensen, 2018. "Can pecuniary and environmental incentives via SMS messaging make households adjust their intra-day electricity demand to a fluctuating production?," IFRO Working Paper 2018/06, University of Copenhagen, Department of Food and Resource Economics.

  3. Max Roser, 2016. "Carbon Dioxide Emission-Intensity in Climate Projections: Comparing the Observational Record to Socio-Economic Scenarios," Economics Series Working Papers 810, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. David Hendry & Andrew B. Martinez, 2016. "Evaluating Multi-Step System Forecasts with Relatively Few Forecast-Error Observations," Economics Series Working Papers 784, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    2. Badrinarayanan, Rajagopalan & Tseng, King Jet & Soong, Boon Hee & Wei, Zhongbao, 2017. "Modelling and control of vanadium redox flow battery for profile based charging applications," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 1479-1488.
    3. Cheng, Shulei & Wu, Yinyin & Chen, Hua & Chen, Jiandong & Song, Malin & Hou, Wenxuan, 2019. "Determinants of changes in electricity generation intensity among different power sectors," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 389-408.
    4. Jinkai Li & Jingjing Ma & Wei Wei, 2020. "Analysis and Evaluation of the Regional Characteristics of Carbon Emission Efficiency for China," Sustainability, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 12(8), pages 1-22, April.
    5. Wang, Shaojian & Wang, Jieyu & Fang, Chuanglin & Feng, Kuishuang, 2019. "Inequalities in carbon intensity in China: A multi-scalar and multi-mechanism analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 254(C).
    6. Gui, Shusen & Wu, Chunyou & Qu, Ying & Guo, Lingling, 2017. "Path analysis of factors impacting China's CO2 emission intensity: Viewpoint on energy," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 650-658.
    7. Li-Ming Xue & Shuo Meng & Jia-Xing Wang & Lei Liu & Zhi-Xue Zheng, 2020. "Influential Factors Regarding Carbon Emission Intensity in China: A Spatial Econometric Analysis from a Provincial Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 12(19), pages 1-26, October.
    8. David I. Stern, 2017. "How accurate are energy intensity projections?," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 143(3), pages 537-545, August.
    9. Roberto Araya & Pedro Collanqui, 2021. "Are Cross-Border Classes Feasible for Students to Collaborate in the Analysis of Energy Efficiency Strategies for Socioeconomic Development While Keeping CO 2 Concentration Controlled?," Sustainability, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 13(3), pages 1-20, February.

  4. Felix Pretis, 2015. "Econometric Models of Climate Systems: The Equivalence of Two-Component Energy Balance Models and Cointegrated VARs," Economics Series Working Papers 750, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. David Hendry & Lea Schneider & Jason E. Smerdon, 2016. "Detecting Volcanic Eruptions in Temperature Reconstructions by Designed Break-Indicator Saturation," Economics Series Working Papers 780, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    2. J. Isaac Miller, 2017. "Local Climate Sensitivity: A Statistical Approach for a Spatially Heterogeneous Planet," Working Papers 1702, Department of Economics, University of Missouri.
    3. Søren Johansen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2016. "The cointegrated vector autoregressive model with general deterministic terms," Discussion Papers 16-07, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
    4. Stephan B. Bruns & Zsuzsanna Csereklyei & David I. Stern, 2018. "A Multicointegration Model of Global Climate Change," CCEP Working Papers 1801, Centre for Climate & Energy Policy, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    5. J. Isaac Miller & Kyungsik Nam, 2019. "Dating Hiatuses: A Statistical Model of the Recent Slowdown in Global Warming – and the Next One," Working Papers 1903, Department of Economics, University of Missouri.

  5. David Hendry & Jurgen A. Doornik & Felix Pretis, 2013. "Step-indicator Saturation," Economics Series Working Papers 658, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Haile, Fiseha, 2016. "Global shocks and their impact on the Tanzanian Economy," Economics Discussion Papers 2016-47, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
    2. David Hendry & Lea Schneider & Jason E. Smerdon, 2016. "Detecting Volcanic Eruptions in Temperature Reconstructions by Designed Break-Indicator Saturation," Economics Series Working Papers 780, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    3. Josh R. Stillwagon, 2014. "Non-Linear Exchange Rate Relationships: An Automated Model Selection Approach with Indicator Saturation," Working Papers 1405, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
    4. Jennifer Castle & David Hendry & Michael P. Clements, 2014. "Robust Approaches to Forecasting," Economics Series Working Papers 697, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    5. Leighton Vaughan Williams & J. James Reade, 2016. "Prediction Markets, Social Media and Information Efficiency," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 69(3), pages 518-556, August.
    6. Alexander Chudik & George Kapetanios & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2016. "Big Data Analytics: A New Perspective," CESifo Working Paper Series 5824, CESifo.
    7. Jennifer Castle & David Hendry, 2016. "Policy Analysis, Forediction, and Forecast Failure," Economics Series Working Papers 809, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    8. Josh R. Stillwagon, 2015. "TIPS and the VIX: Non-linear Spillovers from Financial Panic to Breakeven Inflation," Working Papers 1502, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
    9. Haile, Fiseha, 2017. "Global shocks and their impact on the Tanzanian economy," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW), vol. 11, pages 1-38.
    10. Marczak, Martyna & Proietti, Tommaso, 2015. "Outlier Detection in Structural Time Series Models: the Indicator Saturation Approach," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 113137, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    11. Jennifer L. Castle & David F. Hendry & Andrew B. Martinez, 2017. "Evaluating Forecasts, Narratives and Policy Using a Test of Invariance," Econometrics, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 5(3), pages 1-27, September.
    12. Ahumada, H. & Cornejo, M., 2016. "Forecasting food prices: The case of corn, soybeans and wheat," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 838-848.
    13. Jennifer L. Castle & Jurgen A. Doornik & David F. Hendry & Felix Pretis, 2015. "Detecting Location Shifts during Model Selection by Step-Indicator Saturation," Econometrics, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 3(2), pages 1-25, April.
    14. Carlomagno, Guillermo & Espasa, Antoni, 2015. "Forecasting a large set of disaggregates with common trends and outliers," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws1518, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    15. Panday, Anjan, 2015. "Impact of monetary policy on exchange market pressure: The case of Nepal," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 59-71.
    16. David Hendry & Jurgen A. Doornik, 2014. "Statistical Model Selection with 'Big Data'," Economics Series Working Papers 735, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    17. Mukanjari, Samson & Sterner, Thomas, 2018. "Do Markets Trump Politics? Evidence from Fossil Market Reactions to the Paris Agreement and the U.S. Election," Working Papers in Economics 728, University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics.
    18. Castle, Jennifer L. & Hendry, David F., 2014. "Model selection in under-specified equations facing breaks," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(P2), pages 286-293.
    19. Łukasz Goczek & Dagmara Mycielska, 2019. "Actual monetary policy independence in a small open economy: the Polish perspective," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 56(2), pages 499-522, February.
    20. James Reade & Genaro Sucarrat, 2016. "General-to-Specific (GETS) Modelling And Indicator Saturation With The R Package Gets," Economics Series Working Papers 794, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.

  6. David Hendry & Felix Pretis, 2013. "Some Fallacies in Econometric Modelling of Climate Change," Economics Series Working Papers 643, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. David Hendry & Lea Schneider & Jason E. Smerdon, 2016. "Detecting Volcanic Eruptions in Temperature Reconstructions by Designed Break-Indicator Saturation," Economics Series Working Papers 780, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    2. Gadea Rivas, María Dolores & Gonzalo, Jesús, 2017. "Trends in distributional characteristics : Existence of global warming," UC3M Working papers. Economics 24121, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía.
    3. Chevillon, Guillaume, 2013. "Robust Cointegration Testing in the Presence of Weak Trends, with an Application to the Human Origin of Global Warming," ESSEC Working Papers WP1320, ESSEC Research Center, ESSEC Business School.
    4. Stephan B. Bruns & Zsuzsanna Csereklyei & David I. Stern, 2018. "A Multicointegration Model of Global Climate Change," CCEP Working Papers 1801, Centre for Climate & Energy Policy, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.

  7. David Hendry & Felix Pretis, 2011. "Anthropogenic Influences on Atmospheric CO2," Economics Series Working Papers 584, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. David Hendry & Lea Schneider & Jason E. Smerdon, 2016. "Detecting Volcanic Eruptions in Temperature Reconstructions by Designed Break-Indicator Saturation," Economics Series Working Papers 780, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    2. Neil R. Ericsson, 2017. "How Biased Are U.S. Government Forecasts of the Federal Debt?," International Finance Discussion Papers 1189, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    3. Neil R. Ericsson, 2015. "Eliciting GDP Forecasts from the FOMC’s Minutes Around the Financial Crisis," International Finance Discussion Papers 1152, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    4. Pretis, Felix, 2020. "Econometric modelling of climate systems: The equivalence of energy balance models and cointegrated vector autoregressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 214(1), pages 256-273.
    5. Marczak, Martyna & Proietti, Tommaso, 2015. "Outlier Detection in Structural Time Series Models: the Indicator Saturation Approach," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 113137, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    6. Jennifer L. Castle & Jurgen A. Doornik & David F. Hendry & Felix Pretis, 2015. "Detecting Location Shifts during Model Selection by Step-Indicator Saturation," Econometrics, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 3(2), pages 1-25, April.
    7. Jennifer Castle & David Hendry & Oleg Kitov, 2013. "Forecasting and Nowcasting Macroeconomic Variables: A Methodological Overview," Economics Series Working Papers 674, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    8. Brown, Alasdair & Reade, J. James & Vaughan Williams, Leighton, 2019. "When are prediction market prices most informative?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 420-428.

Articles

  1. Pretis, Felix, 2020. "Econometric modelling of climate systems: The equivalence of energy balance models and cointegrated vector autoregressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 214(1), pages 256-273.

    Cited by:

    1. Søren Johansen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2016. "The cointegrated vector autoregressive model with general deterministic terms," Discussion Papers 16-07, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
    2. Stephan B. Bruns & Zsuzsanna Csereklyei & David I. Stern, 2018. "A Multicointegration Model of Global Climate Change," CCEP Working Papers 1801, Centre for Climate & Energy Policy, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    3. Kyungsik Nam, 2021. "Nonlinear Cointegrating Regression of the Earth’s Surface Mean Temperature Anomalies on Total Radiative Forcing," Econometrics, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 9(1), pages 1-25, February.
    4. Manveer Kaur Mangat & Erhard Reschenhofer, 2020. "Frequency-Domain Evidence for Climate Change," Econometrics, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 8(3), pages 1-15, July.
    5. Giselle Montamat & James H. Stock, 2020. "Quasi-experimental estimates of the transient climate response using observational data," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 160(3), pages 361-371, June.

  2. Pretis, Felix & Roser, Max, 2017. "Carbon dioxide emission-intensity in climate projections: Comparing the observational record to socio-economic scenarios," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 718-725.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  3. Felix Pretis & Lea Schneider & Jason E. Smerdon & David F. Hendry, 2016. "Detecting Volcanic Eruptions In Temperature Reconstructions By Designed Break-Indicator Saturation," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(3), pages 403-429, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  4. Felix Pretis & Michael Mann & Robert Kaufmann, 2015. "Testing competing models of the temperature hiatus: assessing the effects of conditioning variables and temporal uncertainties through sample-wide break detection," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 131(4), pages 705-718, August.

    Cited by:

    1. David Hendry & Lea Schneider & Jason E. Smerdon, 2016. "Detecting Volcanic Eruptions in Temperature Reconstructions by Designed Break-Indicator Saturation," Economics Series Working Papers 780, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    2. Claudio Morana & Giacomo Sbrana, 2017. "Temperature Anomalies, Radiative Forcing and ENSO," Working Papers 2017.09, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    3. Neil R. Ericsson, 2015. "Eliciting GDP Forecasts from the FOMC’s Minutes Around the Financial Crisis," International Finance Discussion Papers 1152, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    4. Claudio Morana & Giacomo Sbrana, 2018. "Some financial implications of global warming: An empirical assessment," Working Paper series 18-09, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    5. Yoosoon Chang & Robert K. Kaufmann & Chang Sik Kim & J. Isaac Miller & Joon Y. Park & Sungkeun Park, 2016. "Evaluating trends in time series of distributions: A spatial fingerprint of human effects on climate," Working Papers 1622, Department of Economics, University of Missouri, revised 17 Sep 2018.
    6. Stephan B. Bruns & Zsuzsanna Csereklyei & David I. Stern, 2018. "A Multicointegration Model of Global Climate Change," CCEP Working Papers 1801, Centre for Climate & Energy Policy, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    7. Dukpa Kim & Tatsushi Oka & Francisco Estrada & Pierre Perron, 2018. "Inference Related to Common Breaks in a Multivariate System with Joined Segmented Trends with Applications to Global and Hemispheric Temperatures," Papers 1805.09937, arXiv.org.
    8. Burak Alparslan Eroglu & J. Isaac Miller & Taner Yigit, 2019. "Time-Varying Cointegration and the Kalman Filter," Working Papers 1905, Department of Economics, University of Missouri.
    9. James Reade & Genaro Sucarrat, 2016. "General-to-Specific (GETS) Modelling And Indicator Saturation With The R Package Gets," Economics Series Working Papers 794, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    10. J. Isaac Miller & Kyungsik Nam, 2019. "Dating Hiatuses: A Statistical Model of the Recent Slowdown in Global Warming – and the Next One," Working Papers 1903, Department of Economics, University of Missouri.
    11. Ericsson Neil R., 2016. "Testing for and estimating structural breaks and other nonlinearities in a dynamic monetary sector," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 20(4), pages 377-398, September.

  5. Jennifer L. Castle & Jurgen A. Doornik & David F. Hendry & Felix Pretis, 2015. "Detecting Location Shifts during Model Selection by Step-Indicator Saturation," Econometrics, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 3(2), pages 1-25, April.

    Cited by:

    1. David Hendry & Lea Schneider & Jason E. Smerdon, 2016. "Detecting Volcanic Eruptions in Temperature Reconstructions by Designed Break-Indicator Saturation," Economics Series Working Papers 780, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    2. Josh R. Stillwagon, 2014. "Non-Linear Exchange Rate Relationships: An Automated Model Selection Approach with Indicator Saturation," Working Papers 1405, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
    3. Liqian Cai & Arnab Bhattacharjee & Roger Calantone & Taps Maiti, 2019. "Variable Selection with Spatially Autoregressive Errors: A Generalized Moments LASSO Estimator," Sankhya B: The Indian Journal of Statistics, Springer;Indian Statistical Institute, vol. 81(1), pages 146-200, September.
    4. Jos Jansen & Jasper de Winter, 2016. "Improving model-based near-term GDP forecasts by subjective forecasts: A real-time exercise for the G7 countries," DNB Working Papers 507, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
    5. Neil R. Ericsson, 2017. "How Biased Are U.S. Government Forecasts of the Federal Debt?," International Finance Discussion Papers 1189, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    6. Jeyhun I. Mikayilov & Shahriyar Mukhtarov & Hasan Dinçer & Serhat Yüksel & Rıdvan Aydın, 2020. "Elasticity Analysis of Fossil Energy Sources for Sustainable Economies: A Case of Gasoline Consumption in Turkey," Energies, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 13(3), pages 1-15, February.
    7. Neil R. Ericsson, 2015. "Eliciting GDP Forecasts from the FOMC’s Minutes Around the Financial Crisis," International Finance Discussion Papers 1152, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    8. Jennifer L. Castle & Michael P. Clements & David F. Hendry, 2016. "An Overview of Forecasting Facing Breaks," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 12(1), pages 3-23, September.
    9. Andrew B. Martinez, 2020. "Forecast Accuracy Matters for Hurricane Damages," Working Papers 2020-003, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
    10. Hendry, David F., 2018. "Deciding between alternative approaches in macroeconomics," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 119-135.
    11. Ericsson, Neil R., 2017. "Interpreting estimates of forecast bias," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 563-568.
    12. Chuffart, Thomas & Hooper, Emma, 2019. "An investigation of oil prices impact on sovereign credit default swaps in Russia and Venezuela," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 904-916.
    13. Felix Pretis, 2015. "Econometric Models of Climate Systems: The Equivalence of Two-Component Energy Balance Models and Cointegrated VARs," Economics Series Working Papers 750, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    14. Leighton Vaughan Williams & J. James Reade, 2016. "Prediction Markets, Social Media and Information Efficiency," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 69(3), pages 518-556, August.
    15. Jennifer Castle & Takamitsu Kurita, 2019. "Modelling and forecasting the dollar-pound exchange rate in the presence of structural breaks," Economics Series Working Papers 866, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    16. John Muellbauer, 2016. "Macroeconomics and Consumption," Economics Series Working Papers Paper-811, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    17. Jennifer Castle & David Hendry, 2016. "Policy Analysis, Forediction, and Forecast Failure," Economics Series Working Papers 809, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    18. Møller, Niels Framroze & Andersen, Laura Mørch & Hansen, Lars Gårn & Jensen, Carsten Lynge, 2019. "Can pecuniary and environmental incentives via SMS messaging make households adjust their electricity demand to a fluctuating production?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 1050-1058.
    19. Pretis, Felix, 2020. "Econometric modelling of climate systems: The equivalence of energy balance models and cointegrated vector autoregressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 214(1), pages 256-273.
    20. Shahriyar Mukhtarov & Jeyhun I. Mikayilov & Sugra Humbatova & Vugar Muradov, 2020. "Do High Oil Prices Obstruct the Transition to Renewable Energy Consumption?," Sustainability, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 12(11), pages 1-16, June.
    21. David F. Hendry & Grayham E. Mizon, 2016. "Improving the teaching of econometrics," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 1170096-117, December.
    22. Jennifer L. Castle & David F. Hendry & Andrew B. Martinez, 2017. "Evaluating Forecasts, Narratives and Policy Using a Test of Invariance," Econometrics, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 5(3), pages 1-27, September.
    23. Ahumada, H. & Cornejo, M., 2016. "Forecasting food prices: The case of corn, soybeans and wheat," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 838-848.
    24. Felix Pretis & Michael Mann & Robert Kaufmann, 2015. "Testing competing models of the temperature hiatus: assessing the effects of conditioning variables and temporal uncertainties through sample-wide break detection," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 131(4), pages 705-718, August.
    25. Neil R. Ericsson, 2016. "Economic Forecasting in Theory and Practice : An Interview with David F. Hendry," International Finance Discussion Papers 1184, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    26. Andrew B. Martinez & Jennifer L. Castle & David F. Hendry, 2021. "Smooth Robust Multi-Horizon Forecasts," Economics Papers 2021-W01, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
    27. James Duffy & David Hendry, 2017. "The Impact of Integrated Measurement Errors on Modelling Long-run Macroeconomic Time Series," Economics Series Working Papers 818, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    28. Jurgen A. Doornik & David F. Hendry, 2016. "Outliers and Model Selection: Discussion of the Paper by Søren Johansen and Bent Nielsen," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 43(2), pages 360-365, June.
    29. Jennifer L. Castle & Jurgen A. Doornik & David F. Hendry, 2020. "Robust Discovery of Regression Models," Economics Papers 2020-W04, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
    30. Roman Frydman & Joshua R. Stillwagon, 2016. "Stock-Market Expectations: Econometric Evidence that both REH and Behavioral Insights Matter," Working Papers Series 44, Institute for New Economic Thinking.
    31. Sucarrat, Genaro, 2019. "User-Specified General-to-Specific and Indicator Saturation Methods," MPRA Paper 96148, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    32. Senra, Eva & Espasa, Antoni, 2017. "22 Years of inflation assessment and forecasting experience at the bulletin of EU & US inflation and macroeconomic analysis," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 24678, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    33. Jennifer L. Castle & Jurgen A. Doornik & David F. Hendry, 2020. "Short-term forecasting of the Coronavirus Pandemic - 2020-04-27," Economics Papers 2020-W06, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
    34. David F. Hendry, 2020. "A Short History of Macro-econometric Modelling," Economics Papers 2020-W01, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
    35. Mukanjari, Samson & Sterner, Thomas, 2018. "Do Markets Trump Politics? Evidence from Fossil Market Reactions to the Paris Agreement and the U.S. Election," Working Papers in Economics 728, University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics.
    36. Jennifer Castle & Jurgen Doornik & David Hendry, 2018. "Selecting a Model for Forecasting," Economics Series Working Papers 861, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    37. Niels Framroze Møller & Laura Mørch Andersen & Lars Gårn Hansen & Carsten Lynge Jensen, 2018. "Can pecuniary and environmental incentives via SMS messaging make households adjust their intra-day electricity demand to a fluctuating production?," IFRO Working Paper 2018/06, University of Copenhagen, Department of Food and Resource Economics.
    38. Antoni Espasa & Eva Senra, 2017. "Twenty-Two Years of Inflation Assessment and Forecasting Experience at the Bulletin of EU & US Inflation and Macroeconomic Analysis," Econometrics, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 5(4), pages 1-28, October.
    39. Mikayilov, Jeyhun I. & Darandary, Abdulelah & Alyamani, Ryan & Hasanov, Fakhri J. & Alatawi, Hatem, 2020. "Regional heterogeneous drivers of electricity demand in Saudi Arabia: Modeling regional residential electricity demand," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    40. Frydman, Roman & Stillwagon, Joshua R., 2018. "Fundamental factors and extrapolation in stock-market expectations: The central role of structural change," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 189-198.
    41. Philippe Goulet Coulombe, 2020. "Time-Varying Parameters as Ridge Regressions," Papers 2009.00401, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2021.
    42. Ryan-Collins, Josh & Werner, Richard A. & Castle, Jennifer, 2016. "A half-century diversion of monetary policy? An empirical horse-race to identify the UK variable most likely to deliver the desired nominal GDP growth rate," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 158-176.
    43. Ericsson Neil R., 2016. "Testing for and estimating structural breaks and other nonlinearities in a dynamic monetary sector," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 20(4), pages 377-398, September.
    44. Jennifer Castle & Jurgen Doornik & David Hendry, 2020. "Modelling Non-stationary 'Big Data'," Economics Series Working Papers 905, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.

Chapters

  1. David F. Hendry & Felix Pretis, 2013. "Anthropogenic influences on atmospheric CO2," Chapters, in: Roger Fouquet (ed.), Handbook on Energy and Climate Change, chapter 12, pages 287-326, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    See citations under working paper version above.Sorry, no citations of chapters recorded.

More information

Research fields, statistics, top rankings, if available.

Statistics

Access and download statistics for all items

Co-authorship network on CollEc

NEP Fields

NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 8 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-ENV: Environmental Economics (7) 2012-01-03 2013-03-09 2015-08-13 2016-04-16 2016-11-20 2020-04-27 2020-12-14. Author is listed
  2. NEP-ENE: Energy Economics (5) 2012-01-03 2013-03-09 2015-08-13 2016-11-20 2020-12-14. Author is listed
  3. NEP-ECM: Econometrics (4) 2013-07-28 2015-08-13 2016-04-16 2020-04-27
  4. NEP-AGR: Agricultural Economics (2) 2013-03-09 2020-04-27
  5. NEP-CMP: Computational Economics (1) 2013-07-28
  6. NEP-DEM: Demographic Economics (1) 2013-03-09
  7. NEP-ORE: Operations Research (1) 2016-04-16
  8. NEP-REG: Regulation (1) 2020-12-14
  9. NEP-RES: Resource Economics (1) 2013-03-09
  10. NEP-TRA: Transition Economics (1) 2016-11-20

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