Emissions Trading and Profit-Neutral Grandfathering
This paper examines the amount of grandfathering needed for an emissions trading scheme (ETS) to have a neutral impact on firm profits. We provide a simple formula to calculate profit-neutral grandfathering in a Cournot model with firms of different sizes and a general demand function. Using this formula, we obtain estimates of profit-neutral grandfathering for the electricity, cement, newsprint and steel industries. Under the current EU ETS, firms obtain close to full grandfathering; we show that while this may still leave some firms worse off, others have probably benefitted substantially. We find no evidence that any industry as a whole could be worse off with full grandfathering. We also show that the common presumption that a higher rate of cost pass-through lowers profit-neutral grandfathering is unreliable
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| Date of creation: | 01 Dec 2006 |
| Date of revision: | |
| Handle: | RePEc:oxf:wpaper:295 |
| Contact details of provider: | Postal: Manor Rd. Building, Oxford, OX1 3UQ Web page: http://www.economics.ox.ac.uk/ Email: More information through EDIRC
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