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An Econometric Analysis Of The Effects Of Market Liberalization On Price Dynamics And Price Volatility

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  • Chavas, Jean-Paul
  • Kim, Kwansoo

Abstract

The paper investigates price dynamics under market liberalization, with a focus on the effects of lowering price floors. We analyze price dynamics by specifying and estimating a dynamic Tobit model under time-varying volatility, where the market price is censored by a government-set support price. The model is applied to the U.S. butter market over the last three decades. The econometric results show how the price support program affects both expected prices and the volatility of prices. It is found that the censoring effects of a price support program can be significant and large even if the price support is set relatively low.

Suggested Citation

  • Chavas, Jean-Paul & Kim, Kwansoo, 2001. "An Econometric Analysis Of The Effects Of Market Liberalization On Price Dynamics And Price Volatility," 2001 Annual meeting, August 5-8, Chicago, IL 20649, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaea01:20649
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.20649
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    Cited by:

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    2. van Winsen, Frankwin & Wauters, Erwin & Lauwers, Ludwig H. & de Mey, Yann & Van Passel, Steven & Vancauteren, Mark, "undated". "Combining risk perception and risk attitude: A comprehensive individual risk behavior model," 2011 International Congress, August 30-September 2, 2011, Zurich, Switzerland 115749, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    3. Matthias Kalkuhl & Lukas Kornher & Matthias Kalkuhl & Irfan Mujahid, 2015. "Food price volatility in developing countries – the role of trade and storage," EcoMod2015 8415, EcoMod.
    4. Feil, Jan-Henning & Musshoff, Oliver & Roeren-Wiemers, Tobias, 2014. "Farm level effects of policy reforms in Germany: First empirical evidence," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 36(6), pages 1036-1047.
    5. Femenia, Fabienne, 2010. "Impacts of Stockholding Behaviour on Agricultural Market Volatility: A Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Approach," Journal of International Agricultural Trade and Development, Journal of International Agricultural Trade and Development, vol. 59(3).
    6. Liu, Xiaoliang & Xu, Wei & Odening, Martin, 2011. "Can crop yield risk be globally diversified?," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2011-018, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    7. Wauters, Erwin & De Cock, Lieve & Wit, Jan de & Lauwers, Ludwig H., "undated". "The foregone risk premium: a communicative and practical method for the evaluation of risk-return profiles in agriculture," 2011 International Congress, August 30-September 2, 2011, Zurich, Switzerland 115737, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    8. Wocken, Meike & Kneib, Thomas, "undated". "Tobit regression to estimate impact of EU market intervention in dairy sector," 123rd Seminar, February 23-24, 2012, Dublin, Ireland 122528, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    9. Anthony N. Rezitis & Ourania A. Tremma, 2022. "The linkage between international dairy commodity prices and volatility: a panel-GARCH analysis," Journal of Agribusiness in Developing and Emerging Economies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 13(5), pages 685-705, April.
    10. Femenia, Fabienne, 2010. "Impacts of Stockholding Behaviour on Agricultural Market Volatility: A Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Approach," German Journal of Agricultural Economics, Humboldt-Universitaet zu Berlin, Department for Agricultural Economics, vol. 59(03), pages 1-15, September.
    11. McNamara, Kevin T. & Weiss, Christoph, 2005. "Farm Household Income and On- and Off-Farm Diversification," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 37(1), pages 37-48, April.

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    JEL classification:

    • D4 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design
    • C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling
    • Q0 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - General

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