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A bayesian approach to dynamic tobit models

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  • Steven Wei
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    Abstract

    This paper develops a posterior simulation method for a dynamic Tobit model. The major obstacle rooted in such a problem lies in high dimensional integrals, induced by dependence among censored observations, in the likelihood function. The primary contribution of this study is to develop a practical and efficient sampling scheme for the conditional posterior distributions of the censored (i.e., unobserved) data, so that the Gibbs sampler with the data augmentation algorithm is successfully applied. The substantial differences between this approach and some existing methods are highlighted. The proposed simulation method is investigated by means of a Monte Carlo study and applied to a regression model of Japanese exports of passenger cars to the U.S. subject to a non-tariff trade barrier.

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    Article provided by Taylor & Francis Journals in its journal Econometric Reviews.

    Volume (Year): 18 (1999)
    Issue (Month): 4 ()
    Pages: 417-439

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    Handle: RePEc:taf:emetrv:v:18:y:1999:i:4:p:417-439
    DOI: 10.1080/07474939908800353
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    Keywords: Bayesian inference; Dynamic Tobit model; The Gibbs sampler with the data augmentation; Monte Carlo simulation; truncated normal distribution;

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    Cited by:

    1. N. H. Chan & A. E. Brockwell, 2006. "Long-memory dynamic Tobit models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(5), pages 351-367.
    2. George Monokroussos, 2013. "A Classical MCMC Approach to the Estimation of Limited Dependent Variable Models of Time Series," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 42(1), pages 71-105, June.
    3. Hsieh, Ping-Hung & Yang, J. Jimmy, 2009. "A censored stochastic volatility approach to the estimation of price limit moves," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 337-351, March.
    4. Dagne Getachew & Huang Yangxin, 2012. "Bayesian inference for a nonlinear mixed-effects Tobit model with multivariate skew-t distributions: application to AIDS studies," The International Journal of Biostatistics, De Gruyter, vol. 8(1), pages 1-24, September.
    5. Jouchi Nakajima & Mike West, 2013. "Bayesian Analysis of Latent Threshold Dynamic Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(2), pages 151-164, April.
    6. Wei, Steven X., 2002. "A censored-GARCH model of asset returns with price limits," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 9(2), pages 197-223, March.

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