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Pavol Povala

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First Name:Pavol
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Last Name:Povala
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RePEc Short-ID:ppo643
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https://sites.google.com/site/pavolpovala/

Research output

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Jump to: Working papers Articles

Working papers

  1. Ludovit Odor & Pavol Povala, 2016. "Risk Premiums in Slovak Government Bonds," Discussion Papers Discussion Paper No. 3/20, Council for Budget Responsibility.
  2. Pavol Povala & Anna Cieslak, 2012. "Understanding bond risk premia," 2012 Meeting Papers 771, Society for Economic Dynamics.

Articles

  1. Anna Cieslak & Pavol Povala, 2016. "Information in the Term Structure of Yield Curve Volatility," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 71(3), pages 1393-1436, June.
  2. Anna Cieslak & Pavol Povala, 2015. "Expected Returns in Treasury Bonds," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 28(10), pages 2859-2901.

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Working papers

  1. Pavol Povala & Anna Cieslak, 2012. "Understanding bond risk premia," 2012 Meeting Papers 771, Society for Economic Dynamics.

    Cited by:

    1. Kees E. Bouwman & Elvira Sojli & Wing Wah Tham, 2012. "Aggregate Stock Market Illiquidity and Bond Risk Premia," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 12-140/IV/DSF46, Tinbergen Institute.
    2. Shin, Minchul & Zhong, Molin, 2015. "Does Realized Volatility Help Bond Yield Density Prediction?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-115, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    3. : Carlo A. Favero & : Arie E. Gozluklu & : Haoxi Yang, 2013. "Demographics and The Behavior of Interest Rates," Working Papers wpn13-10, Warwick Business School, Finance Group.
    4. Dockner, Engelbert J. & Mayer, Manuel & Zechner, Josef, 2013. "Sovereign bond risk premiums," CFS Working Paper Series 2013/28, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    5. Gregory R. Duffee, 2012. "Forecasting interest rates," Economics Working Paper Archive 599, The Johns Hopkins University,Department of Economics.
    6. Bauer, Michael D. & Rudebusch, Glenn D., 2015. "Resolving the spanning puzzle in macro-finance term structure models," Working Paper Series 2015-1, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, revised 12 May 2015.
    7. Dick Dijk & Siem Jan Koopman & Michel Wel & Jonathan H. Wright, 2014. "Forecasting interest rates with shifting endpoints," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(5), pages 693-712, August.
    8. Philippe Mueller & Andrea Vedolin & Hao Zhou, 2011. "Short Run Bond Risk Premia," FMG Discussion Papers dp686, Financial Markets Group.
    9. Ajello, Andrea & Benzoni, Luca & Chyruk, Olena, 2012. "Core and 'Crust': Consumer Prices and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Working Paper Series WP-2014-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, revised 19 Dec 2012.
    10. Riccardo Rebonato, 2017. "Affine Models With Stochastic Market Price Of Risk," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 20(04), pages 1-38, June.
    11. Anh Le & Bruno Feunou & Christian Lundblad & Jean-Sébastien Fontaine, 2015. "Tractable Term-Structure Models and the Zero Lower Bound," Staff Working Papers 15-46, Bank of Canada.
    12. : Arie E. Gozluklu, 2012. "Inflation, Stock Market and Long-Term Investors: Real Effects of Changing Demographics," Working Papers wpn12-06, Warwick Business School, Finance Group.

Articles

  1. Anna Cieslak & Pavol Povala, 2016. "Information in the Term Structure of Yield Curve Volatility," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 71(3), pages 1393-1436, June.

    Cited by:

    1. Shin, Minchul & Zhong, Molin, 2015. "Does Realized Volatility Help Bond Yield Density Prediction?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-115, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    2. Byrne, Joseph & Cao, Shuo & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2015. "Term Structure Dynamics, Macro-Finance Factors and Model Uncertainty," MPRA Paper 63844, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Alexander Guarín & José Fernando Moreno & Hernando Vargas, 2014. "An empirical analysis of the relationship between US and Colombian long-term sovereign bond yields," BIS Papers chapters,in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), The transmission of unconventional monetary policy to the emerging markets, volume 78, pages 129-158 Bank for International Settlements.
    4. Markellos, Raphael N. & Psychoyios, Dimitris, 2018. "Interest rate volatility and risk management: Evidence from CBOE Treasury options," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 190-202.
    5. Branger, Nicole & Muck, Matthias & Seifried, Frank Thomas & Weisheit, Stefan, 2017. "Optimal portfolios when variances and covariances can jump," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 59-89.
    6. Yoldas, Emre & Senyuz, Zeynep, 2018. "Financial stress and equilibrium dynamics in term interbank funding markets," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 136-149.
    7. Diego Alejandro Martínez Cruz & José Fernando Moreno Gutiérrez & Juan Sebastián Rojas Moreno, 2015. "Evolución de la relación entre bonos locales y externos del gobierno colombiano frente a choques de riesgo," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 014112, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
    8. Drew D. Creal & Jing Cynthia Wu, 2014. "Monetary Policy Uncertainty and Economic Fluctuations," NBER Working Papers 20594, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Maria Cristina Recchioni & Yu Sun & Gabriele Tedeschi, 2016. "Can negative interest rates really affect option pricing? Empirical evidence from an explicitly solvable stochastic volatility model," Working Papers 2016/23, Economics Department, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón (Spain).
    10. Ian Dew-Becker & Stefano Giglio & Anh Le & Marius Rodriguez, 2015. "The Price of Variance Risk," NBER Working Papers 21182, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Ohnsorge,Franziska Lieselotte & Stocker,Marc & Some,Modeste Y., 2016. "Quantifying uncertainties in global growth forecasts," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7770, The World Bank.
    12. Alain Monfort & Fulvio Pegoraro & Jean-Paul Renne & Guillaume Roussellet, 2017. "Staying at zero with affine processes : an application to term structure modelling," Rue de la Banque, Banque de France, issue 52, november.
    13. Takamizawa, Hideyuki, 2015. "Impact of No-arbitrage on Interest Rate Dynamics," Working Paper Series G-1-5, Center for Financial Research, Graduate School of Commerce and Management, Hitotsubashi University.

  2. Anna Cieslak & Pavol Povala, 2015. "Expected Returns in Treasury Bonds," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 28(10), pages 2859-2901.

    Cited by:

    1. Crump, Richard K. & Eusepi, Stefano & Moench, Emanuel, 2016. "The term structure of expectations and bond yields," Staff Reports 775, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, revised 01 Apr 2018.
    2. : Carlo A. Favero & : Arie E. Gozluklu & : Haoxi Yang, 2013. "Demographics and The Behavior of Interest Rates," Working Papers wpn13-10, Warwick Business School, Finance Group.
    3. Dongho Song, 2016. "Bond Market Exposures to Macroeconomic and Monetary Policy Risks," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 915, Boston College Department of Economics, revised 19 Jul 2016.
    4. Michael D. Bauer & James D. Hamilton, 2015. "Robust Bond Risk Premia," CESifo Working Paper Series 5541, CESifo Group Munich.
    5. Valentin Haddad & Serhiy Kozak & Shrihari Santosh, 2017. "Predicting Relative Returns," NBER Working Papers 23886, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc P. Giannoni & Andrea Tambalotti, 2017. "Safety, Liquidity, and the Natural Rate of Interest," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 48(1 (Spring), pages 235-316.
    7. Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2017. "Interest Rates Under Falling Stars," CESifo Working Paper Series 6571, CESifo Group Munich.
    8. Chiarella, Carl & Hsiao, Chih-Ying & Tô, Thuy-Duong, 2016. "Stochastic correlation and risk premia in term structure models," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 59-78.
    9. Garcí­a, Juan Angel & Werner, Sebastian E. V., 2016. "Bond risk premia, macroeconomic factors and financial crisis in the euro area," Working Paper Series 1938, European Central Bank.
    10. Riccardo Rebonato, 2017. "Affine Models With Stochastic Market Price Of Risk," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 20(04), pages 1-38, June.
    11. Guoshi Tong, 2017. "Market Timing under Limited Information: An Empirical Investigation in US Treasury Market," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 18(2), pages 291-322, November.
    12. Hanson, Samuel & Lucca, David O. & Wright, Jonathan H., 2017. "Interest rate conundrums in the twenty-first century," Staff Reports 810, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, revised 01 Jun 2018.
    13. Menkhoff, Lukas & Sarno, Lucio & Schmeling, Maik & Schrimpf, Andreas, 2016. "Currency Value," CEPR Discussion Papers 11324, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    14. Geert Bekaert & Eric Engstrom & Andrey Ermolov, 2017. "Macro Risks and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-058, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    15. Peter Feldhütter, 2016. "Can Affine Models Match the Moments in Bond Yields?," Quarterly Journal of Finance (QJF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 6(02), pages 1-56, June.
    16. Anatolyev, Stanislav & Gospodinov, Nikolay, 2015. "Multivariate return decomposition: theory and implications," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2015-7, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.

More information

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Statistics

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NEP Fields

NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 2 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-EEC: European Economics (1) 2016-09-18. Author is listed
  2. NEP-FOR: Forecasting (1) 2013-06-09. Author is listed
  3. NEP-SOG: Sociology of Economics (1) 2016-09-18. Author is listed
  4. NEP-UPT: Utility Models & Prospect Theory (1) 2013-06-09. Author is listed

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