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Financial Stability, Monetary Stability and Growth: a PVAR Analysis

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  • George Apostolakis

    (University of Crete
    Nyenrode Business Universiteit)

  • Athanasios P. Papadopoulos

    (University of Crete)

Abstract

This paper employs a panel vector autoregressive (PVAR) model to investigate the relationship among financial stress, inflation and growth in 19 advanced economies over the 1999–2016 period. To measure financial stress, we construct a financial stress index (FSI) that provides a signal of financial stress. We apply the PVAR approach along with impulse response functions (IRFs), variance decomposition, and Granger causality tests to FSI data on monetary stability, economic growth, housing markets and government policies. The analysis shows negative responses of the macroeconomic variables to financial stress shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • George Apostolakis & Athanasios P. Papadopoulos, 2019. "Financial Stability, Monetary Stability and Growth: a PVAR Analysis," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 30(1), pages 157-178, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:openec:v:30:y:2019:i:1:d:10.1007_s11079-018-9507-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s11079-018-9507-y
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    4. Evans Kulu, 2023. "Financial stability gap and private investment nexus: Evidence from sub‐Saharan Africa," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 35(2), pages 239-250, June.
    5. Wang, Hao & Xu, Ning & Yin, Haiyan & Ji, Hao, 2022. "The dynamic impact of monetary policy on financial stability in China after crises," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    6. Xuan Lv & Menggang Li & Yingjie Zhang, 2022. "Financial Stability and Economic Activity in China: Based on Mixed-Frequency Spillover Method," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-22, October.
    7. Pedro Gomis-Porqueras & Romina Ruprecht & Xuan Zhou, 2023. "A Financial Stress Index for a Small Open Economy: The Australian Case," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2023-029, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    8. George N. Apostolakis & Nikolaos Giannellis & Athanasios P. Papadopoulos, 2023. "Macro‐financial effects of monetary policy easing," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 715-738, April.
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    11. Phillip J. Monin, 2019. "The OFR Financial Stress Index," Risks, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-21, February.
    12. Apostolakis, Georgios N. & Giannellis, Nikolaos & Papadopoulos, Athanasios P., 2019. "Financial stress and asymmetric shocks transmission within the Eurozone. How fragile is the common monetary policy?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
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    14. Kouretas, Georgios P. & Pawłowska, Małgorzata & Szafrański, Grzegorz, 2020. "Market structure and credit procyclicality: Lessons from loan markets in the European Union banking sectors," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 27-50.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Impulse responses; Granger causality; Government deficit; Housing prices; Financial stress index;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C43 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Index Numbers and Aggregation
    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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