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2009

2008-008 Input and output inventory dynamics
by Yi Wen
2008-007 When does determinacy imply expectational stability?
by James B. Bullard & Stefano Eusepi
2007-027 Learning and the Great Moderation
by James B. Bullard & Aarti Singh
2014-45 Technology Innovation and Diffusion as Sources of Output and Asset Price Fluctuations
by Comin, Diego & Gertler, Mark & Santacreu, Ana Maria

2008

2008-046 Mexico's integration into NAFTA markets: a view from sectoral real exchange rates
by Blavy, Rodolphe & Juvenal, Luciana
2008-045 Inventories, liquidity, and the macroeconomy
by Yi Wen
2008-044 Dynamics of externalities: a second-order perspective
by Yi Wen & Huabin Wu
2008-043 The stability of macroeconomic systems with Bayesian learners
by James B. Bullard & Jacek Suda
2008-042 Do European capital flows comove?
by Silvio Contessi & Pierangelo DePace
2008-041 The cyclical properties of disaggregated capital flows
by Silvio Contessi & Pierangelo DePace & Johanna L. Francis
2008-039 Did prepayments sustain the subprime market?
by Geetesh Bhardwaj & Rajdeep Sengupta
2008-038 Government response to home mortgage distress: lessons from the Great Depression
by David C. Wheelock
2008-037 Combining forecasts from nested models
by Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken
2008-036 Where's the smoking gun? a study of underwriting standards for US subprime mortgages
by Geetesh Bhardwaj & Rajdeep Sengupta
2008-035 Macroeconometric equivalence, microeconomic dissonance, and the design of monetary policy
by Andrew T. Levin & J. David López-Salido & Edward Nelson & Tack Yun
2008-033 Are credit unions too small?
by David C. Wheelock & Paul W. Wilson
2008-032 The great inflation: did the shadow know better?
by William Poole & Robert H. Rasche & David C. Wheelock
2008-031 Asset prices, exchange rates and the current account
by Marcel Fratzscher & Luciana Juvenal & Lucio Sarno
2008-030 Averaging forecasts from VARs with uncertain instabilities
by Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken
2008-029 Tests of equal predictive ability with real-time data
by Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken
2008-028 Improving forecast accuracy by combining recursive and rolling forecasts
by Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken
2008-027 Threshold adjustment in deviations from the law of one price
by Luciana Juvenal & Mark P. Taylor
2008-026 City business cycles and crime
by Thomas A. Garrett & Lesli S. Ott
2008-025 Is inflation an international phenomenon?
by Christopher J. Neely & David E. Rapach
2008-023 Externalities, Endogenous Productivity, and Poverty Traps
by Barseghyan, Levon & DiCecio, Riccardo
2008-022 Enlargement and common external tariff in a political-economic model of customs union
by Subhayu Bandyopadhyay & Sajal Lahiri & Suryadipta Roy
2008-021 Institutional causes of macroeconomic volatility
by Levon Barseghyan & Riccardo DiCecio
2008-020 Institutions and government growth: a comparison of the 1890s and the 1930s
by Thomas A. Garrett & Russell M. Rhine
2008-019 Oil crisis, energy-saving technological change and the stock market crash of 1973-74
by Sami Alpanda & Adrian Peralta-Alva
2008-018 Real interest rate persistence: evidence and implications
by Christopher J. Neely & David E. Rapach
2008-017 A macroeconomic analysis of obesity
by Pedro Gomis-Porqueras & Adrian Peralta-Alva
2008-016 Local price variation and labor supply behavior
by Dan A. Black & Natalia A. Kolesnikova & Lowell J. Taylor
2008-015 Optimal monetary and fiscal policies in a search theoretic model of monetary exchange
by Pedro Gomis-Porqueras & Adrian Peralta-Alva
2008-014 Resuscitating the credit cycle
by Patrick A. Pintus & Yi Wen
2008-013 Why money growth determines inflation in the long run: answering the Woodford critique
by Edward Nelson
2008-011 Monetary policy: why money matters and interest rates don't
by Daniel L. Thornton
2008-009 Oil and the U.S. macroeconomy: an update and a simple forecasting exercise
by Kevin L. Kliesen
2008-006 The dynamic interaction of order flows and the CAD/USD exchange rate
by Nikola Gradojevic & Christopher J. Neely
2008-005 Equity portfolio diversification under time-varying predictability and comovements: evidence from Ireland, the US, and the UK
by Massimo Guidolin & Stuart Hyde
2008-004 Income and lottery sales: transfers trump income from work and wealth
by Cletus C. Coughlin & Thomas A. Garrett
2008-003 Offshoring, economic insecurity, and the demand for social insurance
by Richard G. Anderson & Charles S. Gascon
2008-002 Convergence in the United States: a tale of migration and urbanization
by Riccardo DiCecio & Charles S. Gascon
2008-001 Multivariate Markov switching with weighted regime determination: giving France more weight than Finland
by Michael J. Dueker & Martin Sola
2007-050 States and the business cycle
by Michael T. Owyang & David E. Rapach & Howard J. Wall
2007-048 The impact of Milton Friedman on modern monetary economics: setting the record straight on Paul Krugman’s 'Who Was Milton Friedman?
by Edward Nelson & Anna J. Schwartz
2007-044 Lending to uncreditworthy borrowers
by Rajdeep Sengupta
2007-043 The labor supply of married women: why does it differ across U.S. cities?
by Dan A. Black & Natalia A. Kolesnikova & Lowell J. Taylor
2007-039 The unusual behavior of the federal funds and 10-year Treasury rates: a conundrum or Goodhart’s Law?
by Daniel L. Thornton
2007-038 Political asymmetry and common external tariff in a customs union
by Subhayu Bandyopadhyay & Sajal Lahiri & Suryadipta Roy
2005-060 Airport-related noise, proximity, and housing prices in Atlanta
by Jeffrey P. Cohen & Cletus C. Coughlin

2007

2007-054 Comment on Harding and Pagan 'The econometric analysis of some constructed binary time series'
by Michael J. Dueker
2007-053 The tax treatment of homeowners and landlords and the progressivity of income taxation
by Matthew Chambers & Carlos Garriga & Don E. Schlagenhauf
2007-052 The microstructure of the U.S. treasury market
by Bruce Mizrach & Christopher J. Neely
2007-051 A general equilibrium theory of college with education subsidies, in-school labor supply, and borrowing constraints
by Carlos Garriga & Mark P. Keightley
2007-049 Equilibrium mortgage choice and housing tenure decisions with refinancing
by Matthew Chambers & Carlos Garriga & Don E. Schlagenhauf
2007-047 Multivariate forecast evaluation and rationality testing
by Ivana Komunjer & Michael T. Owyang
2007-046 Urban crime and labor mobility
by Subhayu Bandyopadhyay & Christopher H. Wheeler
2007-045 Human capital externalities and adult mortality in the U.S
by Christopher H. Wheeler
2007-042 Inter-temporal differences in the income elasticity of demand for lottery tickets
by Thomas A. Garrett & Cletus C. Coughlin
2007-041 Optimal response to a transitory demographic shock in Social Security financing
by Juan Carlos Conesa & Carlos Garriga
2007-040 Mortgage contracts and housing tenure decisions
by Matthew Chambers & Carlos Garriga & Don E. Schlagenhauf
2007-037 The optimal inflation target in an economy with limited enforcement
by Gaetano Antinolfi & Costas Azariadis & James B. Bullard
2007-036 Optimal taxation with imperfect competition and aggregate returns to specialization
by Javier Coto-Martínez & Carlos Garriga & Fernando Sánchez-Losada
2007-035 Optimal fiscal policy in the design of Social Security reforms
by Juan Carlos Conesa & Carlos Garriga
2007-034 Accounting for changes in the homeownership rate
by Matthew Chambers & Carlos Garriga & Don E. Schlagenhauf
2007-033 Incomplete information and self-fulfilling prophecies
by Pengfei Wang & Yi Wen
2007-032 Jumps, cojumps and macro announcements
by Jérôme Lahaye & Sébastien Laurent & Christopher J. Neely
2007-031 Earnings functions when wages and prices vary by location
by Dan A. Black & Natalia A. Kolesnikova & Lowell J. Taylor
2007-030 Managing international portfolios with small capitalization stocks
by Massimo Guidolin & Giovanna Nicodano
2007-029 Global indeterminacy in locally determinate RBC models
by Tarek Coury & Yi Wen
2007-028 Do donors care about declining trade revenues from liberalization? an analysis of aid allocation
by Javed Younas & Subhayu Bandyopadhyay
2007-026 An overhaul of doctrine: the underpinning of U.K. inflation targeting
by Edward Nelson
2007-025 Monetary policy and natural disasters in a DSGE model: how should the Fed have responded to Hurricane Katrina?
by Benjamin D. Keen & Michael R. Pakko
2007-024 Trade and child labor: a general equilibrium analysis
by Subhayu Bandyopadhyay & Sudeshna C. Bandyopadhyay
2007-023 Foreign aid and export performance: a panel data analysis of developing countries
by Jonathan Munemo & Subhayu Bandyopadhyay & Arabinda Basisth
2007-022 Corruption and trade protection: evidence from panel data
by Subhayu Bandyopadhyay & Suryadipta Roy
2007-021 Nash equilibrium tariffs and illegal immigration: an analysis of preferential trade liberalization
by Subhayu Bandyopadhyay & Ryo Takashima
2007-020 Monetary policy and stock market booms and busts in the 20th century
by Michael D. Bordo & Michael J. Dueker & David C. Wheelock
2007-019 Multivariate contemporaneous threshold autoregressive models
by Michael J. Dueker & Zacharias Psaradakis & Martin Sola & Fabio Spagnolo
2007-018 Understanding the puzzling effects of technology shocks
by Pengfei Wang & Yi Wen
2007-017 Affiliated mutual funds and analyst optimism
by Simona Mola & Massimo Guidolin
2007-016 Mean-variance vs. full-scale optimization: broad evidence for the U.K
by Björn Hagströmer & Richard G. Anderson & Jane M. Binner & Thomas Elger & Birger Nilsson
2007-015 Supply shocks, demand shocks, and labor market fluctuations
by Helge Braun & Reinout De Bock & Riccardo DiCecio
2007-014 Resolving the unbiasedness and forward premium puzzles
by Daniel L. Thornton
2007-013 Whatever happened to the business cycle? a Bayesian analysis of jobless recoveries
by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
2007-012 Does government spending really crowd out charitable contributions? new time series evidence
by Thomas A. Garrett & Russell M. Rhine
2007-011 Handicapping currency design: counterfeit deterrence and visual accessibility in the United States and abroad
by Marcela M. Williams & Richard G. Anderson
2007-010 Identifying asymmetry in the language of the Beige Book: a mixed data sampling approach
by Michelle T. Armesto & Rubén Hernández-Murillo & Michael T. Owyang & Jeremy M. Piger
2007-009 A model of near-rational exuberance
by James B. Bullard & George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja
2007-008 Monetary policy, judgment and near-rational exuberance
by James B. Bullard & George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja
2007-007 Social learning and monetary policy rules
by Jasmina Arifovic & James B. Bullard & Olena Kostyshyna
2007-006 An estimated DSGE model for the United Kingdom
by Riccardo DiCecio & Edward Nelson
2007-005 Money and the natural rate of interest: structural estimates for the United States and the Euro area
by Javier Andrés & J. David López-Salido & Edward Nelson
2007-004 The perils of globalization: offshoring and economic insecurity of the American worker
by Richard G. Anderson & Charles S. Gascon
2007-003 A state-level analysis of the Great Moderation
by Michael T. Owyang & Jeremy M. Piger & Howard J. Wall
2007-002 Milton Friedman and U.S. monetary history: 1961-2006
by Edward Nelson
2007-001 The daily and policy-relevant liquidity effects
by Daniel L. Thornton
2006-062 Is there too little immigration? an analysis of temporary skilled migration
by Subhayu Bandyopadhyay & Howard J. Wall
2006-061 The expectation hypothesis of the term structure of very short-term rates: statistical tests and economic value
by Pasquale Della Corte & Lucio Sarno & Daniel L. Thornton
2006-060 A note on oil dependence and economic instability
by Luís Aguiar-Conraria & Yi Wen
2006-059 The economic and statistical value of forecast combinations under regime switching: an application to predictable U.S. returns
by Massimo Guidolin & Carrie Fangzhou Na
2006-058 Strategic online-banking adoption
by Roberto Fuentes & Rubén Hernández-Murillo & Gerard Llobet
2006-056 The economic performance of cities: a Markov-switching approach
by Michael T. Owyang & Jeremy M. Piger & Howard J. Wall & Christopher H. Wheeler
2006-052 The great inflation and early disinflation in Japan and Germany
by Edward Nelson
2006-048 Red ink in the rearview mirror: local fiscal conditions and the issuance of traffic tickets
by Thomas A. Garrett & Gary A. Wagner
2006-046 The adaptive markets hypothesis: evidence from the foreign exchange market
by Christopher J. Neely & Paul A. Weller & Joshua M. Ulrich
2006-045 Central bank authorities’ beliefs about foreign exchange intervention
by Christopher J. Neely
2006-041 Robust non-parametric quantile estimation of efficiency and productivity change in U.S. commercial banking, 1985-2004
by David C. Wheelock & Paul W. Wilson
2006-040 Worldwide macroeconomic stability and monetary policy rules
by James B. Bullard & Aarti Singh
2006-039 Neighborhood income inequality
by Christopher H. Wheeler & Elizabeth A. La Jeunesse
2006-035 Inflation risk and optimal monetary policy
by William T. Gavin & Benjamin D. Keen & Michael R. Pakko
2006-033 Central bank intervention with limited arbitrage
by Christopher J. Neely & Paul A. Weller
2006-032 Endogenous volatility, endogenous growth, and large welfare gains from stabilization policies
by Pengfei Wang & Yi Wen
2006-031 Central bank intervention and exchange rate volatility, its continuous and jump components
by Michel Beine & Jérôme Lahaye & Sébastien Laurent & Christopher J. Neely & Franz C. Palm
2006-029 What tames the Celtic tiger? portfolio implications from a multivariate Markov switching model
by Massimo Guidolin & Stuart Hyde
2006-025 The price puzzle and indeterminacy in an estimated DSGE model
by Anatoliy Belaygorod & Michael J. Dueker
2006-017 Imperfect competition and indeterminacy of aggregate output
by Pengfei Wang & Yi Wen
2005-075 Small caps in international equity portfolios: the effects of variance risk
by Massimo Guidolin & Giovanna Nicodano
2005-074 Policy evaluation in the presence of outsourcing: global competitiveness versus political feasibility
by Subhayu Bandyopadhyay & Howard J. Wall
2005-070 Information shares in the U.S. treasury market
by Bruce Mizrach & Christopher J. Neely
2005-069 Ethnic networks and U.S. exports
by Subhayu Bandyopadhyay & Cletus C. Coughlin & Howard J. Wall
2005-059 Forecasts of U.S. short-term interest rates: a flexible forecast combination approach
by Massimo Guidolin & Allan Timmerman
2005-058 Immigration and outsourcing: a general equilibrium analysis
by Subhayu Bandyopadhyay & Howard J. Wall
2005-036 Optimal monetary policy, endogenous sticky prices and multiplicity of equilibria
by Levon Barseghyan & Riccardo DiCecio
2005-033 Local market scale and the pattern of job changes among young men
by Christopher H. Wheeler
2005-027 Non-parametric, unconditional quantile estimation for efficiency analysis with an application to Federal Reserve check processing operations
by David C. Wheelock & Paul W. Wilson
2004-034 Using extraneous information to analyze monetary policy in transition economies
by William T. Gavin & David M. Kemme

2006

2006-057 Controlling for geographic dispersion when estimating the Japanese Phillips curve
by Hiroshi Fujiki & Howard J. Wall
2006-055 Trends in the distributions of income and human capital within metropolitan areas: 1980-2000
by Christopher H. Wheeler & Elizabeth A. La Jeunesse
2006-054 Forecasting inflation and output: comparing data-rich models with simple rules
by William T. Gavin & Kevin L. Kliesen
2006-053 Regional business cycle phases in Japan
by Howard J. Wall
2006-051 When do stock market booms occur? the macroeconomic and policy environments of 20th century booms
by Michael D. Bordo & David C. Wheelock
2006-050 Analysis of panel vector error correction models using maximum likelihood, the bootstrap, and canonical-correlation estimators
by Richard G. Anderson & Hailong Qian & Robert H. Rasche
2006-049 Monetary base
by Richard G. Anderson
2006-047 Does aggregate relative risk aversion change countercyclically over time? evidence from the stock market
by Hui Guo & Zijun Wang & Jian Yang
2006-044 Corporate response to distress: evidence from the Asian financial crisis
by Mara Faccio & Rajdeep Sengupta
2006-043 Foreign entry and bank competition
by Rajdeep Sengupta
2006-042 The termination of subprime hybrid and fixed rate mortgages
by Anthony Pennington-Cross & Giang Ho
2006-038 Monetary policy, determinacy, and learnability in a two-block world economy
by James B. Bullard & Eric Schaling
2006-037 Urban decentralization and income inequality: Is sprawl associated with rising income segregation across neighborhoods?
by Christopher H. Wheeler
2006-036 The relation between time-series and cross-sectional effects of idiosyncratic variance on stock returns in G7 countries
by Hui Guo & Robert Savickas
2006-034 Why do analysts continue to provide favorable coverage for seasoned stocks?
by Simona Mola & Massimo Guidolin
2006-030 U.K. inflation targeting and the exchange rate
by Christopher Allsopp & Amit Kara & Edward Nelson
2006-028 Investing for the long-run in European real estate
by Carolina Fugazza & Massimo Guidolin & Giovanna Nicodano
2006-027 The duration of foreclosures in the subprime mortgage market: a competing risks model with mixing
by Anthony Pennington-Cross
2006-026 Spatial hedonic models of airport noise, proximity, and housing prices
by Jeffrey P. Cohen & Cletus C. Coughlin
2006-024 Loan servicer heterogeneity and the termination of subprime mortgages
by Giang Ho & Anthony Pennington-Cross
2006-023 Subprime refinancing: equity extraction and mortgage termination
by Souphala Chomsisengphet & Anthony Pennington-Cross
2006-022 Predatory lending laws and the cost of credit
by Giang Ho & Anthony Pennington-Cross
2006-021 The determinants of aid in the post-cold war era
by Subhayu Bandyopadhyay & Howard J. Wall
2006-020 The daily liquidity effect
by Daniel L. Thornton
2006-019 Understanding stock return predictability
by Hui Guo & Robert Savickas
2006-018 War and pestilence as labor market shocks: manufacturing wage growth 1914-1919
by Thomas A. Garrett
2006-016 Ireland and Switzerland: the jagged edges of the Great Inflation
by Edward Nelson
2006-015 Imperfect competition and sunspots
by Pengfei Wang & Yi Wen
2006-014 Why people choose negative expected return assets - an empirical examination of a utility theoretic explanation
by Thomas A. Garrett & Nalinaksha Bhattacharyya
2006-013 Inflation: do expectations trump the gap?
by Jeremy M. Piger & Robert H. Rasche
2006-011 Demand shocks and economic fluctuations
by Yi Wen
2006-010 Monetary and fiscal theories of the price level: the irreconcilable differences
by Bennett T. McCallum & Edward Nelson
2006-009 The impact of local predatory lending laws on the flow of subprime credit
by Giang Ho & Anthony Pennington-Cross
2006-008 Evaluating state tax revenue variability: a portfolio approach
by Thomas A. Garrett
2006-007 Equity market volatility and expected risk premium
by Long Chen & Hui Guo & Lu Zhang
2006-006 Investigating the intertemporal risk-return relation in international stock markets with the component GARCH model
by Hui Guo & Christopher J. Neely
2006-005 Beyond the numbers: an analysis of optimistic and pessimistic language in earnings press releases
by Angela K. Davis & Jeremy M. Piger & Lisa M. Sedor
2006-004 Aggregate shocks and labor market fluctuations
by Helge Braun & Reinout De Bock & Riccardo DiCecio
2006-003 Solving linear difference systems with lagged expectations by a method of undetermined coefficients
by Pengfei Wang & Yi Wen
2006-002 Regional VARs and the channels of monetary policy
by Michael T. Owyang & Howard J. Wall
2006-001 Spatial dependence in models of state fiscal policy convergence
by Cletus C. Coughlin & Thomas A. Garrett & Rubén Hernández-Murillo
2005-076 Inflation dynamics: a cross-country investigation
by Pengfei Wang & Yi Wen
2005-073 Market timing with aggregate and idiosyncratic stock volatilities
by Hui Guo & Jason Higbee
2005-072 Information and drug prices: evidence from the Medicare discount drug card program
by Emin M. Dinlersoz & Han Li & Roger Sherman & Rubén Hernández-Murillo
2005-068 Heterogeneous firms, productivity and poverty traps
by Levon Barseghyan & Riccardo DiCecio
2005-064 Creating a policy environment for entrepreneurs
by Thomas A. Garrett & Howard J. Wall
2005-057 Kalman filtering with truncated normal state variables for Bayesian estimation of macroeconomic models
by Michael J. Dueker
2005-042 Understanding the large negative impact of oil shocks
by Luis Aguiar-Conraria & Yi Wen
2005-038 Granger causality and equilibrium business cycle theory
by Yi Wen
2005-034 International asset allocation under regime switching, skew and kurtosis preferences
by Massimo Guidolin & Allan Timmerman
2005-031 Identifying the effects of U.S. intervention on the levels of exchange rates
by Christopher J. Neely
2005-026 Is value premium a proxy for time-varying investment opportunities: some time series evidence
by Hui Guo & Robert Savickas & Zijun Wang & Jian Yang
2005-025 Idiosyncratic volatility, economic fundamentals, and foreign exchange rates
by Hui Guo & Robert Savickas
2005-013 Why did income growth vary across states during the Great Depression?
by Thomas A. Garrett & David C. Wheelock
2005-004 Diamonds are forever, wars are not. Is conflict bad for private firms?
by Massimo Guidolin & Eliana La Ferrara
2005-002 Asset allocation under multivariate regime switching
by Massimo Guidolin & Allan Timmerman
2004-029 Foreign exchange volatility is priced in equities
by Hui Guo & Christopher J. Neely & Jason Higbee
2004-027 Aggregate idiosyncratic volatility in G7 countries
by Hui Guo & Robert Savickas
2004-017 Monetary policy, taxes and the business cycle
by William T. Gavin & Finn E. Kydland & Michael R. Pakko
2004-014 A Bayesian approach to counterfactual analysis of structural change
by Chang-Jin Kim & James Morley & Jeremy M. Piger
2003-038 Searching for better prospects: endogenizing falling job tenure and private pension coverage
by Leora Friedberg & Michael T. Owyang & Tara M. Sinclair
2003-024 Contemporaneous threshold autoregressive models: estimation, testing and forecasting
by Michael J. Dueker & Martin Sola & Fabio Spagnolo
2003-017 A leisurely reading of the life-cycle consumption data
by James B. Bullard & James Feigenbaum
2003-014 Gold, fiat money and price stability
by Michael D. Bordo & Robert Dittmar & William T. Gavin
2003-012 On the risk-return relation in international stock markets
by Hui Guo
2001-021 Can Markov switching models predict excess foreign exchange returns?
by Michael J. Dueker & Christopher J. Neely

2005

2005-071 The practice boundaries of advanced practice nurses: an economic and legal analysis
by Michael J. Dueker & Stephen J. Spurr & Ada K. Jacox & David E. Kalist
2005-067 Productivity measurement and monetary policymaking during the 1990s
by Richard G. Anderson & Kevin L. Kliesen
2005-066 The economic effects of violent conflict: evidence from asset market reactions
by Massimo Guidolin & Eliana La Ferrara
2005-065 Human capital growth in a cross section of U.S. metropolitan areas
by Christopher H. Wheeler
2005-063 Open market operations and the federal funds rate
by Daniel L. Thornton
2005-062 Recent developments in monetary macroeconomics and U.S. dollar policy
by William T. Gavin
2005-061 Regional disparities in the spatial correlation of state income growth
by Thomas A. Garrett & Gary A. Wagner & David C. Wheelock

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