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Markov Switching in GARCH Processes and Mean-Reverting Stock-Market Volatility
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- Leopoldo Catania & Nima Nonejad, 2016. "Density Forecasts and the Leverage Effect: Some Evidence from Observation and Parameter-Driven Volatility Models," Papers 1605.00230, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2016.
- Haas Markus, 2010. "Skew-Normal Mixture and Markov-Switching GARCH Processes," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 14(4), pages 1-56, September.
- Mullen, Katharine M. & Ardia, David & Gil, David L. & Windover, Donald & Cline, James, 2011.
"DEoptim: An R Package for Global Optimization by Differential Evolution,"
Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 40(i06).
- Mullen, Katharine M. & Ardia, David & Gil, David L. & Windover, Donald & Cline, James, 2009. "DEoptim: An R Package for Global Optimization by Differential Evolution," MPRA Paper 21743, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 26 Dec 2010.
- Özbekler, Ali Gencay & Kontonikas, Alexandros & Triantafyllou, Athanasios, 2021.
"Volatility forecasting in European government bond markets,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1691-1709.
- Özbekler, Ali Gencay & Kontonikas, Alexandros & Triantafyllou, Athanasios, 2020. "Volatility Forecasting in European Government Bond Markets," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 27362, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Jacinto Marabel Romo, 2012. "Volatility Regimes For The Vix Index," Revista de Economia Aplicada, Universidad de Zaragoza, Departamento de Estructura Economica y Economia Publica, vol. 20(2), pages 111-134, Autumn.
- Luc Bauwens & Arie Preminger & Jeroen V. K. Rombouts, 2010.
"Theory and inference for a Markov switching GARCH model,"
Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 13(2), pages 218-244, July.
- Luc, BAUWENS & Arie, PREMINGER & Jeroen, ROMBOUTS, 2007. "Theory and inference for a Markov switching GARCH model," Discussion Papers (ECON - Département des Sciences Economiques) 2007033, Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques.
- Luc Bauwens & Arie Preminger & Jeroen V.K. Rombouts, 2007. "Theory and Inference for a Markov-Switching GARCH Model," Cahiers de recherche 0733, CIRPEE.
- BAUWENS, Luc & PREMINGER, Arie & ROMBOUTS, Jeroen V.K., 2007. "Theory and inference for a Markov switching GARCH model," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2007055, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Luc Bauwens & Arie Preminger & Jeroen V.K. Rombouts, 2007. "Theory and inference for a Markov switching Garch model," Cahiers de recherche 07-09, HEC Montréal, Institut d'économie appliquée.
- BAUWENS, Luc & PREMINGER, Arie & ROMBOUTS, Jeroen VK, 2010. "Theory and inference for a Markov switching Garch model," LIDAM Reprints CORE 2303, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Hasse, Jean-Baptiste & Lajaunie, Quentin, 2022.
"Does the yield curve signal recessions? New evidence from an international panel data analysis,"
The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 9-22.
- Jean-Baptiste Hasse & Quentin Lajaunie, 2020. "Does the Yield Curve Signal Recessions? New Evidence from an International Panel Data Analysis," Working Papers halshs-02549044, HAL.
- Hasse, Jean-Baptiste & Lajaunie, Quentin, 2022. "Does the yield curve signal recessions? New evidence from an international panel data analysis," LIDAM Reprints LFIN 2022004, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
- Jean-Baptiste Hasse & Quentin Lajaunie, 2020. "Does the Yield Curve Signal Recessions? New Evidence from an International Panel Data Analysis," AMSE Working Papers 2013, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
- Jean-Baptiste Hasse & Quentin Lajaunie, 2022. "Does the yield curve signal recessions? New evidence from an international panel data analysis," Post-Print hal-03740235, HAL.
- Heidari , Hassan & Refah-Kahriz, Arash & Hashemi Berenjabadi, Nayyer, 2018. "Dynamic Relationship between Macroeconomic Variables and Stock Return Volatility in Tehran Stock Exchange: Multivariate MS ARMA GARCH Approach," Quarterly Journal of Applied Theories of Economics, Faculty of Economics, Management and Business, University of Tabriz, vol. 5(2), pages 223-250, August.
- Gelman, Sergey & Wilfling, Bernd, 2009. "Markov-switching in target stocks during takeover bids," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(5), pages 745-758, December.
- Chkili, Walid, 2017. "Is gold a hedge or safe haven for Islamic stock market movements? A Markov switching approach," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 42, pages 152-163.
- Jianhui Li & Sebastian A. Gehricke & Jin E. Zhang, 2019. "How do US options traders “smirk” on China? Evidence from FXI options," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(11), pages 1450-1470, November.
- Raggi, Davide & Bordignon, Silvano, 2012.
"Long memory and nonlinearities in realized volatility: A Markov switching approach,"
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(11), pages 3730-3742.
- S. Bordignon & D. Raggi, 2010. "Long memory and nonlinearities in realized volatility: a Markov switching approach," Working Papers 694, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
- Chang, Kuang-Liang, 2016. "Does the return-state-varying relationship between risk and return matter in modeling the time series process of stock return?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 72-87.
- repec:dau:papers:123456789/2285 is not listed on IDEAS
- Billio, Monica & Casarin, Roberto & Osuntuyi, Anthony, 2016.
"Efficient Gibbs sampling for Markov switching GARCH models,"
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 37-57.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Anthony Osuntuyi, 2012. "Efficient Gibbs Sampling for Markov Switching GARCH Models," Working Papers 2012:35, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
- Andrew Ang & Allan Timmermann, 2012.
"Regime Changes and Financial Markets,"
Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 4(1), pages 313-337, October.
- Timmermann, Allan & Ang, Andrew, 2011. "Regime Changes and Financial Markets," CEPR Discussion Papers 8480, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Andrew Ang & Allan Timmermann, 2011. "Regime Changes and Financial Markets," NBER Working Papers 17182, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Kuang-Liang Chang & Charles Ka Yui Leung, 2022.
"How did the asset markets change after the Global Financial Crisis?,"
Chapters, in: Charles K.Y. Leung (ed.), Handbook of Real Estate and Macroeconomics, chapter 12, pages 312-336,
Edward Elgar Publishing.
- Kuang-Liang Chang & Charles Ka Yui Leung, 2021. "How did the asset markets change after the Global Financial Crisis?," GRU Working Paper Series GRU_2021_004, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.
- Kuang-Liang Chang & Charles Ka Yui Leung, 2021. "How did the asset markets change after the Global Financial Crisis?," ISER Discussion Paper 1124, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University.
- Riccardo De Blasis & Filippo Petroni, 2021. "Price Leadership and Volatility Linkages between Oil and Renewable Energy Firms during the COVID-19 Pandemic," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-16, May.
- Oscar V. De la Torre-Torres & Evaristo Galeana-Figueroa & José Álvarez-García, 2021. "A Markov-Switching VSTOXX Trading Algorithm for Enhancing EUR Stock Portfolio Performance," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-28, May.
- Rey, Clément & Rey, Serge & Viala, Jean-Renaud, 2014.
"Detection of high and low states in stock market returns with MCMC method in a Markov switching model,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 145-155.
- Clément Rey & Serge Rey & Jean-Renaud Viala, 2013. "Detection Of High And Low States In Stock Market Returns With Mcmc Method In A Markov Switching Model," Working Papers hal-02939031, HAL.
- Clément Rey & Serge Rey & Jean-Renaud Viala, 2014. "Detection of High and Low States in Stock Market Returns with MCMC Method in a Markov Switching Model," Post-Print hal-01880340, HAL.
- Clément Rey & Serge Rey & Jean-Renaud Viala, 2013. "Detection Of High And Low States In Stock Market Returns With Mcmc Method In A Markov Switching Model," Working papers of CATT hal-02939031, HAL.
- Billio, Monica & Pelizzon, Loriana, 2003. "Volatility and shocks spillover before and after EMU in European stock markets," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 13(4-5), pages 323-340, December.
- Oscar V. De la Torre-Torres & Evaristo Galeana-Figueroa & José Álvarez-García, 2020. "Markov-Switching Stochastic Processes in an Active Trading Algorithm in the Main Latin-American Stock Markets," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(6), pages 1-23, June.
- Luc, BAUWENS & Arie, PREMINGER & Jeroen, ROMBOUTS, 2006.
"Regime switching GARCH models,"
Discussion Papers (ECON - Département des Sciences Economiques)
2006006, Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques.
- Luc Bauwens & Arie Preminger & Jeroen V.K. Rombouts, 2006. "Regime switching GARCH models," Cahiers de recherche 06-08, HEC Montréal, Institut d'économie appliquée.
- BAUWENS, Luc & PREMINGER, Arie & ROMBOUTS, Jeroen, 2006. "Regime switching GARCH models," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2006011, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Augustyniak, Maciej, 2014. "Maximum likelihood estimation of the Markov-switching GARCH model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 61-75.
- Alizadeh, Amir H. & Huang, Chih-Yueh & van Dellen, Stefan, 2015. "A regime switching approach for hedging tanker shipping freight rates," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 44-59.
- Ataurima Arellano, Miguel & Rodríguez, Gabriel, 2020. "Empirical modeling of high-income and emerging stock and Forex market return volatility using Markov-switching GARCH models," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
- Jędrzej Białkowski & Huong Dieu Dang & Xiaopeng Wei, 2017. "Does the Tail Wag the Dog? Evidence from Fund Flow to VIX ETFs and ETNs," Working Papers in Economics 17/17, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Perignon, Christophe & Smith, Daniel R., 2007.
"Yield-factor volatility models,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(10), pages 3125-3144, October.
- Christophe Pérignon & Daniel R. Smith, 2007. "Yield-factor volatility models," Post-Print hal-00461067, HAL.
- Tom A. FEARNLEY, 2002. "Tests of an International Capital Asset Pricing Model with Stocks and Government Bonds and Regime Switching Prices of Risk and Intercepts," FAME Research Paper Series rp97, International Center for Financial Asset Management and Engineering.
- Charfeddine, Lanouar & Ajmi, Ahdi Noomen, 2013. "The Tunisian stock market index volatility: Long memory vs. switching regime," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 16(C), pages 170-182.
- Charlot, Philippe & Marimoutou, Vêlayoudom, 2014.
"On the relationship between the prices of oil and the precious metals: Revisiting with a multivariate regime-switching decision tree,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 456-467.
- Philippe Charlot & Vêlayoudom Marimoutou, 2014. "On the relationship between the prices of oil and the precious metals: Revisiting with a multivariate regime-switching decision tree," Working Papers hal-00980125, HAL.
- Liu, Wen-Hsien & Chyi, Yih-Luan, 2006. "A Markov regime-switching model for the semiconductor industry cycles," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 569-578, July.
- D’Amico, Guglielmo & Gismondi, Fulvio & Petroni, Filippo & Prattico, Flavio, 2019. "Stock market daily volatility and information measures of predictability," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 518(C), pages 22-29.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Matteo Iacopini, 2024.
"Bayesian Markov-Switching Tensor Regression for Time-Varying Networks,"
Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 119(545), pages 109-121, January.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Matteo Iacopini, 2018. "Bayesian Markov Switching Tensor Regression for Time-varying Networks," Working Papers 2018:14, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
- Hyun Kook Shin & Byoung Hark Yoo, 2012. "The Volatility Of The Won-Dollar Exchange Rate During The 2008-9 Crisis," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 37(4), pages 61-77, December.
- Seo, Jeong-Yun, 1998. "Exchange rate and market power in import price," ISU General Staff Papers 1998010108000013522, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
- Andrey Feliksovich Bedin & Alexander Vladimirovich Kulikov & Andrey Vladimirovich Polbin, 2021. "A Markov Switching VECM Model for Russian Real GDP, Real Exchange Rate and Oil Prices," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(2), pages 402-412.
- Shyh‐Wei Chen & Chung‐Hua Shen, 2004. "Price Common Volatility or Volume Common Volatility? Evidence from Taiwan's Exchange Rate and Stock Markets," Asian Economic Journal, East Asian Economic Association, vol. 18(2), pages 185-211, June.
- Nomikos, Nikos K. & Pouliasis, Panos K., 2011. "Forecasting petroleum futures markets volatility: The role of regimes and market conditions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 321-337, March.
- Giampiero Gallo & Edoardo Otranto, 2006. "Volatility Transmission Across Markets: A Multi-Chain Markov Switching Model," Econometrics Working Papers Archive wp2006_04, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti".
- Ardia, David & Hoogerheide, Lennart F., 2010.
"Efficient Bayesian estimation and combination of GARCH-type models,"
MPRA Paper
22919, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- David Ardia & Lennart F. Hoogerheide, 2010. "Efficient Bayesian Estimation and Combination of GARCH-Type Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 10-046/4, Tinbergen Institute.
- Kuang-Liang Chang, 2011. "The optimal value-at-risk hedging strategy under bivariate regime switching ARCH framework," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(21), pages 2627-2640.
- Wilfling, Bernd, 2009. "Volatility regime-switching in European exchange rates prior to monetary unification," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 240-270, March.
- Adnen Ben Nasr & Ahdi N. Ajmi & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Modeling the Volatility of the Dow Jones Islamic Market World Index Using a Fractionally Integrated Time Varying GARCH (FITVGARCH) Model," Working Papers 201357, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Jacques Jaussaud & Sophie Nivoix & Serge Rey, 2015.
"The Great East Japan Earthquake and Stock Prices,"
Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 35(2), pages 1237-1261.
- Jacques Jaussaud & Sophie Nivoix & Serge Rey, 2015. "The Great East Japan Earthquake and Stock Prices," Post-Print hal-01885285, HAL.
- Cheng, Ai-Ru & Jahan-Parvar, Mohammad R., 2014. "Risk–return trade-off in the pacific basin equity markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 123-140.
- Monica Billio & Maddalena Cavicchioli, 2013. "�Markov Switching Models for Volatility: Filtering, Approximation and Duality�," Working Papers 2013:24, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
- Kramer, Walter & Azamo, Baudouin Tameze, 2007.
"Structural change and estimated persistence in the GARCH(1,1)-model,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 97(1), pages 17-23, October.
- Prof. Dr. Walter Krämer & Baudouin Tameze Azamo, "undated". "Structural change and estimated persistence in the GARCH(1,1)-model," Working Papers 5, Business and Social Statistics Department, Technische Universität Dortmund, revised May 2006.
- Xu, Libo & Serletis, Apostolos, 2016.
"Monetary and fiscal policy switching with time-varying volatilities,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 202-205.
- Libo Xu & Apostolos Serletis, "undated". "Monetary and Fiscal Policy Switching with Time-Varying Volatilities," Working Papers 2016-34, Department of Economics, University of Calgary, revised 13 Jun 2016.
- Pereira, Pedro L. Valls & Hotta, Luiz K. & Souza, Luiz Alvares R. de & Almeida, Nuno Miguel C. G. de, 1999.
"Alternative Models To Extract Asset Volatility: A Comparative Study,"
Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 19(1), May.
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- Oscar V. De la Torre-Torres & Francisco Venegas-Martínez & Mᵃ Isabel Martínez-Torre-Enciso, 2021. "Enhancing Portfolio Performance and VIX Futures Trading Timing with Markov-Switching GARCH Models," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-22, January.
- Tillmann, Peter, 2005. "Private sector involvement in the resolution of financial crises: How do markets react?," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(1), pages 114-132, October.
- Azamo, Baudouin Tameze & Krämer, Walter, 2006. "Structural Change and long memory in the GARCH(1,1)-model," Technical Reports 2006,33, Technische Universität Dortmund, Sonderforschungsbereich 475: Komplexitätsreduktion in multivariaten Datenstrukturen.
- Franses,Philip Hans & Dijk,Dick van, 2000.
"Non-Linear Time Series Models in Empirical Finance,"
Cambridge Books,
Cambridge University Press, number 9780521770415, September.
- Franses,Philip Hans & Dijk,Dick van, 2000. "Non-Linear Time Series Models in Empirical Finance," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521779654, September.
- Martin T. Bohl & Jeanne Diesteldorf & Christian A. Salm & Bernd Wilfling, 2016.
"Spot Market Volatility and Futures Trading: The Pitfalls of Using a Dummy Variable Approach,"
Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(1), pages 30-45, January.
- Martin T. Bohl & Jeanne Diesteldorf & Christian A. Salm & Bernd Wilfling, 2014. "Spot Market Volatility and Futures Trading: The Pitfalls of Using a Dummy Variable Approach," CQE Working Papers 3514, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
- Massimo Guidolin, 2011.
"Markov Switching Models in Empirical Finance,"
Advances in Econometrics, in: Missing Data Methods: Time-Series Methods and Applications, pages 1-86,
Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Massimo Guidolin, 2011. "Markov Switching Models in Empirical Finance," Working Papers 415, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
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"Can Markov switching models predict excess foreign exchange returns?,"
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"The restoration of the gold standard after the US Civil War: A volatility analysis,"
Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 12(C), pages 37-46.
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"Adaptive Mixture of Student-t Distributions as a Flexible Candidate Distribution for Efficient Simulation: The R Package AdMit,"
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"Modelling volatility of cryptocurrencies using Markov-Switching GARCH models,"
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"Can VAR models capture regime shifts in asset returns? A long-horizon strategic asset allocation perspective,"
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- Szabolcs Blazsek & Anna Downarowicz, 2013. "Forecasting hedge fund volatility: a Markov regime-switching approach," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(4), pages 243-275, April.
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- Cathy W. S. Chen & Mike K. P. So & Edward M. H. Lin, 2009. "Volatility forecasting with double Markov switching GARCH models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(8), pages 681-697.
- repec:jss:jstsof:29:i03 is not listed on IDEAS
- Wee, Damien C.H. & Chen, Feng & Dunsmuir, William T.M., 2022. "Likelihood inference for Markov switching GARCH(1,1) models using sequential Monte Carlo," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 50-68.
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- King, Daniel & Botha, Ferdi, 2015.
"Modelling stock return volatility dynamics in selected African markets,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 50-73.
- Daniel King & Ferdi Botha, 2014. "Modelling Stock Return Volatility Dynamics in Selected African Markets," Working Papers 410, Economic Research Southern Africa.
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