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I just ran two trillion regressions

Author

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  • Christoph Hanck

    (Universität Duisburg-Essen)

Abstract

The computational effort required to conduct a full model search to identify the most useful specification in problems that feature a large set of potential explanatory variables is widely perceived to be large. To circumvent or mitigate this challenge, the literature has proposed a host of techniques, many of which are not easy to implement. Using the example of a standard cross-country growth regression data set, we demonstrate that the computational effort in conducting a full model search will often be negligible. We provide an assessment of how this finding generalizes to model spaces of different sizes.

Suggested Citation

  • Christoph Hanck, 2016. "I just ran two trillion regressions," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 36(4), pages 2037-2042.
  • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-16-00288
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    File URL: http://www.accessecon.com/Pubs/EB/2016/Volume36/EB-16-V36-I4-P199.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kevin D. Hoover & Stephen J. Perez, 1999. "Data mining reconsidered: encompassing and the general-to-specific approach to specification search," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 2(2), pages 167-191.
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    3. Martin Feldkircher & Stefan Zeugner, 2009. "Benchmark Priors Revisited: On Adaptive Shrinkage and the Supermodel Effect in Bayesian Model Averaging," IMF Working Papers 2009/202, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Carmen Fernandez & Eduardo Ley & Mark F. J. Steel, 2001. "Model uncertainty in cross-country growth regressions," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(5), pages 563-576.
    5. Leeb, Hannes & Pötscher, Benedikt M., 2005. "Model Selection And Inference: Facts And Fiction," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 21(1), pages 21-59, February.
    6. Schneider Ulrike & Wagner Martin, 2012. "Catching Growth Determinants with the Adaptive Lasso," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 13(1), pages 71-85, February.
    7. Jan R. Magnus & Wendun Wang, 2014. "Concept-Based Bayesian Model Averaging and Growth Empirics," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 76(6), pages 874-897, December.
    8. David F. Hendry & Hans‐Martin Krolzig, 2004. "We Ran One Regression," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 66(5), pages 799-810, December.
    9. David F. Hendry & Hans-Martin Krolzig, 2004. "We Ran One Regression," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 66(5), pages 799-810, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Mark F. J. Steel, 2020. "Model Averaging and Its Use in Economics," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 58(3), pages 644-719, September.
    2. Ho Dan Doan, Tam & Thai Thuong Le, Quan & Nguyen, Quyen Le Hoang Thuy To & Nguyen, Phong Thanh & Thi Ngoc Dang, The, 2022. "Integrating of PLS-SEM and the Importance Performance Matrix Analysis to Exploring the Role of Provincial Competitiveness Index to Growth," MPRA Paper 116830, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jul 2022.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Variable selection; growth regressions; branch and bound; best subset selection;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General
    • O4 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity

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