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Sentiments and Aggregate Demand Fluctuations

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Xianbo Zhou & Zhuoran Chen, 2023. "The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks to Consumption under Different Confidence Regimes Based on a Stochastic Uncertainty-in-Mean TVAR Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-20, February.
  2. Gaetano Gaballo, 2012. "Private Uncertainty and Multiplicity," Working papers 387, Banque de France.
  3. Mauro Bambi & Alain Venditti, 2021. "Time‐varying consumption tax, productive government spending, and aggregate instability," International Journal of Economic Theory, The International Society for Economic Theory, vol. 17(2), pages 190-215, June.
  4. Ciccarone Giuseppe & Giuli Francesco & Marchetti Enrico, 2020. "Prospect Theory and sentiment-driven fluctuations," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 20(1), pages 1-25, January.
  5. Jess Benhabib & Pengfei Wang & Yi Wen, 2017. "Uncertainty and Sentiment-Driven Equilibria," Studies in Economic Theory, in: Kazuo Nishimura & Alain Venditti & Nicholas C. Yannelis (ed.), Sunspots and Non-Linear Dynamics, chapter 0, pages 281-304, Springer.
  6. Shapiro, Adam Hale & Sudhof, Moritz & Wilson, Daniel J., 2022. "Measuring news sentiment," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 228(2), pages 221-243.
  7. Jakob Grazzini & Domenico Massaro, 2021. "Dispersed information, social networks, and aggregate behavior," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 59(3), pages 1129-1148, July.
  8. Paymon Khorrami & Alexander K. Zentefis, 2020. "Arbitrage and Beliefs," CESifo Working Paper Series 8490, CESifo.
  9. Aabid Karim & Heman Das Lohano, 2024. "Sentiment Analysis of State Bank of Pakistan's Monetary Policy Documents and its Impact on Stock Market," Papers 2408.03328, arXiv.org.
  10. Roger E.A. Farmer & Carine Nourry & Alain Venditti, 2012. "The Inefficient Markets Hypothesis: Why Financial Markets Do Not Work Well in the Real World," NBER Working Papers 18647, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  11. Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stéphane Surprenant, 2022. "How is machine learning useful for macroeconomic forecasting?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 920-964, August.
  12. Ding Du & Ou Hu, 2020. "Why does stock-market investor sentiment influence corporate investment?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 54(4), pages 1221-1246, May.
  13. Thomas Lubik & Christian Matthes & Elmar Mertens, 2023. "Indeterminacy and Imperfect Information," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 49, pages 37-57, July.
  14. Ascari, Guido & Fasani, Stefano & Grazzini, Jakob & Rossi, Lorenza, 2023. "Endogenous uncertainty and the macroeconomic impact of shocks to inflation expectations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(S), pages 48-63.
  15. Becard, Yvan & Gauthier, David, 2023. "Banks, nonbanks, and business cycles," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
  16. Martin Ellison & Andreas Tischbirek, 2021. "Beauty Contests and the Term Structure [Risk Premia and Term Premia in General Equilibrium]," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 19(4), pages 2234-2282.
  17. Christian Myohl & Yannic Stucki, 2018. "Confidence and the Financial Accelerator," Diskussionsschriften dp1823, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft.
  18. George-Marios Angeletos, 2018. "Frictional Coordination," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 16(3), pages 563-603.
  19. Nagel, Rosemarie & Bühren, Christoph & Frank, Björn, 2017. "Inspired and inspiring: Hervé Moulin and the discovery of the beauty contest game," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 191-207.
  20. Roberta Terranova, 2025. "Endogenous beliefs and social influence in a simple macroeconomic framework," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 20(3), pages 583-641, July.
  21. Patrick Fève & Alain Guay, 2019. "Sentiments in SVARs," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 129(618), pages 877-896.
  22. Pablo D. Fajgelbaum & Edouard Schaal & Mathieu Taschereau-Dumouchel, 2017. "Uncertainty Traps," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 132(4), pages 1641-1692.
  23. Teodoro Dario Togati, 2021. "On two recent attempts to introduce animal spirits in macroeconomics: Heresy or enlightened church reform?," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 74(296), pages 51-73.
  24. Chahrour, Ryan & Ulbricht, Robert, 2017. "Information-driven Business Cycles: A Primal Approach," TSE Working Papers 17-784, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), revised Dec 2017.
  25. Schaal, Edouard & Taschereau-Dumouchel, Mathieu, 2023. "Herding through booms and busts," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
  26. Brianti, Marco & Cormun, Vito, 2024. "Expectation-driven boom-bust cycles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
  27. Jonathan J Adams, 2021. "Firestorm: Multiplicity in Models with Full Information," Working Papers 001006, University of Florida, Department of Economics.
  28. Benhabib, Jess & Liu, Xuewen & Wang, Pengfei, 2016. "Endogenous information acquisition and countercyclical uncertainty," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 601-642.
  29. Philippe Bacchetta & Eric van Wincoop, 2016. "The Great Recession: A Self-Fulfilling Global Panic," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 8(4), pages 177-198, October.
  30. Kozeniauskas, Nicholas & Orlik, Anna & Veldkamp, Laura, 2018. "What are uncertainty shocks?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 1-15.
  31. Christian Myohl, 2018. "The Effect of a Financial Block on the Identification of Confidence Shocks in a Structural VAR Model," Diskussionsschriften dp1821, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft.
  32. Chan, Jenny, 2024. "Monetary policy and sentiment-driven fluctuations," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
  33. Greg Kaplan & Guido Menzio, 2016. "Shopping Externalities and Self-Fulfilling Unemployment Fluctuations," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 124(3), pages 771-825.
  34. Christopher Biolsi & Bocong Du, 2020. "Do shocks to animal spirits cause output fluctuations?," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 87(1), pages 331-368, July.
  35. Liu, Xuewen & Wang, Pengfei & Yang, Zhongchao, 2024. "Delayed crises and slow recoveries," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
  36. Nabavi Larimi, Seyed Mohsen & Ehsani, Mohammad Ali & Tavakolian, Hossein, 2018. "Effect of Sentiments on Macroeconomic Variables in Iran: A Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 13(1), pages 1-30, January.
  37. Angeletos, G.-M. & Lian, C., 2016. "Incomplete Information in Macroeconomics," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1065-1240, Elsevier.
  38. Orlando Gomes & J. C. Sprott, 2017. "Sentiment-driven limit cycles and chaos," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 27(4), pages 729-760, September.
  39. Jakob Grazzini & Domenico Massaro, 2016. "Dispersed Information and the Origins of Aggregate Fluctuations," CESifo Working Paper Series 5957, CESifo.
  40. Laura Nowzohour & Livio Stracca, 2020. "More Than A Feeling: Confidence, Uncertainty, And Macroeconomic Fluctuations," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(4), pages 691-726, September.
  41. Khorrami, Paymon & Zentefis, Alexander K., 2025. "Segmentation and beliefs: A theory of self-fulfilling idiosyncratic risk," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
  42. Kazuo Mino, 2017. "Sunspot-Driven Business Cycles: An Overview," KIER Working Papers 973, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
  43. George-Marios Angeletos & Chen Lian, 2016. "Incomplete Information in Macroeconomics: Accommodating Frictions in Coordination," NBER Working Papers 22297, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  44. Christopher Biolsi & Alex Lebedinsky, 2021. "Can changes in sentiments influence consumer behavior? Evidence from the Trump‐Russia investigation," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 59(4), pages 1569-1592, October.
  45. Ryan Chahrour & Gaetano Gaballo, 2021. "Learning from House Prices: Amplification and Business Fluctuations [House Price Booms and the Current Account]," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 88(4), pages 1720-1759.
  46. Rondina, Giacomo & Walker, Todd B., 2021. "Confounding dynamics," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
  47. Mauersberger, Felix & Nagel, Rosemarie & Bühren, Christoph, 2020. "Bounded rationality in Keynesian beauty contests: A lesson for central bankers?," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 14, pages 1-38.
  48. Hanjo Odendaal & Monique Reid & Johann F. Kirsten, 2020. "Media‐Based Sentiment Indices as an Alternative Measure of Consumer Confidence," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 88(4), pages 409-434, December.
  49. Flynn, Joel P. & Sastry, Karthik A., 2023. "Strategic mistakes," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
  50. Ryan Chahrour & Kyle Jurado, 2018. "News or Noise? The Missing Link," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 108(7), pages 1702-1736, July.
  51. Patrick A. Pintus & Yi Wen & Xiaochuan Xing, 2015. "Interest Rate Dynamics, Variable-Rate Loan Contracts, and the Business Cycle," Working Papers 2015-32, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
  52. Syed M. Hussain, Zara Liaqat, 2025. "News Shocks, Consumer Confidence, and Business Cycles," LCERPA Working Papers jc0155, Laurier Centre for Economic Research and Policy Analysis, revised Apr 2025.
  53. Manoj Atolia & Ryan Chahrour, 2020. "Intersectoral Linkages, Diverse Information, and Aggregate Dynamics," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 36, pages 270-292, April.
  54. Rungcharoenkitkul, Phurichai & Winkler, Fabian, 2026. "The natural rate of interest through a hall of mirrors," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
  55. Benhabib, Jess & Wang, Pengfei, 2015. "Private information and sunspots in sequential asset markets," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 158(PB), pages 558-584.
  56. Evans, George W. & McGough, Bruce, 2020. "Stable near-rational sunspot equilibria," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
  57. Bennani, Hamza, 2020. "Central bank communication in the media and investor sentiment," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 431-444.
  58. Berardi, Michele, 2021. "Uncertainty, sentiments and time-varying risk premia," MPRA Paper 106922, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  59. Berardi, Michele, 2022. "Uncertainty and sentiments in asset prices," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 202(C), pages 498-516.
  60. Ilut, Cosmin & Saijo, Hikaru, 2021. "Learning, confidence, and business cycles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 354-376.
  61. Tian, Can, 2022. "Learning and firm dynamics in a stochastic equilibrium," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
  62. Milani, Fabio, 2017. "Sentiment and the U.S. business cycle," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 289-311.
  63. Nicholas Kozeniauskas & Anna Orlik & Laura Veldkamp, 2016. "The Common Origin of Uncertainty Shocks," NBER Working Papers 22384, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  64. Yi Wen, 2021. "The Poverty of Macroeconomics --- What the Chemical Revolution Tells Us about Neoclassical Production Function," Working Papers 2021-001, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
  65. Jenny Chan, 2020. "Monetary Policy and Sentiment-Driven Fluctuations," Discussion Papers 2020, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
  66. Szkup, Michal & Trevino, Isabel, 2020. "Sentiments, strategic uncertainty, and information structures in coordination games," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 534-553.
  67. Cole, Stephen J. & Milani, Fabio, 2021. "Heterogeneity in individual expectations, sentiment, and constant-gain learning," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 627-650.
  68. Wu, Jieran, 2022. "Comments on “Sentiments and real business cycles”," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
  69. Pintus, Patrick A. & Wen, Yi & Xing, Xiaochuan, 2022. "The inverted leading indicator property and redistribution effect of the interest rate," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
  70. Carbonari, Lorenzo & Maurici, Filippo, 2023. "Firm heterogeneity, financial frictions and ambiguity," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
  71. Yi Wen & Xiaochuan Xing & Patrick Pintus, 2016. "Interest Rate Dynamics, Variable-Rate Loans, and the Business Cycle," 2016 Meeting Papers 293, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  72. Bennani, Hamza, 2019. "Does People's Bank of China communication matter? Evidence from stock market reaction," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 1-1.
  73. Buchheim, Lukas & Dovern, Jonas & Krolage, Carla & Link, Sebastian, 2022. "Sentiment and firm behavior during the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 195(C), pages 186-198.
  74. Veldkamp, Laura & Kozeniauskas, Nicholas & Orlik, Anna, 2016. "What Are Uncertainty Shocks?," CEPR Discussion Papers 11501, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  75. Shyam Gouri Suresh & Mark Setterfield, "undated". "Firm performance, macroeconomic conditions, and “animal spirits” in a Post Keynesian model of aggregate fluctuations," Working Papers 14-09, Davidson College, Department of Economics.
  76. Foroni, Claudia & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Stevanovic, Dalibor, 2022. "Forecasting the Covid-19 recession and recovery: Lessons from the financial crisis," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 596-612.
  77. Giuseppe Ciccarone & Francesco Giuli & Enrico Marchetti, 2017. "Prospect Theory And Self-Fulfilling Market Sentiments," Departmental Working Papers of Economics - University 'Roma Tre' 0216, Department of Economics - University Roma Tre.
  78. George-Marios Angeletos & Chen Lian, 2023. "Determinacy without the Taylor Principle," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 131(8), pages 2125-2164.
  79. Lehrer, Steven & Xie, Tian & Zhang, Xinyu, 2021. "Social media sentiment, model uncertainty, and volatility forecasting," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
  80. Xu, Zhiwei & Zhou, Fei & Zhou, Jing, 2022. "Sentiments and real business cycles," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
  81. Benhabib, Jess & Liu, Xuewen & Wang, Pengfei, 2016. "Sentiments, financial markets, and macroeconomic fluctuations," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(2), pages 420-443.
  82. Acharya, Sushant & Benhabib, Jess & Huo, Zhen, 2021. "The anatomy of sentiment-driven fluctuations," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
  83. Mark Garmaise & Yaron Levi & Hanno Lustig, 2020. "Spending Less After (Seemingly) Bad News," NBER Working Papers 27010, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  84. Chatterjee, Pratiti & Milani, Fabio, 2020. "Perceived uncertainty shocks, excess optimism-pessimism, and learning in the business cycle," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 342-360.
  85. Vladimir Asriyan & William Fuchs & Brett Green, 2019. "Liquidity Sentiments," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 109(11), pages 3813-3848, November.
  86. Gaetano Gaballo, 2018. "Price Dispersion, Private Uncertainty, and Endogenous Nominal Rigidities," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 85(2), pages 1070-1110.
  87. Liao, Shian-Yu & Chen, Been-Lon, 2023. "News shocks to investment-specific technology in business cycles," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
  88. Jenny Chan, 2024. "Monetary policy and sentiment-driven fluctuations," Bank of England working papers 1106, Bank of England.
  89. Chahrour, Ryan & Gaballo, Gaetano, 2017. "Learning from prices: amplication and business fluctuations," Working Paper Series 2053, European Central Bank.
  90. Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2022. "How Important Are Consumer Confidence Shocks for the Propagation of Business Cycles in Bulgaria?," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 63(10-12), pages 589-603.
  91. Benhima, Kenza & Poilly, Céline, 2021. "Does demand noise matter? Identification and implications," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 278-295.
  92. Patir, Assaf, 2019. "Synchronization in Sunspot Models," MPRA Paper 95720, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  93. Patella, Valeria & Tancioni, Massimiliano, 2021. "Confidence Swings and Sovereign Risk Dynamics," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 195-206.
  94. Farmer, Roger E.A., 2016. "The Evolution Of Endogenous Business Cycles," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(2), pages 544-557, March.
  95. Cui, Wei & Kaas, Leo, 2021. "Default cycles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 377-394.
  96. Roger Farmer & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2020. "Self-Fulfilling Prophecies, Quasi Non-Ergodicity & Wealth Inequality," NBER Working Papers 28261, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  97. Makridis, Christos A., 2022. "The social transmission of economic sentiment on consumption," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
  98. George-Marios Angeletos & Chen Lian, 2018. "Forward Guidance without Common Knowledge," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 108(9), pages 2477-2512, September.
  99. Hellwig, Christian & Venkateswaran, Venky, 2025. "Dispersed information, nominal rigidities and monetary business cycles: A Hayekian perspective," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 155(S).
  100. Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Marija Vukotic, 2022. "Patent-Based News Shocks," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 104(1), pages 51-66, March.
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