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The impact of economic sanctions on international trade: How do threatened sanctions compare with imposed sanctions?

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Kazunobu Hayakawa, 2026. "The trade effects of the US export control regulations," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 23(2), pages 1-24, May.
  2. Teemu Makkonen & Timo Mitze, 2023. "Geopolitical conflicts, sanctions and international knowledge flows: EU–Russia collaboration during the Ukraine crisis," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(10), pages 2926-2949, October.
  3. Moghaddasi Kelishomi, Ali & Nisticò, Roberto, 2022. "Employment effects of economic sanctions in Iran," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
  4. Toke S. Aidt & Facundo Albornoz & Esther Hauk, 2019. "Foreign in influence and domestic policy: A survey," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1928, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  5. Özge Korkmaz & Semih Karacan, 2024. "The Impact of the Russo-Ukrainian War on the Bilateral Trade in the Region: Evidence from a Panel Gravity Model," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 59(3), pages 412-428, August.
  6. Sun, Chengjiu & Wang, Shanshan, 2025. "Collateral damage: The environmental consequences of US sanctions," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
  7. Lisandra Flach & Inga Heiland & Mario Larch & Marina Steininger & Feodora A. Teti, 2024. "Quantifying the partial and general equilibrium effects of sanctions on Russia," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(1), pages 281-323, February.
  8. Jerg Gutmann & Matthias Neuenkirch & Florian Neumeier, 2024. "Do China and Russia undermine Western sanctions? Evidence from DiD and event study estimation," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(1), pages 132-160, February.
  9. Eckhard Janeba, 2024. "Extraterritorial trade sanctions: Theory and application to the US–Iran–EU conflict," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(1), pages 49-71, February.
  10. Mattia Longhi & Caterina Morelli, 2025. "The Role of Chinese Panda Ambassadors in International Trade," Working Papers 550, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics.
  11. Tibor Besedeš & Stefan Goldbach & Volker Nitsch, 2024. "Smart or smash? The effect of financial sanctions on trade in goods and services," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(1), pages 223-251, February.
  12. Zhou, Jiaxin & Wang, Shihao & Duan, Haipeng, 2025. "The impact of trade sanctions on financial risk: Empirical evidence from global data," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
  13. Jerg Gutmann & Matthias Neuenkirch & Florian Neumeier, 2024. "Political Economy of International Sanctions," Research Papers in Economics 2024-07, University of Trier, Department of Economics.
  14. repec:ags:aaea22:343703 is not listed on IDEAS
  15. Jochen Güntner & Michael Irlacher & Peter Öhlinger, 2023. "Not all oil types are alike," Economics working papers 2023-11, Department of Economics, Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria.
  16. Hayakawa,Kazunobu & Kumagai,Satoru, 2024. "Trade Effects of the Russia–Ukraine Conflict: Can Neutral Countries Really Fish in Troubled Waters?," IDE Discussion Papers 944, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO).
  17. Olivier Massol & Emmanuel Hache & Albert Banal‐Estañol, 2024. "Trade sanctions and international market integration: Evidence from the sanctions on Iranian methanol exports," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(2), pages 637-663, February.
  18. Görg, Holger & Jacobs, Anna & Meuchelböck, Saskia, 2024. "Who is to suffer? Quantifying the impact of sanctions on German firms," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
  19. Michal Onderco & Reinout Arthur van der Veer, 2021. "No More Gouda in Moscow? Distributive Effects of the Imposition of Sanctions," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 59(6), pages 1345-1363, November.
  20. Jonas Frank, 2017. "The empirical consequences of trade sanctions for directly and indirectly affected countries," FIW Working Paper series 174, FIW.
  21. He, Canfei & Li, Jing & Wang, Wenyu & Zhang, Peng, 2024. "Regional resilience during a trade war: The role of global connections and local networks," Journal of World Business, Elsevier, vol. 59(5).
  22. BAEK,Youngmin & HAYAKAWA,Kazunobu & PARK,Danbee, 2026. "Firm Responses to Export Controls: Evidence from the Japan–Korea Trade Dispute," IDE Discussion Papers 991, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO).
  23. Swapan-Kumar Pradhan & Viktors Stebunovs & Előd Takáts & Judit Temesvary, 2025. "Geopolitics Meets Monetary Policy: Decoding Their Impact on Cross-Border Bank Lending," International Finance Discussion Papers 1403, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  24. Timothy M. Peterson, 2021. "Sanctions and Third-party Compliance with US Foreign Policy Preferences: An Analysis of Dual-use Trade," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 65(10), pages 1820-1846, November.
  25. Morad Bali & Thanh T. Nguyen & Lincoln F. Pratson, 2024. "Impacts of EU Sanctions Levied in 2014 on Individual European Countries' Exports to Russia: Winners and Losers," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 50(2), pages 154-194, April.
  26. Shchepeleva, Maria & Stolbov, Mikhail & Weill, Laurent, 2024. "Do sanctions trigger financial crises?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
  27. Ali Dadpay & Saleh S. Tabrizy, 2021. "Political Agreements and Exporting Activities: An Empirical Assessment of the Effects of the JCPOA Agreement on Iran’s Exports," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 63(1), pages 147-180, March.
  28. Liu, Xue-Ying & Zhao, Xin-Xin & Ma, Kun & Sharma, Susan Sunila, 2024. "The impact of financial sanctions on ESG performance of target countries," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
  29. Pascal Langer, 2024. "International Sanctions and Coups d’État," Research Papers in Economics 2024-14, University of Trier, Department of Economics.
  30. Saeed Ghasseminejad & Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar, 2020. "The Impact of Financial Sanctions: The Case of Iran 2011-2016," International Finance Discussion Papers 1281, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  31. Aldunate, Felipe & Gonzalez, Felipe & Prem, Mounu, 2021. "Make the Economy Scream? U.S. Banks and Foreign Firms During the Cold War," SocArXiv bhwk7, Center for Open Science.
  32. Jie Sun & Lewis Makosa & Jinkun Yang & Fangyuan Yin & Moses Jachi & Wellington Garikai Bonga, 2021. "Externalities of economic sanctions on performance of intra‐industry non‐sanctioned firms: Evidence from Zimbabwe," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 68(5), pages 643-664, November.
  33. Demena, B.A. & Benalcazar Jativa, G. & Reta, A.S. & Kimararungu, P.B. & van Bergeijk, P.A.G., 2021. "Does research on economic sanctions suffer from publication bias?," ISS Working Papers - General Series 674, International Institute of Social Studies of Erasmus University Rotterdam (ISS), The Hague.
  34. Jakub Horak, 2021. "Sanctions as a Catalyst for Russia’s and China’s Balance of Trade: Business Opportunity," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(1), pages 1-26, January.
  35. Vladislav I. Zhukovskiy & Lidiya V. Zhukovskaya, 2023. "On the Concept of Equilibrium in Sanctions and Countersanctions in a Differential Game," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(20), pages 1-22, October.
  36. Toke S. Aidt & Facundo Albornoz & Esther Hauk, 2021. "Foreign Influence and Domestic Policy," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 59(2), pages 426-487, June.
  37. Pamp, Oliver & Lebacher, Michael & Thurner, Paul W. & Ziegler, Eva, 2021. "Explaining destinations and volumes of international arms transfers: A novel network Heckman selection model," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
  38. repec:osf:socarx:z8f4h_v1 is not listed on IDEAS
  39. Simola, Heli, 2023. "What the literature says about the effects of sanctions on Russia," BOFIT Policy Briefs 8/2023, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
  40. Golitsis, Petros & Emmanouilidis, Kyriakos, 2025. "Temporal dynamics of uncertainty shocks on China's trade openness: A TVP-VAR estimation," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
  41. P. Okillong & J. Luwedde & A.K. Nattabi, 2025. "How do sanctions shape intra-African trade? Implications for AfCFTA implementation," Journal of Economic Policy and Management Issues, JEPMI, vol. 4(2), pages 36-48.
  42. Magoum Tedom, Ornela Amelie & Ondo, Assoumou & Keneck-Massil, Joseph, 2025. "International aid held hostage by international sanctions," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
  43. Joan Barceló & Robert Kubinec & Cindy Cheng & Tiril Høye Rahn & Luca Messerschmidt, 2022. "Windows of repression: Using COVID-19 policies against political dissidents?," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 59(1), pages 73-89, January.
  44. Bonnet Paolo & Ciani Andrea & Zaurino Elena, 2026. "Throwing sand in the chips: unintended effects of export controls," JRC Working Papers in Economics and Finance 2026-02, Joint Research Centre, European Commission.
  45. Rok Spruk, 2026. "Confrontation with the West and Long-Run Economic and Institutional Outcomes: Evidence from Iran," Papers 2602.03231, arXiv.org.
  46. Naoto JINJI & Shigenobu KAWAGUCHI, 2026. "The Impact of Global Sanctions on Foreign Direct Investment: A staggered difference-in-differences approach," Discussion papers 26032, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
  47. Hayakawa, Kazunobu & Ito, Keiko & Fukao, Kyoji & Deseatnicov, Ivan, 2023. "The impact of the strengthening of export controls on Japanese exports of dual-use goods," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 160-179.
  48. Apeti, Ablam Estel & N’Doua, Bossoma Doriane, 2023. "The impact of timber regulations on timber and timber product trade," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
  49. Liu, Xue-Ying & He, Wei & Duan, Hai-Peng & Fan, Rui, 2024. "The impact of financial sanctions on economic policy uncertainty: Global evidence," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
  50. Caruso, Raul & Cipollina, Maria, 2025. "The effect of economic sanctions on world trade of mineral commodities. A gravity model approach from 2009 to 2020," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
  51. Meiramkul Saiymova & Nurken Baikadamov & Yuliya Tyurina & Georgiy Kutsuri & Lola Sanginova & Marija Troyanskaya, 2021. "Russia s Petroleum Industry in the Period of Sanctions and COVID-19 Pandemic: A Review and Analysis," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(5), pages 483-489.
  52. Gutmann, Jerg & Neuenkirch, Matthias & Neumeier, Florian, 2023. "The economic effects of international sanctions: An event study," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(4), pages 1214-1231.
  53. Carril-Caccia, Federico, 2025. "The impact of economic sanctions on bilateral mergers and acquisitions," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
  54. HAYAKAWA, Kazunobu & KIMURA, Fukunari & YAMANOUCHI, Kenta, 2025. "The trade effects of export control regulations in Japan," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
  55. Sakariyahu, Rilwan & Lawal, Rodiat & Ajide, Folorunsho & Oladipupo, Sodiq, 2026. "Bridging the energy divide: The impact of finance, political regimes, and international sanctions on renewable energy access," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 258(C).
  56. Firat Demir & Saleh S. Tabrizy, 2022. "Gendered effects of sanctions on manufacturing employment: Evidence from Iran," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(4), pages 2040-2069, November.
  57. Gutmann, Jerg & Langer, Pascal & Neuenkirch, Matthias, 2024. "International sanctions and emigration," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
  58. Okafor, Luke & Khalid, Usman & Badeeb, Ramez Abubakr, 2025. "Do the effects of unilateral and multilateral sanctions on energy poverty differ in target economies?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 327(C).
  59. Jun Wen & Xinxin Zhao & Chun‐Ping Chang, 2024. "The impact of international sanctions on innovation of target countries," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(1), pages 39-79, March.
  60. Kumar, Sourabh & Kumar Barua, Mukesh, 2022. "Modeling and investigating the interaction among risk factors of the sustainable petroleum supply chain," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
  61. Aldunate, Felipe & González, Felipe & Prem, Mounu, 2024. "The limits of hegemony: U.S. banks and Chilean firms in the Cold War," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
  62. Ali Moghaddasi Kelishomi & Roberto Nisticò, 2021. "Employment Effects of Economic Sanctions," CSEF Working Papers 615, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
  63. Anirudh Shingal, 2023. "Sanctions and services trade: the neglected dimension," RSCAS Working Papers 2023/39, European University Institute.
  64. Sylvanus Kwaku Afesorgbor & Eugene Beaulieu, 2021. "Role of international politics on agri‐food trade: Evidence from US–Canada bilateral relations," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 69(1), pages 27-35, March.
  65. Devasmita Jena & C. Akash & Prachi Gupta, 2024. "Deflecting economic sanctions: do trade and political alliances matter?," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 21(3), pages 543-567, July.
  66. Apeti, Ablam Estel & Edoh, Eyah Denise, 2024. "Economic sanctions and sovereign debt default," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
  67. Hayakawa,Kazunobu & Kumagai,Satoru, 2022. "The trade effect of economic sanctions: evidence from the 2022 Russia-Ukraine conflict," IDE Discussion Papers 857, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO).
  68. Petrevski, Goran, 2025. "Economic sanctions and output growth: Empirical evidence," EconStor Preprints 325283, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
  69. Farzanegan, Mohammad Reza & Habibi, Nader, 2025. "The effect of international sanctions on the size of the middle class in Iran," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 90(PB).
  70. Sylvanus Kwaku Afesorgbor & Lukas Kornher & Fabio G. Santeramo, 2025. "The Impacts of Economic Sanctions on Food (Prices) Security: Evidence From Targeted Countries," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 48(8), pages 1942-1956, August.
  71. Zhai, Yuhang & He, Wei & Zhao, Xinxin & Shi, Yaobo, 2025. "Does economic sanctions bring risks to technological innovation in China?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 812-825.
  72. Meyer, Klaus E. & Fang, Tony & Panibratov, Andrei Y. & Peng, Mike W. & Gaur, Ajai, 2023. "International business under sanctions," Journal of World Business, Elsevier, vol. 58(2).
  73. Devasmita Jena & C. Akash & Prachi Gupta, 2023. "Deflecting Economic Sanctions: Do Trade and Political Alliances Matter?," Working Papers 2023-248, Madras School of Economics,Chennai,India.
  74. Tran Manh Ha & Doan Ngoc Thang, 2023. "Economic sanction and global sourcing complexity: A cross‐country analysis," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(4), pages 1017-1050, April.
  75. Jun Wen & Xinxin Zhao & Quan-Jing Wang & Chun-Ping Chang, 2021. "The impact of international sanctions on energy security," Energy & Environment, , vol. 32(3), pages 458-480, May.
  76. Busani Moyo, 2024. "Impact of SADC Free Trade Area on Southern Africa’s Intra-Trade Performance: Implications for the African Continental Free Trade Area," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 59(1), pages 146-180, February.
  77. Kazunobu HAYAKAWA & Keiko ITO, 2025. "The Collateral Damage of US Export Control Regulations on Japanese Suppliers’ Exports to China," Discussion papers 25061, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
  78. Ablam Estel Apeti & Bossoma Doriane N’doua, 2023. "The impact of timber regulations on timber and timber product trade," Post-Print hal-04262489, HAL.
  79. Vincenzo Bove & Jessica Di Salvatore & Roberto Nisticò, 2023. "Economic Sanctions and Trade Flows in the Neighborhood," Journal of Law and Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 66(4), pages 671-697.
  80. Kelishomi, Ali Moghaddasi & Nisticò, Roberto, 2024. "Economic sanctions and informal employment," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
  81. Canan Yüksel Yücel & Erol Taymaz, 2025. "The Impact of the Russian Sanctions on the Turkish Tourism Sector: Firm-level Evidence," ERC Working Papers 2502, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, revised May 2025.
  82. Ghasseminejad, Saeed & Jahan-Parvar, Mohammad R., 2021. "The impact of financial sanctions: The case of Iran," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 43(3), pages 601-621.
  83. Yin, Hua-Tang & Wen, Jun & Ni, Guo-Hua & Chang, Chun-Ping, 2026. "How do economic sanctions affect corporate innovation? Lessons from China," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
  84. Yan, Jiaqiang & Zhou, Yonghong, 2021. "Economic return to political support: Evidence from voting on the representation of China in the United Nations," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
  85. Nandnaba, Alfred Michel, 2025. "The dark political side of US economic sanctions: An overview of renewable energy production in developing countries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 335(C).
  86. Hyejin Kim & Jungmin Lee, 2021. "The Economic Costs of Diplomatic Conflict: Evidence from the South Korea–China THAAD Dispute," Korean Economic Review, Korean Economic Association, vol. 37, pages 225-262.
  87. Fatemeh Rahimzadeh & Hamed Pirpour & Bahman P. Ebrahimi, 2022. "The impact of economic sanctions on the efficiency of bilateral energy exports: the case of Iran," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(9), pages 1-18, September.
  88. Dongan Tan & Hoan La, 2026. "The Determinants of Post-Sanctions Economic Recovery," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 70(4), pages 720-747, April.
  89. Xiao Wang & Jun Nagayasu, 2025. "Analyzing the Effect of the Unfriendly Countries List of Russia on Global Trade through the Staggered Diference-in-Diferences Design in the Gravity Model," TUPD Discussion Papers 69, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Tohoku University.
  90. Hyejin Kim & Jungmin Lee, 2020. "The Economic Costs of Diplomatic Conflict," Working Papers 2020-25, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
  91. Drapkin, I. & Simachev, Yu. & Fedyunina, A. & Pastukhova, P., 2025. "The impact of financial sanctions on countries' participation in global value chains: An assessment with the synthetic control method," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 69(4), pages 151-172.
  92. Anh Dang Bao Phan & Daniel Dao & Loan Thi Quynh Nguyen, 2026. "Unleashing Innovation Under Sanctions: The Catalyst of National Culture," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(1), pages 1108-1130, January.
  93. Josée St-Pierre & Annie Royer & Crispin Enagogo & Jean Pierre Dany Menguele, 2024. "Autonomie financière et activités d’exportation des PME du secteur bioalimentaire : Planifier adéquatement les dépenses à engager," CIRANO Project Reports 2024rp-16, CIRANO.
  94. Nghia Nguyen Trinh & Nghia Dang Nguyen, 2025. "Geopolitical Risk and Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) practices of listed companies in Vietnam," HO CHI MINH CITY OPEN UNIVERSITY JOURNAL OF SCIENCE - ECONOMICS AND BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, HO CHI MINH CITY OPEN UNIVERSITY JOURNAL OF SCIENCE, HO CHI MINH CITY OPEN UNIVERSITY, vol. 15(5), pages 150-168.
  95. Vipin P. Veetil, 2026. "How Vulnerable is India's Economy to Foreign Sanctions?," Papers 2603.12128, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2026.
  96. Shingal, Anirudh, 2024. "Economic sanctions and domestic diversion," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).
  97. Yuleng Zeng & Andreas Dür, 2025. "Shock and awe: Economic sanctions and relative military spending," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 62(6), pages 1968-1983, November.
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