IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v327y2025ics0360544225019280.html

Do the effects of unilateral and multilateral sanctions on energy poverty differ in target economies?

Author

Listed:
  • Okafor, Luke
  • Khalid, Usman
  • Badeeb, Ramez Abubakr

Abstract

This paper explores whether the effects of various types of unilateral and multilateral sanctions, such as military, financial, or trade sanctions, on energy poverty differ in target economies. It also examines the moderating effects of income levels on the underlying relationships. A dyadic panel data set comprising of 5151 country pairs with 199 sender states (economies) and 131 target states (economies) over the period 1995 to 2020 is used for the empirical analysis. Using fixed effects and instrumental variable approaches, we show that various types of multilateral sanctions increase energy poverty in target economies while the effects of most unilateral sanctions are largely insignificant. Results also show that most multilateral sanctions exacerbate energy poverty in low-income countries but alleviate energy poverty in high-income countries. Policy instruments, such as targeted energy allowance, financial incentives for energy efficiency improvements, and free energy advisory services solely for low-income groups, can help reduce energy poverty in sanctioned economies.

Suggested Citation

  • Okafor, Luke & Khalid, Usman & Badeeb, Ramez Abubakr, 2025. "Do the effects of unilateral and multilateral sanctions on energy poverty differ in target economies?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 327(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:327:y:2025:i:c:s0360544225019280
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2025.136286
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544225019280
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2025.136286?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Cheng, Zhiming & Guo, Liwen & Smyth, Russell & Tani, Massimiliano, 2022. "Childhood adversity and energy poverty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    2. Arthur Lewbel, 2012. "Using Heteroscedasticity to Identify and Estimate Mismeasured and Endogenous Regressor Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(1), pages 67-80.
    3. Igawa, Moegi & Managi, Shunsuke, 2022. "Energy poverty and income inequality: An economic analysis of 37 countries," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(PB).
    4. Ding, Tao & Li, Hao & Liu, Li & Feng, Kui, 2024. "An inquiry into the nexus between artificial intelligence and energy poverty in the light of global evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    5. Dursun Peksen & Byungwon Woo, 2018. "Economic Sanctions and the Politics of IMF Lending," International Interactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(4), pages 681-708, July.
    6. Felbermayr, Gabriel & Kirilakha, Aleksandra & Syropoulos, Constantinos & Yalcin, Erdal & Yotov, Yoto V., 2020. "The global sanctions data base," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    7. Weber, Patrick M. & Schneider, Gerald, 2020. "How many hands to make sanctions work? Comparing EU and US sanctioning efforts," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    8. Neuenkirch, Matthias & Neumeier, Florian, 2016. "The impact of US sanctions on poverty," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 110-119.
    9. Ohyun Kwon & Costas Syropoulos & Yoto Yotov, 2022. "Do Sanctions Affect Growth?," School of Economics Working Paper Series 2022-6, LeBow College of Business, Drexel University.
    10. Tuzova, Yelena & Qayum, Faryal, 2016. "Global oil glut and sanctions: The impact on Putin’s Russia," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 140-151.
    11. Carfora, Alfonso & Scandurra, Giuseppe & Thomas, Antonio, 2022. "Forecasting the COVID-19 effects on energy poverty across EU member states," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    12. Neuenkirch, Matthias & Neumeier, Florian, 2015. "The impact of UN and US economic sanctions on GDP growth," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 40(PA), pages 110-125.
    13. Yuru Guan & Jin Yan & Yuli Shan & Yannan Zhou & Ye Hang & Ruoqi Li & Yu Liu & Binyuan Liu & Qingyun Nie & Benedikt Bruckner & Kuishuang Feng & Klaus Hubacek, 2023. "Burden of the global energy price crisis on households," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 8(3), pages 304-316, March.
    14. Aleluia, J. & Tharakan, P. & Chikkatur, A.P. & Shrimali, G. & Chen, X., 2022. "Accelerating a clean energy transition in Southeast Asia: Role of governments and public policy," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    15. Koomson, Isaac & Afoakwah, Clifford & Ampofo, Akwasi, 2022. "How does ethnic diversity affect energy poverty? Insights from South Africa," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    16. Alberto Alesina & Ekaterina Zhuravskaya, 2011. "Segregation and the Quality of Government in a Cross Section of Countries," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 101(5), pages 1872-1911, August.
    17. Ampofo, Akwasi & Mabefam, Matthew Gmalifo, 2021. "Religiosity and Energy Poverty: Empirical evidence across countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    18. Pami Aalto & Tuomas Forsberg, 2016. "The structuration of Russia’s geo-economy under economic sanctions," Asia Europe Journal, Springer, vol. 14(2), pages 221-237, June.
    19. Banerjee, Rajabrata & Mishra, Vinod & Maruta, Admasu Asfaw, 2021. "Energy poverty, health and education outcomes: Evidence from the developing world," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    20. Lucie Middlemiss, 2022. "Who is vulnerable to energy poverty in the Global North, and what is their experience?," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Energy and Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 11(6), November.
    21. Chen, Yin E. & Fu, Qiang & Zhao, Xinxin & Yuan, Xuemei & Chang, Chun-Ping, 2019. "International sanctions’ impact on energy efficiency in target states," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 21-34.
    22. Jun Wen & Xinxin Zhao & Quan-Jing Wang & Chun-Ping Chang, 2021. "The impact of international sanctions on energy security," Energy & Environment, , vol. 32(3), pages 458-480, May.
    23. Koengkan, Matheus, 2018. "The positive impact of trade openness on consumption of energy: Fresh evidence from Andean community countries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 936-943.
    24. Hosan, Shahadat & Rahman, Md Matiar & Karmaker, Shamal Chandra & Chapman, Andrew J. & Saha, Bidyut Baran, 2023. "Remittances and multidimensional energy poverty: Evidence from a household survey in Bangladesh," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(PA).
    25. Papada, Lefkothea & Kaliampakos, Dimitris, 2016. "Measuring energy poverty in Greece," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 157-165.
    26. Husnain, Muhammad Iftikhar ul & Nasrullah, Nasrullah & Khan, Muhammad Aamir & Banerjee, Suvajit, 2021. "Scrutiny of income related drivers of energy poverty: A global perspective," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    27. Moteng, Ghislain & Raghutla, Chandrashekar & Njangang, Henri & Nembot, Luc Ndeffo, 2023. "International sanctions and energy poverty in target developing countries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
    28. Afesorgbor, Sylvanus Kwaku, 2019. "The impact of economic sanctions on international trade: How do threatened sanctions compare with imposed sanctions?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 11-26.
    29. Khanna, Rupali A. & Li, Yanfei & Mhaisalkar, Subodh & Kumar, Mahesh & Liang, Lim Jia, 2019. "Comprehensive energy poverty index: Measuring energy poverty and identifying micro-level solutions in South and Southeast Asia," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 379-391.
    30. Gutmann, Jerg & Neuenkirch, Matthias & Neumeier, Florian, 2023. "The economic effects of international sanctions: An event study," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(4), pages 1214-1231.
    31. Doytch, Nadia & Narayan, Seema, 2016. "Does FDI influence renewable energy consumption? An analysis of sectoral FDI impact on renewable and non-renewable industrial energy consumption," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 291-301.
    32. Halkos, George E. & Gkampoura, Eleni-Christina, 2021. "Evaluating the effect of economic crisis on energy poverty in Europe," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    33. Yin, Zhichao & Wang, Rui & Wu, Xi, 2023. "Financial inclusion, natural disasters and energy poverty: Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    34. repec:aen:eeepjl:3-1-a01 is not listed on IDEAS
    35. Marco Cipriani & Linda S. Goldberg & Gabriele La Spada, 2023. "Financial Sanctions, SWIFT, and the Architecture of the International Payment System," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 37(1), pages 31-52, Winter.
    36. Deller, David, 2018. "Energy affordability in the EU: The risks of metric driven policies," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 168-182.
    37. Che, Xiahui & Zhu, Bangzhu & Wang, Ping, 2021. "Assessing global energy poverty: An integrated approach," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    38. Mirkina, Irina, 2018. "FDI and sanctions: An empirical analysis of short- and long-run effects," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 198-225.
    39. Siyou Xia & Yu Yang & Xiaoying Qian & Xin Xu, 2022. "Spatiotemporal Interaction and Socioeconomic Determinants of Rural Energy Poverty in China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(17), pages 1-15, August.
    40. Ali Reza Oryoie, 2024. "The impact of international sanctions on income mobility: Evidence from Iran," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(4), pages 1695-1717, November.
    41. Ben S. Bernanke, 1983. "Irreversibility, Uncertainty, and Cyclical Investment," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 98(1), pages 85-106.
    42. Munyanyi, Musharavati Ephraim & Awaworyi Churchill, Sefa, 2022. "Foreign aid and energy poverty: Sub-national evidence from Senegal," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    43. Nguyen, Canh Phuc & Nasir, Muhammad Ali, 2021. "An inquiry into the nexus between energy poverty and income inequality in the light of global evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    44. Khan, Zeeshan & Haouas, Ilham & Trinh, Hai Hong & Badeeb, Ramez Abubakr & Zhang, Changyong, 2023. "Financial inclusion and energy poverty nexus in the era of globalization: Role of composite risk index and energy investment in emerging economies," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 382-399.
    45. Kaveh Madani, 2021. "Have International Sanctions Impacted Iran’s Environment?," World, MDPI, vol. 2(2), pages 1-22, April.
    46. Khalid, U. & Ali, Muhammad Tahir & Okafor, L. & Sanusi, O. I., 2024. "Do sanctions affect the environment? The role of trade integration," Papers published in Journals (Open Access), International Water Management Institute, pages 1-8:100191..
    47. Eyup Dogan & Mara Madaleno & Dilvin Taskin, 2022. "Financial inclusion and poverty: evidence from Turkish household survey data," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(19), pages 2135-2147, April.
    48. Pachauri, Shonali & Spreng, Daniel, 2011. "Measuring and monitoring energy poverty," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(12), pages 7497-7504.
    49. Mario Larch & Serge Shikher & Constantinos Syropoulos & Yoto V. Yotov, 2022. "Quantifying the impact of economic sanctions on international trade in the energy and mining sectors," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 60(3), pages 1038-1063, July.
    50. Jiatao Li & Haoyuan Ding & Yichuan Hu & Guoguang Wan, 2021. "Dealing with dynamic endogeneity in international business research," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 52(3), pages 339-362, April.
    51. Kaygusuz, K., 2011. "Energy services and energy poverty for sustainable rural development," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 15(2), pages 936-947, February.
    52. Magda Kandil & Ida A. Mirzaie, 2021. "Macroeconomic policies and the Iranian economy in the era of sanctions," Middle East Development Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(1), pages 78-98, January.
    53. Halkos, George & Moll de Alba, Jaime & Todorov, Valentin, 2021. "Analyzing manufacturing sector and selected development challenges: A panel data analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    54. Khalid, Usman & Shafiullah, Muhammad & Chaudhry, Sajid M., 2024. "Does conflict aggravate energy poverty?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 194(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Moteng, Ghislain & Raghutla, Chandrashekar & Njangang, Henri & Nembot, Luc Ndeffo, 2023. "International sanctions and energy poverty in target developing countries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
    2. Zhao, Congyu & Dong, Kangyin & Nepal, Rabindra, 2026. "Can climate finance effectively address the welfare losses arising from energy poverty?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    3. Apeti, Ablam Estel & Edoh, Eyah Denise, 2024. "Economic sanctions and sovereign debt default," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    4. Jabari, Leyla & Salem, Ali Asghar & Zamani, Omid & Farzanegan, Mohammad Reza, 2024. "Economic sanctions and energy efficiency: Evidence from Iranian industrial sub-sectors," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    5. Song, Yan & Gao, Jian & Zhang, Ming, 2023. "Study on the impact of energy poverty on income inequality at different stages of economic development: Evidence from 77 countries around the world," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(C).
    6. Zaidan, Sara & El Fadel, Mutasem, 2026. "How representative is SDG7 of energy poverty in politically unstable landscapes? Guiding measurement and monitoring from perceptions to realities," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    7. Nandnaba, Alfred Michel, 2025. "The dark political side of US economic sanctions: An overview of renewable energy production in developing countries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 335(C).
    8. Magoum Tedom, Ornela Amelie & Ondo, Assoumou & Keneck-Massil, Joseph, 2025. "International aid held hostage by international sanctions," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    9. Chroufa, Mohamed Ali & Chtourou, Nouri, 2024. "The impact of income inequality on economic growth in MENA region: The role of energy poverty threshold effect," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 313(C).
    10. Du, Zhaoyi & Njangang, Henri & Kim, Youngchul, 2025. "Beyond the target: How do monetary policies affect energy poverty?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 320(C).
    11. Ren, Zhiyuan & Zhu, Yuhan & Jin, Canyang & Xu, Aiting, 2023. "Social capital and energy poverty: Empirical evidence from China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 267(C).
    12. Jahanger, Atif & Hossain, Mohammad Razib & Awan, Ashar & Adebayo, Tomiwa Sunday, 2024. "Uplifting India from severe energy poverty accounting for strong asymmetries: Do inclusive financial development, digitization and human capital help reduce the asymmetry?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    13. Gutmann, Jerg & Langer, Pascal & Neuenkirch, Matthias, 2024. "International sanctions and emigration," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    14. Awaworyi Churchill, Sefa & Smyth, Russell, 2022. "Protestantism and energy poverty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    15. Agnoung Amang, Raïssa Elodie & Keneck-Massil, Joseph & Tadadjeu, Sosson, 2025. "Does state capacity influence energy poverty in developing countries?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 322(C).
    16. Barkat, Karim & Alsamara, Mouyad & Mimouni, Karim, 2023. "Can remittances alleviate energy poverty in developing countries? New evidence from panel data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    17. Jerg Gutmann & Matthias Neuenkirch & Florian Neumeier, 2024. "Do China and Russia undermine Western sanctions? Evidence from DiD and event study estimation," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(1), pages 132-160, February.
    18. Jerg Gutmann & Matthias Neuenkirch & Florian Neumeier, 2024. "Political Economy of International Sanctions," Research Papers in Economics 2024-07, University of Trier, Department of Economics.
    19. Ngounou, Borice Augustin & Wang, Mingsen & Zhu, Delong, 2025. "Does energy poverty undermine health spending in Africa? A comparative analysis of public and private healthcare spending," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(C).
    20. Gutmann, Jerg & Neuenkirch, Matthias & Neumeier, Florian, 2023. "The economic effects of international sanctions: An event study," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(4), pages 1214-1231.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • Q4 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy
    • F51 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - International Conflicts; Negotiations; Sanctions
    • F63 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Economic Development

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:327:y:2025:i:c:s0360544225019280. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.