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Local Currency Sovereign Risk

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Madalina Anghel & Aurel Diaconu & Marius Popovici, 2016. "Theoretical considerations regarding risk analysis models," Romanian Statistical Review Supplement, Romanian Statistical Review, vol. 64(9), pages 64-72, September.
  2. Aizenman, J. & Jinjarak, Y. & Park, D. & Zheng, H., 2021. "Good-bye original sin, hello risk on-off, financial fragility, and crises?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
  3. Borri, Nicola, 2018. "Local currency systemic risk," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 111-123.
  4. Amstad, Marlene & Packer, Frank & Shek, Jimmy, 2020. "Does sovereign risk in local and foreign currency differ?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
  5. Converse, Nathan & Mallucci, Enrico, 2023. "Differential treatment in the bond market: Sovereign risk and mutual fund portfolios," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
  6. Stijn Claessens & M Ayhan Kose, 2018. "Frontiers of macrofinancial linkages," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 95.
  7. Gilchrist, Simon & Wei, Bin & Yue, Vivian Z. & Zakrajšek, Egon, 2022. "Sovereign risk and financial risk," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
  8. Hernández, Juan R., 2025. "Covered interest parity: A forecasting approach to estimate the neutral band," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
  9. Hou, Ai Jun & Sarno, Lucio & Ye, Xiaoxia, 2025. "The trade imbalance network and currency returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
  10. Jin Cao & Valeriya Dinger & Anna Grodecka‐Messi & Ragnar Juelsrud & Xin Zhang, 2021. "The interaction between macroprudential and monetary policies: The cases of Norway and Sweden," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(1), pages 87-116, February.
  11. Gomez-Gonzalez, Patricia, 2019. "Inflation-linked public debt in emerging economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 313-334.
  12. Markus Hertrich & Daniel Nathan, 2022. "Foreign Exchange Interventions and their Impact on Expectations: Evidence from the USD/ILS Options Market," Bank of Israel Working Papers 2022.10, Bank of Israel.
  13. Janus, Jakub, 2022. "Cross-border flights to safe assets in bond markets: evidence from emerging market economies," MPRA Paper 113875, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  14. Liao, Gordon Y., 2020. "Credit migration and covered interest rate parity," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(2), pages 504-525.
  15. Gopinath, Gita & Meyer, Josefin & Reinhart, Carmen M. & Trebesch, Christoph, 2025. "Sovereign vs. corporate debt and default: More similar than you think," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
  16. Galvez, Julio & Gambacorta, Leonardo & Mayordomo, Sergio & Serena, Jose Maria, 2021. "Dollar borrowing, firm credit risk, and FX-hedged funding opportunities," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
  17. Delis, Manthos D. & Politsidis, Panagiotis N. & Sarno, Lucio, 2022. "The cost of foreign-currency lending," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
  18. Martin Bodenstein & Pablo A. Cuba-Borda & Nils M. Gornemann & Ignacio Presno & Andrea Prestipino & Albert Queraltó & Andrea Raffo, 2023. "Global Flight to Safety, Business Cycles, and the Dollar," International Finance Discussion Papers 1381, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  19. Zaghini, Andrea, 2017. "A tale of fragmentation: Corporate funding in the euro-area bond market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 59-68.
  20. Cristina Arellano & Gabriel Mihalache & Yan Bai, 2018. "Inflation Targeting with Sovereign Default Risk," 2018 Meeting Papers 851, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  21. Janus, Jakub, 2023. "Flights to safe assets in bond markets: Evidence from emerging market economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
  22. Manger, Mark & Mihalyi, David & Panizza, Ugo & Rescia, Niccolò & Trebesch, Christoph & Wong, Ka Lok, 2025. "Africa's Domestic Debt Boom: Evidence from the African Debt Database," CEPR Discussion Papers 20747, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
  23. Matthew Theobald, 2023. "Heterogeneity in the impact of risk on local currency borrowing," Indian Economic Review, Springer, vol. 58(2), pages 319-357, September.
  24. Tomas Williams, 2018. "Capital Inflows, Sovereign Debt and Bank Lending: Micro-Evidence from an Emerging Market," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 31(12), pages 4958-4994.
  25. Florence Dafe & Dennis Essers & Ulrich Volz, 2018. "Localising sovereign debt: The rise of local currency bond markets in sub‐Saharan Africa," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(12), pages 3317-3344, December.
  26. Maeng, F. S., 2024. "Default, Inflation Expectations, and the Currency Denomination of Sovereign Bonds," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2438, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  27. Helena Chuliá & Sabuhi Khalili & Jorge M. Uribe, 2024. "Monitoring time-varying systemic risk in sovereign debt and currency markets with generative AI," IREA Working Papers 202402, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Feb 2024.
  28. Patrick Augustin & Mikhail Chernov & Lukas Schmid & Dongho Song, 2024. "The Term Structure of Covered Interest Rate Parity Violations," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 79(3), pages 2077-2114, June.
  29. Gomez-Gonzalez, Jose E. & Uribe, Jorge M. & Valencia, Oscar, 2024. "Sovereign Risk and Economic Complexity," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 13393, Inter-American Development Bank.
  30. Chernov, Mikhail & Creal, Drew & Hördahl, Peter, 2023. "Sovereign credit and exchange rate risks: Evidence from Asia-Pacific local currency bonds," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
  31. Chamon, Marcos & Schumacher, Julian & Trebesch, Christoph, 2018. "Foreign-Law Bonds: Can They Reduce Sovereign Borrowing Costs?," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 114, pages 164-179.
  32. Eugenio Cerutti & Haonan Zhou, 2024. "Uncovering CIP Deviations in Emerging Markets: Distinctions, Determinants, and Disconnect," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 72(1), pages 196-252, March.
  33. Marco Flaccadoro & Stefania Villa, 2025. "Global risk aversion and the term premium gap in emerging market economies," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1493, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
  34. Mengyang Li & Wencui Liu & Lei Wang, 2024. "Currency risk analysis of belt and road initiative countries," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 19(7), pages 1-25, July.
  35. Paola Di Casola & Spyridon Sichlimiris, 2025. "Domestic And External Sovereign Debt," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 66(3), pages 1207-1238, August.
  36. Venkatesh, Hari & Hiremath, Gourishankar S., 2025. "Currency exposure and economic growth: Friend or foe?," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
  37. Stefan Avdjiev & Valentina Bruno & Catherine Koch & Hyun Song Shin, 2019. "The Dollar Exchange Rate as a Global Risk Factor: Evidence from Investment," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 67(1), pages 151-173, March.
  38. Salih Fendoğlu & Eda Gülşen & José-Luis Peydró, 2019. "Global liquidity and impairment of local monetary policy," Economics Working Papers 1680, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
  39. Fabiani, Andrea & López-Piñeros, Martha & Peydró, José-Luis & Soto, Paul E., 2022. "Capital Controls, Domestic Macroprudential Policy and the Bank Lending Channel of Monetary Policy," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 139(November ), pages 1-1.
  40. Yasin Kursat Onder & Enes Sunel, 2021. "Inflation-default trade-off without a nominal anchor: The case of Greece," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 39, pages 55-78, January.
  41. M. S. Makushkin, 2025. "Determinants of the Yield on Russian Sovereign Bonds with Floating Coupons," Finansovyj žhurnal — Financial Journal, Financial Research Institute, Moscow 125375, Russia, issue 5, pages 8-25, October.
  42. Ogrokhina, Olena & Rodriguez, Cesar M., 2024. "Inflation targeting and capital flows: A tale of two cycles in developing countries," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
  43. Eiji Fujii, 2024. "Currency concentration in sovereign debt, exchange rate cyclicality, and volatility in consumption," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 160(1), pages 169-192, February.
  44. Gomez-Gonzalez, Jose E. & Uribe, Jorge M. & Valencia, Oscar M., 2025. "Asymmetric sovereign risk: Implications for climate change preparation," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
  45. Pierre Olivier Gourinchas, 2023. "International Macroeconomics: From the Great Financial Crisis to COVID-19, and Beyond," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 71(1), pages 1-34, March.
  46. Dos Santos, Amanda, 2026. "The Development of Domestic Bond Markets," SocArXiv 9he6d_v1, Center for Open Science.
  47. Manabu Nose, 2025. "Determinants of Domestic Sovereign Bond Yields: Fiscal Policy and the Sovereign–Bank Nexus in Emerging Market and Developing Economies," Keio-IES Discussion Paper Series DP2025-022, Institute for Economics Studies, Keio University.
  48. Halil Ibrahim Korkmaz & Yigit Onay, 2018. "The Determinants of Currency Risk Premium in Emerging Market Countries," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1806, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  49. Ozge Akinci & Ṣebnem Kalemli-Özcan & Albert Queraltó, 2022. "Uncertainty Shocks, Capital Flows, and International Risk Spillovers," Staff Reports 1016, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  50. Xie, Oliver, 2024. "Financial Hedging and Optimal Currency of Invoicing," SocArXiv v8zdk, Center for Open Science.
  51. Olivier Accominotti & Thilo N H Albers & Kim Oosterlinck, 2024. "Selective Default Expectations," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 37(6), pages 1979-2015.
  52. Della Corte, Pasquale & Jeanneret, Alexandre & Patelli, Ella D.S., 2023. "A credit-based theory of the currency risk premium," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(3), pages 473-496.
  53. Carol Bertaut & Valentina Bruno & Hyun Song Shin, 2023. "Original sin redux: role of duration risk," BIS Working Papers 1109, Bank for International Settlements.
  54. Alfaro, Laura & Asis, Gonzalo & Chari, Anusha & Panizza, Ugo, 2019. "Corporate debt, firm size and financial fragility in emerging markets," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 1-19.
  55. repec:rza:wpaper:882 is not listed on IDEAS
  56. Mulalo Mamburu, 2022. "Local-Currency sovereign risk on South African government bonds," ERSA Working Paper Series 882, Economic Research Southern Africa.
  57. Mitchener, Kris & Trebesch, Christoph, 2021. "Sovereign Debt in the 21st Century: Looking Backward, Looking Forward," CEPR Discussion Papers 15935, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
  58. Joshua Aizenman & Huanhuan Zheng, 2024. "Inflation Surge and Sovereign Borrowing: The Role of Policy Practices in Strengthening Sovereign Resilience," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 72(4), pages 1347-1385, December.
  59. Kirill Shakhnov & Nicola Borri, 2017. "Limited Arbitrage in the Market for Local Currency Emerging Market Debt," 2017 Meeting Papers 737, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  60. Saki Bigio & Galo Nuño & Juan Passadore, 2019. "A framework for debt-maturity management," Working Papers 1919, Banco de España.
  61. Andrews, Spencer & Colacito, Riccardo & Croce, Mariano M. & Gavazzoni, Federico, 2024. "Concealed carry," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
  62. Broner, Fernando & Martin, Alberto & Pandolfi, Lorenzo & Williams, Tomas, 2021. "Winners and losers from sovereign debt inflows," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
  63. Josefin Meyer & Carmen M Reinhart & Christoph Trebesch, 2022. "Sovereign Bonds Since Waterloo," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 137(3), pages 1615-1680.
  64. Khalil, Makram & Strobel, Felix, 2024. "US trade policy and the US dollar," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
  65. Eichler, Stefan & Pyun, Ju Hyun, 2022. "Ricardian equivalence, foreign debt and sovereign default risk," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 197(C), pages 21-49.
  66. Useong Shin, 2026. "A Three-Variable Benchmark for Post-GFC Covered Interest Parity Deviations," Papers 2605.20137, arXiv.org, revised May 2026.
  67. Calice, Giovanni & Lin, Ming-Tsung, 2024. "Sovereign momentum currency returns," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 96(PB).
  68. Zheng, Huanhuan, 2023. "Sovereign debt responses to the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
  69. Liu, Yan & Marimon, Ramon & Wicht, Adrien, 2023. "Making sovereign debt safe with a financial stability fund," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
  70. Gegenfurtner, Dennis Andreas, 2021. "The causes of Original Sin: An empirical investigation of emerging market and developing countries," IPE Working Papers 174/2021, Berlin School of Economics and Law, Institute for International Political Economy (IPE).
  71. Giovanni Bonfanti & Juri Marcucci, 2026. "A European safe asset? Not without the investors," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 1010, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
  72. Boris Hofmann & Ilhyock Shim & Hyun Song Shin, 2022. "Risk capacity, portfolio choice and exchange rates," BIS Working Papers 1031, Bank for International Settlements.
  73. Mert Onen & Hyun Song Shin & Goetz von Peter, 2023. "Overcoming original sin: insights from a new dataset," BIS Working Papers 1075, Bank for International Settlements.
  74. Cao, Jin & Dinger, Valeriya, 2022. "Financial Globalization and Bank Lending: The Limits of Domestic Monetary Policy," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 57(8), pages 3223-3251, December.
  75. Ogrokhina, Olena & Rodriguez, Cesar M., 2018. "The role of inflation targeting in international debt denomination in developing countries," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 116-129.
  76. Tsuruta, Masaru, 2020. "Decomposing the term structures of local currency sovereign bond yields and sovereign credit default swap spreads," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
  77. Jose E. Gomez-Gonzalez & Jorge M. Uribe & Oscar M. Valencia, 2023. "Sovereign Risk and Economic Complexity: Machine Learning Insights on Causality and Prediction," IREA Working Papers 202315, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Nov 2023.
  78. Mohamed Bouabidi, 2023. "The surge in Tunisia foreign debt: causes and possible ways out," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(3), pages 1-23, March.
  79. Gomez-Gonzalez, Jose E. & Uribe, Jorge M. & Valencia, Oscar M., 2025. "Sovereign debt cost and economic complexity," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
  80. Aitor Erce, 2012. "Selective sovereign defaults," Globalization Institute Working Papers 127, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
  81. Li, Yulin, 2021. "Investor sentiment and sovereign bonds," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
  82. Hyeon‐seung Huh & David Kim, 2021. "The risk‐taking channel of currency appreciation: A structural VAR investigation of Asian emerging market economies," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(3), pages 313-331, December.
  83. Xu, Weidong & Zhu, Danyu & Gao, Xin & Xing, Lu & Li, Donghui, 2025. "The price of realized extreme climate events in the implied cost of equity capital: International evidence," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
  84. Ho, Edmund Ho Cheung, 2022. "Foreign participation in local currency government bond markets in emerging Asia: Benefits and pitfalls to market stability," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
  85. Patrick Augustin & Mikhail Chernov & Dongho Song, 2018. "Sovereign Credit Risk and Exchange Rates: Evidence from CDS Quanto Spreads," NBER Working Papers 24506, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  86. Ogrokhina, Olena & Rodriguez, Cesar M., 2019. "The effect of inflation targeting and financial openness on currency composition of sovereign international debt," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 1-18.
  87. Valencia, Oscar & Rodriguez, Luis Alberto & Siachoque, Juan Pablo, 2023. "Fiscal Rules and Optimal Currency Composition of Sovereign Debt in Emerging Economies," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 12682, Inter-American Development Bank.
  88. Du, Wenxin & Im, Joanne & Schreger, Jesse, 2018. "The U.S. Treasury Premium," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 167-181.
  89. repec:osf:socarx:v8zdk_v1 is not listed on IDEAS
  90. Du, Wenxin & Keerati, Ritt & Schreger, Jesse, 2025. "Decoupling Dollar and Treasury Privilege," SocArXiv 7u9kn_v1, Center for Open Science.
  91. Bloise, Gaetano & Vailakis, Yiannis, 2024. "Sovereign debt crises and low interest rates," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
  92. Clemens Sialm & Qifei Zhu, 2024. "Currency Management by International Fixed‐Income Mutual Funds," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 79(6), pages 4037-4081, December.
  93. Xiao, Yaqing & Yan, Hongjun & Zhang, Jinfan, 2024. "Global and local information efficiency: An examination of samuelson's dictum," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
  94. Dmitry Matveev & Francisco Ruge-Murcia, 2024. "Tariffs and the Exchange Rate: Evidence from Twitter," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 72(3), pages 1185-1211, September.
  95. Solís, Pavel, 2025. "Term premia and credit risk in emerging markets: The role of U.S. monetary policy," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
  96. Zheng, Huanhuan, 2023. "Original sin redux and deviations from covered interest parity," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
  97. Bada Han, 2025. "Original Sin Dissipation and Currency Exposures in Emerging Markets," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 36(1), pages 281-327, February.
  98. Masaru Tsuruta, 2024. "Interaction between Sovereign Quanto Credit Default Swap Spreads and Currency Options," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 17(2), pages 1-33, February.
  99. Janus, Jakub, 2021. "The COVID-19 shock and long-term interest rates in emerging market economies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
  100. Wenxin Du & Ritt Keerati & Jesse Schreger, 2025. "Decoupling Dollar and Treasury Privilege," International Finance Discussion Papers 1427, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  101. Gong, Di & Jiang, Tao & Wu, Weixing, 2018. "A foreign currency effect in the syndicated loan market of emerging economies," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 211-226.
  102. Hiro Ito & Cesar M. Rodriguez, 2020. "Clamoring for greenbacks: Explaining the resurgence of the U.S. dollar in international debt," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(3), pages 370-391, December.
  103. Ashima Goyal & Rajeswari Sengupta & Akhilesh Verma, 2019. "External debt financing and macroeconomic instability in emerging market economies," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2019-013, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
  104. Ricardo Sabbadini, 2017. "Overcoming the Original Sin: Gains from Local Currency External Debt," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2017_27, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
  105. Aldunate, Felipe & Da, Zhi & Larrain, Borja & Sialm, Clemens, 2025. "Pension fund flows, exchange rates, and covered interest rate parity," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
  106. Laura Alfaro & Fabio Kanczuk, 2019. "Debt Redemption and Reserve Accumulation," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 67(2), pages 261-287, June.
  107. Shang-Jin Wei, 2018. "Managing Financial Globalization: Insights from the Recent Literature," NBER Working Papers 24330, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  108. Tarek A. Hassan & Tony Zhang, 2021. "The Economics of Currency Risk," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 13(1), pages 281-307, August.
  109. Mark J. Flannery & Claire Yurong Hong & Baolian Wang, 2023. "The Effect of Government Reference Bonds on Corporate Borrowing Costs: Evidence from a Natural Experiment," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(7), pages 4051-4077, July.
  110. Xiang Fang & Bryan Hardy & Karen K Lewis, 2025. "Who Holds Sovereign Debt and Why It Matters," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 38(8), pages 2326-2361.
  111. Guilherme Suedekum, 2023. "Local Currency Sovereign Debt Markets, Global Financial Conditions and the Role of Foreign Investors," IHEID Working Papers 19-2023, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
  112. Zaremba, Adam & Cakici, Nusret & Bianchi, Robert J. & Long, Huaigang, 2023. "Interest rate changes and the cross-section of global equity returns," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
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