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Hate at first sight? Dynamic aspects of the electoral impact of migration: The case of Ukip

Author

Listed:
  • Levi, Eugenio
  • Mariani, Rama Dasi
  • Patriarca, Fabrizio

Abstract

In this paper, we test the hypothesis that the causal effect of immigrant presence on anti-immigrant votes is a short-run effect. For this purpose, we consider a distributed lag model and adapt the standard instrumental variable approach proposed by Altonji and Card (1991) to a dynamic framework. The evidence from our case study, votes for the UK Independent Party (Ukip) in recent European elections, supports our hypothesis. Furthermore, we find that this effect is robust to differences across areas in terms of population density and socioeconomic characteristics, and it is only partly explained by integration issues.

Suggested Citation

  • Levi, Eugenio & Mariani, Rama Dasi & Patriarca, Fabrizio, 2019. "Hate at first sight? Dynamic aspects of the electoral impact of migration: The case of Ukip," GLO Discussion Paper Series 364, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:glodps:364
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Immigration; Voting; Political Economy;

    JEL classification:

    • P16 - Economic Systems - - Capitalist Systems - - - Political Economy of Capitalism
    • J61 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers
    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior

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