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Hate at first sight? Dynamic aspects of the electoral impact of migration: The case of Ukip

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  • Levi, Eugenio
  • Mariani, Rama Dasi
  • Patriarca, Fabrizio

Abstract

In this paper, we test the hypothesis that the causal effect of immigrant presence on anti-immigrant votes is a short-run effect. For this purpose, we consider a distributed lag model and adapt the standard instrumental variable approach proposed by Altonji and Card (1991) to a dynamic framework. The evidence from our case study, votes for the UK Independent Party (Ukip) in recent European elections, supports our hypothesis. Furthermore, we find that this effect is robust to differences across areas in terms of population density and socioeconomic characteristics, and it is only partly explained by integration issues.

Suggested Citation

  • Levi, Eugenio & Mariani, Rama Dasi & Patriarca, Fabrizio, 2019. "Hate at first sight? Dynamic aspects of the electoral impact of migration: The case of Ukip," GLO Discussion Paper Series 364, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:glodps:364
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    Cited by:

    1. Lonsky, Jakub, 2020. "Does Immigration Decrease Far-Right Popularity? Evidence from Finnish Municipalities," GLO Discussion Paper Series 540, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
    2. Levi, Eugenio & Patriarca, Fabrizio, 2019. "An exploratory study of populism: the municipality-level predictors of electoral outcomes in Italy," GLO Discussion Paper Series 430, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
    3. Mariani, Rama Dasi & Pasquini, Alessandra & Rosati, Furio C., 2020. "Elementary Facts about Immigration in Italy: What Do We Know about Immigration and Its Impact?," IZA Discussion Papers 13181, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Immigration; Voting; Political Economy;

    JEL classification:

    • P16 - Economic Systems - - Capitalist Systems - - - Political Economy of Capitalism
    • J61 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers
    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior

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