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Skill of the immigrants and vote of the natives: Immigration and nationalism in European elections 2007–2016

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Listed:
  • Simone Moriconi

    (LEM - Lille économie management - UMR 9221 - UA - Université d'Artois - UCL - Université catholique de Lille - Université de Lille - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Giovanni Peri
  • Riccardo Turati

Abstract

We analyze the impact of local immigration on natives' preferences for "nationalism" as measured in parties' programs by the Manifesto Project Database in European election data between 2007 and 2016. Using a 2SLS strategy with a shift-share IV based on immigrant shares by origin in 2005 and inflows by education-origin groups, we estimate that larger inflows of highly-educated immigrants were associated with a decrease in the "nationalistic" vote of natives, while less-educated immigrants produced an opposite-direction shift towards nationalistic parties. The aggregate results derive from individual shifts toward nationalism in response to less-skilled immigration, and from greater participation of young voters and more pro-European attitudes in response to high-skilled immigration.

Suggested Citation

  • Simone Moriconi & Giovanni Peri & Riccardo Turati, 2022. "Skill of the immigrants and vote of the natives: Immigration and nationalism in European elections 2007–2016," Post-Print hal-03596002, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03596002
    DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2021.103986
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-03596002
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Immigration; Nationalism; Elections; Europe;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
    • I28 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Government Policy
    • J61 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers

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