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Populism and the Skill-Content of Globalization

Author

Listed:
  • Frédéric Docquier

    (LISER - Luxembourg Institute of Socio-Economic Research)

  • Stefano Iandolo

    (DISES - Department of Economics and Statistics - UNISA - Università degli Studi di Salerno = University of Salerno)

  • Hillel Rapoport

    (PSE - Paris School of Economics - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement - ENPC - École nationale des ponts et chaussées - IP Paris - Institut Polytechnique de Paris, PJSE - Paris Jourdan Sciences Economiques - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement - ENPC - École nationale des ponts et chaussées - IP Paris - Institut Polytechnique de Paris, LISER - Luxembourg Institute of Socio-Economic Research, CEPII - Centre d'études prospectives et d'informations internationales, CEPR - Center for Economic Policy Research)

  • Riccardo Turati

    (UAB - Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona = Autonomous University of Barcelona = Universidad Autónoma de Barcelona, IZA - Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit - Institute of Labor Economics, RFBerlin)

  • Gonzague Vannoorenberghe

    (UCLouvain - Université Catholique de Louvain = Catholic University of Louvain)

Abstract

We propose new ways to measure populism, using the Manifesto Project Database (1960-2019) as main source of data. We characterize the evolution of populism over 60 years and show empirically that it is significantly impacted by the skill-content of globalization. Specifically, imports of goods which are intensive in low-skill labor generate more right-wing populism, and low-skill immigration shifts the distribution of votes to the right, with more votes for right-wing populist parties and less for left-wing populist parties. In contrast, imports of high-skill labor intensive goods, as well as high-skill immigration flows, tend to reduce the volume of populism.

Suggested Citation

  • Frédéric Docquier & Stefano Iandolo & Hillel Rapoport & Riccardo Turati & Gonzague Vannoorenberghe, 2026. "Populism and the Skill-Content of Globalization," Post-Print halshs-05665237, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-05665237
    DOI: 10.1093/ej/ueag019
    as

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