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Mr. Rossi, Mr. Hu And Politics. The Role Of Immigration In Shaping Natives’ Voting Behavior

Listed author(s):
  • Guglielmo Barone

    (Bank of Italy and RCEA)

  • Alessio D’Ignazio

    (Bank of Italy)

  • Guido de Blasio

    (Bank of Italy)

  • Paolo Naticchioni

    (Roma Tre University and IZA)

Using Italian municipality-level data on national elections and IV estimation strategy, we find that immigration generates a sizable causal increase in votes for the centre-right coalition, which has a political platform less favorable to immigrants. Additional findings are: (i) the effect is heterogeneous across municipalities with different sizes; (ii) the gain in votes for the centreright coalition corresponds to a loss of votes for the centre and centre-left parties, a decrease in voter turnout, and a rise in protest votes; (iii) the relationship between immigration and electoral gains percolates to mayoral election at the municipality level; (iv) cultural diversity, competition in the labor market and for public services, and political competition are the most relevant channels at work.

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File URL: http://host.uniroma3.it/centri/crei/pubblicazioni/workingpapers2015/CREI_03_2015.pdf
File Function: First version, 2015
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Paper provided by CREI Università degli Studi Roma Tre in its series Working Papers with number 0315.

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Length: 58 pages
Date of creation: 2015
Date of revision: 2015
Handle: RePEc:rcr:wpaper:03_15
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