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Mr. Rossi, Mr. Hu And Politics. The Role Of Immigration In Shaping Natives’ Voting Behavior

Author

Listed:
  • Guglielmo Barone

    (Bank of Italy and RCEA)

  • Alessio D’Ignazio

    (Bank of Italy)

  • Guido de Blasio

    (Bank of Italy)

  • Paolo Naticchioni

    (Roma Tre University and IZA)

Abstract

Using Italian municipality-level data on national elections and IV estimation strategy, we find that immigration generates a sizable causal increase in votes for the centre-right coalition, which has a political platform less favorable to immigrants. Additional findings are: (i) the effect is heterogeneous across municipalities with different sizes; (ii) the gain in votes for the centreright coalition corresponds to a loss of votes for the centre and centre-left parties, a decrease in voter turnout, and a rise in protest votes; (iii) the relationship between immigration and electoral gains percolates to mayoral election at the municipality level; (iv) cultural diversity, competition in the labor market and for public services, and political competition are the most relevant channels at work.

Suggested Citation

  • Guglielmo Barone & Alessio D’Ignazio & Guido de Blasio & Paolo Naticchioni, 2015. "Mr. Rossi, Mr. Hu And Politics. The Role Of Immigration In Shaping Natives’ Voting Behavior," Working Papers 0315, CREI Università degli Studi Roma Tre, revised 2015.
  • Handle: RePEc:rcr:wpaper:03_15
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Immigration; voting; political economy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
    • P16 - Economic Systems - - Capitalist Systems - - - Political Economy of Capitalism
    • J61 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers

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