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The Trade Effects of Anti-Dumping Duties: Firm-Level Evidence from China

Author

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  • Gabriel Felbermayr
  • Alexander-Nikolai Sandkamp
  • Gabriel J. Felbermayr

Abstract

This paper uses Chinese customs data to investigate the trade effects of anti-dumping (AD) policies. Merging firm-level exports to firm-specific AD duties, we exploit differences across firms within products. This reduces endogeneity concerns which have plagued earlier research. Based on a firm-level gravity model, we find that, in line with literature, AD duties reduce exports, induce firm exit but do not affect producer prices. However, our strategy yields substantially larger estimates which differ strongly across sectors. More interestingly, imports to the EU react differently compared to those to the US; a finding with obvious implications for the design of AD policies. Smaller exporters are more heavily affected than larger ones, suggesting important within-industry reallocation effects. Moreover, we find evidence for trade deflection as AD duties lead to market entry of Chinese firms into third countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Gabriel Felbermayr & Alexander-Nikolai Sandkamp & Gabriel J. Felbermayr, 2018. "The Trade Effects of Anti-Dumping Duties: Firm-Level Evidence from China," CESifo Working Paper Series 7208, CESifo.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_7208
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    Cited by:

    1. Gabriel Felbermayr & Hendrik Mahlkow & Alexander Sandkamp, 2022. "Cutting through the Value Chain: The long-run effects of decoupling the East from the West," FIW Working Paper series 196, FIW.
    2. Lorenzo Trimarchi, 2020. "Trade Policy and the China Syndrome," SERIES 05-2020, Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza - Università degli Studi di Bari "Aldo Moro", revised May 2020.
    3. Alexander Sandkamp & Erdal Yalcin, 2021. "Different antidumping legislations within the WTO: What can we learn from China's varying market economy status?," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(5), pages 1121-1147, November.
    4. Stefano Schiavo & Chiara Tomasi & Min Zhu, 2021. "Anti-dumping activities against China: patterns and effects," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 38(1), pages 7-30, April.
    5. Sandkamp, Alexander, 2020. "The trade effects of antidumping duties: Evidence from the 2004 EU enlargement," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    6. Wang, Xiaoying & Anwar, Sajid, 2022. "Institutional distance and China's horizontal outward foreign direct investment," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1-22.
    7. Gabriel Felbermayr & Alexander Sandkamp, 2021. "Antidumpingzölle, Preise und China: Freihandel als Retter in der Not?," WIFO Research Briefs 12, WIFO.
    8. Andrea Ciani & Joel Stiebale, 2020. "Export performance under domestic anti-dumping protection," Discussion Papers 2020-08, University of Nottingham, GEP.
    9. Luca Barbaglia & Christophe Croux & Ines Wilms, 2022. "Detecting Anti-dumping Circumvention: A Network Approach," Papers 2207.05394, arXiv.org.
    10. Stefano Schiavo & Chiara Tomasi & Min Zhu, 0. "Anti-dumping activities against China: patterns and effects," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 0, pages 1-24.
    11. Cheng, Lu & Mi, Zhifu & Coffman, D'Maris & Meng, Jing & Chang, Dongfeng, 2021. "Destruction and Deflection: Evidence from American Antidumping Actions against China," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 203-213.
    12. Felbermayr, Gabriel & Sandkamp, Alexander, 2020. "The trade effects of anti-dumping duties: Firm-level evidence from China," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    anti-dumping; China; trade; firm heterogeneity;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F12 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Models of Trade with Imperfect Competition and Scale Economies; Fragmentation
    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • D22 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Empirical Analysis

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