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China's export growth and the China safeguard: threats to the world trading system?

Author

Listed:
  • Chad P. Bown
  • Meredith A. Crowley

Abstract

Is there evidence from China's pre‐WTO accession period that newly imposed U.S. or EU import restrictions deflect Chinese exports to third markets? We examine this question by drawing on a newly constructed data set of U.S. and EU product‐level import restrictions on Chinese trade imposed between 1992 and 2001, and we estimate their impact on Chinese exports to alternative markets. We find no systematic evidence that the import restrictions imposed during this period resulted in Chinese exports surging to third markets. To the contrary, there is weak evidence of a chilling effect on China's exports to third markets. Y‐a‐t‐il évidence, à partir de l’expérience de la Chine avant son entrée à OMC, que les nouvelles restrictions aux importations chinoises des États‐Unis et de l’Union Européenne détournent les exportations chinoises vers de tiers marchés? On examine la question à l’aide d’une base de données américaines et européennes nouvellement construite sur les restrictions à l’importation de produits chinois entre 1992 ert 2001, et on calibre leurs impacts sur les exportations chinoises vers des tiers marchés. Il n’y a pas d’évidence systématique que ces restrictions aux importations chinoises ont résulté en un accroissement des exportations vers des tiers marchés. Au contraire, il y a un faible support pour l’hypothèse d’un refroidissement des exportations vers ces tiers marchés.

Suggested Citation

  • Chad P. Bown & Meredith A. Crowley, 2010. "China's export growth and the China safeguard: threats to the world trading system?," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 43(4), pages 1353-1388, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:canjec:v:43:y:2010:i:4:p:1353-1388
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-5982.2010.01617.x
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • F12 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Models of Trade with Imperfect Competition and Scale Economies; Fragmentation
    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations

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