Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes
Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E3: Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
/ / / E32: Business Fluctuations; Cycles
This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:
- Estimated DSGE Models
- Dynamic Factor Models
- Real Business Cycle Theory
- Labor in RBC models
- International RBC
2026
- Jacob Bastian & Melody Harvey, 2026, "When Policy Shapes Perception: The 2021 Child Tax Credit and Consumer Sentiment," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 35059, Apr.
- Scott A. Brave & Erin E. Crust & Stefano Eusepi & Bart Hobijn & Ayşegül Şahin, 2026, "Making Sense of Labor Market Indicators Amid Data Imperfections," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 35196, May.
- Xiwen Bai & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Yiliang Li & Francesco Zanetti, 2026, "State Dependence of Monetary Policy During Global Supply Chain Disruptions," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 35209, May.
- Al-Mahdi Ebsim & Chen Lian & Yueran Ma & Pablo Ottonello & Diego J. Perez, 2026, "Sophisticated Borrowing Constraints and Macroeconomic Dynamics," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 35213, May.
- Kunal Sangani, 2026, "Cheapflation Cycles," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 35235, May.
- Dmitri K. Koustas & Michael Weber & Constantine Yannelis, 2026, "Beliefs and Actions under Government Policy Uncertainty: Evidence from Student Loan Forgiveness," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 35319, Jun.
- Francesco Bianchi & Renato Faccini & Leonardo Melosi & Nils Wehrhöfer, 2026, "Lack of Trust and Fiscal Dominance: Evidence from a Firm Survey Experiment," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 35341, Jun.
- Joel P. Flynn & George Nikolakoudis & Karthik Sastry, 2026, "Pricing and Production Without the Invisible Hand," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 35390, Jun.
- Chen Lian & Dmitry Mukhin & Christian K. Wolf, 2026, "Importing Aggregate Demand," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 35402, Jul.
- Gideon Bornstein & Laura Castillo-Martinez, 2026, "Firm Exit and Financial Frictions," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 35479, Jul.
- Timothy J. Besley & Peter John Lambert & Isabelle A. Michalski-Roland & John Van Reenen, 2026, "The Equilibrium Impact of Credit Frictions: Evidence from Default Risk Using Firm-Level Data," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 35552, Jul.
- Jess Benhabib & Pengfei Wang & Yi Wen, 2026, "Incomplete Information and Self-Fulfilling Inflation Dynamics—Lucas meets Keynes," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 35563, Jul.
- Haelim Anderson & Charles W. Calomiris & Jennifer S. Rhee, 2026, "Choosing To Fail: Managerial Liability, Risk Management and Voluntary Exits of Banks," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 35598, Aug.
- Ed Manuel & Christian K. Wolf, 2026, "Identifying Policy Causal Effects from Rule Changes," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 35615, Aug.
- Diane E. Alexander & Molly Schnell, 2026, "Selection into Medicine," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 35631, Aug.
- Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé & Martín Uribe, 2026, "Tariff-Dispersion Shocks: The Mean is the Variance," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 35661, Aug.
- Michael Dalton & Lisa B. Kahn & Andreas I. Mueller, 2026, "Do Online Job Postings Capture Job Vacancies?," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 35697, Sep.
- Jongrim Ha & Dohan Kim & M. Ayhan Kose & Francis E. Warnock, 2026, "Expectations-based Capital Inflow Shocks," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 35716, Sep.
- Maarten Meeuwis & Dimitris Papanikolaou & Lawrence D.W. Schmidt, 2026, "Risk Premia, Firm Insurance, and Endogenous Labor Income Risk," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 35781, Sep.
- Joao Guerreiro & Jonathon Hazell & Diego R. Känzig & Ed Manuel, 2026, "The Macroeconomic Effect of Stimulus Checks: Evidence from Postwar Veterans’ Payments," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 35786, Sep.
- Andrukovich, P., 2026, "N.D. Kondratiev's technological waves and GDP dynamics," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, volume 71, issue 2, pages 153-176, DOI: 10.31737/22212264_2026_2_153-176.
- Mark Setterfield & Christopher R. Herdelin, 2026, "Central bank activity, the Goodwin pattern, and secular decline in the wage share," Working Papers, New School for Social Research, Department of Economics, number 2608, Jul.
- Birendra Bahadur Budha, 2026, "An Anatomy of Nepal’s Credit Boom1990-2025," NRB Working Papers, Nepal Rastra Bank, Economic Research Department, number 64/2026, Jul.
- Birendra Bahadur Budha & Rohan Byanjankar & Swostik Nepal, 2026, "Macroeconomic Effects of Economic Policy Uncertainty: Evidence from Nepal," NRB Working Papers, Nepal Rastra Bank, Economic Research Department, number 65/2026, Aug.
- Sebastian Barnes & Eddie Casey & Fred Hanmer, 2026, "Assessing risks to fiscal policy: Calibrating stochastic debt sustainability analysis models," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 1871, Jul, DOI: 10.1787/546c0ea7-en.
- Takashi Miyahara & Laura Betschka, 2026, "Can the Sahm rule indicator signal recession in OECD countries?," OECD Statistics Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 2026/01, Mar, DOI: 10.1787/c15f9c28-en.
- Curcă Sorin-Nicolae, 2026, "On the Informational Entropy of Economic Shock," Revista OEconomica, Romanian Society for Economic Science, Revista OEconomica, issue 01-2.
- Rafal Warzala, 2026, "The Importance Of Services In Shaping The Volatility And Synchronization Of Regional Business Cycles: A Comparative Analysis Of The Polish And Portuguese Economies," OLSZTYN ECONOMIC JOURNAL, University of Warmia and Mazury in Olsztyn, Faculty of Economic Sciences, volume 21, issue 1, pages 5-26, March, DOI: https://doi.org/10.31648/oej.12313.
- Michael Pfarrhofer & Anna Stelzer, 2026, "Are there asymmetries in euro area monetary policy? (Michael Pfarrhofer, Anna Stelzer)," Working Papers, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), number 276, Mar.
- Régis Barnichon & Geert Mesters, 2026, "Policy evaluation with sufficient macro statistics: a primer," The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 29, issue 1, pages 27-68.
- Martin Boďa & Mariana Považanová & Michaela Tichá, 2026, "(A)synchronicity in Okun Coefficients Amongst 38 OECD Countries," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, volume 68, issue 2, pages 1-51, June, DOI: 10.1057/s41294-026-00286-4.
- Seungho Lee & Md Zahangir Alam, 2026, "Impact of monetary policy on bank liquidity creation: Economic policy uncertainty channel," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, volume 27, issue 3, pages 1-14, September, DOI: 10.1057/s41261-026-00340-2.
- Gabriel Rodriguez & Luis Mancilla Marquina, 2026, "Evaluating The Self-Defeating Fiscal Austerity Hypothesis for a Dollarized Economy: The Peruvian Case," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú, number 2026-555, DOI: 10.18800/2079-8474.0555.
- Justinas Markauskas & Morten O. Ravn & Jose-Victor Rios-Rull, 2026, "Sticky Prices and Constraints to Produce," PIER Working Paper Archive, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, number 26-007, 05.
- Michael Cauvel & Y.K. Kim, 2026, "Goodwin and Household Credit-Driven Cycles," Working Papers, Post Keynesian Economics Society (PKES), number PKWP2617, Jul.
- boughabi, houssam, 2026, "Distributive Conflict, Investment, and Persistent Unemployment: Evidence from a Kaleckian Long-Memory Model — The Case of Germany (1990–2024," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 127571, Jan.
- boughabi, houssam, 2026, "Distributive Conflict and Wage Formation in Germany: A Kaleckian Perspective on Nominal Wages and Demand (1990–2024)," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 127752, Jan.
- Kumar, Labesh, 2026, "The Output Gap: Method Choice, Data Revisions, and Policy Implications," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 127829, Jan.
- forbes, Kristin & Ha, JONGRIM & Kose, M. Ayhan, 2026, "Heaven or Earth? The Evolving Role of Global Shocks for Domestic Monetary Policy," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 127928, Jan.
- Dezhbakhsh, Hashem & Levy, Daniel, 2026, "Interpolation and Prewar-Postwar Output Volatility and Shock-Persistence Debate: A Closer Look and New Results," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 128031, Feb.
- boughabi, houssam, 2026, "Income Growth In Morocco: An Analysis of Income Growth Following an ARFIMA Model," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 128041, Feb.
- Maridueña-Larrea, Ángel & Martín-Román, Ángel L., 2026, "Cyclical asymmetries and spatial dependence in Okun’s Law: global evidence from 163 countries," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 128297.
- Kinel, Michal, 2026, "Robust Real-Time Macroeconomic Trend Extraction: A Gradient Boosting Approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 128473, Mar.
- Khan, Nicholas, 2026, "The Hidden Clock: A Physical Pacemaker for Juglar, Kuznets, and Kondratiev Cycles," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 128714, Mar.
- Im, Hyun-Nam, 2026, "Beyond Homo Economicus: Economic Fluctuations and Legalized Plunder in Vico’s Cyclical History," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 128737.
- Merino Troncoso, Carlos, 2026, "Oil Shocks, Trade Reallocation, and External Adjustment: The case of of a small open economy," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 128814, Apr.
- Chebbi, Ali, 2026, "Endogenous Technological Thresholds and Jobless Growth: A Schumpeterian Theory of Volatility Trap," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 128819, Apr.
- Leiashvily, Paata, 2026, "The Autopoietic Model of Economic Reproduction (AMER)," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 128833.
- Chebbi, Ali, 2026, "Asymptotic Theory and Regime-Varying Cointegration for Trend-Cycle Decomposition," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 128903, Apr.
- Luo, Yulei & Qu, Lijuan & Wang, Gaowang, 2026, "Optimal Monetary Policy under Rational Inattention and a Cost Channel," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 128958, Apr.
- Villines, Gregory, 2026, "The Industrial Curvature Index A Geometric Framework for Regional Recession Resilience and Adjustment Speed: Evidence from 3,115 U.S. Counties, 2001–2024," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 128975, May.
- Sekimonyo, Jo M. & Casimir, Tara, 2026, "The Distribution–Leverage Cycle: An Endogenous Theory of Macroeconomic Instability," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 129008.
- Lai, Yehong, 2026, "The Phase Locking Distance Index and Dual Breach Principle: A Multi-Dimensional Framework for Synchronized Crisis Risk and Policy Evaluation in Advanced Economies, with Detailed Application to Australia and Canada," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 129087, May.
- ZENAGUI, Sid Ahmed, 2026, "Advanced Monetary Theory and Policy: New Keynesian Economics, DSGE Models, and Central Banking," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 129218, May.
- Lee, Sunwoo, 2026, "The Upward-Sloping Path of Fiscal Multipliers and Humped-Persistent Tail Effect: Evidence from a Behavioral New Keynesian Model of South Korea," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 129219, Feb.
- Vyshnevskyi, Oleksandr, 2026, "Normality-crisis cycle in the General Economic Theory of Strategizing (GETS)," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 129275, May.
- Wabenga Yango, James, 2026, "Artificial Intelligence, Aging, and the Macroeconomy," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 129480, Jun.
- Leiashvily, Paata, 2026, "Эндогенная Природа Экономического Цикла: Операциональная Замкнутость, Рекурсивная Организация И Форвард-Модель Цикла Жюгляра
[Endogenous Nature of the Economic Cycle: Operational closure, recursive organization, and a forward model of the Juglar c," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 129569. - Halkos, George & Zisiadou, Argyro, 2026, "Petroleum paradox and the cost of dependence: How global oil conflicts fast-tracking nuclear and renewable transition," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 129631, Jun.
- YAHYA, Ould Amar, 2026, "Reversibility as a Factor of Production: A General Theory of the Economics of Error," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 130349, Aug.
- MEKA’A, Cosmas Bernard & MANGA ENGAMA, Etgard & NNAKANE, Jouvelle Marbella, 2026, "Dons, prêts et cycles budgétaires : une analyse comparative des stabilisateurs automatiques et de la discrétion en zone Franc
[Grants, Loans, and Fiscal Cycles: A Comparative Analysis of Automatic Stabilizers and Discretionary Policy in the Franc ," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 130698, Aug. - Claeys Peter, 2026, "Fiscal Discipline Under Scarring: Do Grand Spending Plans Lift Growth and Curb Debt?," The Economists' Voice, De Gruyter, volume 23, issue 1, pages 21-42, DOI: 10.1515/ev-2025-0040.
- Krause Willi & Costa Luís F. & Costa Filho João Ricardo, 2026, "The Covid-19 Recession in Germany: A Macro-Epidemiological Analysis," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, volume 27, issue 3, pages 231-281, DOI: 10.1515/ger-2024-0078.
- Zhang Pengqing & Pi Jiancai, 2026, "Environmental Tax and Macroeconomic Dynamics under Vertical Production Structure," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 30, issue 2, pages 233-250, DOI: 10.1515/snde-2024-0009.
- Lee, H., 2026, "Dancing on the Saddles: A Geometric Framework for Stochastic Equilibrium Dynamics," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 2604, Jan.
- Chadha, J. S. & Macchiarelli, C. & Goel, S. & Hantzsche, A. & Mellina, S., 2026, "Deciphering Delphic Guidance: The Bank of England and Geopolitical Uncertainty," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 2606, Feb.
- Elliott, M. & Jackson, M. O., 2026, "Supply Chain Disruptions, the Structure of Production Networks, and the Impact of Globalization," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 2625, Jan.
- Corrado, L. & Grassi, S. & Paolillo, A. & Ravazzolo, F., 2026, "Oil, Gas, Pandemics, and War: The Drivers of Inflation," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 2629, Apr.
- Carvalho, V. M. & Covarrubias, M. & Nuño, G., 2026, "Planning Against Disasters in Dynamic Production Networks," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 2650, Aug.
- Errico, Marco & Pesce, Simone & Pollio, Luigi, 2026, "Firm Heterogeneity and Aggregate Fluctuations," Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland, number 06/RT/26, Apr.
- Us-Salam, Danish & Jose, Anu & Kelly, Jane, 2026, "Caught in the Net: Patterns and Predictors of Fraud Incidence in Ireland," Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland, number 07/RT/26, Apr.
- Conefrey, Thomas & Lozej, Matija & O'Reilly, Gerard & Walsh, Graeme, 2026, "Delivering public investment efficiently: If possible, avoid delays," Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland, number 08/RT/26, Jun.
- Congressional Budget Office, 2026, "Key Methods That CBO Used to Estimate the Macroeconomic Effects of the 2025 Reconciliation Act: Working Paper 2026-01," Working Papers, Congressional Budget Office, number 61257, Feb.
- Kul B. Luintel & Jose L. Torres, 2026, "Securitization, Bank Regulation, and the Macroeconomy," Cardiff Economics Working Papers, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, number E2026/2, Mar.
- Timothy Besley & Peter John Lambert & Isabelle Michalski-Roland & John Van Reenen, 2026, "The equilibrium impact of credit frictions: evidence from default risk using firm-level data," CEP Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE, number dp2201, Jul.
- Anna Pestova & Alexander Popov, 2026, "Housing Bust and Long-Term Human Capital Scarring in the U.S," CERGE-EI Working Papers, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague, number wp817, Mar.
- Xiwen Bai & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Yiliang Li & Francesco Zanetti, 2026, "State Dependence of Monetary Policy During Global Supply Chain Disruptions," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12451.
- Vegard H. Larsen & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2026, "Using Transformers and Reinforcement Learning as Narrative Filters in Macroeconomics," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12454.
- Frederick van der Ploeg & Armon Rezai & Rick van der Ploeg, 2026, "Climate Change, Climate Policy, and the Macroeconomy," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12480.
- Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2026, "Immigration, Labor Shortages, and Labor Market Dynamics," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12546.
- Guillermo Verduzco-Bustos & Francesco Zanetti, 2026, "The Effects of Geopolitical Oil Price Shocks," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12606.
- Ralph Luetticke & Christopher Roth & Mirko Wiederholt & Johannes Wohlfart, 2026, "Macro Theory with Measured Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12715.
- Vasco M. Carvalho & Matias Covarrubias & Galo Nuño, 2026, "Planning Against Disasters in Dynamic Production Networks," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12796.
- Lovisa Reiche & Nicolò Maffei-Faccioli, 2026, "Divergent Perceptions, Divergent Pay: Inflation and the Gender Wage Gap," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12835.
- Stefano Carattini & Givi Melkadze & Inès Mourelon, 2026, "Preference Shocks and Policy Responses to Transition Risk," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12844.
- Lea Best & Sebastian Link & Manuel Menkhoff, 2026, "The Persistent Effects of Adverse Shocks to Investment," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12876.
- Nikolay Hristov & Dominik Menno, 2026, "Long-Run Inflation and Financial Panics," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12918.
- Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2026, "AI Intensity and Financial Market Responses to Economic Shocks: Evidence from US Industries," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 13000.
- Besley, Timothy & Lambert, Peter John & Michalski-Roland, Isabelle & Van Reenen, John, 2026, "The Equilibrium Impact of Credit Frictions: Evidence from Default Risk Using Firm-Level Data," CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE), number 818.
- Xiang Li & Steven Ongena, 2026, "Global Banks' Macroeconomic Expectations and Credit Supply," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series, Swiss Finance Institute, number 26-33, Apr.
- Kevin Moran & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2026, "Les finances publiques face aux aléas de la conjoncture macroéconomique," CIRANO Papers, CIRANO, number 2026pj-03, Feb.
- Rubén Domínguez-Díaz & Marta Domínguez-Jiménez & José-Elías Gallegos & Javier Quintana, 2026, "Tariffs as Taxes on Capital," Working Papers, CEMFI, number wp2026_2610, Jul.
- Tomas Sestorad & Jan Vlcek & Karel Musil, 2026, "Monetary Policy and the Output Gap in DSGE Models for Small Open Economies: Insights from the Czech Republic," Working Papers, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2026/03, Feb.
- Frantisek Masek, 2026, "Households' Inflation Expectations and Consumption in Macroeconomic Models: A Negative Real Income Channel," Working Papers, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2026/06, Mar.
- Francesco Zanetti & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu, 2026, "Immigration, Labor Shortages, and Labor Market Dynamics," CIGS Working Paper Series, The Canon Institute for Global Studies, number 26-004E, Mar.
- Francesco Zanetti & Guillermo Verduzco-Bustos, 2026, "The Effects of Geopolitical Oil Price Shocks," CIGS Working Paper Series, The Canon Institute for Global Studies, number 26-005E, Apr.
- Francesco Zanetti & Xiwen Bai & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Yiliang Li, 2026, "State Dependence of Monetary Policy During Global Supply Chain Disruptions," CIGS Working Paper Series, The Canon Institute for Global Studies, number 26-007E, May.
- Broadbent, Ben & Di Pace, Federico & Drechsel, Thomas & Harrison, Richard & Tenreyro, Silvana, 2026, "The Brexit Vote, Productivity Growth and Macroeconomic Adjustments in the United Kingdom," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21019, Jan.
- Martinez, Joseba & Ozturk, Fatih & Rabanal, Pau & Unsal, Filiz, 2026, "Collateral Scarcity and Bad Credit Booms," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21028, Jan.
- Forbes, Kristin & Ha, Jongrim & Kose, M. Ayhan, 2026, "Heaven or Earth? The Evolving Role of Global Shocks for Domestic Monetary Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21109, Feb.
- Gaudio, Francesco Saverio & Poilly, Céline, 2026, "The Variety-Effect Multiplier: On the transmission of uncertainty shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21112, Feb.
- Nirei, Makoto & Ragot, Xavier, 2026, "The Origins and Propagation of Animal Spirits Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21143, Feb.
- van der Ploeg, Frederick & Rezai, Armon, 2026, "Climate Change, Climate Policy, and the Macroeconomy," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21153, Feb.
- Lafrogne-Joussier, Raphael & Martin, Julien & Méjean, Isabelle, 2026, "State-Dependent Pass-Through with Heterogeneous Exposure to Common Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21156, Feb.
- Coyle, Philip & Maezono, Naoki & Nakata, Taisuke & Schmidt, Sebastian, 2026, "Deflationary Equilibrium with Uncertainty," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21159, Feb.
- Wolf, Martin & Zessner-Spitzenberg, Leopold, 2026, "Financial Dominance and Macroeconomic Expectations," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21161, Feb.
- Klemp, Marc, 2026, "When Sectoral Recovery Fails to Aggregate," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21172, Feb.
- Alves, Felipe & Violante, Giovanni L., 2026, "Inflation vs Inclusion: Stabilization Policy in the Wake of the Pandemic," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21188, Feb.
- Antonova, Anastasiia & Matvieiev, Mykhailo & Poilly, Céline, 2026, "Supply Shocks in the Fog: The Role of Endogenous Uncertainty," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21197, Feb.
- Bongers, Anelà & Canova, Fabio & Luintel, Kul & Torres, José Luis, 2026, "Remittances, Trade Deficit, and Output Dynamics in Nepal," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21204, Feb.
- Canova, Fabio & Fosso, Luca, 2026, "Low Frequency Movements and SVAR Analyses," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21205, Feb.
- Bajo, Igli & Bennhoff, Frederik & Ferrari, Alessandro, 2026, "Not-so-Cleansing-Recessions," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21208, Feb.
- Foroni, Claudia & Gelain, Paolo & Lorusso, Marco & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2026, "Severe Weather and Financial (In)stability," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21213, Feb.
- Gagliardone, Luca & Gertler, Mark & Lenzu, Simone & Tielens, Joris, 2026, "Micro and Macro Cost-Price Dynamics in Normal Times and during Inflation Surges," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21217, Feb.
- Jamilov, Rustam & Kohlhas, Alexandre & Talavera, Oleksandr & Zhang, Mao, 2026, "Granular Sentiments," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21238, Mar.
- Lenzu, Simone, 2026, "Artificial Intelligence and Monetary Policy: A Framework and Perspective on Cyclical Transmission, Structural Transition, and Financial Stability," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21248, Mar.
- Das, Shuvam & Furceri, Davide & Peralta-Alva, Adrian & Patel, Nikhil, 2026, "AI Meets Fiscal Policy: Mapping Government Spending Actions Across 62 Countries," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21272, Mar.
- Caballero, Ricardo & Simsek, Alp, 2026, "Financial Conditions Targeting in a Multi-Asset Open Economy," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21290, Mar.
- Mandelman, Federico & Yu, Yang & Zanetti, Francesco, 2026, "Immigration, Labor Shortages, and Labor Market Dynamics," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21301, Mar.
- Consolo, Agostino & Foroni, Claudia & Hjelm, Linnéa, 2026, "The Labour Market in the Euro Area: And yet, it Moves!," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21306, Mar.
- Brianti, Marco & Forni, Mario & Gambetti, Luca & Granese, Antonio, 2026, "Nonlinear Business-Cycle Anatomy," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21333, Mar.
- Verduzco-Bustos, Guillermo & Zanetti, Francesco, 2026, "The Effects of Geopolitical Oil Price Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21378, Apr.
- Ascari, Guido & Colciago, Andrea & Membretti, Marco, 2026, "The Employment Concentration Channel of Monetary Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21391, Apr.
- Bondarenko, Yevheniia & Kang, Nayeon & Lewis, Vivien & Rottner, Matthias & Schüler, Yves, 2026, "Geopolitical Risk in the Euro Area: Measurement and Transmission," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21409, Apr.
- Fornaro, Luca & Wolf, Martin, 2026, "Macroeconomic Policies for AI," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21412, Apr.
- Adam, Klaus & Weber, Henning, 2026, "Monetary Policy and Supply-Side Turnover," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21422, Apr.
- Gambetti, Luca & Petrella, Ivan & Pollastri, Alessandro & Santoro, Emiliano, 2026, "The Anatomy of Emerging-Market Business Cycles: Global Financial Shocks and Supply-Like Transmission," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21536, May.
- Luetticke, Ralph & Roth, Christopher & Wiederholt, Mirko & Wohlfart, Johannes, 2026, "Macro Theory with Measured Expectations," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21554, May.
- Basco, Sergi & Panon, Ludovic & Sette, Enrico, 2026, "The Superstar Buyer Penalty during Financial Crises: Evidence from Firm-to-Firm Trade Data," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21608, Jun.
- Ahmed, Shaghil & Akinci, Ozge & Queralto, Albert, 2026, "U.S. Monetary Spillovers to Emerging Markets: Both Policy Drivers and Vulnerabilities Matter," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21633, Jun.
- Kilian, Lutz & Plante, Michael D. & Richter, Alexander W., 2026, "How Times Have Changed: The Impact of the 2026 Iran War on the U.S. Economy," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21650, Jun.
- Collard, Fabrice & Feve, Patrick & Wangner, Philipp, 2026, "The Power of Persistence: How Demand Shocks and Monetary Policy Shape Macroeconomic Outcomes," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21694, Jul.
- Carvalho, Vasco & Covarrubias, Matias & Nuño, Galo, 2026, "Planning Against Disasters in Dynamic Production Networks," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21721, Jul.
- Gazzani, Andrea & Martinez, Joseba & Natoli, Filippo & Surico, Paolo, 2026, "Where Do Technology Shocks Come From? Public Funding and Private Ownership," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21745, Jul.
- Dibiasi, Andreas & Perego, Erica & Poilly, Céline, 2026, "Fiscal Multipliers during Natural Disasters," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21750, Jul.
- Carattini, Stefano & Melkadze, Givi & Mourelon, Inès, 2026, "Preference Shocks and Policy Responses to Transition Risk," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21772, Jul.
- Besley, Tim & Lambert, Peter John & Roland, Isabelle & Van Reenen, John, 2026, "The Equilibrium Impact of Credit Frictions: Evidence from Default Risk Using Firm-Level Data," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21791, Jul.
- Schüler, Yves & Arndt, Sarah & Bondarenko, Yevheniia & Lewis, Vivien & Rottner, Matthias, 2026, "Coherent shocks: External identification and internal validation with an application to geopolitical risk," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21794, Jul.
- Favero, Carlo A. & Melone, Alessandro & Myers, Sean & Tamoni, Andrea, 2026, "Consumption Anchors Stock Prices," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21911, Sep.
- David, Joel & Giacomini, Raffaella & Jiao, Xiyu & Wang, Weining, 2026, "Causal State-Dependent Local Projections," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21934, Sep.
- Ha, Jongrim & Kim, Dohan & Kose, M. Ayhan & Warnock, Francis, 2026, "Expectations-Based Capital Inflow Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21937, Sep.
- Guerreiro, Joao & Hazell, Jonathon & Känzig, Diego & Manuel, Edward, 2026, "The Macroeconomic Effect of Stimulus Checks: Evidence from Postwar Veterans’ Payments," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21941, Sep.
- Känzig, Diego & Konradt, Maximilian & Wang, Lixing & Zhang, Donghai, 2026, "Innovation, Business Cycles, and the Climate Transition," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21955, Sep.
- Commault, Jeanne & Martin-Baillon, Alaïs, 2026, "Firms’ Marginal Propensities to Invest," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21962, Sep.
- Titan Alon & Matthias Doepke & Jane Olmstead-Rumsey & James Symons-Hicks & Michèle Tertilt, 2026, "This Time It’s Different: The Role of Women’s Employment in Recessions," RFBerlin Discussion Paper Series, ROCKWOOL Foundation Berlin (RFBerlin), number 26203, Jul.
- Joan Hortalà Arau, 2026, "Crisis financieras en perspectiva histórica: de la tulipomanía a la burbuja del Mississippi," Revista de Economía y Finanzas (REyF), Asociación Cuadernos de Economía, volume 4, issue 10, pages 41-49, Enero.
- Wentao Fu & Antoine Le Riche & Antoine Parent & Mary-Francoise Renard, 2026, "A Dynamic Model of Chinese Economic Gradualism via Marketisation," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, volume 27, issue 1, pages 223-242, May.
- Esteves, Rui & Kenny, Seán & Lennard, Jason, 2026, "The Aftermath of Sovereign Debt Crises: A Narrative Approach," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, volume 86, issue 1, pages 218-257, March.
- Moench, Emanuel & Stein, Tobias, 2026, "Equity Premium Predictability over the Business Cycle," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, volume 61, issue 3, pages 1216-1246, May.
- Milani, Fabio, 2026, "Monetary policy, heterogeneous expectations, and the return of high inflation," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, volume 30, issue , pages 1-15, January.
- Joel P. Flynn & George Nikolakoudis & Karthik A. Sastry, 2026, "Pricing and Production Without the Invisible Hand," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, number 2501, Feb.
- Ana Fostel & John Geanakoplos & Gregory Phelan, 2026, "Capital Flows and the Global Collateral Cycle," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, number 2521, Apr.
- Johan Fourie & Helanya Fourie, 2026, "Beyond GDP: Towards a real-time barometer of economic activity," Research Notes, Bureau for Economic Research Impumelelo Growth Lab, number 202601, Feb.
- Goodhart, Charles & Peiris, M. Udara & Tsomocos, Dimitrios & Wang, Xuan, 2026, "HKC05 - Household Portfolios, Corporate Leverage, and the Supply Side of Monetary Policy," Oberlin College Kasper Economics and Business Working Papers Series, Oberlin College, Department of Economics, number 2602, Jun.
- Konstantin A. Kholodilin & Sebastian Kohl, 2026, "The Era of Ever-Larger Dwellings in Germany Is Coming to an End," DIW Weekly Report, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, volume 16, issue 1/2, pages 3-14.
- Geraldine Dany-Knedlik & Guido Baldi & Nina Maria Brehl & Angelina Hackmann & Konstantin A. Kholodilin & Laura Pagenhardt & Jan-Christopher Scherer & Teresa Schildmann & Hannah Magdalena Seidl & Ruben, 2026, "German Economy on the Upswing - Global Economy Continues to Grow Moderately," DIW Weekly Report, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, volume 16, issue 11, pages 91-110.
- Geraldine Dany-Knedlik & Guido Baldi & Nina Maria Brehl & Angelina Hackmann & Konstantin A. Kholodilin & Laura Pagenhardt & Jan-Christopher Scherer & Teresa Schildmann & Hannah Magdalena Seidl & Ruben, 2026, "Energy Price Shock Slows German Economy - Global Growth Remains Moderate," DIW Weekly Report, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, volume 16, issue 24, pages 187-200.
- Geraldine Dany-Knedlik & Alexander Kriwoluzky & Jo-Ya Kung & Ruben Staffa, 2026, "Government Consumption Stabilizes the Economy in the Short Run; Tax Cuts Have a Stronger albeit Delayed Effect," DIW Weekly Report, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, volume 16, issue 29, pages 221-226.
- Gökhan Ider & Malte Rieth, 2026, "European Monetary Union Alters the Impact of National Fiscal Policy: Government Spending Is More Effective than Tax Cuts," DIW Weekly Report, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, volume 16, issue 33, pages 253-261.
- Geraldine Dany-Knedlik & Nina Maria Brehl & Angelina Hackmann & Pia Hüttl & Konstantin A. Kholodilin & Laura Pagenhardt & Jan-Christopher Scherer & Teresa Schildmann & Hannah Magdalena Seidl & Ruben S, 2026, "German Economy Grows, but Not on Its Own Strength - Global Economy Stays on Course," DIW Weekly Report, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, volume 16, issue 36/37/38, pages 273-292.
- Christian Danne & Martin Gornig & Laura Pagenhardt, 2026, "Construction Industry Returns to Growth," DIW Weekly Report, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, volume 16, issue 5/6, pages 41-52.
- Gleb Barabanov & Evgeny Goryunov & Pavel Trunin, 2026, "Inflation is slowing: But sustainability of this trend is in doubt," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 11, pages 1-3, May.
- Gleb Barabanov & Evgeny Goryunov & Pavel Trunin, 2026, "Inflation is slowing: But sustainability of this trend is in doubt," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 11, pages 1-3, May.
- Ángel Maridueña-Larrea & Ángel Martín-Román, 2026, "Cyclical Asymmetries and Spatial Dependence in Okun’s Law: Global Evidence from 163 Countries," Economies, MDPI, volume 14, issue 7, pages 1-33, July.
- Yohann Berthelin & Lise Clain-Chamosset-Yvrard, 2026, "Greening the Credit Constraint: Optimal Loan-to-Value Rules under Pollution Externalities," Working Papers, Groupe d'Analyse et de Théorie Economique Lyon St-Etienne (GATE Lyon St-Etienne), Université de Lyon, number 2608.
- Junior Maih & Nigar Hashimzade & Oleg Kirsanov & Tatiana Kirsanova, 2026, "Markov-Switching DSGE Modeling in RISE," Working Papers, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow, number 2026_01, Jan.
- Alejandro Rojas-Bernal, 2026, "Inequality and Misallocation under Production Networks," Working Papers, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics, number 202601, Jan.
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- Chiaki Hara & Sujoy Mukerji & Frank Riedel & Jean-Marc Tallon, 2026, "Sharing Model Uncertainty," Post-Print, HAL, number halshs-05365826, May, DOI: 10.1257/mic.20240188.
- Mikael Carlsson & Alex Clymo & Knut-Eric Joslin, 2026, "Dispersion Over the Business Cycle: Passthrough, Productivity, and Demand," Post-Print, HAL, number halshs-05667129, DOI: 10.1093/ej/ueag014.
- Ngoc-Sang Pham, 2026, "The relationship between general equilibrium models with infinitely-lived agents and overlapping generations models, and some applications," Post-Print, HAL, number halshs-05675386, Jun, DOI: 10.1016/j.mathsocsci.2026.102553.
- Chiaki Hara & Sujoy Mukerji & Frank Riedel & Jean-Marc Tallon, 2026, "Sharing Model Uncertainty," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint), HAL, number halshs-05365826, May, DOI: 10.1257/mic.20240188.
- Mikael Carlsson & Alex Clymo & Knut-Eric Joslin, 2026, "Dispersion Over the Business Cycle: Passthrough, Productivity, and Demand," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint), HAL, number halshs-05667129, DOI: 10.1093/ej/ueag014.
- Jérôme Creel & Serena Ionta & Guido Traficante, 2026, "Fiscal policies are not all alike: composition effects, regime switching and uncertainty," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main), HAL, number hal-05459696, Jan.
- Jérôme Creel & Serena Ionta & Guido Traficante, 2026, "Fiscal policies are not all alike: composition effects, regime switching and uncertainty," Working Papers, HAL, number hal-05459696, Jan.
- Hashem Dezhbakhsh & Daniel Levy, 2026, "Interpolation and Prewar-Postwar Output Volatility and Shock-Persistence Debate: A Closer Look and New Results," Working Papers, HAL, number hal-05506159, Feb, DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.11054.16963.
- Patrick Fève & Alban Moura & Olivier Pierrard, 2026, "Predetermined Interest Rates in a Analytical RBC model," Working Papers, HAL, number hal-05528454, Feb.
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- Santhosh Venugopal, 2026, "When household debt outpaces employment: The Debt-Employment Divergence indicator
[Quand la dette des ménages dépasse la dynamique de l’emploi : l’indicateur de divergence dette-emploi]," Working Papers, HAL, number hal-05661343, Jun. - Nicolas Himounet & Francisco Serranito & Julien Vauday, 2026, "When Does Uncertainty Become Expansionary? The Role of Composition and State Dependence," Working Papers, HAL, number hal-05692363.
- Almgren, Pelle, 2026, "Text-Based Identification of Monetary Policy Shocks," Working Papers, Lund University, Department of Economics, number 2026:10, Sep.
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- Lenza, Michele & Pagano Giorgianni, Giuseppe & Rossi, Lorenza & Savoia, Ettore, 2026, "The Role of Firm Heterogeneity for the Transmission of Aggregate Shocks," Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden), number 465, Apr.
- Bauer, Michael & Czarnota, Alexander & Klein, Mathias, 2026, "Prices and Monetary Policy: The Role of Financial Constraints," Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden), number 468, Aug.
- Breitenlechner, Max & Geiger, Martin & Klein, Mathias, 2026, "The Fiscal Channel of Monetary Policy," Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden), number 469, Aug.
- FUJITA, Shumpei & IIBOSHI, Hirokuni & SHINTANI, Mototsugu, 2026, "Macroeconomic Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy in Japan : Analysis Using Narrative Sign Restrictions," Discussion paper series, Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University, number HIAS-E-156, Jan.
- Karlo Kotarac & Davor Kunovac & Ozana Nadoveza, 2026, "The Regional Effects of Monetary Policy in the Euro Area: Does One Size Fit All or None?," Working Papers, The Croatian National Bank, Croatia, number 76, Jul.
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- Andrian, Leandro Gaston & Galindo, Arturo & Sánchez, Gustavo & Valencia, Oscar, 2026, "Natural Disasters and Fiscal Procyclicality," IDB Publications (Working Papers), Inter-American Development Bank, number 14609, Jun, DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0014055.
- Berniell, Inés & Gasparini, Leonardo & Marchionni, Mariana & Ramírez-Leira, Lucía, 2026, "Are the Vulnerable Non-Poor Different? Heterogeneous Responses to Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Latin America," IDB Publications (Working Papers), Inter-American Development Bank, number 14708, Aug, DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0014473.
- Bruno Albuquerque & Martin Iseringhausen & Frederic Opitz, 2026, "The Housing Supply Channel of Monetary Policy," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 22, issue 2, pages 443-523, April.
- Andrew B. Martinez & Alexander D. Schibuola & David Beckworth, 2026, "The Reliability of the Nominal GDP Expectations Gap," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 22, issue 2, pages 525-557, April.
- Marta Suárez-Varela & Daniel Santabárbara, 2026, "Carbon Pricing and Inflation Volatility," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 22, issue 3, pages 1-48, July.
- Wataru Hagio & Daisuke Ikeda & Koji Takahashi & Keisuke Yoshida, 2026, "Mind the Gap When Exiting Low-for-Long," IMES Discussion Paper Series, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, number 26-E-02, Feb.
- Andres Fernandez & Alejandro Vicondoa, 2026, "Capital Flows to Emerging Markets: Disentangling Quantities from Prices," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 2026/060, Mar.
- Artur Tarassow & Thomas Theobald & Carolin Martin, 2026, "Drivers of housing construction: A European comparison," IMK Working Paper, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute, number 229-2026.
- Ashima Goyal & Vipasha Pandey, 2026, "Refining natural interest rate estimation for India," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India, number 2026-010, May.
- Samson Edo & Eseosa Joy Sowemimo, 2026, "Currency depreciation and inflationary pressure vis-Ã -vis monetary intervention: perspectives on growth and policy implications," Public Sector Economics, Institute of Public Finance, volume 50, issue 1, pages 141-158, DOI: 10.3326/pse.50.1.7.
- Frane Banic & Guzmán González-Torres, 2026, "Different strokes for different folks: untangling supply and demand shocks using survey-data to assess sectoral inflationary pressures in Croatia," Public Sector Economics, Institute of Public Finance, volume 50, issue 1, pages 5-37, DOI: 10.3326/pse.50.1.2.
- João Tovar Jalles, 2026, "From Revolution to Divergence: Structural Reforms and the Persistence of Portugal’s Post-1974 Growth Gap," Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa, number 2026/0414, Apr.
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