Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E3: Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
/ / / E32: Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:

1. Estimated DSGE Models
2. Dynamic Factor Models
3. Real Business Cycle Theory
4. Labor in RBC models
5. International RBC

2020

• Daniela Bragoli & Flavia Cortelezzi & Giovanni Marseguerra & Massimiliano Rigon, 2020, "Innovative investments, financial imperfections, and the Italian business cycle," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, volume 72, issue 2, pages 412-434.
• Roger E A Farmer, 2020, "The importance of beliefs in shaping macroeconomic outcomes," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, volume 36, issue 3, pages 675-711.
• Francesco Caselli & Miklós Koren & Milan Lisicky & Silvana Tenreyro, 2020, "Diversification Through Trade," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, volume 135, issue 1, pages 449-502.
• Saki Bigio & Jennifer La’O, 2020, "Distortions in Production Networks," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, volume 135, issue 4, pages 2187-2253.
• Regis Barnichon & Geert Mesters, 2020, "Identifying Modern Macro Equations with Old Shocks," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, volume 135, issue 4, pages 2255-2298.
• James Cloyne & Clodomiro Ferreira & Paolo Surico, 2020, "Monetary Policy when Households have Debt: New Evidence on the Transmission Mechanism," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, volume 87, issue 1, pages 102-129.
• David Berger & Ian Dew-Becker & Stefano Giglio, 2020, "Uncertainty Shocks as Second-Moment News Shocks," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, volume 87, issue 1, pages 40-76.
• Tobias Broer & Niels-Jakob Harbo Hansen & Per Krusell & Erik Öberg, 2020, "The New Keynesian Transmission Mechanism: A Heterogeneous-Agent Perspective," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, volume 87, issue 1, pages 77-101.
• Mark Gertler & Christopher Huckfeldt & Antonella Trigari, 2020, "Unemployment Fluctuations, Match Quality, and the Wage Cyclicality of New Hires," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, volume 87, issue 4, pages 1876-1914.
• Markus Brunnermeier & Simon Rother & Isabel Schnabel & Itay Goldstein, 2020, "Asset Price Bubbles and Systemic Risk," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, volume 33, issue 9, pages 4272-4317.
• Francesco Zanetti & Carlo Pizzinelli & Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2020, "State Dependence in Labor Market Fluctuations," Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics, number 902, Feb.
• Francesco Zanetti & Masashige Hamano, 2020, "Monetary Policy, Firm Heterogeneity, and Product Variety," Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics, number 917, Sep.
• Yusuf Mercan & Benjamin Schoefer & Petr SedlÃ¡Ä ek, 2020, "A Congestion Theory of Unemployment Fluctuations," Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics, number 927, Dec.
• Mishel Ghassibe & Francesco Zanetti, 2021, "State Dependence of Fiscal Multipliers: The Source of Fluctuations Matters," Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics, number 930, Jan.
• Jesús Rodríguez-López & Mario Solís-García, 2020, "On the Magnitude of the Expenditure Multiplier," Working Papers, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Economics, number 20.05, Oct.
• Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Silvia Delrio & Richard Kima, 2020, "Financial Uncertainty and Real Activity: The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno", number 0255, Jun.
• Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Richard Kima, 2020, "The global effects of Covid-19-induced uncertainty," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno", number 0256, Jun.
• Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Gabriela Nodari, 2020, "Uncertainty and monetary policy in good and bad times: A replication of the VAR investigation by Bloom (2009)," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno", number 0261, Aug.
• Giovanni Pellegrino & Efrem Castelnuovo & Giovanni Caggiano, 2020, "Uncertainty and Monetary Policy During Extreme Events," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno", number 0262, Aug.
• Constantinos Alexiou & Anshul Tyagi, 2020, "Gauging the effectiveness of sector rotation strategies: evidence from the USA and Europe," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, volume 21, issue 3, pages 239-260, May, DOI: 10.1057/s41260-020-00161-6.
• Milan Deskar-Škrbić & Davor Kunovac, 2020, "Twentieth Anniversary of the Euro: Why are Some Countries Still Not Willing to Join? Economists’ View," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, volume 62, issue 2, pages 242-262, June, DOI: 10.1057/s41294-020-00115-2.
• Pablo D’Erasmo & Hernán Moscoso Boedo & María Pía Olivero & Máximo Sangiácomo, 2020, "Relationship Networks in Banking Around a Sovereign Default and Currency Crisis," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, volume 68, issue 3, pages 584-642, September, DOI: 10.1057/s41308-020-00114-4.
• Shuonan Zhang, 2020, "State-owned enterprises and entrusted lending: A DSGE analysis for growth and business cycles in China," Working Papers in Economics & Finance, University of Portsmouth, Portsmouth Business School, Economics and Finance Subject Group, number 2020-01, Jan.
• Ana Arencibia Pareja & Ana Gomez-Loscos & Mercedes de Luis López & Gabriel Perez-Quiros, 2020, "A Short Term Forecasting Model for the Spanish GDP and itsDemand Components," Revista Economía, Fondo Editorial - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú, volume 43, issue 85, pages 1-30.
• Jefferson Martínez & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2020, "Macroeconomic Effects of Loan Supply Shocks: Empirical Evidence for Peru," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú, number 2020-483, DOI: 10.18800/2079-8474.0483.
• Waldo Mendoza Bellido, 2020, "La dinámica de la inversión privada. El modelo del acelerador flexible en una economía abierta," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú, number 2020-490, DOI: 10.18800/2079-8474.0490.
• Francis X. Diebold, 2020, "Real-Time Real Economic Activity:Exiting the Great Recession and Entering the Pandemic Recession," PIER Working Paper Archive, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, number 20-023, Jun.
• Sekyu Choi & Jose-Victor Rios-Rull, 2020, "Labor Share and Productivity Dynamics," PIER Working Paper Archive, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, number 20-031, Aug.
• Arif, Imtiaz & Rawat, Amna Sohail & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2020, "Impact of US Economic Policy Uncertainty on Geopolitical Risk. Evidence from BRIC Economies," Public Finance Quarterly, Corvinus University of Budapest, volume 65, issue 4, pages 485-496, DOI: https://doi.org/10.35551/PFQ_2020_4.
• Lilit Popoyan, 2020, "Macroprudential Policy: a Blessing or a Curse?," Review of Economics and Institutions, Università di Perugia, volume 11, issue 1-2.
• Bisharat Hussain Chang & Suresh Kumar Oad Rajput & Pervez Ahmed & Zafar Hayat, 2020, "Does Gold Act as a Hedge or a Safe Haven? Evidence from Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, volume 59, issue 1, pages 69-80.
• Daniele Tavani & Luca Zamparelli, 2020, "Labor-augmenting technical change and the labor share: New microeconomic foundations," Working Papers, Post Keynesian Economics Society (PKES), number PKWP2004, Feb.
• Santiago J. Gahn, 2020, "Is there a decreasing trend in capacity utilisation in the US economy? Some new evidence," Working Papers, Post Keynesian Economics Society (PKES), number PKWP2006, Feb.
• Filippo Gusella & Engelbert Stockhammer, 2020, "Testing fundamentalist-momentum trader financial cycles. An empirical analysis via the Kalman filter," Working Papers, Post Keynesian Economics Society (PKES), number PKWP2009, Mar.
• Konstantinos Loizos, 2020, "The interbank market, Keynes’s degree of confidence and the link between banks’ liquidity and solvency," Working Papers, Post Keynesian Economics Society (PKES), number PKWP2017, Aug.
• Michalis Nikiforos, 2020, "Induced shifting involvements and cycles of growth and distribution," Working Papers, Post Keynesian Economics Society (PKES), number PKWP2021, Nov.
• NANA DAVIES, Charles, 2020, "Land Collateral and Rule-of-Thumb Households in a Franc Zone Country: A Bayesian Appraisal," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 100000, Apr.
• PINSHI, Christian P., 2020, "Uncertainty, monetary policy and COVID-19," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 100147.
• Brinca, Pedro & Costa-Filho, João & Loria, Francesca, 2020, "Business Cycle Accounting: what have we learned so far?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 100180, May.
• De Koning, Kees, 2020, "Tessa: A new economic tool; A Temporary Equity Spend and Save Again system," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 100182, May.
• PINSHI, Christian P., 2020, "COVID-19 uncertainty and monetary policy," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 100184, May.
• Lopez Buenache, German & Borsi, Mihály Tamás & Rosa-García, Alfonso, 2020, "Credit cycles and labor market slacks: predictive evidence from Markov-switching models," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 100362, May.
• Trabelsi, Mohamed Ali & Ahmed, Salah, 2020, "Chocs externes, Institutions démocratiques et Résilience économique
  [External shocks, democratic institutions and economic resilience]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 100382.
• Popov, Vladimir, 2020, "How to Deal with a Coronavirus Economic Recession?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 100485, May.
• Aliaga, Augusto, 2020, "Reglas de política monetaria para una economía abierta con fricciones financieras: Un enfoque Bayesiano
  [Monetary policy rules for an open economy with financial frictions: A Bayesian approach]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 100604, Aug.
• Parui, Pintu, 2020, "A Simple Macro-model of Covid-19 with Special Reference to India," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 100724, May.
• Ohdoi, Ryoji, 2020, "Trade, Growth, and the International Transmission of Financial Shocks," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 100756, May.
• De Koning, Kees, 2020, "The unique benefits of a Tessa system: the U.S. case," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 100813, May.
• Pinshi, Christian P., 2020, "Monetary policy, uncertainty and COVID-19," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 100836, Jun, revised 27 May 2020.
• Walerych, Małgorzata & Wesołowski, Grzegorz, 2020, "When the Fed sneezes, the whole world catches the cold, when the ECB - only Europe," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 100899, Jun.
• Tong, Bing & Yang, Guang, 2020, "Interest Rate Pegging, Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy in China," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 100930, May.
• Neifar, Malika, 2020, "Long run comparison analysis and Short run Stability sensitivity: Empirical Evidence from Tunisian Banks," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 101029, Jun.
• Bakker, Bas & Ghazanchyan, Manuk & Ho, Alex & Nanda, Vibha, 2020, "The Lack of Convergence of Latin-America Compared with CESEE: Is Low Investment to Blame?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 101287, Jun.
• Chen, Nan-Kuang & Cheng, Han-Liang, 2020, "A Study of Financial Cycles and the Macroeconomy in Taiwan," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 101296, Jun.
• Parui, Pintu, 2020, "The Macroeconomic Effects of Financialization and the Wage Gap between Blue and White Collar Workers," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 101412, Jun.
• MALATA, Alain K. & PINSHI, Christian P., 2020, "Fading the effects of coronavirus with monetary policy," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 101526, May, revised Jun 2020.
• Bahl, Ojasvita & Ghate, Chetan & Mallick, Debdulal, 2020, "Redistributive Policy Shocks and Monetary Policy with Heterogeneous Agents," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 101651, Jul.
• Ohdoi, Ryoji, 2020, "Financial Shocks to Banks, R&D Investment, and Recessions," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 101993, Jul.
• Ozili, Peterson K, 2020, "Financial inclusion and business cycles," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 102054.
• Gorbanev, Mikhail, 2020, "Shifting Pattern of Extraordinary Economic and Social Events in Relation to the Solar Cycle," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 102163, Jul.
• Jemio Hurtado, Valeria, 2020, "Monetary rules in an open economy with distortionary subsidies and inefficient shocks: A DSGE approach for Bolivia," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 102374, Jul, revised 14 Jul 2020.
• Okpara, Godwin Chigozie, 2020, "News on Stock Market Returns and Conditional Volatility in Nigeria: An EGARCH-in-Mean Approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 102381, Aug, revised 12 Aug 2020.
• Tut, Daniel, 2020, "FinTech and the COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence from Electronic Payment Systems," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 102401, Jul.
• García-Albán, Freddy & Gonzalez-Astudillo, Manuel & Vera-Albán, Cristhian, 2020, "Good Luck or Good Policy? An Analysis of the Effects of Oil Revenue and Fiscal Policy Shocks: The Case of Ecuador," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 102592, Aug.
• Avellán, Guillermo & González-Astudillo, Manuel & Salcedo, Juan José, 2020, "A Streamlined Procedure to Construct a Macroeconomic Uncertainty Index with an Application to the Ecuadorian Economy," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 102593, Aug.
• Matsue, Toyoki, 2020, "The impact of short-term employment contracts on employment volatility and economic fluctuations," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 102731, Sep.
• Parui, Pintu, 2020, "Fiscal Expansion, Government Debt and Economic Growth: A Post-Keynesian Perspective," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 102740, Sep.
• Parui, Pintu, 2020, "Corporate Debt, Rentiers' Portfolio Dynamics, Instability and Growth: A neo-Kaleckian Perspective," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 102870, Sep.
• Jean-Bernard, Chatelain & Kirsten, Ralf, 2020, "How Macroeconomists Lost Control of Stabilization Policy: Towards Dark Ages," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 103244, Sep.
• Benos, Nikos & Stavrakoudis, Athanassios, 2020, "Okun's Law: Copula-based Evidence from G7 Countries," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 103318.
• Lautenbacher, Stefan, 2020, "Subjective Uncertainty, Expectations, and Firm Behavior," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 103516, Oct.
• De Koning, Kees, 2020, "U.K.’s economic variables over the last decade in the context of the current corona crisis," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 103763, Oct.
• Soh, Ann-Ni, 2020, "A Review on the Leading Indicator Approach towards Economic Forecasting," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 103854, Oct.
• Nguyen, Duc Khuong & Topaloglou, Nikolas & Walther, Thomas, 2020, "Asset Classes and Portfolio Diversification: Evidence from a Stochastic Spanning Approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 103870, Oct.
• Uchida, Hirofumi, 2020, "Natural selection: A review of studies on firms’ exit and efficiency," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 103938, Mar.
• Martín-Román, Ángel L., 2020, "Beyond the added-worker and the discouraged-worker effects: the entitled-worker effect," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 103973, Nov.
• Yadav, Jayant, 2020, "Flight to Safety in Business cycles," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 104093, Oct.
• Verikios, George, 2020, "The dynamic effects of infectious disease outbreaks: the case of pandemic influenza and human coronavirus," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 104434, Jun.
• Arigoni, Filippo & Breznikar, Miha & Lenarčič, Črt & Maletič, Matjaž, 2020, "Impact of fiscal measures in response to the COVID-19 pandemic on small-open economies: lessons from Slovenia," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 104474, Dec.
• Mansur, Alfan, 2020, "Shocks and Frictions in US Business Cycle: A Bayesian DSGE Approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 104546, Oct, revised 24 Oct 2020.
• Oladunni, Sunday, 2020, "Oil Price Shocks and Macroeconomic Dynamics in an Oil-Exporting Emerging Economy: A New Keynesian DSGE Approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 104551, Mar, revised 12 Jun 2020.
• Olkhov, Victor, 2020, "Business Cycles as Collective Risk Fluctuations," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 104598, Dec.
• Chuluunbayar, Delgerjargal, 2020, "Asymmetric transmission and effects of resource shocks: Case of Mongolia," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 104641, Oct.
• Vazquez, Francisco, 2020, "Credit Reversals," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 104869, Dec.
• Ozatay, Fatih, 2020, "Paving the Way for an Economic Crisis with High Leverage and Currency Mismatches: 2018-19 Crisis in Turkey," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 104951, Dec.
• Ciccarone, Giuseppe & Giuli, Francesco & Marchetti, Enrico & Tancioni, Massimiliano, 2020, "Leaning against the bubble. Can theoretical models match the empirical evidence?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 105004, Dec.
• Omotosho, Babatunde S., 2020, "Oil price shocks, fuel subsidies and macroeconomic (in)stability in Nigeria," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 105464.
• Lomonosov, Daniil & Polbin, Andrey & Fokin, Nikita, 2020, "Влияние Шоков Мировой Деловой Активности, Предложения Нефти И Спекулятивных Нефтяных Шоков На Экономику Рф
  [The impact of global economic activity, oil supply and speculative oil shocks on the Russian economy]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 106019, Feb.
• Känzig, Diego Raoul, 2020, "The macroeconomic effects of oil supply news: Evidence from OPEC announcements," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 106249, Nov.
• PINSHI, Christian P. & MALATA, Alain, 2020, "Canal d’incertitude de la COVID-19 : Quelles stratégies et tactiques pour la politique monétaire ?
  [COVID-19 Uncertainty Channel: What Strategies and Tactics for Monetary Policy?]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 109313, Sep.
• Saha, Mallika & Dutta, Kumar Debasis & Islam, MD. Shafiqul, 2020, "Explaining the nature of economic volatility based on GDP and international trade: a study on China and the United States," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 111482.
• Harashima, Taiji, 2020, "A Theory of the Credit-to-GDP Gap: Using Credit Gaps to Predict Financial Crises," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 111732, Feb.
• Diagne, Youssoupha Sakrya & Thiam, Dame, 2020, "La résilience de l'économie sénégalaise : Quelles politiques publiques en réponses aux chocs exogènes?
  [Resillience of the senegalese economy; What policy responses to exogenous shocks?]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 114018, Mar.
• Desogus, Marco & Casu, Elisa, 2020, "What Are the Impacts of Credit Crunch on the Bank-Enterprise System? An Analysis Through Dynamic Modeling and an Italian Dataset," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 114349.
• Siagne, Youssouha Sakrya, 2020, "Improving business environment: a key to unlock investment: evidence from manufacturing firms in Senegal," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 115085.
• Ngomba Bodi, Francis Ghislain, 2020, "Réflexions sur la crise actuelle de l’économie camerounaise liée au COVID-19
  [Thoughts about the costs of the current crisis in the Cameroonian economy linked to COVID-19]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 116377, Sep.
• Waheed, Irtiza Imran, 2020, "Phillips Curve in Pakistan: A Graphical and Empirical Analysis," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 119097.
• Enders Almira & Groll Dominik & Stähler Nikolai, 2020, "Parity funding of health care contributions in Germany: A DSGE perspective," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, volume 21, issue 2, pages 217-233, June, DOI: 10.1515/ger-108-18.
• Grudev Lachezar, 2020, "Walter Eucken’s Concept of Economic Order and Business Cycle Analysis," ORDO. Jahrbuch für die Ordnung von Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft, De Gruyter, volume 71, issue 1, pages 17-46, April, DOI: 10.1515/ordo-2021-0007.
• Lovcha Yuliya & Perez-Laborda Alejandro, 2020, "Trimmed Whittle estimation of the SVAR vs. filtering low-frequency fluctuations: applications to technology shocks," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 24, issue 1, pages 1-18, February, DOI: 10.1515/snde-2018-0030.
• Dorofeenko Victor & Lee Gabriel & Salyer Kevin & Strobel Johannes, 2020, "Risk shocks with time-varying higher moments," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 24, issue 2, pages 1-20, April, DOI: 10.1515/snde-2018-0028.
• Chiarella Carl & Di Guilmi Corrado & Zhi Tianhao, 2020, "“Animal spirits” and bank’s lending behaviour, a disequilibrium approach," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 24, issue 2, pages 1-21, April, DOI: 10.1515/snde-2016-0095.
• Fisher Lance A. & Huh Hyeon-seung, 2020, "Combining sign and parametric restrictions in SVARs by utilising Givens rotations," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 24, issue 3, pages 1-19, June, DOI: 10.1515/snde-2018-0104.
• Fisher Lance A. & Huh Hyeon-seung, 2020, "Combining sign and parametric restrictions in SVARs by utilising Givens rotations," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 24, issue 3, pages 1-19, June, DOI: 10.1515/snde-2018-0104.
• Jackson Laura E. & Kliesen Kevin L. & Owyang Michael T., 2020, "The nonlinear effects of uncertainty shocks," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 24, issue 4, pages 1-19, September, DOI: 10.1515/snde-2019-0024.
• Pierdzioch Christian & Gupta Rangan, 2020, "Uncertainty and Forecasts of U.S. Recessions," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 24, issue 4, pages 1-20, September, DOI: 10.1515/snde-2018-0083.
• Ahmed Haydory Akbar, 2020, "Dynamics between the budget deficit and the government debt in the United States: a nonlinear analysis," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 25, issue 3, pages 93-109, June, DOI: 10.1515/snde-2018-0087.
• Lake, A., 2020, "Behavioural Finance at Home: Testing Deviations of House Prices from their Fundamental Values," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 20104, Nov.
• Den Haan, W. & Freund, L. B. & Rendahl, P., 2020, "Volatile Hiring: Uncertainty in Search and Matching Models," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 20125, Dec.
• Freund, L. B & Rendahl, P., 2020, "Unexpected Effects: Uncertainty, Unemployment, and Inflation," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 2035, May.
• Cantore, C. & Freund, L. B., 2020, "Workers, Capitalists, and the Government: Fiscal Policy and Income (Re)Distribution," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 2095, Oct.
• Hashmat Khan & Louis Phaneuf & Jean-Gardy Victor, 2020, "A Tale of Two Major Postwar Business Cycle Episodes," Carleton Economic Papers, Carleton University, Department of Economics, number 20-03, Apr, revised 20 Apr 2020.
• Joshua Brault & Hashmat Khan & Louis Phaneuf & Jean-Gardy Victor, 2020, "Is Unconventional Monetary Policy Stabilizing? Evidence From the Great Recession and Recovery Years," Carleton Economic Papers, Carleton University, Department of Economics, number 20-11, Jul.
• Emter, Lorenz, 2020, "Leverage Cycles, Growth Shocks, and Sudden Stops in Capital Inflows," Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland, number 06/RT/20, Jul.
• O'Brien, Martin & Velasco, Sofia, 2020, "Unobserved components models with stochastic volatility for extracting trends and cycles in credit," Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland, number 09/RT/20, Dec.
• Lydon, Reamonn & Simmons, Michael, 2020, "The ins and outs of the gender unemployment gap in the OECD," Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland, number 10/RT/20, Dec.
• Berry A. Harahap & Pakasa Bary & Anggita Cinditya M. Kusuma, 2020, "The Determinants of Indonesia’s Business Cycle," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, volume 9, issue special i, pages 215-235.
• Zulquar Nain & Bandi Kamaiah, 2020, "Uncertainty and Effectiveness of Monetary Policy: A Bayesian Markov Switching-VAR Analysis," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, volume 9, issue special i, pages 237-265.
• John Seliski & Aaron Betz & Yiqun Gloria Chen & U. Devrim Demirel, 2020, "Key Methods That CBO Used to Estimate the Effects of Pandemic-Related Legislation on Output: Working Paper 2020-07," Working Papers, Congressional Budget Office, number 56612, Oct.
• John Ballingall & Enrico Dorigo & James Hogan & Kirdan Lees, 2020, "A News-Based Approach to Monitoring Trade Policy Uncertainty in a Small Open Economy: The Case of New Zealand," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 20/09, May.
• Sanjay R. Singh & Nicolas Caramp, 2020, "Bond Premium Cyclicality and Liquidity Traps," Working Papers, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics, number 336, Jan.
• Minford, Patrick & Gai, Yue & Meenagh, David, 2020, "North and South: A Regional Model of the UK," Cardiff Economics Working Papers, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, number E2020/14, Nov.
• Gupta, Rangan & Ma, Jun & Theodoridis, Konstantinos & Wohar, Mark E, 2020, "Is there a National Housing Market Bubble Brewing in the United States?," Cardiff Economics Working Papers, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, number E2020/3, Apr.
• Minford, Patrick & Gai, Yue & Ou, Zhirong, 2020, "Is housing collateral important to the business cycle? Evidence from China," Cardiff Economics Working Papers, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, number E2020/6, May.
• Steve Ambler & Jeremy Kronick, 2020, "Predicting Financial Crises: The Search for the Most Telling Red Flag in the Economy," C.D. Howe Institute Commentary, C.D. Howe Institute, issue 564, February.
• Scott A. Brave & Jose A. Lopez & Jeremy Kronick, 2020, "Calibrating Macroprudential Policies for the Canadian Mortgage Market," C.D. Howe Institute Commentary, C.D. Howe Institute, issue 570, April.
• Bartik, Alexander & Bertrand, Marianne & Lin, Feng & Rothstein, Jesse & Unrath, Matthew, 2020, "Measuring the labor market at the onset of the COVID-19 crisis," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley, number qt15k6d98m, Aug.
• Auerbach, Alan J & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Murphy, Daniel, 2020, "Effects of Fiscal Policy on Credit Markets," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley, number qt1qj0m1fb, May.
• Auerbach, Alan J & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Murphy, Daniel, 2021, "Inequality, fiscal policy and COVID19 restrictions in a demand-determined economy," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley, number qt5tt3b7k1, Aug.
• Marco Paulo Vianna Franco & Leonardo Costa Ribeiro & Eduardo da Motta e Albuquerque, 2020, "Jean-Baptiste Fourier at the Moscow Conjuncture Institute: Harmonic Analysis of Business Cycles," Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG, Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, number 621, Apr.
• Mauro Sayar Ferreira & André Cordeiro Valério, 2020, "Global shocks and emerging economies: disentangling the commodity roller coaster," Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG, Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, number 623, Jun.
• Emilio Ocampo, 2020, "La Revolución Keynesiana en Perspectiva. Contexto Histórico y Precursores," CEMA Working Papers: Serie Documentos de Trabajo., Universidad del CEMA, number 738, Jul.
• Vladimir Smirnyagin, 2020, "Compositional Nature of Firm Growth and Aggregate Fluctuations," Working Papers, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau, number 20-09, Mar.
• Kevin L. McKinney & John M. Abowd & John Sabelhaus, 2020, "United States Earnings Dynamics: Inequality, Mobility, and Volatility," Working Papers, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau, number 20-29, Sep.
• Timothy Besley & Isabelle Roland & John Van Reenen, 2020, "The aggregate consequences of default risk: evidence from firm-level data," CEP Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE, number dp1672, Jan.
• Ross Levine & Yona Rubinstein, 2020, "Selection into entrepreneurship and self-employment," CEP Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE, number dp1722, Oct.
• Bruno Coric & Blanka Peric Skrabic, 2020, "Income Tax Evasion: Recovery from Economic Disasters," CERGE-EI Working Papers, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague, number wp676, Nov.
• Adrien Auclert & Matthew Rognlie & Ludwig Straub, 2020, "Micro Jumps, Macro Humps: Monetary Policy and Business Cycles in an Estimated HANK Model," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8051.
• Markus Heinrich & Magnus Reif, 2020, "Real-Time Forecasting Using Mixed-Frequency VARS with Time-Varying Parameters," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8054.
• Benjamin Born & Gernot Müller & Johannes Pfeifer & Susanne Wellmann, 2020, "Different No More: Country Spreads in Advanced and Emerging Economies," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8083.
• Christian Bayer & Benjamin Born & Ralph Luetticke, 2020, "Shocks, Frictions, and Inequality in US Business Cycles," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8085.
• Eiji Goto & Constantin Bürgi, 2020, "Sectoral Okun's Law and Cross-Country Cyclical Differences," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8101.
• Alexandros Botsis & Christoph Görtz & Plutarchos Sakellaris, 2020, "Quantifying Qualitative Survey Data: New Insights on the (Ir)Rationality of Firms' Forecasts," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8148.
• Jonas Dovern & Lena Sophia Müller & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2020, "How Do Firms Form Expectations of Aggregate Growth? New Evidence from a Large-Scale Business Survey," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8179.
• Atif Mian & Ludwig Straub & Amir Sufi, 2020, "Indebted Demand," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8210.
• Hassan Afrouzi, 2020, "Strategic Inattention, Inflation Dynamics, and the Non-Neutrality of Money," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8218.
• Francisco Ilabaca & Fabio Milani, 2020, "Heterogeneous Expectations, Indeterminacy, and Postwar US Business Cycles," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8224.
• Lydia Cox & Gernot Müller & Ernesto Pasten & Raphael S. Schoenle & Michael Weber & Michael Weber, 2020, "Big G," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8229.
• Juan Carlos Parra-Alvarez & Hamza Polattimur & Olaf Posch, 2020, "Risk Matters: Breaking Certainty Equivalence," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8250.
• Franziska Hampf & Marc Piopiunik & Simon Wiederhold, 2020, "The Effects of Graduating from High School in a Recession: College Investments, Skill Formation, and Labor-Market Outcomes," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8252.
• Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Richard Kima, 2020, "The Global Effects of Covid-19-Induced Uncertainty," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8280.
• Ali Kabiri & Harold James & John Landon-Lane & David Tuckett & Rickard Nyman, 2020, "The Role of Sentiment in the Economy: 1920 to 1934," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8336.
• Stephen J. Cole & Fabio Milani, 2020, "Heterogeneity in Individual Expectations, Sentiment, and Constant-Gain Learning," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8343.
• Nicola Fuchs-Schündeln & Moritz Kuhn & Michèle Tertilt, 2020, "The Short-Run Macro Implications of School and Child-Care Closures," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8368.
• Christian Bayer & Benjamin Born & Ralph Luetticke, 2020, "The Liquidity Channel of Fiscal Policy," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8374.
• Almut Balleer & Sebastian Link & Manuel Menkhoff & Peter Zorn, 2020, "Demand or Supply? Price Adjustment during the Covid-19 Pandemic," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8394.
• Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Silvia Delrio & Richard Kima, 2020, "Financial Uncertainty and Real Activity: The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8426.
• Lukas Buchheim & Carla Krolage & Sebastian Link, 2020, "Sudden Stop: When Did Firms Anticipate the Potential Consequences of Covid-19?," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8429.
• Peter Zorn, 2020, "Investment under Rational Inattention: Evidence from US Sectoral Data," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8436.
• Francesco Busato & Bruno Chiarini & Gianluigi Cisco & Maria Ferrara & Elisabetta Marzano, 2020, "Lockdown Policies: A Macrodynamic Perspective for Covid-19," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8465.
• Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Samuel Hurtado & Galo Nuño, 2020, "Financial Frictions and the Wealth Distribution," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8482.
• Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Gabriela Nodari, 2020, "Uncertainty and Monetary Policy in Good and Bad Times: A Replication of the VAR Investigation by Bloom (2009)," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8497.
• Pratiti Chatterjee & Fabio Milani, 2020, "Perceived Uncertainty Shocks, Excess Optimism-Pessimism, and Learning in the Business Cycle," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8608.
• Christopher Roth & Sonja Settele & Johannes Wohlfart, 2020, "Risk Exposure and Acquisition of Macroeconomic Information," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8634.
• Roel Beetsma & George Kopits, 2020, "Designing a Permanent EU-Wide Stabilization Facility," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8735.
• Leo Kaas, 2020, "Block-Recursive Equilibria in Heterogenous-Agent Models," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8737.
• Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel, 2020, "Increasing Business Uncertainty and Credit Conditions in Times of Low and High Uncertainty: Evidence from Firm-Level Survey Data," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8791.
• Axelle Arquié & Jérôme Héricourt & Fabien Tripier, 2020, "Covid-19: Has the Time Come for Mainstream Macroeconomics to Rehabilitate Money Printing?," EconPol Policy Brief, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 28.
• Magnus Reif, 2020, "Macroeconomics, Nonlinearities, and the Business Cycle," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 87, April.
• Stefan Sauer & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2020, "ifo Handbuch der Konjunkturumfragen," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 88, April.
• Franziska Bernadette Hampf, 2020, "Education, Skills & Labor-Market Success: Microeconometric Analyses Using Large-Scale Skills Assessments," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 89, April.
• Timothy Hills & Taisuke Nakata & Takeki Sunakawa, 2020, "A Promised Value Approach to Optimal Monetary Policy," CARF F-Series, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo, number CARF-F-481, May.
• Taisuke Nakata & Takeki Sunakawa, 2020, "Credible Forward Guidance," CARF F-Series, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo, number CARF-F-484, May.
• Uluc Aysun & Melanie Guldi & Adam Honig & Zeynep Yom, 2020, "R&D, Market Power and the Cyclicality of Employment," Working Papers, University of Central Florida, Department of Economics, number 2020-01, Aug.
• Uluc Aysun & Sami Alpanda, 2020, "Regulatory Arbitrage and Economic Stability," Working Papers, University of Central Florida, Department of Economics, number 2020-02, Aug.
• Christian Bayer & Benjamin Born & Ralph Luetticke, 2020, "Shocks, Frictions, and Inequality in US Business Cycles," Discussion Papers, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), number 2003, Jan.
• Luis Araujo & Bernardo Guimaraes & Diego Rodrigues, 2020, "Financial constraints and collateral crises," Discussion Papers, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), number 2007, Feb.
• Wouter Den Haan & Lukas Freund & Pontus Rendahl, 2020, "Volatile Hiring: Uncertainty in Search and Matching Models," Discussion Papers, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), number 2011, Apr.
• Nikolaos Kokonas & Paulo Santos Monteiro, 2020, "The Ins and Outs of Unemployment in General Equilibrium," Discussion Papers, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), number 2014, May.
• Jenny Chan, 2020, "Monetary Policy and Sentiment-Driven Fluctuations," Discussion Papers, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), number 2020, Jul.
• Andrew C. Eggers & Martin Ellison & Sang Seok Lee, 2020, "The Economic Impact of Recession Announcements," Discussion Papers, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), number 2025, Nov.
• Patrick J. Kehoe & Pierlauro Lopez & Virgiliu Midrigan & Elena Pastorino, 2020, "Credit Frictions in the Great Recession," Discussion Papers, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), number 2031, Dec.
• Maryam Akmal & Sanjeev Gupta & João Tovar Jalles, 2020, "Tax Revenue Reforms and Income Distribution in Developing Countries," Policy Papers, Center for Global Development, number 175b, Jun.
• Sanjeev Gupta & João Tovar Jalles, 2020, "On the Political Economy Determinants of Tax Reforms: Evidence from Developing Countries," Policy Papers, Center for Global Development, number 199, Dec.
• GalÌ, Jordi & van Rens, Thijs, 2020, "The Vanishing Procyclicality of Labour Productivity," CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE), number 477.
• Simon Gilchrist & Egon Zakrajšek, 2020, "Trade Exposure and the Evolution of Inflation Dynamics," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, Central Bank of Chile, chapter 6, in: Gonzalo Castex & Jordi Galí & Diego Saravia, "Changing Inflation Dynamics,Evolving Monetary Policy".
• Òscar Jordà & Fernanda Nechio, 2020, "Inflation Globally," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, Central Bank of Chile, chapter 8, in: Gonzalo Castex & Jordi Galí & Diego Saravia, "Changing Inflation Dynamics,Evolving Monetary Policy".
• Saki Bigio & Eduardo Zilberman, 2020, "Speculation-Driven Business Cycles," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile, number 865, Jan.
• Gee Hee Hong & Matthew Klepacz & Ernesto Pasten & Raphael Schoenle, 2020, "The Real Effects of Monetary Shocks: Evidence from Micro Pricing Moments," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile, number 875, Apr.
• Lydia Cox & Gernot Muller & Ernesto Pasten & Raphael Schoenle & Michael Weber, 2020, "Big G," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile, number 878, May.
• Eric Jondeau & Benoît Mojon & Jean-Guillaume Sahuc, 2020, "A New Indicator of Bank Funding Cost," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series, Swiss Finance Institute, number 20-20, Apr.
• Carlos Poza & Manuel Monge, 2020, "A real time leading economic indicator based on text mining for the Spanish economy. Fractional cointegration VAR and Continuous Wavelet Transform analysis," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 163, pages 163-175.
• Stéphane Zouri, 2020, "Business cycles, bilateral trade and financial integration: Evidence from Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS)," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 163, pages 25-43.
• Axelle Arquié & Jérôme Héricourt & Fabien Tripier, 2020, "Covid-19: Has the Time Come for Mainstream Macroeconomics to Rehabilitate Money Printing?," CEPII Policy Brief, CEPII research center, number 2020-31, Apr.
• Raquel Fonseca & Simon Lord & Simon C. Parker, 2020, "Self-Employment at Older Ages in Canada," CIRANO Working Papers, CIRANO, number 2020s-11, Feb.
• Kevin Moran & Dalibor Stevanovic & Adam Abdel Kader Touré, 2020, "Macroeconomic Uncertainty and the COVID-19 Pandemic: Measure and Impacts on the Canadian Economy," CIRANO Working Papers, CIRANO, number 2020s-47, Sep.
• Patrick Baylis & Pierre-Loup Beauregard & Marie Connolly & Nicole Fortin & David A. Green & Pablo Gutiérrez-Cubillos & Samuel Gyetvay & Catherine Haeck & Tímea L. Molnár & Gäelle Simard-Duplain & Henr, 2020, "The Distribution of COVID-19 Related Risks," CIRANO Working Papers, CIRANO, number 2020s-50, Sep.
• Nezih Guner & Yuliya Kulikova & Arnau Valladares-Esteban, 2020, "Does the Added Worker Effect Matter?," Working Papers, CEMFI, number wp2020_2001, Jan.