Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E3: Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
/ / / E32: Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:

1. Estimated DSGE Models
2. Dynamic Factor Models
3. Real Business Cycle Theory
4. Labor in RBC models
5. International RBC

2021

• Jagjit S. Chadha, 2021, "The Role of Macroprudential Policy in Times of Trouble," Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department, number w202103.
• Nikolay Iskrev, 2021, "Spectral decomposition of the information about latent variables in dynamic macroeconomic models," Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department, number w202105.
• José R. Maria & Paulo Júlio & Sílvia Santos, 2021, "Risk shocks, due loans, and policy options: When less is more!," Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department, number w202108.
• Piergiorgio Alessandri & Haroon Mumtaz, 2021, "The Macroeconomic Cost of Climate Volatility," Working Papers, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance, number 928, Jul.
• Matteo Ciccarelli & Fulvia Marotta, 2021, "Demand or Supply? An empirical exploration of the effects of climate change on the macroeconomy," Working Papers, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance, number 933, Dec.
• David G. Blanchflower & Alex Bryson, 2021, "The Consequences of Chronic Pain in Mid-Life: Evidence from the National Child Development Survey," DoQSS Working Papers, Quantitative Social Science - UCL Social Research Institute, University College London, number 21-28, Sep.
• David G. Blanchflower & Alex Bryson, 2021, "The Sahm Rule and Predicting the Great Recession Across OECD Countries," DoQSS Working Papers, Quantitative Social Science - UCL Social Research Institute, University College London, number 21-29, Sep.
• Hernan Bejarano & Pedro Hancevic & Hector M. Nunez, 2021, "Impacto economico del COVID-19 en negocios pequenos y medianos bajo restricciones voluntarias e impuestas," EconoQuantum, Revista de Economia y Finanzas, Universidad de Guadalajara, Centro Universitario de Ciencias Economico Administrativas, Departamento de Metodos Cuantitativos y Maestria en Economia., volume 18, issue 2, pages 23-56, Julio-Dic.
• Luke Hartigan & Michelle Wright, 2021, "Financial Conditions and Downside Risk to Economic Activity in Australia," RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia, number rdp2021-03, Mar, DOI: 10.47688/rdp2021-03.
• Perez, Fernando, 2021, "Trend-Cycle Decomposition of GDP: A Flexible Filter," Working Papers, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, number 2021-008, Dec.
• Morán, Marthín & Nivín, Rafael & Quintana, Derry, 2021, "Financial Stress and macroeconomic fluctuations in Peru," Working Papers, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, number 2022-002, Dec.
• Andrew Clark & Alexander Mihailov & Michael Zargham, 2021, "Complex Systems Modeling of Community Inclusion Currencies," Economics Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of Reading, number em-dp2021-06, Jan.
• Daniel Schaefer & Carl Singleton, 2021, "The Extent of Downward Nominal Wage Rigidity: New Evidence from Payroll Data," Economics Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of Reading, number em-dp2021-22, Nov, revised 01 Dec 2022.
• Paul Luk & Tianxiao Zheng, 2021, "Online Appendix to "Dynamics of Secured and Unsecured Debt Over the Business Cycle"," Online Appendices, Review of Economic Dynamics, number 19-289.
• Nadav Ben Zeev & Tomer Ifergane, 2021, "Online Appendix to "Firing Restrictions and Economic Resilience: Protect and Survive?"," Online Appendices, Review of Economic Dynamics, number 19-438.
• Jakob Grazzini & Domenico Massaro, 2021, "Online Appendix to "Great Volatility, Great Moderation and Great Moderation Again"," Online Appendices, Review of Economic Dynamics, number 19-98.
• Joao Ayres & Gajendran Raveendranathan, 2021, "Online Appendix to "Firm Entry and Exit during Recessions"," Online Appendices, Review of Economic Dynamics, number 20-136.
• John Cochrane, 2021, "Online Appendix to "A fiscal theory of monetary policy with partially repaid long-term debt"," Online Appendices, Review of Economic Dynamics, number 20-44.
• Hie Joo Ahn & James Hamilton, 2021, "Online Appendix to "Measuring Labor-Force Participation and the Incidence and Duration of Unemployment"," Online Appendices, Review of Economic Dynamics, number 20-490.
• Qingyuan Du & Stefano Eusepi & Bruce Preston, 2021, "Online Appendix to "Non-Rational Beliefs in an Open Economy"," Online Appendices, Review of Economic Dynamics, number 20-56.
• Martin Harding & Mathias Klein, 2021, "Code and data files for "Monetary policy and household net worth"," Computer Codes, Review of Economic Dynamics, number 18-271, revised .
• Paul Luk & Tianxiao Zheng, 2021, "Code and data files for "Dynamics of Secured and Unsecured Debt Over the Business Cycle"," Computer Codes, Review of Economic Dynamics, number 19-289, revised .
• Nadav Ben Zeev & Tomer Ifergane, 2021, "Code and data files for "Firing Restrictions and Economic Resilience: Protect and Survive?"," Computer Codes, Review of Economic Dynamics, number 19-438, revised .
• W. Similan Rujiwattanapong, 2021, "Code and data files for "Unemployment Insurance and Labour Productivity over the Business Cycle"," Computer Codes, Review of Economic Dynamics, number 19-66, revised .
• Jakob Grazzini & Domenico Massaro, 2021, "Code and data files for "Great Volatility, Great Moderation and Great Moderation Again"," Computer Codes, Review of Economic Dynamics, number 19-98, revised .
• Joao Ayres & Gajendran Raveendranathan, 2021, "Code and data files for "Firm Entry and Exit during Recessions"," Computer Codes, Review of Economic Dynamics, number 20-136, revised .
• Marcin Kolasa, 2021, "Code and data files for "Equilibrium foreign currency mortgages"," Computer Codes, Review of Economic Dynamics, number 20-233, revised .
• Jianjun Miao & Pengfei Wang & Jing Zhou, 2021, "Code and data files for "Asset Bubbles and Foreign Interest Rate Shocks"," Computer Codes, Review of Economic Dynamics, number 20-278, revised .
• John Cochrane, 2021, "Code and data files for "A fiscal theory of monetary policy with partially repaid long-term debt"," Computer Codes, Review of Economic Dynamics, number 20-44, revised .
• Hie Joo Ahn & James Hamilton, 2021, "Code and data files for "Measuring Labor-Force Participation and the Incidence and Duration of Unemployment"," Computer Codes, Review of Economic Dynamics, number 20-490, revised .
• Qingyuan Du & Stefano Eusepi & Bruce Preston, 2021, "Code and data files for "Non-Rational Beliefs in an Open Economy"," Computer Codes, Review of Economic Dynamics, number 20-56, revised .
• Lars Ljungqvist & Thomas Sargent, 2021, "Code and data files for "The fundamental surplus strikes again"," Computer Codes, Review of Economic Dynamics, number 21-119, revised .
• Tyler Atkinson & Michael Plante & Alexander Richter & Nathaniel Throckmorton, 2021, "Code and data files for "Complementarity and Macroeconomic Uncertainty"," Computer Codes, Review of Economic Dynamics, number 21-53, revised .
• Hsiao-Hui Lee & S. Alex Yang & Yuxuan Zhang & Kijin Kim, 2021, "Credit Chain and Sectoral Comovement: A Multi-Region Investigation," ADB Economics Working Paper Series, Asian Development Bank, number 640, Oct.
• Marco Brianti, 2021, "Financial Shocks, Uncertainty Shocks, and Monetary Policy Trade-Offs," Working Papers, University of Alberta, Department of Economics, number 2021-05, Aug.
• Malik Shukayev & Alexander Ueberfeldt, 2021, "Are Bank Bailouts Welfare Improving?," Working Papers, University of Alberta, Department of Economics, number 2021-10, Nov.
• Puneet Vatsa, 2021, "Have Business Cycles Become More Synchronous After NAFTA?," American Business Review, Pompea College of Business, University of New Haven, volume 24, issue 1, pages 54-66.
• Aya Achour & Aleš Bulíř & Omar Chafik & Adam Remo, 2021, "The Morocco Policy Analysis Model: Theoretical Framework and Policy Scenarios," Document de travail, Bank Al-Maghrib, Département de la Recherche, number 2021-1, Apr.
• Yassine Slaoui, 2021, "Cycles Réel et Financier au Maroc : Une Analyse par les Wavelets," Document de travail, Bank Al-Maghrib, Département de la Recherche, number 2021-2, Dec.
• André Kurmann & Etienne Lalé & Lien Ta, 2021, "The Impact of COVID-19 on Small Business Dynamics and Employment: Real-time Estimates With Homebase Data," School of Economics Working Paper Series, LeBow College of Business, Drexel University, number 2021-15, Jul.
• Gover Barja, 2021, "Graphing And Measuring COVID’s First Wave Impact On The Bolivian Economy," Documentos de trabajo, Instituto de Investigaciones Socio-Económicas (IISEC), Universidad Católica Boliviana, number 4/2021, Jun.
• Shepherd Dhliwayo, 2021, "The Relationship Between Period Operating And Growth Aspects In Small Businesses," International Journal of Entrepreneurship, Allied Business Academies, volume 25, issue 3.
• Miguel Ángel Mendoza-González, 2021, "Apertura comercial, choques productivos y externalidades con ciclos espacio-tiempo en el crecimiento económico por entidad federativa en México, 1980-2018," INVESTIGACIONES REGIONALES - Journal of REGIONAL RESEARCH, Asociación Española de Ciencia Regional, issue 50, pages 105-124.
• Duyong Kang & Seong-hwan Min & Sung Keun Park, 2021, "The Korean Economy One Year After the COVID-19 Outbreak," i-KIET Issues and Analysis, Korea Institute for Industrial Economics and Trade, number 21/8, May.
• Geonwoo Lee, 2021, "The Decline of Korean Industrial Vitality as Shown by the Structural Change Index," i-KIET Issues and Analysis, Korea Institute for Industrial Economics and Trade, number 21/10, May.
• Duyong Kang & Seong-hwan Min, 2021, "The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Korea’s Regional Economies," i-KIET Issues and Analysis, Korea Institute for Industrial Economics and Trade, number 21/13, Jun.
• Eunsun Gil, 2021, "Characteristics of Employment in the Manufacturing Industry and a Review of Job Creating Subsectors," i-KIET Issues and Analysis, Korea Institute for Industrial Economics and Trade, number 21/15, Jul.
• Hyeon Ju, 2021, "New Year's Prospects for the Korean Economy (2023)," i-KIET Issues and Analysis, Korea Institute for Industrial Economics and Trade, number 23/1, Jan.
• Parvaneh kamali Dehkordi, 2021, "Analysis of the Effect of Currency Shock, Economic Sanctions and Oil Prices on the Housing Market (Using Structural Vector-Autoregressive SVAR)," Quarterly Journal of Applied Theories of Economics, Faculty of Economics, Management and Business, University of Tabriz, volume 7, issue 4, pages 27-56.
• Najmeh Keshtkaran & Davood Behboudi & Hossein Panahi, 2021, "The Asymmetric Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on the Residential Market of Iran:A DSGE Approach," Quarterly Journal of Applied Theories of Economics, Faculty of Economics, Management and Business, University of Tabriz, volume 7, issue 4, pages 195-218.
• Solmaz Sadeghpour & Hassan Heidari & Seyyed Jamaleddin Mohseni Zenozi, 2021, "Study the effect of the monetary and financial shocks in the real sector of Iran's economy with considering of gharz-al -hasanah deposits in the context of a DSGE model," Quarterly Journal of Applied Theories of Economics, Faculty of Economics, Management and Business, University of Tabriz, volume 8, issue 1, pages 89-114.
• Bruno de Paula Rocha & Mariangela Christie da Silva, 2021, "Desenvolvimento Financeiro Suaviza o Efeito de Choques em Economias Locais?," Revista Brasileira de Estudos Regionais e Urbanos, Associação Brasileira de Estudos Regionais e Urbanos (ABER), volume 15, issue 3, pages 468-488.
• Mauricio Mora Barrenechea, 2021, "Una revisión a la Curva de Phillips en Bolivia," Revista Latinoamericana de Desarrollo Economico, Carrera de Economía de la Universidad Católica Boliviana (UCB), issue 35, pages 159-185.
• Gover Barja, 2021, "Graphing and Measuring COVID-19’s First Wave Impact on the Bolivian Economy: Facing the Unknown," Revista Latinoamericana de Desarrollo Economico, Carrera de Economía de la Universidad Católica Boliviana (UCB), issue 36, pages 7-42.
• Lefteris Tsoulfidis, 2021, "Capital Theory Debates: New Developments and Direction," Centro Sraffa Working Papers, Centro di Ricerche e Documentazione 'Piero Sraffa', number CSWP51, Sep.
• Vladimir MIHAJLOVIĆ & Aleksandra FEDAJEV, 2021, "Okun’s Law (A)Symmetry in SEE Countries: Evidence from Nonlinear ARDL Model," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 0, issue 3, pages 140-157, June.
• Iancu, Aurel & Olteanu, Dan Constantin, 2021, "Politici fiscale prociclice si anticiclice, in tarile membre UE non-euro," Studii Economice, Institutul National de Cercetari Economice (INCE), number 211130, Nov.
• Josué Diwambuena & Raquel Fonseca & Stefan Schubert, 2021, "Italian Labour Frictions and Wage Rigidities in an Estimated DSGE," Cahiers de recherche / Working Papers, Chaire de recherche sur les enjeux économiques intergénérationnels / Research Chair in Intergenerational Economics, number 2105.
• Jasmien De Winne & Gert Peersman, 2021, "The Adverse Consequences Of Global Harvest And Weather Disruptions On Economic Activity," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, number 21/1012, Mar.
• Nicola Viegi & Tumisang Loate-Ntsoko, 2021, "The transmission of monetary policy via the banks’ balance sheet – does bank size matter?," ERSA Working Paper Series, Economic Research Southern Africa, number 849, Jan.
• Johan Fourie & Jonathan Jayes, 2021, "Health inequality and the 1918 Influenza in South Africa," ERSA Working Paper Series, Economic Research Southern Africa, number 852, Feb.
• Christian K. Tipoy & Malibongwe C. Nyati & Paul F. Muzindutsi, 2021, "Measuring and testing a modified version of the South African financial cycle," ERSA Working Paper Series, Economic Research Southern Africa, number 869, Oct.
• Tumisang Loate & Nicola Viegi, , "The transmission of monetary policy via the banks' balance sheet - does bank size matter?," ERSA Working Paper Series, Economic Research Southern Africa, number v::y:2021:i::id:77.
• Sampriti Das & Amiya Sarma, 2021, "Growth Behaviour of India’s Export of Services, 1975–2018," Foreign Trade Review, , volume 56, issue 3, pages 301-321, August, DOI: 10.1177/0015732520982187.
• Kiranpreet Kaur, 2021, "The Early Impact of COVID-19 on Textile Industry: An Empirical Analysis," Management and Labour Studies, XLRI Jamshedpur, School of Business Management & Human Resources, volume 46, issue 3, pages 235-247, August, DOI: 10.1177/0258042X21991018.
• Mustafa Ozan Yıldırım & Mehmet Ä°vrendi, 2021, "Turkish Housing Market Dynamics: An Estimated DSGE Model," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, volume 15, issue 2, pages 238-267, May, DOI: 10.1177/0973801021990396.
• Claudio Alberto Castelo Branco Puty, 2021, "A Note on Relative Prices and Income Distribution over the US Business Cycle: 1857–2009," Review of Radical Political Economics, Union for Radical Political Economics, volume 53, issue 2, pages 337-354, June, DOI: 10.1177/0486613420962862.
• Guilherme Klein Martins & Fernando Rugitsky, 2021, "The Long Expansion and the Profit Squeeze: Output and Profit Cycles in Brazil (1996–2016)," Review of Radical Political Economics, Union for Radical Political Economics, volume 53, issue 3, pages 373-397, September, DOI: 10.1177/0486613420982083.
• Pierpaolo Benigno & Paolo Canofari & Giovanni Di Bartolomeo & Marcello Messori, 2021, "The ECB's Asset Purchase Programme: Theory, effects, and risks," Working Papers in Public Economics, Department of Economics and Law, Sapienza University of Rome, number 201, Oct.
• Pierpaolo Benigno & Paolo Canofari & Giovanni Di Bartolomeo & Marcello Messori, 2021, "Uncertainty and the Pandemic Shocks," Working Papers in Public Economics, Department of Economics and Law, Sapienza University of Rome, number 202, Oct.
• Giovanni Di Bartolomeo & Paolo D'Imperio & Francesco Felici, 2021, "The fiscal response to the Italian COVID-19 crisis: A counterfactual analysis," Working Papers in Public Economics, Department of Economics and Law, Sapienza University of Rome, number 216, Dec.
• Francesco Ruggeri, 2021, "Household debt, aggregate demand, and instability in a Stock-Flow model," Working Papers, Sapienza University of Rome, DISS, number 4/21, Mar.
• Alessandro Ferrari & Francisco Queirós, 2021, "Firm Heterogeneity, Market Power and Macroeconomic Fragility," CSEF Working Papers, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy, number 627, Oct.
• Bo?ena Kade?ábková & Emilie Ja?ová, 2021, "How the Czech government got the pandemic wrong," Proceedings of Economics and Finance Conferences, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, number 12513377, Jul.
• Anna Sznajderska, 2021, "The Impact of Foreign Shocks on the Polish Economy," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 1, pages 33-52.
• Michał Brzoza-Brzezina & Grzegorz Wesołowski, 2021, "The Great Lockdown: information, noise and macroeconomic fluctuations," KAE Working Papers, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis, number 2021-060, Jan, DOI: 10.33119/kaewps2021060.
• Ma³gorzata Olszak & Iwona Kowalska, 2021, "Do competition and market structure matter for sensitivity of bank profitability to business cycle?," Faculty of Management Working Paper Series, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Management, number 12021.
• Ma³gorzata Olszak & Iwona Kowalska, 2021, "Does bank competition matter for the effects of macroprudential policy on procyclicality of lending?," Faculty of Management Working Paper Series, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Management, number 22021.
• Fabrice Dabiré & Hashmat Khan & Patrick Richard & Jean-François Rouillard, 2021, "Characterizing G-multipliers in Canada," Cahiers de recherche, Departement d'économique de l'École de gestion à l'Université de Sherbrooke, number 21-01, Oct, revised Mar 2023.
• Aleksandar Vasilev, 2021, "Can shocks to risk aversion explain business cycle fluctuations in Bulgaria (1999-2018)?," Bulgarian Economic Papers, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Sofia University St Kliment Ohridski - Bulgaria // Center for Economic Theories and Policies at Sofia University St Kliment Ohridski, number bep-2021-01, Jan, revised Jan 2021.
• Aleksandar Vasilev, 2021, "Are firing costs important for business cycles? Lessons from Bulgaria (1999-2018)," Bulgarian Economic Papers, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Sofia University St Kliment Ohridski - Bulgaria // Center for Economic Theories and Policies at Sofia University St Kliment Ohridski, number bep-2021-03, Mar, revised Mar 2021.
• Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné, 2021, "Econometric history of the growth–volatility relationship in the USA: 1919–2017," Cliometrica, Springer;Cliometric Society (Association Francaise de Cliométrie), volume 15, issue 2, pages 419-442, May, DOI: 10.1007/s11698-020-00209-y.
• Takuma Kunieda & Kazuo Nishimura, 2021, "Pollution, Human Capital, and Growth Cycles," Creative Economy, Springer, chapter 0, in: Kazuo Nishimura & Masatoshi Murase & Kazuyoshi Yoshimura, "Creative Complex Systems", DOI: 10.1007/978-981-16-4457-3_6.
• Giuseppe Orlando & Giovanna Zimatore, 2021, "Recurrence Quantification Analysis of Business Cycles," Dynamic Modeling and Econometrics in Economics and Finance, Springer, chapter 0, in: Giuseppe Orlando & Alexander N. Pisarchik & Ruedi Stoop, "Nonlinearities in Economics", DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-70982-2_17.
• G. C. Lim & Robert Dixon & Jan C. Ours, 2021, "Beyond Okun’s law: output growth and labor market flows," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 60, issue 3, pages 1387-1409, March, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-019-01794-2.
• Gustavo Freire & Marcelo Resende, 2021, "Correction to: Conditional growth volatility and sectoral comovement in U.S. industrial production, 1828–1915," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 60, issue 4, pages 2153-2153, April, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-019-01750-0.
• Chak Hung Jack Cheng & Nopphol Witvorapong, 2021, "Health care policy uncertainty, real health expenditures and health care inflation in the USA," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 60, issue 4, pages 2083-2103, April, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-019-01818-x.
• Salem Abo-Zaid, 2021, "Taxation, credit frictions and the cyclical behavior of the labor wedge," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 60, issue 4, pages 1777-1816, April, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-020-01890-8.
• Renato Agurto & Fernando Fuentes & Carlos J. García & Esteban Skoknic, 2021, "The macroeconomic impact of the electricity price: lessons from Chile," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 60, issue 5, pages 2407-2428, May, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-020-01883-7.
• Kristina Barauskaite & Anh Dinh Minh Nguyen, 2021, "Direct and network effects of idiosyncratic TFP shocks," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 60, issue 6, pages 2765-2793, June, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-020-02009-9.
• Francisco Arizala & Jesus Gonzalez-Garcia & Charalambos G. Tsangarides & Mustafa Yenice, 2021, "The impact of fiscal consolidations on growth in sub-Saharan Africa," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 61, issue 1, pages 1-33, July, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-020-01863-x.
• Michał Brzoza-Brzezina & Jacek Kotłowski, 2021, "International confidence spillovers and business cycles in small open economies," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 61, issue 2, pages 773-798, August, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-020-01887-3.
• Myeong Jun Kim & Stanley I. M. Ko & Sung Y. Park, 2021, "On time and frequency-varying Okun’s coefficient: a new approach based on ensemble empirical mode decomposition," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 61, issue 3, pages 1151-1188, September, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-020-01904-5.
• Victor Pontines, 2021, "The real effects of loan-to-value limits: empirical evidence from Korea," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 61, issue 3, pages 1311-1350, September, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-020-01908-1.
• Han-Liang Cheng & Nan-Kuang Chen, 2021, "A study of financial cycles and the macroeconomy in Taiwan," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 61, issue 4, pages 1749-1778, October, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-020-01926-z.
• Yi-Ting Chen, 2021, "A mixed-frequency smooth measure for business conditions," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 61, issue 4, pages 1699-1724, October, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-020-01937-w.
• Nima Nonejad, 2021, "Crude oil price point forecasts of the Norwegian GDP growth rate," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 61, issue 5, pages 2913-2930, November, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-020-01964-7.
• Andrejs Zlobins, 2021, "Macroeconomic effects of the ECB’S forward guidance," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 61, issue 5, pages 2587-2611, November, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-020-01981-6.
• Jorge E. Galán & Javier Mencía, 2021, "Model-based indicators for the identification of cyclical systemic risk," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 61, issue 6, pages 3179-3211, December, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-020-01993-2.
• Anna Pauliina Sandqvist & Boriss Siliverstovs, 2021, "Is it good to be bad or bad to be good? Assessing the aggregate impact of abnormal weather on consumer spending," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 61, issue 6, pages 3059-3085, December, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-020-02006-y.
• Dong Cheng, 2021, "Housing boom and non-housing consumption: evidence from urban households in China," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 61, issue 6, pages 3271-3313, December, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-020-02008-w.
• Bruno Ćorić & Vladimir Šimić, 2021, "Economic disasters and aggregate investment," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 61, issue 6, pages 3087-3124, December, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-020-02010-2.
• María Cervini-Plá & Judit Vall-Castelló, 2021, "Business cycle and mortality in Spain," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), volume 22, issue 8, pages 1289-1299, November, DOI: 10.1007/s10198-021-01336-7.
• Anna Watson, 2021, "Trade credit, trade income elasticity and the international transmission of shocks," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, volume 11, issue 4, pages 687-733, December, DOI: 10.1007/s40822-021-00178-1.
• Veli Yilanci & Onder Ozgur & Muhammed Sehid Gorus, 2021, "Stock prices and economic activity nexus in OECD countries: new evidence from an asymmetric panel Granger causality test in the frequency domain," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, volume 7, issue 1, pages 1-22, December, DOI: 10.1186/s40854-020-00221-1.
• Shian -Jang Tzeng & Yirui Xu & Jianfu Ding & Yongyou Li & Hongshi Jin, 2021, "The dynamic analysis of maintenance policy in a growing economy with public capital," International Journal of Economic Policy Studies, Springer, volume 15, issue 1, pages 183-204, February, DOI: 10.1007/s42495-021-00056-3.
• Bornali Bhandari & Samarth Gupta & Ajaya K. Sahu & K. S. Urs, 2021, "Business sentiments during India’s national lockdown: Lessons for second and potential third wave," Indian Economic Review, Springer, volume 56, issue 2, pages 335-350, December, DOI: 10.1007/s41775-021-00121-w.
• Agnieszka Gehringer & Thomas Mayer, 2021, "Measuring the Business Cycle Chronology with a Novel Business Cycle Indicator for Germany," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), volume 17, issue 1, pages 71-89, April, DOI: 10.1007/s41549-021-00054-6.
• Max Soloschenko & Enzo Weber, 2021, "Trend-Cycle Interactions and the Subprime Crisis: Analysis of US and Canadian Output," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), volume 17, issue 2, pages 109-128, November, DOI: 10.1007/s41549-021-00058-2.
• Viv B. Hall & Peter Thomson, 2021, "Does Hamilton’s OLS Regression Provide a “better alternative” to the Hodrick-Prescott Filter? A New Zealand Business Cycle Perspective," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), volume 17, issue 2, pages 151-183, November, DOI: 10.1007/s41549-021-00059-1.
• Jens J. Krüger, 2021, "A Wavelet Evaluation of Some Leading Business Cycle Indicators for the German Economy," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), volume 17, issue 3, pages 293-319, December, DOI: 10.1007/s41549-021-00060-8.
• Martin Pažický, 2021, "Predicting Recessions in Germany Using the German and the US Yield Curve," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), volume 17, issue 3, pages 263-291, December, DOI: 10.1007/s41549-021-00061-7.
• Patrick M. Crowley & Andrew Hughes Hallett, 2021, "The Evolution of US and UK Real GDP Components in the Time-Frequency Domain: A Continuous Wavelet Analysis," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), volume 17, issue 3, pages 233-261, December, DOI: 10.1007/s41549-021-00062-6.
• Nasreen Nawaz, 2021, "Efficiency on the dynamic adjustment path in a financial market," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, volume 45, issue 1, pages 49-74, January, DOI: 10.1007/s12197-020-09523-7.
• George Vachadze, 2021, "Financial development, income and income inequality," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, volume 16, issue 3, pages 589-628, July, DOI: 10.1007/s11403-021-00321-w.
• Marianna Epicoco, 2021, "Technological Revolutions and Economic Development: Endogenous and Exogenous Fluctuations," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), volume 12, issue 3, pages 1437-1461, September, DOI: 10.1007/s13132-020-00671-z.
• Jean-Pierre Drugeon & Bertrand Wigniolle, 2021, "On Markovian collective choice with heterogeneous quasi-hyperbolic discounting," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), volume 72, issue 4, pages 1257-1296, November, DOI: 10.1007/s00199-020-01291-z.
• Andrin Spescha & Martin Woerter, 2021, "Research and development as an initiator of fixed capital investment," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, volume 31, issue 1, pages 117-145, January, DOI: 10.1007/s00191-020-00681-9.
• Michele Berardi, 2021, "Discrete beliefs space and equilibrium: a cautionary note," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, volume 31, issue 2, pages 505-532, April, DOI: 10.1007/s00191-020-00689-1.
• Juan Laborda & Vicente Salas & Cristina Suárez, 2021, "Financial constraints on R&D projects and minsky moments: containing the credit cycle," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, volume 31, issue 4, pages 1089-1111, September, DOI: 10.1007/s00191-021-00721-y.
• Ítalo Pedrosa & Dany Lang, 2021, "To what extent does aggregate leverage determine financial fragility? New insights from an agent-based stock-flow consistent model," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, volume 31, issue 4, pages 1221-1275, September, DOI: 10.1007/s00191-021-00745-4.
• Kshitiz Mishra & Partha Chatterjee, 2021, "Monetary Business Cycle Accounting Analysis of Indian Economy," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), volume 19, issue 3, pages 471-491, September, DOI: 10.1007/s40953-021-00241-3.
• Ken-ichi Hashimoto & Ryonghun Im & Takuma Kunieda & Akihisa Shibata, 2021, "Financial Destabilization," ISER Discussion Paper, Institute of Social and Economic Research, The University of Osaka, number 1118, Feb.
• Jean-Paul L’Huillier & Robert Waldmann & Donghoon Yoo, 2021, "What Is Consumer Confidence?," ISER Discussion Paper, Institute of Social and Economic Research, The University of Osaka, number 1135r, Jun, revised Dec 2022.
• Valérie Mignon & Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Pierre-Alain Pionnier & Catherine Doz, 2021, "Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence," EconomiX Working Papers, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX, number 2021-22.
• Valérie Mignon & Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021, "Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology," EconomiX Working Papers, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX, number 2021-23.
• Dudley Cooke & Tatiana Damjanovic, 2021, "Monetary Policy and Welfare with Heterogeneous Firms and Endogenous Entry," Department of Economics Working Papers, Durham University, Department of Economics, number 2021_02, Feb.
• Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau & Etienne Wasmer & Philippe Weil, 2021, "When Hosios meets Phillips: Connecting Efficiency and Stability to Demand Shocks," Working Papers ECARES, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, number 2021-06, Feb.
• Robert Kollmann, 2021, "Effects of Covid-19 on Euro Area GDP and Inflation: Demand vs. Supply Disturbances," Working Papers ECARES, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, number 2021-12, Jun.
• O'Brien, Derry & Dumoncel, Clémence & Gonçalves, Eduardo, 2021, "The role of demand and supply factors in HICP inflation during the COVID-19 pandemic – a disaggregated perspective," Economic Bulletin Articles, European Central Bank, volume 1.
• Hirschbühl, Dominik & Onorante, Luca & Saiz, Lorena, 2021, "Using machine learning and big data to analyse the business cycle," Economic Bulletin Articles, European Central Bank, volume 5.
• Botelho, Vasco & Consolo, Agostino & Dias Da Silva, António, 2021, "Hours worked in the euro area," Economic Bulletin Articles, European Central Bank, volume 6.
• Battistini, Niccolò & Falagiarda, Matteo & Gareis, Johannes & Hackmann, Angelina & Roma, Moreno, 2021, "The euro area housing market during the COVID-19 pandemic," Economic Bulletin Articles, European Central Bank, volume 7.
• Anderton, Robert & Jarvis, Valerie & Labhard, Vincent & Petroulakis, Filippos & Rubene, Ieva & Vivian, Lara, 2021, "The digital economy and the euro area," Economic Bulletin Articles, European Central Bank, volume 8.
• Bobasu, Alina & Crucil, Luigi & Dieppe, Alistair & Tirpák, Marcel, 2021, "Pandemic-induced constraints and inflation in advanced economies," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, volume 1.
• Lis, Eliza & Nordeman, Jakob, 2021, "Prices for travel during the COVID-19 pandemic: is there commonality across countries and items?," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, volume 1.
• Andersson, Malin & Checherita-Westphal, Cristina & Gomez-Salvador, Ramon & Henkel, Lukas & Mohr, Matthias, 2021, "Economic developments in the euro area and in the United States in 2020," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, volume 2.
• Le Roux, Julien, 2021, "The euro area capital stock since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, volume 2.
• Battistini, Niccolò & Stoevsky, Grigor, 2021, "The impact of containment measures across sectors and countries during the COVID-19 pandemic," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, volume 2.
• Gonçalves, Eduardo & Henkel, Lukas & Kouvavas, Omiros & Porqueddu, Mario & Trezzi, Riccardo, 2021, "2021 HICP weights and their implications for the measurement of inflation," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, volume 2.
• Muggenthaler-Gerathewohl, Philip & Schroth, Joachim & Sun, Yiqiao, 2021, "The heterogeneous economic impact of the pandemic across euro area countries," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, volume 5.
• Dossche, Maarten & Krustev, Georgi & Zlatanos, Stylianos, 2021, "COVID-19 and the increase in household savings: an update," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, volume 5.
• de Bondt, Gabe & Gieseck, Arne & Nicoletti, Giulio & Tujula, Mika, 2021, "Non-financial corporate health during the pandemic," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, volume 6.
• Bodnár, Katalin & O'Brien, Derry, 2021, "Labour supply developments in the euro area during the COVID-19 pandemic," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, volume 7.
• Andersson, Malin & Battistini, Niccolò & Stoevsky, Grigor, 2021, "Economic developments and outlook for contact-intensive services in the euro area," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, volume 7.
• Martín Fuentes, Natalia & Moder, Isabella, 2021, "The scarring effects of past crises on the global economy," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, volume 8.
• Andersson, Malin & Beck, Leyla & Sun, Yiqiao, 2021, "Understanding the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic through an import-adjusted breakdown of euro area aggregate demand," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, volume 8.
• Consolo, Agostino & Cette, Gilbert & Bergeaud, Antonin & Labhard, Vincent & Osbat, Chiara & Kosekova, Stanimira & Anyfantaki, Sofia & Basso, Gaetano & Basso, Henrique & Bobeica, Elena & Ciapanna, Eman, 2021, "Digitalisation: channels, impacts and implications for monetary policy in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 266, Sep.
• Holm-Hadulla, Fédéric & Musso, Alberto & Rodriguez-Palenzuela, Diego & Vlassopoulos, Thomas, 2021, "Evolution of the ECB’s analytical framework," Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 277, Sep.
• Koester, Gerrit & Lis, Eliza & Nickel, Christiane & Osbat, Chiara & Smets, Frank, 2021, "Understanding low inflation in the euro area from 2013 to 2019: cyclical and structural drivers," Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 280, Sep.
• Jaccard, Ivan, 2021, "A time-varying carbon tax to protect the environment while safeguarding the economy," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, volume 86.
• Van der Ghote, Alejandro, 2021, "Benefits of macroprudential policy in low interest rate environments," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, volume 90.
• Tóth, Máté, 2021, "A multivariate unobserved components model to estimate potential output in the euro area: a production function based approach," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2523, Feb.
• Barbaro, Bianca & Tirelli, Patrizio, 2021, "Forbearance vs foreclosure in a general equilibrium model," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2531, Mar.
• Dieppe, Alistair & Francis, Neville & Kindberg-Hanlon, Gene, 2021, "Technology and demand drivers of productivity dynamics in developed and emerging market economies," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2533, Apr.
• Dieppe, Alistair & Francis, Neville & Kindberg-Hanlon, Gene, 2021, "The identification of dominant macroeconomic drivers: coping with confounding shocks," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2534, Apr.
• Jaccard, Ivan, 2021, "Leveraged property cycles," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2539, Apr.
• Bobasu, Alina & Geis, André & Quaglietti, Lucia & Ricci, Martino, 2021, "Tracking global economic uncertainty: implications for the euro area," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2541, Apr.
• Karadi, Peter & Schoenle, Raphael & Wursten, Jesse, 2021, "Measuring price selection in microdata: it’s not there," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2566, Jun.
• Coenen, Günter & Montes-Galdón, Carlos & Schmidt, Sebastian, 2021, "Macroeconomic stabilisation and monetary policy effectiveness in a low-interest-rate environment," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2572, Jul.
• Klug, Thorsten & Mayer, Eric & Schuler, Tobias, 2021, "The corporate saving glut and the current account in Germany," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2586, Aug.
• Maih, Junior & Mazelis, Falk & Motto, Roberto & Ristiniemi, Annukka, 2021, "Asymmetric monetary policy rules for the euro area and the US," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2587, Sep.
• Rünstler, Gerhard, 2021, "The macroeconomic impact of euro area labour market reforms: evidence from a narrative panel VAR," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2592, Oct.
• Vinci, Francesca & Licandro, Omar, 2021, "Switching-track after the Great Recession," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2596, Oct.
• Budrys, Žymantas & Porqueddu, Mario & Sokol, Andrej, 2021, "Striking a bargain: narrative identification of wage bargaining shocks," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2602, Oct.
• Garcia, Pablo & Jacquinot, Pascal & Lenarčič, Črt & Lozej, Matija & Mavromatis, Kostas, 2021, "Global models for a global pandemic: the impact of COVID-19 on small euro area economies," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2603, Oct.
• Giuzio, Margherita & Kaufmann, Christoph & Ryan, Ellen & Cappiello, Lorenzo, 2021, "Investment funds, risk-taking, and monetary policy in the euro area," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2605, Oct.
• Ciccarelli, Matteo & Marotta, Fulvia, 2021, "Demand or supply? An empirical exploration of the effects of climate change on the macroeconomy," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2608, Oct.
• Enders, Zeno & Maruhn, Franziska & Müller, Gernot J., 2021, "Firm expectations and economic activity," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2621, Dec.
• Lee, Seungcheol & Luetticke, Ralph & Ravn, Morten O., 2021, "Financial frictions: micro vs macro volatility," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2622, Dec.
• Bańkowski, Krzysztof & Christoffel, Kai & Faria, Thomas, 2021, "Assessing the fiscal-monetary policy mix in the euro area," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2623, Dec.
• Bilal Ahmed Memon & Rabia Tahir, 2021, "Examining Network Structures and Dynamics of World Energy Companies in Stock Markets: A Complex Network Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, volume 11, issue 4, pages 329-344.
• Tomader Elhassan, 2021, "Impact of Oil Price Fluctuations on Economic Growth in Saudi Arabia: Evidence from a Nonlinear ARDL Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, volume 11, issue 5, pages 579-585.
• Nicolas Reigl, 2021, "Expectational errors and business cycle fluctuations in Europe," Bank of Estonia Working Papers, Bank of Estonia, number wp2021-2, Apr, revised 08 Apr 2021, DOI: Businesscycles,noiseshocks,SVAR,sur.
• Jin, Justin Y. & Ma, Mary L.Z. & Song, Victor & Guo, Mengyang, 2021, "Banks’ loan charge-offs and macro-level risk," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, volume 32, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2021.100573.
• Blank, D. Brian & Hadley, Brandy, 2021, "When CEOs adapt: An investigation of manager experience, policy and performance following recessions," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, volume 71, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2021.102118.
• Kim, Jiwoon, 2021, "Wage negotiations in multi-worker firms and stochastic bargaining powers of existing workers," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 123, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2020.104050.
• Phaneuf, Louis & Victor, Jean Gardy, 2021, "On time-dependent nominal contracting models with positive trend inflation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 124, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2021.104076.
• Germaschewski, Yin & Horvath, Jaroslav & Rubini, Loris, 2021, "Property rights, expropriations, and business cycles in China," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 125, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2021.104100.
• Irawan, Denny & Okimoto, Tatsuyoshi, 2021, "Overinvestment and macroeconomic uncertainty: Evidence from renewable and non-renewable resource firms," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 126, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2020.103973.
• Ellington, Michael & Martin, Chris & Wang, Bingsong, 2021, "Search Frictions and Evolving Labour Market Dynamics," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 127, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2021.104104.
• Nyman, Rickard & Kapadia, Sujit & Tuckett, David, 2021, "News and narratives in financial systems: Exploiting big data for systemic risk assessment," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 127, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2021.104119.
• Drautzburg, Thorsten & Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús & Guerrón-Quintana, Pablo, 2021, "Bargaining shocks and aggregate fluctuations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 127, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2021.104121.
• Coulombe, Raphaelle G., 2021, "The electoral origin of government spending shocks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 129, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2021.104167.
• Luo, Shaowen & Villar, Daniel, 2021, "The price adjustment hazard function: Evidence from high inflation periods," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 130, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2021.104135.
• Dieppe, Alistair & Francis, Neville & Kindberg-Hanlon, Gene, 2021, "Technological and non-technological drivers of productivity dynamics in developed and emerging market economies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 131, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2021.104216.
• Coenen, Günter & Montes-Galdón, Carlos & Schmidt, Sebastian, 2021, "Macroeconomic stabilisation and monetary policy effectiveness in a low-interest-rate environment," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 132, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2021.104205.
• Savagar, Anthony, 2021, "Measured productivity with endogenous markups and economic profits," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 133, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2021.104232.
• Graham, James & Ozbilgin, Murat, 2021, "Age, industry, and unemployment risk during a pandemic lockdown," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 133, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2021.104233.
• Pavlov, Oscar, 2021, "Multi-product firms and increasing marginal costs," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 133, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2021.104239.
• Kanazawa, Nobuyuki, 2021, "Public investment multipliers: Evidence from stock returns of the road pavement industry in Japan," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 133, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2021.104247.
• Parra-Alvarez, Juan Carlos & Polattimur, Hamza & Posch, Olaf, 2021, "Risk matters: Breaking certainty equivalence in linear approximations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 133, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2021.104248.
• Fanelli, Sebastián & Gonzalez-Eiras, Martín, 2021, "Resolution of financial crises," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 133, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2021.104252.