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Persistent Monetary Policy in a Model with Labor Market Frictions

Author

Listed:
  • Roman Goncharenko
  • Elizaveta Lukmanova

Abstract

In a basic New Keynesian DSGE model with involuntary unemployment and inflation target shocks, we study the role of labor markets in the transmission of persistent monetary policy shocks that increase households' inflation expectations. The model predicts that labor market conditions can play an important role in the transmission channel of the persistent inflation target shock: quantitatively realistic labor market frictions increase the expansionary effect of inflation target shock on output by around a half compared to that under the model without labor market frictions. Using VAR analysis, we further provide empirical evidence consistent with the predictions of our theoretical model.

Suggested Citation

  • Roman Goncharenko & Elizaveta Lukmanova, 2022. "Persistent Monetary Policy in a Model with Labor Market Frictions," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 112, pages 496-502, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:aea:apandp:v:112:y:2022:p:496-502
    DOI: 10.1257/pandp.20221094
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations
    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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