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A New Claims-Based Unemployment Dataset: Application to Postwar Recoveries Across U.S. States

Author

Listed:
  • Andrew Fieldhouse
  • Sean Howard
  • Mr. Christoffer Koch
  • David Munro

Abstract

Using newly digitized unemployment insurance claims data we construct a historical monthly unemployment series for U.S. states going back to January 1947. The constructed series are highly correlated with the Bureau of Labor Statics' state-level unemployment data, which are only available from January 1976 onwards, and capture consistent patterns in the business cycle. We use our claims-based unemployment series to examine the evolving pace of post-war unemployment recoveries at the state level. We find that faster recoveries are associated with greater heterogeneity in the recovery rate of unemployment and slower recoveries tend to be more uniformly paced across states. In addition, we find that the pace of unemployment recoveries is strongly correlated with a states' manufacturing share of output.

Suggested Citation

  • Andrew Fieldhouse & Sean Howard & Mr. Christoffer Koch & David Munro, 2022. "A New Claims-Based Unemployment Dataset: Application to Postwar Recoveries Across U.S. States," IMF Working Papers 2022/117, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2022/117
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    State-Level Unemployment Rates; Unemployment Insurance; Economic Recoveries; Regional Business Cycles; unemployment recovery; unemployment series; unemployment dataset; recession date; unemployment rate series; Unemployment rate; Economic recession; Unemployment; Business cycles; Labor markets;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C82 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Macroeconomic Data; Data Access
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
    • J65 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment Insurance; Severance Pay; Plant Closings
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes

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