Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E3: Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
/ / / E32: Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:

1. Estimated DSGE Models
2. Dynamic Factor Models
3. Real Business Cycle Theory
4. Labor in RBC models
5. International RBC

2026

• Amina Enkhbold & Serdar Kabaca, 2026, "The Impact of Mortgage Interest Costs on Rental Inflation Amid Population Growth," Staff Analytical Papers, Bank of Canada, number 2026-14, Apr, DOI: 10.34989/sap-2026-14.
• Edward Booth & Edouard Djeutem & Oleksiy Kryvtsov & Fanny McKellips & Yang Zhang, 2026, "Monetary Policy in a Volatile World: ToTEM Simulations," Staff Analytical Papers, Bank of Canada, number 2026-27, Jun, DOI: 10.34989/sap-2026-27.
• Stefano Gnocchi & Matteo Cacciatore, 2026, "Monetary Policy Challenges in a Volatile World," Staff Analytical Papers, Bank of Canada, number 2026-34, Jul, DOI: 10.34989/sap-2026-34.
• Jia Qi Xiao & Jackson Reid & Joey Daniels, 2026, "Tracking Heterogeneous Spending Patterns with Credit Card Microdata," Staff Analytical Papers, Bank of Canada, number 2026-38, Sep, DOI: 10.34989/sap-2026-38.
• Bruno Feunou & Jean-Sébastien Fontaine & Rishi Vala, 2026, "Macro News in Market Moves: Classifying News through Asset Co-movements," Staff Analytical Papers, Bank of Canada, number 2026-7, Mar, DOI: 10.34989/sap-2026-7.
• Irma Alonso-Alvarez & Ekaterina Bukina & Marina Diakonova & Nino Khitarishvili & Javier J. Pérez & Pedro Piqueras, 2026, "Geopolitical risk: a database of general and bilateral indices," Occasional Papers, Banco de España, number 2603, Feb, DOI: https://doi.org/10.53479/42445.
• Pablo Aguilar & Rubén Domínguez-Díaz & José-Elías Gallegos & Javier Quintana, 2026, "The Transmission of Foreign Shocks in a Networked Economy," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 2607, Feb, DOI: https://doi.org/10.53479/42526.
• Morteza Ghomi & Samuel Hurtado, 2026, "RAUI: Uncertainty Indicators Built With Artificial Intelligence," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 2609, Mar, DOI: https://doi.org/10.53479/42605.
• Andrés Azqueta-Gavaldón & Marina Diakonova & Corinna Ghirelli & Javier J. Pérez, 2026, "Diverging signals from economic uncertainty measures: Uncovering coherence through news narratives," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 2614, Apr, DOI: https://doi.org/10.53479/43045.
• Eoghan O'Neill & Sofia Velasco, 2026, "Let the Tree Decide: FABART. A Non-Parametric Factor Model for Nonlinear Oil Shock Transmission," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 2627, Sep, DOI: https://doi.org/10.53479/44248.
• Luca Moller, 2026, "A composite indicator of systemic risk related to the Italian financial cycle," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1007, Apr.
• Andrea Foschi & Stefano Pica & Marianna Riggi, 2026, "Many Too Many: excess savings and the transmission of macroeconomic shocks," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1031, Jul.
• Francesco Corsello & Andrea Foschi & Marco Fruzzetti & Marianna Riggi, 2026, "Household consumption in Italy: basket composition and responsiveness to macroeconomic shocks," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1044, Jul.
• Lucia Esposito & Elisa Guglielminetti & Elia Moracci & Andrea Papetti & Massimiliano Pisani, 2026, "The implications of AI for monetary policy: a first assessment," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1051, Jul.
• Donato Ceci & Francesco Corsello & Marco Fruzzetti & Matteo Izzo, 2026, "Anatomy of inflation and consumption choices in Italy after the pandemic," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1053, Sep.
• Tiziano Ropele & Giordano Zevi, 2026, "Investment dynamics in the euro area: drivers, composition and cross-country differences," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1059, Sep.
• Andrea Gazzani & Joseba Martinez & Filippo Natoli & Paolo Surico, 2026, "The public origins of American innovation," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1521, Mar.
• Vivien Lewis & Stefania Villa, 2026, "Labor productivity, effort and the euro-area business cycle," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1522, Mar.
• Eleonora Porreca & Lucia Rizzica & Marco Tonello, 2026, "A great depression? Students' educational aspirations and investments in the aftermath of the Great Recession," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1528, Apr.
• Marco Flaccadoro & Tiziano Ropele, 2026, "Asymmetric monetary policy transmission across euro-area manufacturing industries," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1535, Jun.
• Filippo Natoli, 2026, "Heat, cold and the macroeconomy: temperature shocks are not all alike," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1541, Jul.
• Andrea Gazzani & Filippo Natoli, 2026, "The macroeconomic effects of AI technology shocks," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1542, Jul.
• Veljko Bojovic & Natascha Ellis, 2026, "Wage Flexibility and Macroeconomic Stability: Insights from an Upgraded TANK Model," Berlin School of Economics Discussion Papers, Berlin School of Economics, number 0097, Jun, DOI: 10.48462/opus4-6274.
• Oscar Iván Ávila-Montealegre & Anderson Grajales-Olarte & Juan J. Ospina-Tejeiro & Mario A. Ramos-Veloza, 2026, "Labor Informality and Macroeconomic Volatility," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 1345, Feb, DOI: 10.32468/be.1345.
• Wilmer Martinez-Rivera & Manuel Dario Hernandez-Bejarano, 2026, "Approach to Estimating Confidence Intervals for a Business Cycle," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 1348, Mar, DOI: 10.32468/be.1348.
• Daniel Esteban Osorio-Rodríguez, 2026, "Incertidumbre y potencia de la política monetaria en Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 1350, Apr.
• Diego Vásquez-Escobar, 2026, "Hechos Complementarios sobre el Ciclo Económico en Colombia: Una Perspectiva desde el Ciclo de Crecimiento," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 1352, May.
• Nicol Valeria Rodríguez-Rodríguez & Sebastián Quintero-Uribe & Johanna Barbosa-Buitrago, 2026, "Monitoreo del ciclo del mercado de la vivienda en Colombia: un enfoque de factores dinámicos," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 1359, Jul.
• David W. Berger & Geoffrey Gee & Nick Turner & Eric Zwick, 2026, "Stimulating Auto Markets," Working Papers, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics, number 2026-42.
• Alessandro Franconi & Lucas Hack, 2026, "Import Tariffs and the Systematic Response of Monetary Policy Perspective," Working papers, Banque de France, number 1035.
• Jean-Paul Renne & Sarah Mouabbi & Adrien Tschopp, 2026, "Inflation and Growth Risk: Balancing the Scales with Surveys," Working papers, Banque de France, number 1036.
• Etienne Farvaque & Jean-Baptiste Gossé & Camille Jehle, 2026, "Income Smoothing Across EU Regions: a Panel Decomposition of Adjustment Channels," Working papers, Banque de France, number 1037.
• Lauriane Benoist & Stéphane Dees & Elise Kremer & Clément Payerols & Oriane Wegner, 2026, "On the Nature of Things: Designing Macroeconomic Scenarios of Nature-related risks for France," Working papers, Banque de France, number 1046.
• Gert Bijnens & John Hutchinson & Arthur Saint-Guilhem, 2026, "Firm Level Heterogeneity and the Impact of Monetary Policy on Labour Demand," Working papers, Banque de France, number 1053.
• Enisse Kharroubi & Marius Koechlin, 2026, "Labour market flows, unemployment and the Phillips curve," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 1341, Mar.
• Maximilian Fandl & Boris Fišera & Adam Geršl & Christian Schmieder, 2026, "How do interest rate levels affect credit loss rates? A rule of thumb approach," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 1346, May.
• Yevheniia Bondarenko & Nayeon Kang & Vivien Lewis & Matthias Rottner & Yves Schueler, 2026, "Geopolitical risk in the euro area: measurement and transmission," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 1348, May.
• Ryan Niladri Banerjee & Hyun Song Shin & Jose María Vidal Pastor, 2026, "Elasticity of money in production networks, working capital, credit lines and financial conditions," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 1350, May.
• Enisse Kharroubi, 2026, "Maritime chokepoints and the global economy: evidence from the Strait of Hormuz," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 1378, Sep.
• Hashem Dezhbakhsh & Daniel Levy, 2026, "Interpolation and Prewar-Postwar Output Volatility and Shock-Persistence Debate: A Closer Look and New Results," Working Papers, Bar-Ilan University, Department of Economics, number 2026-02, Feb.
• Valeria Zvereva & Anna Krupkina & Andrey Andreev & Oleg Semiturkin & Maria Kudaeva, 2026, "Identifying Turning Points in Bank of Russia Business Activity Indicators Using Machine Learning Methods," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, volume 85, issue 2, pages 3-36, June.
• Viktor Antonenko & Ivan Darovskii, 2026, "Heterogeneous Effects of Monetary Policy Across Industries: A BGVAR Analysis," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, volume 85, issue 3, pages 22-49, September.
• Viktor Vorozhtcov & Yulia Vymyatnina, 2026, "From the Credit Cycle to the Global Financial Cycle: A Literature Review," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, volume 85, issue 3, pages 79-108, September.
• Sergey Ivashchenko, 2026, "Structural seasonality," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series, Bank of Russia, number wps160, Jan.
• Sune Karlsson & Pär Österholm, 2026, "On the Stability of Macroeconomic Relationships in Australia," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, volume 59, issue 2, pages 208-225, June, DOI: 10.1111/1467-8462.70060.
• Mark Setterfield & George Wheaton, 2026, "Animal Spirits and the Goodwin Pattern," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, volume 77, issue 1, pages 2-16, February, DOI: 10.1111/meca.12506.
• Roberto A. De Santis & Wouter Van der Veken, 2026, "Deflationary Financial Shocks and Inflationary Uncertainty Shocks: An SVAR Investigation," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, volume 88, issue 1, pages 157-171, February, DOI: 10.1111/obes.70010.
• Jonas M. Bruhin & Rolf Scheufele & Yannic Stucki, 2026, "The Economic Impact of Russia's Invasion of Ukraine on European Countries – a SVAR Approach," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, volume 34, issue 4, pages 991-1012, September, DOI: 10.1111/roie.70064.
• Xin Sheng & Rangan Gupta & Wenting Liao & Oguzhan Cepni, 2026, "The Effects of Uncertainty on Economic Conditions Across US States: The Role of Climate Risks," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, volume 73, issue 1, February, DOI: 10.1111/sjpe.70035.
• Vivien Lewis & Sirikorn Puangjit, 2026, "A Simple Model of Geopolitical Risk and Sanctions," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, volume 73, issue 3, July, DOI: 10.1111/sjpe.70061.
• Dario Caldara & Mike McHenry & Matteo Iacoviello & Immo Schott, 2026, "The Effects of the War on Ukraine on Global Corporate Investment," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, volume 73, issue 3, July, DOI: 10.1111/sjpe.70063.
• Vegard H. Larsen & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2026, "Using Transformers and Reinforcement Learning as Narrative Filters in Macroeconomics," Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School, number No 02/2026, Feb.
• Tom Doan, 2026, "PEERSMANJAE2005: RATS program to replicates Peersman JAE 2005 VAR analysis," Statistical Software Components, Boston College Department of Economics, number RTJ00062, revised .
• Tom Doan, 2026, "ARUOBADIEBOLDSCOTTIJBES2009: RATS programs to replicate Aruoba, Diebold and Scotti(2009) state-space model with mixed frequencies," Statistical Software Components, Boston College Department of Economics, number RTJ00083, revised .
• Tom Doan, 2026, "KILIANAER2009: RATS program to replicate Kilian(2009)'s VAR analysis of oil market/macro data," Statistical Software Components, Boston College Department of Economics, number RTJ00087, revised .
• Clemente Pinilla-Torremocha, 2026, "Persistent and transitory inflation in the euro area: insights from global and domestic shocks," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series, Bank of England, number 1170, Feb.
• Sandra Batten & Stephen Millard, 2026, "Productivity implications of the move to net zero," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series, Bank of England, number 1171, Feb.
• Federico D'Amario & Sebastian de-Ramon & William Francis, 2026, "The economic effects of changes to bank capital regulation: evidence from the United Kingdom," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series, Bank of England, number 1172, Feb.
• Tomas Key & Matthew McKernan & Bradley Speigner, 2026, "Out of work, out of the labour force? Attachment, search effort and participation flows," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series, Bank of England, number 1178, Apr.
• Tihana Škrinjarić, 2026, "Developing a house price-at-risk framework for the UK," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series, Bank of England, number 1193, Jun.
• Aydan Dogan & Ozgen Ozturk, 2026, "Innovation, financial frictions, and persistent effects of monetary policy," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series, Bank of England, number 1205, Sep.
• Jonathan Acosta-Smith & Marzio Bassanin & Ivy Sabuga, 2026, "Macroeconomic dynamics of the output floor," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series, Bank of England, number 1206, Sep.
• Michele Andreolli & Natalie Rickard & Paolo Surico & Chiara Vergeat, 2026, "Inflation composition and monetary stabilization," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series, Bank of England, number 1208, Sep.
• Dimitrios Karamanis & Dimitrios P. Louzis & Evangelia Papapetrou & Anastasia Theofilakou, 2026, "Modelling house price dynamics in Greece," Working Papers, Bank of Greece, number 365, Jun, DOI: 10.52903/wp2026365.
• Research and Statistics Department (Bank of Japan), 2026, "Updates on the Output Gap and Potential Growth Rate, and Monitoring Labor Market Indicators," Bank of Japan Research Papers, Bank of Japan, number 26-06-30, Jun.
• Kohei Takata & Tatsuya Ozaki & Takashi Nakazawa & Kohei Noro & Naoya Kato, 2026, "Revision of the Consumption Activity Index Following the 2020 Base Revision of GDP Statistics," Bank of Japan Research Papers, Bank of Japan, number 26-06-30, Jun.
• Marco Brianti & Mario Forni & Luca Gambetti & Antonio Granese, 2026, "Nonlinear Business-Cycle Anatomy," Working Papers, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna, number wp1221, Apr.
• Mark Toth, 2026, "Residential Concentration Dampens Monetary Policy Transmission," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany, number crctr224_2025_762, Jun.
• Titan Alon & Matthias Doepke & Jane Olmstead-Rumsey & James Symons-Hicks & Michèle Tertilt, 2026, "This Time It’s Different: The Role of Women’s Employment in Recessions," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany, number crctr224_2025_774, Aug.
• Boitier Vincent, 2026, "Frictional Entry and the Long-Run Transmission of Productivity Shocks," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, volume 26, issue 1, pages 1-43, DOI: 10.1515/bejm-2025-0096.
• Hwang Inwook & Kim Jaebeom & Zhu Xiaoyang, 2026, "Business Cycle State-Dependent Effects of Oil Price Uncertainty on the U.S. Economy," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, volume 26, issue 1, pages 349-384, DOI: 10.1515/bejm-2026-0004.
• Kumar, Alok, 2026, "Human and physical capital: Welfare and income effects of government spending," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 87, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2025.103737.
• Kilinc, Mustafa & Tunc, Cengiz, 2026, "Debt service channel for external debt and growth in developing countries," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 87, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2026.103738.
• Cheng, Chak Hung Jack & Hankins, William B. & Stone, Anna-Leigh, 2026, "The impact of financial uncertainty shocks on firm creation across US states," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 87, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2026.103739.
• Jalles, João Tovar & Karras, Georgios, 2026, "Sailing through uncertainty: Inspecting mechanisms in advanced and developing economies," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 88, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2026.103741.
• Acuña Armenta, Carolina, 2026, "Central bank transparency under adaptive learning empirical evidence from Mexico," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 88, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2026.103751.
• Ginn, William & Saadaoui, Jamel, 2026, "Are consumer sentiment shocks state-dependent?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 88, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2026.103753.
• Milani, Fabio, 2026, "Inflation, monetary policy, and capital–labor inequality," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 88, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2026.103755.
• Bryson, Carter, 2026, "The ins and outs of unemployment shocks," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 88, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2026.103756.
• Auer, Simone & Conti, Antonio M., 2026, "Bank lending in an unprecedented monetary tightening cycle: Evidence from the euro area," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 89, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2026.103781.
• Caggiano, Emanuele & Maurici, Filippo, 2026, "Gone with the cycle: The asymmetric impact of business cycle on growth," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, volume 33, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeca.2025.e00447.
• Jackman, Mahalia & Williams, Lianna, 2026, "The nonlinear effects of global economic policy uncertainty on individual unemployment: Micro-Level evidence of heterogeneities and asymmetries," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, volume 33, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeca.2026.e00454.
• de Bondt, Gabe J. & Sun, Yiqiao, 2026, "Enhancing GDP nowcasts with ChatGPT: A novel application of PMI news releases," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, volume 48, issue 3, DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2026.107052.
• Sarwar, Muhammad Nadeem & Shabbar, Shagufta & Hashim, Zeeshan, 2026, "From boom to bust: The perils of pro-cyclicality in fiscal policy in Pakistan," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, volume 48, issue 5, DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2026.107065.
• Taiwo, Shakirudeen & Uwillingiye, Josine & Osei-Assibey, Kwame, 2026, "Macroeconomic fluctuations in Sub-Saharan Africa: Role of external shocks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, volume 113, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2026.105846.
• Doojav, Gan-Ochir & Purevdorj, Munkhbayar & Erdenebileg, Khosbayar, 2026, "The effects of commodity shocks on supply- and demand-driven inflation dynamics in Mongolia," Resources Policy, Elsevier, volume 118, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2026.105956.
• Glancy, David & Kurtzman, Robert & Loewenstein, Lara, 2026, "JUE Insight: Shovel ready projects and commercial construction activity’s long and variable lags," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, volume 151, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2025.103816.
• Elayan-Balagué, Nadim, 2026, "Strategic or scarred? Disparities in college enrollment and dropout response to macroeconomic conditions," Labour Economics, Elsevier, volume 101, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.labeco.2026.102928.
• Fiaschi, Davide & Tealdi, Cristina, 2026, "Let’s roll back! The challenging task of regulating temporary contracts," Labour Economics, Elsevier, volume 102, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.labeco.2026.102937.
• De Vera, Micole & Garcia-Brazales, Javier & Lin, Jiayi, 2026, "The long shadow of labor market entry conditions: Intergenerational determinants of mental health," Labour Economics, Elsevier, volume 98, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.labeco.2025.102843.
• Granados, Camilo & Parra-Amado, Daniel, 2026, "Output gap measurement after COVID for Colombia: Lessons from a permanent-transitory approach," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, volume 7, issue 3, DOI: 10.1016/j.latcb.2025.100183.
• Pham, Ngoc-Sang, 2026, "The relationship between general equilibrium models with infinitely-lived agents and overlapping generations models, and some applications," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, volume 142, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.mathsocsci.2026.102553.
• Böjeryd, Jesper & Vestman, Roine & Tyrefors, Björn & Kessel, Dany, 2026, "The housing wealth effect: Quasi-experimental evidence," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 158, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2026.103892.
• Bayer, Christian & Luetticke, Ralph & Weiss, Maximilian & Winkelmann, Yannik, 2026, "An endogenous gridpoint method for distributional dynamics," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 158, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2026.103895.
• Kuhn, Moritz & Manovskii, Iourii & Qiu, Xincheng, 2026, "The Geography of job creation and job destruction," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 158, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2026.103898.
• Antonova, Anastasiia & Müller, Gernot J., 2026, "Distorted prices and targeted taxes in the New Keynesian Network model," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 158, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2026.103904.
• García-Rodríguez, Marta, 2026, "The role of wage expectations in the labor market," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 159, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2026.103914.
• Hornstein, Andreas & Karabarbounis, Marios & Kurmann, André & Lalé, Etienne & Ta, Lien, 2026, "Disincentive effects of unemployment insurance benefits," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 161, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2026.103958.
• Bundick, Brent & Cairó, Isabel & Petrosky-Nadeau, Nicolas, 2026, "Evaluating macroeconomic outcomes under asymmetries: Expectations matter," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 161, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2026.103961.
• Nisticò, Salvatore & Seccareccia, Marialaura, 2026, "Unconventional policy and idiosyncratic risk," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 162, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2026.103973.
• Sun, Zhaojun & Liang, Haoye, 2026, "Comparing the effectiveness of China’s macroprudential and capital controls policies: Volatility and welfare approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 109, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.qref.2026.102199.
• Giakas, Konstantinos, 2026, "A model of euro area unemployment persistence and central bank stabilization policies," Research in Economics, Elsevier, volume 80, issue 2, DOI: 10.1016/j.rie.2026.101136.
• Le Page, Jean-Marie, 2026, "Growth‒unemployment dynamics and distance to the long-run equilibrium in pure macroeconomic theory: a two-dimensional approach," Research in Economics, Elsevier, volume 80, issue 3, DOI: 10.1016/j.rie.2026.101165.
• Palaios, Panagiotis & Triantafillou, Annie, 2026, "Security shocks and newbuilding prices: Evidence from three shipping segments," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, volume 117, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2026.101785.
• Segev, Nimrod, 2026, "Macroprudential and monetary policies with an imperfectly competitive banking sector," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 106, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2026.104936.
• Lores, Francisco-Xavier, 2026, "Spanish recessions 1850–2023: A business cycle accounting analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 106, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2026.104953.
• Sun, Lixin, 2026, "Measuring the natural rate of real interest for the Chinese economy," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 108, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2026.105150.
• Hosseini, Mohammad Javad & Teymouri, Younes & Mehregan, Nader, 2026, "Causality direction and correlation dynamics between oil and gold prices in the global market: A VAR model and crisis subperiods approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 108, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2026.105154.
• Guo, Jiawei & Wang, Frank Yong & Chai, Jiwen, 2026, "The bright side of bank liquidity creation for financial stability: Evidence from China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 109, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2026.105329.
• Guo, Ning, 2026, "Financial risk prevention against foreign interest rate and demand shocks under sticky leverage," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 109, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2026.105373.
• Choi, Jae Yong & Yi, Junesuh, 2026, "Asymmetry in the counter-cyclicality of corporate credit spreads, across the business cycle," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, volume 81, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.103164.
• Cajas-Guijarro, John, 2026, "Multiple periodicities in an extended Goodwin model with mechanization, independent investment, and disequilibrium: Toward a Marxian-Keynesian synthesis," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, volume 77, issue C, pages 357-386, DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2026.02.003.
• Boďa, Martin & Považanová, Mariana & Vitálišová, Katarína, 2026, "Digital Okun's law: A case study of ASEAN-10 economies," Technology in Society, Elsevier, volume 87, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.techsoc.2026.103304.
• Yago, Ahmed Racine & Diop, Samba & Ndiaye, Cheikh Tidiane & Asongu, Simplice A., 2026, "The impact of trade integration on the business cycles synchronization in West African Countries: Implications for the AfCFTA," World Development, Elsevier, volume 206, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2026.107461.
• Alessandro Saccal, 2026, "RBC SVAR for Uzbekistan," Journal of Economics and Econometrics, Economics and Econometrics Society, volume 69, issue 1, pages 56-80.
• Jason Allen, 2026, "The Macroeconomics of Abrupt Sunlight Reduction: Global Output, Inflation, Trade, and Welfare," Journal of Economics and Econometrics, Economics and Econometrics Society, volume 69, issue 1, pages 81-108.
• Alessandro Saccal, 2026, "Macro-econometrics in Uzbekistan: two RBC SVARs," Journal of Economics and Econometrics, Economics and Econometrics Society, volume 69, issue 2, pages 10-31.
• Yasuo Hirose & Donghoon Yoo, 2026, "Behavioral Expectations Under Indeterminacy: An Empirical Evaluation," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2026-02, Jan.
• Miyu Iwasaki & Kozo Ueda, 2026, "Saving by Shopping? The Limits of Substitution in Household Production," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2026-04, Feb.
• Kristin Forbes & Jongrim Ha & M. Ayhan Kose, 2026, "Heaven or Earth? The Evolving Role of Global Shocks for Domestic Monetary Policy," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2026-05, Feb.
• Jerome Creel & Serena Ionta & Guido Traficante, 2026, "Fiscal Policies Are Not All Alike: Composition Effects, Regime Switching and Uncertainty," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2026-06, Feb.
• Kevin Lee & Kalvinder Shields, 2026, "Monitoring Macroeconomic Prospects with a Meta VAR-E Dashboard," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2026-10, Feb.
• Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2026, "Immigration, Labor Shortages, and Labor Market Dynamics," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2026-18, Mar.
• Guillermo Verduzco-Bustos & Francesco Zanetti, 2026, "The Effects of Geopolitical Oil Price Shocks," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2026-24, Apr.
• Philipp Wegmuller & Jan P.A.M. Jacobs & Marc Burri, 2026, "GDP-Flash Estimates: An International Assessment," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2026-26, Apr.
• Girish Bahal & Damian Lenzo & Jia-Wei Loh, 2026, "Micro-to-Macro Uncertainty," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2026-28, May.
• Xiwen Bai & Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Yiliang Li & Francesco Zanetti, 2026, "State Dependence of Monetary Policy During Global Supply Chain Disruptions," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2026-37, May.
• Alberto Montagnoli & Miroslava Quiroga-Trevino & Christoph Thoenissen, 2026, "The Balance Sheet Channel of Fiscal Policy: Sovereign Exposure and Credit to Firms in the European Periphery," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2026-42, Jun.
• Oscar Pavlov & Mark Weder, 2026, "Equilibrium Indeterminacy When Only Some Firms Are Scalable," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2026-50, Jul.
• Alice Albonico & Guido Ascari & Qazi Haque & Kostas Mavromatis & Andra Smadu, 2026, "Energy and Monetary Policy in the Euro Area," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2026-55, Jul.
• Denise R. Osborn & Jing Tian & Jan P.A.M. Jacobs, 2026, "Seasonality in Univariate Unobserved Component Models," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2026-57, Jul.
• Enrico Caricchio & Corrado Di Guilmi, 2026, "Eluding the Predators: The Goodwin Cycle with Workforce Precarization in Japan," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2026-62, Jul.
• Tatiana Kirsanova & Oyvind Masst & Charles Nolan, 2026, "Searching for Flexibility: Labour and Housing Market Interactions in the UK," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2026-66, Aug.
• Gilliane De Gorostiza-Roudnitski & Benjamin Wong, 2026, "Real GDP Growth Predictability and Implications for Estimating Australia's Output Gap," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2026-67, Aug.
• Tino Berger & Benjamin Wong, 2026, "Information Sets and Output Gap Estimates from Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved Components Models," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2026-73, Aug.
• Luke Hartigan, 2026, "Estimating the Common Output Cycle in Australia," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2026-78, Sep.
• Jongrim Ha & Dohan Kim & M. Ayhan Kose & Francis E. Warnock, 2026, "Expectations-Based Capital Inflow Shocks," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2026-80, Sep.
• Matthew Read, 2026, "Sign Restrictions and Supply-Demand Decompositions of Inflation," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2026-82, Sep.
• Bäcker-Peral, Verónica & Hazell, Joe & Mian, Atif, 2026, "Dynamics of the long-term housing yield: evidence from natural experiments," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 129062, Mar.
• De Grauwe, Paul & Ji, Yuemei, 2026, "Modeling the economy as a watch or as a cloud," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 137712, Jul.
• Fierro, Luca E. & Reissl, Severin & Lamperti, Francesco & Campiglio, Emanuele & Drouet, Laurent & Emmerling, Johannes & Kremer, Elise & Tavoni, Massimo, 2026, "Safeguarding macro-financial stability under carbon pricing and rapid energy transition," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 138724, Apr.
• Horgan, Emma & Kenny, Seán & Lennard, Jason, 2026, "Banks and the economy: evidence from the Irish Bank Strike of 1966," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 140423, Sep.
• Fernandez-Gallardo, Alvaro & Lloyd, Simon & Manuel, Ed, 2026, "The transmission of macroprudential policy in the tails: evidence from a narrative approach," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 140592, Jul.
• Jan Priewe, 2026, "Searching for a New Theory of Dutch disease after Corden and Neary," Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, FGV EAESP, volume 46, issue 2, pages 263808-2638, May, DOI: 10.1590/0101-31572026-3808.
• André Moreira Cunha & Julimar da Silva Bichara & Marcos Tadeu Caputi Lélis & Diana Chaukat Chaib, 2026, "Public and private investments at the subnational level: the Brazilian experience in a Keynesian perspective," Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, FGV EAESP, volume 46, issue 2, pages 263792-2637, May, DOI: 10.1590/3086-44612026-3792.
• . Jiménez-Sotelo, Renzo A., 2026, "La influencia del desarrollo financiero en la rentabilidad del sector bancario: evidencia de 113 y 125 países en 2000-2020," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, volume 93, issue 371, pages 587-624, July-Sept, DOI: https://doi.org/10.20430/ete.v93i37.
• Luisa Corrado & Stefano Grassi & Aldo Paolillo & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2026, "Oil, gas, pandemics, and war: the drivers of inflation," Working Papers, Energy Policy Research Group, Cambridge Judge Business School, University of Cambridge, number EPRG2606, Apr.
• Reyes, Juan, 2026, "The Macroeconomic Effects of AI Uncertainty," Discussion Papers, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence, number escoe-dp-2026-02, Feb.
• Filip Rozynski & Marta Spyra & Rafal Balina, 2026, "The Impact of Oil and Natural Gas Price Volatility on the Transport Sector: Economic Implications and Policy Perspectives," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, volume 0, issue 2, pages 134-148.
• Eduard Gracia, 2026, "Follow the median: revisiting bubbles and cycles," UB School of Economics Working Papers, University of Barcelona School of Economics, number 2026/497.
• Olayinka Oyekola, 2026, "Work Under Attack: When Economies Fluctuate: Infant Survival in the Developing World," Discussion Papers, University of Exeter, Department of Economics, number 2612, Sep.
• Niloofar Adel & Andrea Bastianin & Luca Pedini & Marta Visconti, 2026, "Lifting Constraints: Venezuelan Oil and Global Market Adjustment," Working Papers, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, number 2026.12, Mar.
• Indrajit Mitra & David E. Rapach, 2026, "Downside Risk to the Stock Market and Consumption," Policy Hub, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, volume 2026, issue 6, pages 1-30, September, DOI: 10.29338/ph2026-06.
• Indrajit Mitra & David E. Rapach, 2026, "Downside Risk to the Stock Market and Consumption," Policy Hub, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, volume 2026, issue 6, pages 1-30, September, DOI: 10.29338/ph2026-06.
• Jaemin Jeong & Eunseong Ma & Choongryul Yang, 2026, "Attention-Dependent Monetary Transmission to Household Beliefs," FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, number 2026-9, Jul, DOI: 10.29338/wp2026-09.
• Christopher D. Cotton & Anna Durall & Vaishali Garga, 2026, "Pricing in the New Year: Why Inflation Behaves Differently at the Start of the Year," Current Policy Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, number 26-1, Feb.
• Danilo Leiva-León & Rodrigo Sekkel & Luis Uzeda, 2026, "Do Monetary Policy Shocks Affect the Neutral Rate of Interest?," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, number 26-3, Feb, DOI: 10.29412/res.wp.2026.03.
• Lorenzo Ductor Gómez & Danilo Leiva-León & Javier Adrián López Artero, 2026, "What Ties Us Together? Explaining Synchronized GDP Volatility," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, number 26-10, Jul, DOI: 10.29412/res.wp.2026.10.
• Gero Stiepelmann, 2026, "Optimal Short-Time Work Policy in Recessions," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 26-07, Mar, DOI: 10.26509/frbc-wp-202607.
• Emanuele Brancati & Qingqing Cao & Raoul Minetti & Nicholas Jaehyun Yi, 2026, "Financial and Production Integration in the Macroeconomy," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 26-19, Aug, DOI: 10.26509/frbc-wp-202619.
• Lutz Kilian & Michael D. Plante & Alexander W. Richter, 2026, "How Times Have Changed: The Impact of the 2026 Iran War on the U.S. Economy," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 2615, Jun, DOI: 10.24149/wp2615.
• Peter Lihn Jørgensen & Kevin J. Lansing, 2026, "From Volcker to the Pandemic Era: History Dependent Anchoring of Short-Run Expected Inflation," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2026-08, Apr, DOI: 10.24148/wp2026-08.
• Miguel Acosta & Yeji Sung, 2026, "Recency Effects in Perceived Uncertainty," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2026-12, Jul, DOI: 10.24148/wp2026-12.
• Michael D. Bauer & Alexander Czarnota & Mathias Klein, 2026, "Prices and Monetary Policy: The Role of Financial Constraints," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2026-13, Jul, DOI: 10.24148/wp2026-13.
• Brent Bundick & Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau, 2026, "A Dual Mandate Can Support Price Stability," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2026-17, Aug, DOI: 10.24148/wp2026-17.
• Shengwu Du & Flora Haberkorn & Isabel Kitschelt & Seung Jung Lee & Anderson Monken & Dylan Saez & Kelsey Shipman & Sandeep Thakur, 2026, "Do Anecdotes Matter? Exploring the Beige Book through Textual Analysis from 1970 to 2025," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2026-004, Jan, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2026.004.
• Ryan Byun & Bennett Fees & Margaret M. Jacobson & Todd B. Walker, 2026, "The Fed's Fine-Tune: Coarse Statements and Predictive Pressers," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2026-029, Apr, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2026.029.
• Martijn Boons & Anthony M. Diercks & Petra Sinagl & Andrea Tamoni, 2026, "The Response of Equity Yields to a Long-Run Shock," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2026-044, Jun, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2026.044.
• Luca Guerrieri & Jinill Kim & Arsenii Mishin, 2026, "Cyclical Fluctuations, Financial Frictions, and Productivity Differences across Firms," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2026-047, Jun, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2026.047.
• Diego Vilán, 2026, "Demand Shocks and Endogenous Uncertainty," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2026-050, Jul, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2026.050.
• Manuel Gonzalez-Astudillo & Jean-Philippe Laforte & Antoine Lepetit, 2026, "Measuring Macroeconomic Stars: A Framework with Scarring Effects," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2026-054, Jun, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2026.054.
• Isabel Cairó & Hess T. Chung & Francesco Ferrante & Cristina Fuentes-Albero & Camilo Morales-Jimenez & Damjan Pfajfar, 2026, "Beyond the Unemployment Rate: A Structural Labor Market Indicator," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2026-058, Aug, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2026.058.
• Hie Joo Ahn & Jeremy B. Rudd, 2026, "United States of U-Star," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2026-060, Jul, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2026.060.
• Tobias Adrian & Domenico Giannone & Matteo Luciani & Mike West, 2026, "Risks and Uncertainty in Monetary Policy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2026-061, Sep, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2026.061.
• Shaghil Ahmed & Ozge Akinci & Albert Queraltó, 2026, "How Resilient Were Emerging Market Economies Through the 2022-23 U.S. Monetary Tightening Cycle?," FEDS Notes, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2026-07-02, Jul, DOI: 10.17016/2380-7172.4124.
• Dario Caldara & Matteo Iacoviello & Mike McHenry & Immo Schott, 2026, "The Effects of the War on Ukraine on Global Corporate Investment," International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 1432, Mar, DOI: 10.17016/IFDP.2026.1432.
• Dario Caldara & Haroon Mumtaz & Molin Zhong, 2026, "Risk in a Data-Rich Model," International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 1435, Mar, DOI: 10.17016/IFDP.2026.1435.
• Domenico Ferraro & Giuseppe Fiori & Damián Pierri, 2026, "Multi-Plant Firms, Variable Capacity Utilization, and the Aggregate Hours Elasticity," International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 1440, Jul, DOI: 10.17016/IFDP.2026.1440.
• Ozge Akinci & Ṣebnem Kalemli-Özcan, 2026, "Pricing Risk Globally: Intermediary Constraints, the Dollar, and the Global Financial Cycle," International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 1445, Aug, DOI: 10.17016/IFDP.2026.1445.
• Fernando Arce & Alessandro Villa, 2026, "Sovereign Risk with Endogenous Debt Limits," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, number WP 2026-08, May, DOI: 10.21033/wp-2026-08.
• Juan David Munoz Henao & Nicholas Sly, 2026, "Is the AI Boom Volatility-Biased Technological Change?," Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, number RWP 26-06, Aug, DOI: 10.18651/RWP2026-06.
• Jonathan Adams, 2026, "The Dynamic Distribution in the Fixed Cost Model: An Analytical Solution," Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, number RWP 26-07, Aug, DOI: 10.18651/RWP2026-07.
• Brent Bundick & Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau, 2026, "A Dual Mandate Can Support Price Stability," Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, number RWP 26-10, Aug, DOI: 10.18651/RWP2026-10.
• Michael D. Bordo, 2026, "The Future of Monetarism after Milton Friedman," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, volume 108, issue 8, pages 1-8, July, DOI: 10.20955/r.2026.08.
• Julie Bennett & Neville Francis & Brooke Hathhorn & Jonghyuck Lim & Michael T. Owyang, 2026, "Understanding the Distribution of Inflation Expectations," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, volume 108, issue 10, pages 1-19, August, DOI: 10.20955/r.2026.10.
• Brooke Hathhorn & Laura E. Jackson & Michael T. Owyang, 2026, "Does Uncertainty Really Predict Recessions?," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 2026-010, May, DOI: 10.20955/wp.2026.010.
• Kathrin Ellieroth & Amanda M. Michaud, 2026, "What Quits and Layoffs Reveal About the Business Cycle," Opportunity and Inclusive Growth Institute Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, number 130, Jul, DOI: 10.21034/iwp.130.
• Simone Lenzu, 2026, "Anatomy (not Autopsy) of the Phillips Curve," Liberty Street Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 20260204, Feb, DOI: 10.59576/lse.20260204.
• Simone Lenzu, 2026, "Does the Phillips Curve Steepen When Costs Surge?," Liberty Street Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 20260205, Feb, DOI: 10.59576/lse.20260205.
• Shaghil Ahmed & Ozge Akinci & Albert Queraltó, 2026, "How Resilient Were Emerging Market Economies Through the 2022‑23 U.S. Monetary Tightening Cycle?," Liberty Street Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 20260626, Jun, DOI: 10.59576/lse.20260626.
• Juan M. Morelli, 2026, "Has Broader Stock Market Participation Changed How Interest Rates Affect the Economy?," Liberty Street Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 20260819, Aug, DOI: 10.59576/lse.20260819.
• Justin Bloesch & Jacob P. Weber, 2026, "Structural Changes in Investment and the Waning Power of Monetary Policy," Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 1190, Mar, DOI: 10.59576/sr.1190.
• Simone Lenzu, 2026, "Artificial Intelligence and Monetary Policy: A Framework and Perspective on Cyclical Transmission, Structural Transition, and Financial Stability," Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 1192, Apr, DOI: 10.59576/sr.1192.
• Luca Gagliardone & Mark Gertler & Simone Lenzu & Joris Tielens, 2026, "Micro and Macro Cost-Price Dynamics in Normal Times and During Inflation Surges," Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 1195, May, DOI: 10.59576/sr.1195.
• Lukasz A. Drozd & Marcin Kolasa & Jaromir B. Nosal, 2026, "Pricing-to-Market in Business Cycle Models," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, number 26-31, Jun, DOI: 10.21799/frbp.wp.2026.31.
• Thorsten Drautzburg & Grey Gordon & Pablo Guerrón-Quintana & Alexey Khazanov, 2026, "The Health Channel of Business Cycles," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, number 26-32, Jul, DOI: 10.21799/frbp.wp.2026.32.
• Aaron Graybill & Kyle Mangum, 2026, "Is Mortgage Lock-In Responsible for Housing Market Tightness?," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, number 26-33, Jul, DOI: 10.21799/frbp.wp.2026.33.