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Manejo de Tasas de Interes en Presencia de Objetivos de Inflacion y Expectativas Racionales

Author

Listed:
  • Alejandro Rodriguez Arana

    (Departamento de Economia, Universidad Iberoamericana Ciudad de Mexico)

Abstract

El objetivo de este trabajo es encontrar la solucion para la inflacion, el producto y las tasas real y nominal de interes cuando el banco central tiene objetivos de inflacion y las expectativas de los agentes economicos son racionales. Para lograr lo anterior, se plantea un modelo macroeconomico simple basado en la literatura sobre el tema. El resultado principal del trabajo es que, dependiendo de ciertos supuestos y parametros, en ocasiones el banco central no tiene que subir la tasa de interes nominal, ni generar con ello una recesion, cuando esta institucion desea un objetivo de inflacion mas bajo. Esto sucede especialmente cuando el banco central tiene credibilidad y anuncia con antelacion el objetivo de menor de inflacion, lo que alinea las expectativas. Entre las recomendaciones del trabajo se encuentran la de que el banco central genere credibilidad y ponga mas enfasis en la educacion economica y financiera para que las expectativas se puedan alinear mas facilmente con sus anuncios. Una de las limitaciones del trabajo es que supone que todos los agentes economicos tienen expectativas racionales.

Suggested Citation

  • Alejandro Rodriguez Arana, 2026. "Manejo de Tasas de Interes en Presencia de Objetivos de Inflacion y Expectativas Racionales," Working Paper Series Sobre México 2026006, Sobre México. Temas en economía.
  • Handle: RePEc:smx:wpaper:2026006
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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