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Sharing Model Uncertainty

Author

Listed:
  • Chiaki Hara
  • Sujoy Mukerji
  • Frank Riedel
  • Jean-Marc Tallon

Abstract

This paper examines efficient allocations in economies where consumers exhibit heterogeneous smooth ambiguity preferences and face model uncertainty with a common set of identifiable models. Aggregate endowment is ambiguous. We characterize economies where the representative consumer is of the smooth ambiguity type and derive efficient sharing rules. Heterogeneous ambiguity aversion leads to sharing rules that systematically differ from those in vNM economies. The representative consumer's ambiguity aversion differs from that of the typical consumer; this leads to more compelling asset-pricing predictions. We focus on point-identified models but show that our insights extend to partially identified models.

Suggested Citation

  • Chiaki Hara & Sujoy Mukerji & Frank Riedel & Jean-Marc Tallon, 2026. "Sharing Model Uncertainty," American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 18(2), pages 313-347, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:aea:aejmic:v:18:y:2026:i:2:p:313-47
    DOI: 10.1257/mic.20240188
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D11 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Theory
    • D61 - Microeconomics - - Welfare Economics - - - Allocative Efficiency; Cost-Benefit Analysis
    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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